FedEx Freight forecasts $605M-$645M adjusted operating income on 4%-6% revenue growth through Dec. 31, 2026

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FedEx Freight Holding Company guided for $605 million to $645 million in adjusted operating income on revenue growth of 4% to 6% for the seven-month transition period ending December 31, 2026, compared with the same period in 2025 on a stand-alone basis. The company, which recently completed its spin-off and began trading under the ticker FDXF, reported fourth-quarter revenue of $2.4 billion, a 5% year-over-year increase, with adjusted operating income of $363 million and a 15% adjusted operating margin. Revenue per shipment rose 11.5% in the quarter, driven by higher fuel surcharges and increased weight per shipment, partially offset by lower volumes. Management flagged approximately $80 million in separation-related costs during the quarter and expects a roughly 120-basis-point headwind from ongoing Transition Service Agreements, translating to about $65 million, with total transition-related costs potentially reaching $700 million to $750 million before easing in the second half of 2027. About 60% of the revenue growth and 75% of the adjusted operating income during the transition period are expected to be weighted toward the four months ending September 30.

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