Yuanta highlights the new era of the space economy after the ISS is retired in 2030

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Summary · why it matters

Yuanta Securities says the space economy is entering a major turning point after the International Space Station, the backbone of off-world scientific experimentation for more than 26 years, prepares to be retired around 2030, as demand for access to space from the private sector keeps rising, especially for medical research and the development of data centers in space. This is reflected in the number of projects approved for launch to the ISS, which hit a record high of 115 projects in fiscal year 2025, with nearly 80% being commercial research projects. The transition to the era of commercial space stations is happening alongside a sharp fall in the cost of reaching space, thanks to reusable rocket technology, particularly from SpaceX. Global pharmaceutical companies such as Merck and Bristol Myers Squibb are already using low-gravity conditions to study the properties of drugs, while privately held Varda is developing autonomous vehicles for experiments or manufacturing in orbit to return products to Earth. The space economy's market value is expected to rise from 630 billion dollars in 2023 to 1.16 trillion dollars in 2030 and reach 1.79 trillion dollars in 2035, or average annual growth of 9%, which would benefit leaders in space transport such as SpaceX and Rocket Lab, as well as Redwire, which specializes in equipment and systems for space operations. Rocket Lab recently won a 266 million dollar contract from the U.S. Space Force for a missile-defense test launch mission, plus another contract worth 397 million dollars to build satellites that detect and track targets from space. Although bottom-line profit may not yet be strong in this period, the revenue trend and the value of work in hand, or backlog, are growing very strongly, reflecting robust demand. The Bloomberg Consensus sets a target price of 3.66 baht per DR, which is seen as leaving room for further upside of as much as 50%.

Impact on assets 5

Space Economy▲ · 3 stocks
Rocket Lab USA Inc.
RKLB
▲ PositiveDemandrelevance

Cited as a space transport leader benefiting from rising demand, with a $266M Space Force launch contract and a $397M satellite contract growing its backlog.

Redwire Corp
RDW
▲ PositiveDemandrelevance

Named as a beneficiary of the growing space economy, specializing in equipment and systems for space operations.

Biotech & Genomic Medicine▲ · 2 stocks

Theme Impact 3

Off-coverage companies 1

Varda Space IndustriesPrivate± Mixed
relevance

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