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POSCO vs Iron Ore (Seaborne): why the prices moved differently

Weekly · monthly · quarterly news summaries, side by side in time

POSCO Holdings (005490.KO)

Q3 2026
▲5

POSCO pivots to lithium and low-carbon steel with major deals

  • UBS bullish on lithium, Buy rating on POSCO UBS says lithium bears are watching the wrong number, arguing battery output is outpacing EV growth on storage and exports. It maintains a Buy rating on POSCO, signaling that demand for POSCO's lithium business may be stronger than skeptics think, which supports the stock.

    This is a new analyst view that directly boosts sentiment on POSCO's lithium growth story.

  • POSCO completes South Korea's largest electric arc furnace POSCO finished a KRW 600 billion electric arc furnace at Gwangyang that can cut carbon emissions by up to 75%. This advances its low-carbon steelmaking and high-value product plans, which could lower future carbon costs and open premium markets, supporting the stock.

    This is a concrete new milestone in POSCO's decarbonization strategy that improves its long-term competitive position.

  • POSCO targets lithium and energy for 2035 growth At its CEO Investor Day, POSCO set a 2035 revenue target of KRW 187 trillion and operating profit of KRW 13.1 trillion, with lithium as the centerpiece. It plans to invest KRW 16.7 trillion in 2026-2028 and return about 10% of proceeds from stake sales via buybacks, which supports the stock.

    This is a new long-term strategy with concrete financial targets and capital return plans that shape investor expectations.

  • POSCO signs DLE demo plant deal in Utah POSCO will fully fund and operate a direct lithium extraction demonstration plant in Utah with Anson Resources, validating its proprietary technology at industrial scale. Success could unlock a new low-cost lithium source, strengthening POSCO's position in the battery supply chain and supporting the stock.

    This is a new partnership that advances POSCO's lithium extraction technology and potential commercial expansion.

  • POSCO enters LFP cathode market with major supply deal POSCO Future M signed a six-year deal to supply over 190,000 tons of LFP cathode materials from 2027, its first major LFP order. This diversifies beyond high-nickel cathodes and taps rising demand for energy storage in North America, supporting the stock.

    This is a new large contract that expands POSCO's battery materials business and addresses a growing market.

July 2026
▲5

POSCO pivots to lithium and low-carbon steel with major deals

  • UBS bullish on lithium, Buy rating on POSCO UBS says lithium bears are watching the wrong number, arguing battery output is outpacing EV growth on storage and exports. It maintains a Buy rating on POSCO, signaling that demand for POSCO's lithium business may be stronger than skeptics think, which supports the stock.

    This is a new analyst view that directly boosts sentiment on POSCO's lithium growth story.

  • POSCO completes South Korea's largest electric arc furnace POSCO finished a KRW 600 billion electric arc furnace at Gwangyang that can cut carbon emissions by up to 75%. This advances its low-carbon steelmaking and high-value product plans, which could lower future carbon costs and open premium markets, supporting the stock.

    This is a concrete new milestone in POSCO's decarbonization strategy that improves its long-term competitive position.

  • POSCO targets lithium and energy for 2035 growth At its CEO Investor Day, POSCO set a 2035 revenue target of KRW 187 trillion and operating profit of KRW 13.1 trillion, with lithium as the centerpiece. It plans to invest KRW 16.7 trillion in 2026-2028 and return about 10% of proceeds from stake sales via buybacks, which supports the stock.

    This is a new long-term strategy with concrete financial targets and capital return plans that shape investor expectations.

  • POSCO signs DLE demo plant deal in Utah POSCO will fully fund and operate a direct lithium extraction demonstration plant in Utah with Anson Resources, validating its proprietary technology at industrial scale. Success could unlock a new low-cost lithium source, strengthening POSCO's position in the battery supply chain and supporting the stock.

    This is a new partnership that advances POSCO's lithium extraction technology and potential commercial expansion.

  • POSCO enters LFP cathode market with major supply deal POSCO Future M signed a six-year deal to supply over 190,000 tons of LFP cathode materials from 2027, its first major LFP order. This diversifies beyond high-nickel cathodes and taps rising demand for energy storage in North America, supporting the stock.

    This is a new large contract that expands POSCO's battery materials business and addresses a growing market.

Latest
▲5

POSCO pivots to lithium and low-carbon steel with major deals

  • UBS bullish on lithium, Buy rating on POSCO UBS says lithium bears are watching the wrong number, arguing battery output is outpacing EV growth on storage and exports. It maintains a Buy rating on POSCO, signaling that demand for POSCO's lithium business may be stronger than skeptics think, which supports the stock.

