Kasikorn cuts AEONTS target to 108 baht, expects weak second-quarter profit

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Kasikorn Securities lowered its target price for AEONTS shares to 108 baht from 120 baht but maintained its buy recommendation, expecting second-quarter net profit for fiscal year 2570 to come in at 697 million baht, down 12% both quarter-on-quarter and year-on-year. The decline is pressured by higher loan-loss provisions, weaker non-interest income, lower card spending, and margin pressure. First-half profit for fiscal year 2570 is expected to account for 51% of the revised full-year profit forecast. Credit cost is expected to rise 107 basis points quarter-on-quarter to 8.7% on higher bad debts in Cambodia's hire-purchase market, with pressure expected to continue for another one to two quarters. Loans are expected to fall 2.5% in fiscal year 2570 and stay flat in fiscal year 2571. The brokerage cut its profit forecasts for fiscal years 2570 to 2572 by 13.9%, 10.8%, and 5.9% to 2.9 billion baht, 3.17 billion baht, and 3.55 billion baht respectively. It views the 5.7% dividend yield and the potential to return capital to shareholders as likely to limit the downside.

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