Goldman Sachs initiates FedEx Freight with Buy, sees 23% margin expansion upside

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Goldman Sachs initiated coverage of FedEx Freight Holding with a Buy rating and a $186 price target, implying roughly 23% upside from current levels. The brokerage cited the newly independent less-than-truckload carrier's potential to improve profitability, pricing power and cash generation following its spin-off from FedEx. Goldman expects the company to improve its operating ratio toward a medium-term target of 85%, supported by pricing gains, productivity initiatives, technology investments and stronger freight volumes. The firm forecasts revenue growth of 4% to 6% annually through 2029 and sees earnings per share rising to $4.65 in fiscal 2027, $5.80 in 2028 and $6.95 in 2029. Goldman also highlighted FedEx Freight's scale advantages, noting its nationwide network, large terminal footprint and ability to generate at least $1 billion in free cash flow over the medium term, with management expected to prioritize debt reduction before introducing dividends in late 2026 or early 2027 and share repurchases in 2027.

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