Tesla Opens Nevada Semi Factory, Begins Customer Deliveries

Yahoo Finance··US·Read original
4▲4 ▼0Impact / 5
Summary · why it matters

Tesla opened its dedicated Sparks, Nevada factory and began customer deliveries of its long-delayed Semi truck, a plant designed to eventually produce 50,000 Semis annually. The truck is offered with claimed ranges of 325 miles and 500 miles for the long-range version, and early customers include PepsiCo, DHL and US Foods, while a newly announced 2,500-truck order from a shipper coalition adds to potential demand. Morgan Stanley analyst Andrew Percoco wrote in a new note that Tesla can generate roughly $12,000 to $18,000 per month from its autonomous trucking software, based on a $0.85 to $1 per mile subscription fee across 18,000 miles driven per month, compared with about $100 per month for full self-driving on consumer vehicles today. Percoco calculated that if Tesla reaches 82,000 Semis on the road by 2040, a 13.5% share of the autonomous addressable market, that would represent $17 billion of software revenue and about $7.5 billion of incremental EBIT, a 10% upside to Morgan Stanley's base case, and he noted this excludes the upfront vehicle sale and incremental charging revenue. He added that Tesla originally outlined a manufacturing target of 50,000 Semi trucks per year, so assuming 80,000 will be deployed in total over the next roughly 15 years is a conservative starting point.

Impact on assets 5

Consumer Staples▲ · 2 stocks
PepsiCo Inc
PEP
▲ PositiveDemandrelevance

PepsiCo is named as an early customer taking delivery of Tesla Semi trucks.

Electrification & Mobility▲ · 1 stocks
Tesla Inc
TSLA
▲ PositiveCapitalDemandrelevance

Morgan Stanley's note estimates $17B software revenue and $7.5B incremental EBIT from Tesla Semi autonomous trucking, a 10% upside to base case.

Industrials▲ · 1 stocks
Deutsche Post AG
DHL
▲ PositiveDemandrelevance

DHL (Deutsche Post) is named as an early customer taking delivery of Tesla Semi trucks.

Financials▲ · 1 stocks
Morgan Stanley
MS
± MixedCapitalrelevance

Morgan Stanley analyst note models Tesla Semi autonomous software revenue and upside, but no direct impact on Morgan Stanley itself.

Theme Impact 4

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