Marathon Petroleum Sees Refining Margins Supported by Tight Global Capacity

Zacks Investment Research··US·Read original
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Summary · why it matters

Marathon Petroleum expects global refined-product demand growth through 2030 to exceed net refining-capacity additions, with anticipated refinery closures nearly offsetting announced capacity additions, supporting its constructive long-term view of the refining sector. The company said its second-quarter 2026 performance benefited from resilient consumer demand, with refineries running at 94% crude-capacity utilization and total throughput of 2.9 million barrels per day. Refining & Marketing adjusted EBITDA reached about $6.7 billion for the quarter, while segment margin was $36.33 per barrel, driven primarily by higher crack spreads across all regions. Phillips 66 captured 98% of its market indicator in the second quarter, and HF Sinclair said 5-7 million barrels per day of refining capacity was offline versus five months earlier, with inventories below five-year averages. Marathon Petroleum shares have surged nearly 140% so far this year and the stock carries a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), with an average brokerage recommendation of 2.03 based on recommendations from 20 brokerage firms.

Impact on assets 3

Synthetic Biology (non-pharma)▲ · 3 stocks
Marathon Petroleum Corp
MPC
▲ PositiveSupplyrelevance

Marathon Petroleum expects global refined-product demand growth through 2030 to exceed net refining-capacity additions, with refinery closures nearly offsetting additions, supporting its constructive refining-margin view.

HF Sinclair Corp
DINO
▲ PositiveSupplyrelevance

HF Sinclair said 5-7 million bpd of refining capacity was offline versus five months earlier, with inventories below five-year averages, tightening refined-product supply and supporting refining margins.

Phillips 66
PSX
▲ PositiveSupplyrelevance

Phillips 66 captured 98% of its market indicator in Q2 amid the tight global refining capacity and elevated crack spreads described in the article.