Morningstar Could Be 26% Above Fair Value as PitchBook Debuts Time to Exit

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Morningstar drew fresh investor attention after its PitchBook segment introduced Time to Exit, a machine learning tool that estimates when venture-backed companies may exit over one, three, or five years. The launch comes amid a weaker share price backdrop, with the stock at US$165.18 after declining 11.22% over 30 days and a 43.21% one-year total shareholder return drop. On a price-to-earnings basis, Morningstar trades at 15.6 times earnings, which is cheaper than the US Capital Markets industry average of 40.9 times and the peer average of 21.2 times, but slightly above an internally estimated fair P/E of 15.2 times. However, a discounted cash flow model suggests the stock is overvalued, with an estimated future cash flow value of US$133.43 compared to the current share price of US$165.18.

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Morningstar Inc
MORN
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PitchBook launches Time to Exit ML tool, but stock is down and DCF suggests overvaluation.