2026 is the year the West's "flying taxi" moved from a prototype in a video to an aircraft the FAA is about to actually certify — Joby is on the verge of its Type Certificate and plans to start flying in Dubai late this year, while Archer became the first to close FAA Phase 3 and was picked as the official air taxi of the LA28 Olympics. But this lesson tells it straight: the whole field still has almost no revenue and is burning cash hard — and why putting one "pilot" on board is the smartest strategy, not a weakness.
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News & notes movingPiloted Western Air-Taxi OEMs
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Piloted Western Air-Taxi OEMs▼
Jury Orders Joby Aviation to Pay $116.9 Million in Trade Secrets Case
A federal jury in Tampa, Florida, found that air taxi startup Joby Aviation owes roughly $116.9 million to aviation supplier Aerosonic after it allegedly breached a confidentiality agreement and mishandled trade secrets. The verdict, reached on October 2, breaks down into more than $48 million for misappropriating trade secrets and more than $68 million for breaking a nondisclosure agreement. Aerosonic, based in Clearwater, Florida, sued Joby last year after selling it air data probes that measure pressure around an aircraft, claiming Joby used its proprietary designs and data to develop its own probes in about two years, a process Aerosonic said would have taken around a decade without its trade secrets. Joby, based in Santa Cruz, denied the accusations and said it independently developed its air data system through years of its own engineering and manufacturing work, adding that it has asked the court to overturn the verdict and intends to pursue all available post-trial and appellate remedies. The jury also rejected a countersuit by Joby accusing Aerosonic of selling it defective probes, and the verdict is not finalized and remains subject to post-trial motions or appeals.
JOBY · Regulation · Negative Federal jury found Joby breached a confidentiality agreement and misappropriated Aerosonic's trade secrets, ordering it to pay ~$116.9 million.
Aerosonic · Regulation · Positive Jury awarded Aerosonic over $116.9 million after finding Joby misappropriated its trade secrets and broke a nondisclosure agreement.
Vertical Aerospace Gets NYSE Notice Over Sub-$1.00 Share Price
Vertical Aerospace has received a continued listing standard notice from the New York Stock Exchange after its ordinary shares fell below the required minimum average closing price of $1.00 over the preceding 30 consecutive trading days. The notice, dated September 9, 2026, does not immediately affect the listing of Vertical's ordinary shares, which will continue to trade on the NYSE under the ticker EVTL, and the company said it is not anticipated to have any impact on ongoing business operations. Vertical said it intends to regain compliance and is considering all available options, and it can cure the deficiency at any time during a six-month cure period if, on the last trading day of any calendar month in that period, the shares close at least $1.00 and average at least $1.00 over the trailing 30 trading days. Vertical Aerospace is a Bristol, UK-based developer of electric vertical take-off and landing aircraft, with roughly 1,500 pre-orders for its four-passenger Valo aircraft from customers including American Airlines, Avolon, Bristow, GOL and Japan Airlines.
Advanced Air Mobility (eVTOL) › Passenger eVTOL OEMs ▼Capital
Advanced Air Mobility (eVTOL) › Piloted Western Air-Taxi OEMs ▼Capital
EVTL · Regulation · Negative NYSE continued-listing notice after shares fell below the $1.00 minimum average closing price, threatening delisting if not cured within six months.
SkyDrive Appoints Former Toyota and Airbus Executives to Leadership Roles
SkyDrive Inc. has appointed former Toyota executive Taiji Ono as executive vice president and head of global business, and former Airbus executive Gonzalo Ramos as global commercial officer. Ono, who spent nearly 17 years at Toyota Motor Corporation before serving as chief strategy officer at a data platform company, will oversee global business strategy, commercial models and sales strategy, including public-private partnerships in Japan. Ramos, who brings over 22 years of experience in commercial aviation, aircraft leasing and Advanced Air Mobility, including almost 18 years at Airbus, will lead commercial expansion in the United States, Middle East, Europe and Australia, driving aircraft sales contracts and post-delivery maintenance, repair and overhaul support. SkyDrive says it has partnered with airlines, operators, local governments and business partners across 10 countries, and that pre-orders and letters of intent for its SKYDRIVE SD-05 model total 451 aircraft. The company is pursuing type certification with the Japan Civil Aviation Bureau and the U.S. Federal Aviation Administration, with the aim of launching the aircraft into service in 2028.