    This is a new analyst view that directly boosts sentiment on POSCO's lithium growth story.

  • POSCO completes South Korea's largest electric arc furnace POSCO finished a KRW 600 billion electric arc furnace at Gwangyang that can cut carbon emissions by up to 75%. This advances its low-carbon steelmaking and high-value product plans, which could lower future carbon costs and open premium markets, supporting the stock.

    This is a concrete new milestone in POSCO's decarbonization strategy that improves its long-term competitive position.

  • POSCO targets lithium and energy for 2035 growth At its CEO Investor Day, POSCO set a 2035 revenue target of KRW 187 trillion and operating profit of KRW 13.1 trillion, with lithium as the centerpiece. It plans to invest KRW 16.7 trillion in 2026-2028 and return about 10% of proceeds from stake sales via buybacks, which supports the stock.

    This is a new long-term strategy with concrete financial targets and capital return plans that shape investor expectations.

  • POSCO signs DLE demo plant deal in Utah POSCO will fully fund and operate a direct lithium extraction demonstration plant in Utah with Anson Resources, validating its proprietary technology at industrial scale. Success could unlock a new low-cost lithium source, strengthening POSCO's position in the battery supply chain and supporting the stock.

    This is a new partnership that advances POSCO's lithium extraction technology and potential commercial expansion.

  • POSCO enters LFP cathode market with major supply deal POSCO Future M signed a six-year deal to supply over 190,000 tons of LFP cathode materials from 2027, its first major LFP order. This diversifies beyond high-nickel cathodes and taps rising demand for energy storage in North America, supporting the stock.

    This is a new large contract that expands POSCO's battery materials business and addresses a growing market.

Iron Ore (Seaborne) (IRONORE.COMM)

Q3 2026
▼3

Iron Ore Falls to 13-Month Lows on Weak China Demand

  • China Demand Weakness and No Stimulus China's demand for iron ore stayed weak and no new government stimulus came, pushing prices to 13-month lows near $92.85 per ton. This was the main force dragging the market down.

    It is the primary reason iron ore prices fell during the quarter.

  • China Restricts Fortescue Shipments China restricted shipments from Fortescue, a major iron ore supplier. This added to concerns about demand and trade flows, weighing on prices.

    It is a specific negative event that pressured iron ore prices.

  • Morgan Stanley Cuts Forecasts on Surplus Morgan Stanley lowered its price forecasts for iron ore, expecting a surplus. This bearish outlook encouraged selling and contributed to the price decline.

    It reflects analyst expectations that added downward pressure.

  • Supply Threats and New Demand Counterweights BHP's Port Hedland strikes threatened supply, Anglo American signed a year-long China supply deal, and Trump's $15 billion steel plant promised new US demand. These provided some support but were not enough to offset weak Chinese demand.

    It shows the main counterweights that limited the price decline.

August 2026
▲3▼2

Iron ore hits 13-month low on weak China demand; supply risks and new US steel plant offer support

  • Weak Chinese demand and no stimulus push iron ore to 13-month low Iron ore prices fell to a 13-month low of $92.85 per tonne as Chinese demand stayed weak and Beijing held off on new stimulus. High-cost producers are now losing money, and some may cut output. This weak demand is the main reason iron ore is cheap right now.

    This is the core bearish force driving the price down.

  • BHP Port Hedland strike threatens seaborne supply Union workers at BHP's Port Hedland iron ore export terminal plan strikes on August 8-9, halting ship-loading. The terminal ships over 500 million tonnes a year, mostly to China. Any disruption would tighten seaborne supply and support prices.

    This is a new supply-side risk that could push prices up.

  • Anglo American signs year-long iron ore supply deal with China Anglo American's Kumba unit agreed to supply iron ore to China's state buyer from April 2026 to March 2027. This signals steady Chinese demand for seaborne iron ore, which helps support prices by showing that buyers are still committing to long-term purchases.

    It shows a demand-side positive that counters the weak spot market.

  • US inflation fears and stronger dollar weigh on iron ore Higher-than-expected US inflation raised fears the Fed will hike rates, boosting the dollar. Iron ore fell 0.4% to $97 per tonne, its fourth straight decline. A stronger dollar makes dollar-priced iron ore more expensive for foreign buyers, hurting demand.

    This monetary factor adds downward pressure on iron ore prices.

  • Trump's $15 billion steel plant to boost US iron ore demand Trump announced a $15 billion steel plant, the largest in US history, to be built by Mesabi Metallics. It will use iron ore from Minnesota's Mesabi mines, adding new domestic demand. This supports iron ore prices by increasing future consumption.

