Citi Sees European Heatwaves Driving Long-Term Growth for U.S. HVAC Companies

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Summary · why it matters

Citi analysts say persistently higher temperatures in Europe could create a significant long-term opportunity for U.S. HVAC manufacturers as demand for cooling systems rises. The bank noted that only around 20% of European households had air conditioning in 2018, compared with about 90% in the U.S. and Japan, and that increasingly frequent heatwaves may accelerate adoption. Carrier Global was identified as having the greatest exposure, with more than one-fifth of its revenue from its Climate Solutions Europe division, and it is the market leader in Europe's commercial HVAC sector. Citi also highlighted continued momentum in Carrier's European heat-pump business, where first-quarter sales rose by a low-teens percentage, and pointed to healthy demand indicated by German heat-pump subsidy applications. Trane Technologies and Johnson Controls, while generating a smaller share of revenue from Europe, are also seen as well positioned to benefit from greater investment in cooling technology and energy-efficient climate solutions.

Impact on assets 4

Climate Adaptation & Water▲ · 3 stocks
Carrier Global Corp
CARR
▲ PositiveDemandrelevance

Citi highlights Carrier's greatest exposure to European HVAC demand growth from heatwaves, with over one-fifth of revenue from Climate Solutions Europe and strong heat-pump sales

Johnson Controls International PLC
JCI
▲ PositiveDemandrelevance

Citi sees Johnson Controls as well positioned to benefit from European cooling investment, though smaller revenue share than Carrier

Trane Technologies plc
TT
▲ PositiveDemandrelevance

Citi sees Trane Technologies as well positioned to benefit from European cooling investment, though smaller revenue share than Carrier

Digital Finance & Tokenization▲ · 1 stocks

Theme Impact 1

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