Advanced Air Mobility (eVTOL) › Passenger eVTOL OEMs ▲Talent
Aerospace & Aviation › Airframe OEMs Talent
Advanced Air Mobility (eVTOL) › Piloted Western Air-Taxi OEMs Talent
スカイドライブ · Demand · Positive SkyDrive reports 451 pre-orders and letters of intent for its SKYDRIVE SD-05 aircraft, a concrete product-demand signal.
スカイドライブ · Regulation · Positive SkyDrive is pursuing type certification with the Japan Civil Aviation Bureau and the U.S. FAA toward a 2028 service launch.
Joby Aviation Completes First Fully Autonomous 3,199-Mile Cross-Country Flight
Joby Aviation reported that its autonomy-equipped converted Cessna Caravan completed the first-ever fully autonomous 3,199-mile flight across the United States, remotely supervised from up to 2,323 miles away while autonomously handling taxi, takeoff, routing, and landing and integrating into busy airports. The cross-country mission, part of Joby's 2026 Electric Skies tour, highlights how the company's mature autonomy stack could underpin future freight, medical, disaster-response, and defense logistics operations on already-certified airframes. The milestone does not directly change the near-term certification catalyst for piloted air taxis or the key risk around elevated cash use and potential dilution. The announcement most connected to the milestone is Joby's recent S-1 filing for up to US$750 million of new equity, which underscores the near-term financing question around supporting certification, manufacturing ramp, and a broader autonomy roadmap. Joby's narrative projects $718.3 million revenue and $44.9 million earnings by 2029, requiring 83.5% yearly revenue growth and a $923.1 million earnings increase from -$878.2 million today, while more cautious analysts assumed about 141.5% annual revenue growth to roughly US$319.0 million by 2029.
JOBY · Technology · Positive Joby's autonomy-equipped Cessna Caravan completed the first fully autonomous 3,199-mile cross-country flight, validating its autonomy stack for future freight, medical, and defense logistics.
JOBY · Capital · Negative The milestone does not change the near-term certification catalyst or the key risk around elevated cash use and potential dilution, underscored by the recent S-1 filing for up to US$750 million of new equity.
Archer Clears U.S. Antitrust Hurdle on Boeing Units Deal
Archer Aviation said the U.S. antitrust waiting period has expired on its planned acquisition of Boeing's Wisk Aero, SkyGrid and Insitu subsidiaries, satisfying a key condition for the deal to close. The deal still requires other customary closing conditions, including further regulatory approvals that Archer says are underway, and the company continues to expect completion by the end of 2026. The acquisition would combine the three Boeing units' work in autonomy, eVTOL aircraft, unmanned aircraft systems and airspace intelligence with Archer's own aircraft and its AI foundation model, ZEE. Archer pitches the combined business as an end-to-end physical AI platform for aerospace and defense. Archer shares were down 1.23% in premarket.
Advanced Air Mobility (eVTOL) › Cargo & Delivery Drone Systems Competition
Advanced Air Mobility (eVTOL) › Autonomous / Pilotless eVTOL Technology
Robotics & Physical AI › Autonomous Vehicles & Robotaxi Competition
ACHR · Regulation · Positive US antitrust waiting period on Archer's acquisition of Boeing's Wisk Aero, SkyGrid and Insitu units has expired, clearing a key regulatory condition for the deal.
BA · Capital · Neutral Boeing is divesting its Wisk Aero, SkyGrid and Insitu subsidiaries to Archer, a portfolio move whose net impact is unclear.
Insitu Inc. · Capital · Neutral Insitu is one of the Boeing units being acquired by Archer, so its ownership is changing hands.
SkyGrid · Capital · Neutral SkyGrid is one of the Boeing units being acquired by Archer, so its ownership is changing hands.
Wisk Aero · Capital · Neutral Wisk Aero is one of the Boeing units being acquired by Archer, so its ownership is changing hands.
