Applovin CorpEdgewater analyst warns AppLovin's market-share growth has stalled and Q4 revenue growth may flatten, pressuring the stock.
AppLovin stock fell 5% to $310.70 in Wednesday morning trading after Edgewater Research analyst Joe Wittine warned that the advertising technology company's market-share growth has stalled. Edgewater expects AppLovin's fourth-quarter revenue growth to reach only 8% to 9% sequentially, suggesting expansion could flatten as its MAX platform approaches what Wittine described as a functional ceiling, while competition from Unity Software could pressure net revenue spreads. Citi offered a more constructive counterpoint, citing Store Leads data showing AppLovin had 13,105 global e-commerce clients through September 18, a 5.1% increase in one week and the fastest weekly growth in five months. Magnite stock fell 1.5% to $24.42 and The Trade Desk dropped 3% to $12.77, though each faces distinct ad-tech pressures rather than AppLovin's market-saturation problem, while the Invesco QQQ Trust was down just 0.3% at $744.90. AppLovin also faces a securities class action alleging problems with disclosures around its artificial-intelligence initiatives and growth prospects, covering investors who purchased securities between February 12 and August 5.
Applovin CorpEdgewater analyst warns AppLovin's market-share growth has stalled and Q4 revenue growth may flatten, pressuring the stock.
Unity Software IncUnity is mentioned only as a competitive threat to AppLovin, not as a subject with its own development.
Citigroup Inc.
Magnite Inc
Trade Desk Inc