    It is a new demand source that could lift iron ore prices over time.

Latest
▲3▼2

Iron ore hits 13-month low on weak China demand; supply risks and new US steel plant offer support

  • Weak Chinese demand and no stimulus push iron ore to 13-month low Iron ore prices fell to a 13-month low of $92.85 per tonne as Chinese demand stayed weak and Beijing held off on new stimulus. High-cost producers are now losing money, and some may cut output. This weak demand is the main reason iron ore is cheap right now.

    This is the core bearish force driving the price down.

  • BHP Port Hedland strike threatens seaborne supply Union workers at BHP's Port Hedland iron ore export terminal plan strikes on August 8-9, halting ship-loading. The terminal ships over 500 million tonnes a year, mostly to China. Any disruption would tighten seaborne supply and support prices.

    This is a new supply-side risk that could push prices up.

  • Anglo American signs year-long iron ore supply deal with China Anglo American's Kumba unit agreed to supply iron ore to China's state buyer from April 2026 to March 2027. This signals steady Chinese demand for seaborne iron ore, which helps support prices by showing that buyers are still committing to long-term purchases.

    It shows a demand-side positive that counters the weak spot market.

  • US inflation fears and stronger dollar weigh on iron ore Higher-than-expected US inflation raised fears the Fed will hike rates, boosting the dollar. Iron ore fell 0.4% to $97 per tonne, its fourth straight decline. A stronger dollar makes dollar-priced iron ore more expensive for foreign buyers, hurting demand.

    This monetary factor adds downward pressure on iron ore prices.

  • Trump's $15 billion steel plant to boost US iron ore demand Trump announced a $15 billion steel plant, the largest in US history, to be built by Mesabi Metallics. It will use iron ore from Minnesota's Mesabi mines, adding new domestic demand. This supports iron ore prices by increasing future consumption.

    It is a new demand source that could lift iron ore prices over time.

July 2026
▼2▲1

Iron ore swings on China curbs, BHP strike, and new supply plans

  • China restricts Fortescue shipments China told steel mills to stop taking two Fortescue iron ore products from July 15, part of tighter import oversight. This reduces demand for those grades and pressures iron ore prices, which were near $99–$100 per tonne.

    This is a new demand-side restriction that directly lowers demand for a specific iron ore product.

  • Morgan Stanley cuts iron ore price forecast Morgan Stanley downgraded Vale and Alcoa, citing a coming surplus in iron ore and aluminum. It lowered its iron ore price forecast by 2–4% for 2026–28, signaling that analysts expect weaker prices ahead.

    A major bank's forecast cut reflects a bearish view on future iron ore prices.

  • BHP Port Hedland strike disrupts supply Hundreds of BHP workers at Port Hedland, a top iron ore export hub, went on an eight-hour strike on July 16 after labor talks failed. Supply worries pushed iron ore prices and mining stocks higher.

    A supply disruption at a major export hub can tighten near-term supply and lift prices.

  • BHP approves new mine, but output misses BHP approved a $900 million high-grade iron ore project for 2029, which could add supply later. Meanwhile, its quarterly iron ore output missed forecasts and fell year-on-year, though realized prices rose 3%.

    New long-term supply is bearish, but current output miss and higher realized prices are supportive.

▼2▲1

Iron ore swings on China curbs, BHP strike, and new supply plans

  • China restricts Fortescue shipments China told steel mills to stop taking two Fortescue iron ore products from July 15, part of tighter import oversight. This reduces demand for those grades and pressures iron ore prices, which were near $99–$100 per tonne.

    This is a new demand-side restriction that directly lowers demand for a specific iron ore product.

  • Morgan Stanley cuts iron ore price forecast Morgan Stanley downgraded Vale and Alcoa, citing a coming surplus in iron ore and aluminum. It lowered its iron ore price forecast by 2–4% for 2026–28, signaling that analysts expect weaker prices ahead.

    A major bank's forecast cut reflects a bearish view on future iron ore prices.

  • BHP Port Hedland strike disrupts supply Hundreds of BHP workers at Port Hedland, a top iron ore export hub, went on an eight-hour strike on July 16 after labor talks failed. Supply worries pushed iron ore prices and mining stocks higher.

    A supply disruption at a major export hub can tighten near-term supply and lift prices.

  • BHP approves new mine, but output misses BHP approved a $900 million high-grade iron ore project for 2029, which could add supply later. Meanwhile, its quarterly iron ore output missed forecasts and fell year-on-year, though realized prices rose 3%.

    New long-term supply is bearish, but current output miss and higher realized prices are supportive.