Vertical Aerospace Appoints Former Airbus Executive Fabrice Brégier as Chairman
Vertical Aerospace has appointed Fabrice Brégier, the former chief executive of Airbus Commercial Aircraft, as chairman of its board, effective Sept. 21. Brégier brings more than three decades of experience across commercial aviation, helicopters, defense and technology, having served as CEO of Airbus Commercial Aircraft from 2012 to 2016 and later as chief operating officer of Airbus Group and president of Airbus Commercial Aircraft from 2017 to 2018. Earlier he was COO of Airbus from 2006 to 2012, where he was involved in the development of the A350 program, and he previously served as president and CEO of Eurocopter, now Airbus Helicopters. More recently he was president of Palantir Technologies France from 2018 through 2024. The appointment comes as the British electric aircraft developer moves from developing and flight-testing its all-electric Valo eVTOL aircraft toward certification and commercial deployment, and expands its work in defense and autonomous aviation. Brégier succeeds Ben Story, who had served as interim chairman since May and will remain a board member; the appointment does not itself change the company's certification timetable, commercial launch plans or the status of its defense initiatives.
Archer Aviation Completes Midnight's First City-to-City Roundtrip Flight
Archer Aviation completed the first city-to-city roundtrip flight of its all-electric Midnight eVTOL aircraft as part of its No Roads tour. The flight, from Salinas to Hollister, was positioned as a proof of concept for future urban air mobility services using the Midnight platform, showing use cases beyond short intra-city hops. Archer Aviation, a US-based aerospace and defense company with a market value of about $4.1b, is building electric aircraft and related services for both commercial and military use. The company's next proof point is Midnight's progress through the FAA Type Inspection Authorization work and the move into eIPP flights in Texas, Florida and New York, which will show whether Archer can shift from high-profile demos to repeatable, regulated operations. Execution risks remain, including high cash burn, ongoing losses and the need for large-scale deployment to justify current growth expectations.
Advanced Air Mobility (eVTOL) › Passenger eVTOL OEMs ▲Technology
Advanced Air Mobility (eVTOL) › Piloted Western Air-Taxi OEMs ▲Technology
ACHR · Technology · Positive Archer completed the first city-to-city roundtrip flight of its all-electric Midnight eVTOL, a proof of concept for urban air mobility.
Ark Invest Sells Palantir and AMD, Buys $3.35 Million of Archer Aviation
Cathie Wood's Ark Invest sold shares of Palantir and Advanced Micro Devices and bought roughly $3.35 million worth of Archer Aviation for its flagship Ark Innovation ETF. Palantir and AMD rank as the fund's 11th- and 12th-largest holdings, respectively, while Archer Aviation ranks 30th and accounts for roughly 1.2% of the portfolio by weight. The sales of Palantir and AMD look like profit taking rather than a loss of confidence, while the increased stake in Archer, the maker of electric vertical take-off and landing aircraft, reflects growing confidence in the company. Archer recently struck a deal with Boeing to acquire its Insitu, SkyGrid, and Wisk Aero subsidiaries, a transaction that will give Boeing a 16.5% stake in Archer and bring the aerospace giant on board as a partner. Archer Aviation stock is down roughly 31% year to date and 62% from its high, a pullback that has shifted the risk-reward dynamic in more favorable directions.
United StatesUnited KingdomUnited Arab EmiratesJapan
Piloted Western Air-Taxi OEMs▲2
Joby Aviation Q2 Revenue Beats at $38.64M as First Dallas EIPP Flights Target This Month
Joby Aviation reported Q2 revenue of $38.64 million against a $30.38 million consensus and raised its fiscal 2026 revenue guidance to $115 million to $125 million, with CEO JoeBen Bevirt saying the company is preparing for commercial service and targeting its first EIPP flights in Dallas-Fort Worth this month. The stock trades at $6.26, down 52.57% year-to-date and 56.49% over the past year, well below its $19.98 52-week high. Joby's FAA Stage 4 certification progress has moved from 6% to 20%, Blade seats sold rose more than 50% year-over-year in Q2, and the company counts a $250 million direct investment from Toyota, a Virgin Atlantic UK partnership, and a Dubai vertiport network among its supports. Against rival Archer Aviation, which carries a $4.02 billion market cap and posted just $5 million in Q2 revenue, Joby's $6.04 billion valuation rests on a larger revenue base. Risks include an operating margin of -1,346.92%, guided H2 2026 cash use of $385 million to $415 million, prior raises of $1.2 billion in February and $576 million in October 2025, and certification timing that could slip into 2027.
Archer Aviation Stock Soared 24.6% in August on Boeing Deal
Archer Aviation's stock surged 24.6% in August, driven by news that the company agreed to acquire three Boeing subsidiaries. The broader market also rose, with the S&P 500 gaining 2.6% and the Nasdaq Composite up 3.9%. On August 10, Archer announced a deal to purchase Boeing's Wisk Aero, SkyGrid, and Insitu units, with Boeing receiving a 16.5% stake in Archer in exchange. Insitu, which is already profitable with about $200 million in annual sales, is expected to immediately boost Archer's revenue and margins. Despite the monthly gain, Archer shares remain down roughly 24% year to date, and the stock has pulled back about 1.2% in early September amid market volatility.
