Blowout profit forecast met with sell-off as memory chip rally cools
First-half profit forecast surges over 2,000% Shannon Semiconductor expects net profit of 3.5–4.0 billion yuan for H1 2026, up 2,117%–2,434% year-on-year. The company credits high memory chip demand, rising prices, better distribution margins, and its own 'Haipu Storage' brand entering mass sales. This is a fundamental positive that supports the stock's value.
The earnings pre-announcement is the core new fundamental event driving the stock's narrative.
Stock plunges 20% despite strong earnings On July 17, Shannon Semiconductor hit the daily 20% limit-down even after the huge profit forecast. Investors had already pushed the stock up in a months-long rally, and the good news was priced in. This shows how high expectations can turn positive news into a sell signal.
This is the key new market reaction that explains why the stock is moving down despite good news.
Memory chip sector tumbles, dragging stock down On July 13 and 16, memory chip stocks fell sharply. Demingli hit limit-down twice, and Shannon Semiconductor dropped nearly 20% on July 13. Weakness in US memory stocks like Micron also weighed on sentiment. Sector-wide selling pressure pulled the stock lower.
Sector-wide weakness is a major force pushing the stock down, separate from company-specific news.
Industry outlook still strong but price increases slow Analysts maintain that memory chip supply will stay tight through at least late 2027, supporting long-term demand. However, memory price increases slowed in June, and some companies like Demingli warned of quarter-on-quarter profit declines. This creates uncertainty about how long the boom can last.
This provides the necessary counterweight: the long-term story is intact but near-term momentum may be fading.