Boeing announced plans to sell three of its aerospace and electric vertical takeoff and landing businesses to Archer Aviation. In exchange for the businesses and a $55 million equity investment, Boeing will receive newly issued shares and warrants in Archer, giving it nearly 20% ownership after the deal closes later this year. Boeing retains rights to use Wisk's autonomous flight technology for its commercial and defense aircraft. The divestiture removes a distraction as Boeing works to restore its commercial aircraft business, recently marked by FAA approval of the 737 MAX 7. Boeing trades at about 77 times trailing earnings, a premium to GE Aerospace's 40 times, and management targets $10 billion in annual free cash flow, below the $14 billion generated in 2018.
Archer Aviation and AEG Partner on Exclusive L.A. LIVE Vertiport
Archer Aviation and AEG are partnering to build downtown Los Angeles' first vertiport at L.A. LIVE, making Archer the exclusive air taxi partner for the district. The announcement follows Archer's second-quarter 2026 results, which showed US$5.0 million in sales and a net loss of US$263.2 million, with loss per share narrowing slightly to US$0.34 from US$0.36. The L.A. LIVE deal strengthens Archer's visibility around urban deployment and its LA28 ambitions, but does not change the near-term reality that widening net losses and ongoing certification work remain the key catalyst and main operational and funding risk. Archer's recent progress with the Midnight piloted roundtrip between Salinas and Monterey ties directly into regulatory and operational milestones that underpin future air taxi services in Los Angeles and other eIPP markets. The company's narrative projects US$716.0 million revenue and US$62.9 million earnings by 2029, requiring 622.3% yearly revenue growth and an earnings increase of about US$805 million from negative US$742.5 million today.
Joby Aviation Leads Archer in FAA Certification Race
Joby Aviation is ahead of Archer Aviation in the race for FAA certification of their electric vertical take-off and landing aircraft. Joby conducted its first FAA-conforming eVTOL flight in early March and now has five electric air taxis in the air, including its first FAA-conforming aircraft, according to CEO JoeBen Bevirt. Archer has not yet produced an FAA-conforming aircraft, though CEO Adam Goldstein said the company is actively working with the FAA on for-credit testing this year. Investors should watch for Joby to achieve FAA Type Inspection Authorization and for Archer to build and fly its own FAA-conforming eVTOL.
Archer Aviation to Acquire Three Boeing Businesses in Strategic Deal
Archer Aviation announced agreements to acquire three Boeing-owned businesses, Wisk Aero, Insitu and SkyGrid, in exchange for Boeing taking a strategic equity stake in Archer. Management expects the deal to close by the end of the year, positioning Archer as a diversified aerospace and defense platform spanning piloted air taxis, unmanned aircraft and aviation AI. Insitu is already profitable with more than $200 million in annual revenue across 35 countries, while Archer's Halo/Thunder platform with Anduril targets a total addressable market above $100 billion. Archer reported second-quarter revenue of $5 million, up 213% from the prior quarter, alongside an adjusted EBITDA loss of $177 million, and guided to a $170 million to $200 million loss range for the third quarter. The company ended the quarter with $1.6 billion in liquidity and remains the only manufacturer in the final phase of FAA type certification for its Midnight air taxi.
ACHR · Capital · Positive Acquires three Boeing businesses, expanding into defense and unmanned aircraft, with Boeing taking a strategic equity stake.
BA · Capital · Positive Boeing gains a strategic equity stake in Archer, divesting non-core businesses while retaining upside in a growing aerospace platform.
Joby Aviation Advances FAA Certification and Acquires Resonant Sciences
Joby Aviation is making notable progress toward Federal Aviation Administration certification of its electric vertical takeoff and landing aircraft, having completed 20% of its work in Stage 5, the final Show & Verify stage, as of July 31, while the FAA had completed about 10% of its work. The company was roughly two-thirds of the way through Stage 4 at this time last year, marking significant progress in 12 months. In August 2026, Joby announced it was acquiring Resonant Sciences, a fast-growing defense technology company with more than $100 million in trailing 12-month revenue, adding a growing defense business alongside its air taxi ambitions. Analysts at Morgan Stanley once estimated that urban air mobility could become a $9 trillion market opportunity by 2050, with human transportation accounting for roughly $3.8 trillion of that total. Joby trades at roughly 62 times sales, leaving its valuation little room for slip-ups or surprise delays.
Advanced Air Mobility (eVTOL) › Piloted Western Air-Taxi OEMs ▲Regulation
Advanced Air Mobility (eVTOL) › Passenger eVTOL OEMs Competition
Defense & Geopolitical Fragmentation › Autonomous Systems & Counter-Drone Competition
JOBY · Technology · Positive FAA certification progress and acquisition of Resonant Sciences advance Joby's air taxi and defense businesses.
Resonant Sciences · Capital · Positive Acquisition by Joby adds defense revenue, but Resonant Sciences is private and not directly impacted as a listed entity.
Archer Aviation Guides to $200 Million Quarterly Loss
Archer Aviation guided to an adjusted EBITDA loss of $170 million to $200 million for the third quarter while holding $1.56 billion in cash, cash equivalents, and short-term investments at the end of June. The air taxi maker reported second-quarter sales of $5 million, mostly from operating Hawthorne Airport in Los Angeles, against a net loss of $263 million. Total operating expenses rose 61% year over year to $284 million, reflecting expanded flight testing, certification work, and production of its Midnight aircraft, plus its hybrid military aircraft and ZEE aviation AI model. Cash and investments fell by $215 million during the quarter, with $156 million used in operations. Archer also announced a deal to acquire Insitu, Wisk Aero, and SkyGrid from Boeing, with Boeing set to take a stake in Archer and invest in the company.
Archer Aviation completed a piloted roundtrip intercity flight of its all-electric Midnight aircraft in coordination with the FAA. The company also announced a technical breakthrough with its ZEE aviation foundation AI model, built to predict real-time aircraft trajectories. Management framed both milestones as progress toward commercial air taxi operations and broader use of AI in aviation safety and air traffic management. The latest quarter shows US$5 million in sales against a net loss of US$263.2 million, so execution risk and cash use remain central to the story.
Archer Aviation Reports Q2 2026 Results and Progress
Archer Aviation reported second quarter 2026 results with US$5 million in sales and a net loss of US$263.2 million, alongside progress on flight testing and FAA certification. The company also highlighted Hawthorne Airport operations and a planned acquisition of Boeing subsidiaries. Shares have gained 43.55% over the past 30 days, though the one-year total shareholder return remains down 33.76%. A widely followed valuation narrative pegs Archer's fair value at $20.04 per share versus a last close of $6.79, implying the stock is undervalued by 66.1%.
Advanced Air Mobility (eVTOL) › Piloted Western Air-Taxi OEMs Competition
ACHR · Capital · Neutral Reports Q2 results with sales and net loss, plus progress on certification and acquisition plans; valuation narrative suggests undervaluation.
Eve Holding reports $403 million in cash and advances eVTOL transition flights
Eve Holding ended its second quarter of 2026 with $403 million in cash and total liquidity of $531 million, which management says is sufficient to fund operations through the anticipated 2028 certification without new funding. The company reported a net loss of $34 million for the quarter, with research and development expenses declining to $29 million from around $55 million in prior quarters due to favorable supplier agreements. Cash consumption was $49 million in the second quarter and $118 million for the first half of the year, keeping the company near the midpoint of its full-year guidance of $225 million to $275 million. Eve also advanced its flight campaign, completing 66 flights and beginning partial transition flights toward a full transition by year-end, while its pre-order backlog stands at approximately 2,700 aircraft valued at about $13.5 billion at list prices.
Archer Aviation Surges 11% as Boeing Deal Rally Extends on Earnings-Call Details
Archer Aviation shares surged 11% Tuesday, extending the previous day's rally as investors digested details from the company's earnings call about its deal with Boeing. Archer disclosed that Boeing's Insitu subsidiary generates more than $200 million in annual revenue and can fund Archer's operations on a self-funding basis, significantly changing the company's profile. The stock's move was company-specific, with Joby Aviation shares dropping 2% and EHang Holdings shares flat, indicating the rally is not a broad eVTOL sector move. Despite back-to-back double-digit gains, Archer Aviation remains down 10% year to date, with an analyst target of $10.50 implying meaningful upside potential.
Boeing to Take 19.75% Stake in Archer Aviation in Asset Swap
Boeing agreed to transfer Wisk Aero, Insitu, and SkyGrid to Archer Aviation in exchange for a 19.75% stake in Archer, subject to adjustments. Boeing also receives warrants to purchase up to an additional $200 million of Archer equity, the right to appoint a director to Archer's board, and continued access to Wisk technology through a collaboration agreement. Insitu generates more than $200 million in annual revenue, according to Reuters. The deal is expected to close by the end of 2026.
Joby Aviation Targets September 2026 for Texas Air Taxi Flights
Joby Aviation expects to begin eVTOL Integration Pilot Program flights in Texas in September 2026, marking a key operational test as the company works toward carrying its first passengers this year. The flights will cover routes across the Dallas-Fort Worth area over a week, progressing from pilot-only operations to nonpaying and eventually paying passengers under the eIPP framework. Joby has completed or substantially completed three of five FAA type-certification stages and was about 75% through the fourth stage at the end of the second quarter, with continued progress in the fifth and final stage. Manufacturing is scaling up, with five aircraft flying as of the second quarter, including its first FAA-conforming aircraft, and 12 more in production, while the nonconformance rate in manufacturing fell nearly 40% in the first half of 2026. Toyota and Joby formed a manufacturing joint venture in June 2026, with Toyota holding 51% and Joby 49%, and Uber plans to offer Uber Air powered by Joby through its app when service launches.
Joby Aviation Opens Texas Facility, Analysts See 19% Upside
Joby Aviation has opened a 45,000 square foot facility at Perot Field Fort Worth Alliance Airport in Texas, establishing a new operational foothold as it prepares for potential electric air taxi services. The most followed analyst narrative points to a fair value of $10.68 per share, 19.1% above the latest close of $8.64, implying the stock is undervalued. Consensus price target stands at $10.68, with the most bullish analyst at $18.00 and the most bearish at $6.00. The stock has gained 20.84% over the past week and 8.95% over the past month, though it remains down 39.83% year to date.
Archer Aviation shares jump 10.3% after ZEE AI milestone and Midnight eVTOL demo flight
Archer Aviation shares rose 10.3% after the company announced that its ZEE aviation AI model can predict aircraft movements on airport surfaces minutes ahead and that its piloted Midnight eVTOL completed a roundtrip flight between Salinas and Monterey in about nine minutes each way. The milestones suggest Archer is positioning itself not only as an electric air-taxi manufacturer but also as a potential provider of advanced aviation safety and traffic-management software. The Midnight roundtrip ties directly into Archer's White House eVTOL Integration Pilot Program work and preparations for the LA28 Olympics, both central to proving that air taxi services can operate on real city pairs at meaningful frequencies. While the ZEE news does not materially change near-term drivers yet, it could support more optimistic analyst projections that Archer could reach about US$868.1 million in revenue and US$73.8 million in earnings by 2029.
Eve Resumes eVTOL Flight Testing, Targets Full Transition by End of 2026
Eve Holding has resumed flight testing of its electric vertical takeoff and landing prototype and begun partial transition flights reaching 30 knots, with full transition targeted by the end of 2026. The company ended the second quarter with $403 million in cash and $531 million in total liquidity, which management believes can fund operations through 2028, while second-quarter cash burn was $49 million and full-year cash consumption is expected at $225 million to $275 million. New letters of intent for 46 aircraft increased Eve's stated preorder backlog to roughly 2,700 aircraft worth $13.5 billion at list prices, though only about 100 orders are currently firm. Eve also expects $100 million to $150 million in cost synergies and avoidance through its relationship with Embraer over the next three years, and plans crewed conforming-prototype flights in late 2027 with certification and entry into service in 2028.
Archer Aviation Is the Better eVTOL Stock Buy Over Joby, Analyst Says
Archer Aviation is the better buy among eVTOL stocks compared to Joby Aviation, according to an analysis by The Motley Fool. Archer, with a market cap of $3.7 billion, trades at a significantly lower valuation than Joby, which is valued north of $7.2 billion, and the analyst argues that Joby's higher valuation is not warranted at this stage. Both companies are progressing toward certification, with Joby targeting initial operations in 2026 and holding $2.5 billion in cash, while Archer has $1.8 billion in liquidity and recently completed a city-to-city test flight in California. Archer has also been named the official air taxi provider for the LA28 Games and is developing autonomous aircraft for defense and commercial use. The analyst notes that while both face ongoing losses, Archer's more modest valuation and promising opportunities make it the preferred investment.
Archer Aviation Stock Falls Over 60% From 2025 Highs
Archer Aviation shares have dropped more than 60% from their 2025 highs, returning to levels last seen shortly after the company went public in 2021 via a SPAC merger. The electric vertical take-off and landing aircraft developer is advancing its Midnight air taxi and has introduced a military-focused variant called Thunder, but it remains unprofitable and still awaits commercial regulatory approval. Competition in the eVTOL space adds further uncertainty, and the company will need significant capital to scale production even after certification. Most investors may prefer to wait until commercial approvals are secured before considering the stock.
Joby Aviation Outpaces Archer Aviation on Technology and Regulatory Progress
Joby Aviation holds technological and regulatory advantages over Archer Aviation in the emerging eVTOL market. Joby's S4 aircraft travels up to 150 miles at 200 miles per hour, outperforming Archer's Midnight which has a 100-mile range and 150 mph top speed. Joby is further along in the FAA approval process and generates more revenue through its Blade helicopter subsidiary. Analysts project Joby's revenue will reach $456.8 million by 2028, compared to Archer's $481.3 million, though Joby trades at a higher valuation of 15 times projected 2028 sales versus Archer's 7 times. Both companies have major backers, with Joby supported by Toyota, Delta Air Lines, and Uber, while Archer partners with Stellantis and United Airlines.
A Motley Fool analyst recommends buying Joby Aviation and avoiding Archer Aviation in the eVTOL sector. Joby has completed over 50,000 miles of test flights, is progressing through FAA certification, and began flying its first FAA-conforming production aircraft. The company holds partnerships with Delta Air Lines, Virgin Atlantic, and Uber Elevate, and reported approximately $1.1 billion in cash and equivalents at the end of Q1 2026. Archer Aviation, while partnered with United Airlines, Stellantis, and the U.S. military, faces execution risks and relies more on partners for commercialization, with its valuation already pricing in success. The analyst views Joby as having the strongest combination of technology, certification progress, partnerships, and financial resources among publicly traded eVTOL companies.
Archer Aviation Surges 20% After Unveiling Thunder VTOL Platform with Anduril
Archer Aviation shares jumped nearly 20% after the company and defense technology firm Anduril unveiled Thunder, a Group 5 autonomous attack rotorcraft. The stock closed at $5.31, up 19.59%, on trading volume of 95.7 million shares, about 125% above its three-month average. The hybrid-electric vertical takeoff and landing platform is designed for both commercial and defense customers, with first flight planned for 2027 and initial commercial partner announcements expected later this week. Despite the gain, Archer remains down 55% over the past year and has fallen 47% since its 2020 initial public offering.
Joby Aviation Stock Falls 47% Year to Date but Long-Term Prospects Remain Intact
Joby Aviation shares have dropped about 47% year to date, bringing its market capitalization to $7.5 billion, yet the company continues to advance its electric air-taxi certification and commercial plans. Joby is testing FAA-conforming aircraft in preparation for Type Inspection Authorization, has begun preparatory work with Toyota Motor for commercial production, and holds partnerships with Delta Air Lines and Uber Technologies. The company also acquired Blade Air Mobility's passenger business and is participating in a White House-backed eVTOL program that could enable early operations in some states before year-end. Morgan Stanley has cautioned that regulatory hurdles may be underestimated, but its base-case scenario projects the global urban air mobility market could reach $1 trillion by 2040 and $9 trillion by 2050.
Archer Aviation faces growing headwinds as revenue lags and cash burn persists
Archer Aviation continues to face significant challenges despite progress toward FAA certification and manufacturing build-out. The company reported just $1.6 million in revenue for the first quarter of 2026, alongside an adjusted EBITDA loss of $172.5 million, with management guiding for another $170 million to $200 million loss in the second quarter. Archer ended the quarter with approximately $1.8 billion in liquidity, but Wall Street expects cash burn of roughly $600 million this year and $740 million in 2027 before free cash flow potentially turns positive later in the decade. Commercialization remains dependent on FAA certification of the Midnight aircraft, and even if approved on schedule, the company must still scale manufacturing, expand infrastructure, train pilots, and prove customer demand in an unproven eVTOL market where rival Joby Aviation is also advancing.