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Trina Solar vs Guangdong Rongtai Industry: why the prices moved differently

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Trina Solar Co Ltd (688599.CG)

Q3 2026
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Trina Solar's mixed July: perovskite order, margin turn, but losses persist

  • First commercial perovskite tandem order Trina won its first commercial order for high-efficiency perovskite tandem modules, a next-generation solar panel technology. This shows the company is advancing in premium products that could command higher prices and open new markets.

    This is a new positive development that could boost future revenue and margins.

  • Core panel business returns to positive gross margin Trina's main solar panel business eked out a 1.27% gross margin in the first half, meaning it sold panels for slightly more than they cost to make. This is a small but important step toward profitability after a long downturn.

    This is a new sign of operational improvement in the core business.

  • Beijing's crackdown on below-cost price wars China's government is cracking down on solar companies selling below cost, which could raise panel prices and ease the brutal price war. The 15th Five-Year Plan also sets clean-energy targets that may lift long-term demand.

    This is a new regulatory force that could improve industry pricing and demand.

  • H1 net loss and reliance on one-off asset sales Trina still lost 180–360 million yuan in H1, with adjusted losses near 2.96 billion yuan. Earlier improvement came largely from one-off asset sales, not operations. Industry-wide losses exceed 13 billion yuan, and 1,266 idle solar projects are being purged, signaling persistent oversupply.

    This is a new negative update on financial performance and industry oversupply.

July 2026
▲3▼1

Trina Solar's mixed July: perovskite order, margin turn, but losses persist

  • First commercial perovskite tandem order Trina won its first commercial order for high-efficiency perovskite tandem modules, a next-generation solar panel technology. This shows the company is advancing in premium products that could command higher prices and open new markets.

    This is a new positive development that could boost future revenue and margins.

  • Core panel business returns to positive gross margin Trina's main solar panel business eked out a 1.27% gross margin in the first half, meaning it sold panels for slightly more than they cost to make. This is a small but important step toward profitability after a long downturn.

    This is a new sign of operational improvement in the core business.

  • Beijing's crackdown on below-cost price wars China's government is cracking down on solar companies selling below cost, which could raise panel prices and ease the brutal price war. The 15th Five-Year Plan also sets clean-energy targets that may lift long-term demand.

    This is a new regulatory force that could improve industry pricing and demand.

  • H1 net loss and reliance on one-off asset sales Trina still lost 180–360 million yuan in H1, with adjusted losses near 2.96 billion yuan. Earlier improvement came largely from one-off asset sales, not operations. Industry-wide losses exceed 13 billion yuan, and 1,266 idle solar projects are being purged, signaling persistent oversupply.

    This is a new negative update on financial performance and industry oversupply.

Latest
▲3▼1

Trina's core panel business turns profitable as Beijing cracks down on solar price wars

  • Module gross margin turns positive Trina's panel-making business made a gross profit of 226 million yuan in the first half, a 1.27% margin — its first positive gross margin since 2025. This matters because it shows the core business is finally earning money on each panel sold, not just relying on one-off asset sales.

    This is the clearest sign that Trina's main business is recovering, directly supporting the stock.

  • Beijing moves to end cutthroat price wars Regulators held a price compliance meeting and released unified cost accounting rules, with mandatory national standards coming in 2027. The goal is to stop panel makers from selling below cost, which could lift prices and help all producers, including Trina, become profitable again.

    This policy shift could reverse the industry's loss-making price war, a major force behind Trina's stock.

  • New power system plan boosts long-term demand China's 15th Five-Year Plan for new power systems aims for non-fossil fuels to supply 50% of electricity by 2030. This supports future solar demand, and Trina is a top holding in the new energy ETF that rose on the news, drawing investor attention to the sector.

    It shows a policy-driven demand tailwind that benefits Trina as a major solar maker.

  • Industry-wide losses and zombie project cleanup Five solar giants still lost over 13 billion yuan combined in the first half, and 1,266 idle solar projects are being purged nationwide. This shows the industry remains deep in oversupply, and the cleanup, while healthy long-term, adds uncertainty and pressure on weaker players like Trina.

    It is the main counterweight: the industry is still losing money and clearing excess capacity, which can hurt near-term profits.

▲2▼1

Trina's tandem solar tech wins first orders, but core losses persist

  • First commercial tandem module order Trina signed the world's first order for its perovskite/crystalline silicon tandem modules, sold in New Zealand. This next-generation product is far more efficient than standard panels, opening a premium market and showing the technology can actually sell, which supports the long-term growth story.

    New event showing commercial validation of Trina's key next-gen technology, a real driver of future earnings.

  • AI data center green-power push Trina is pitching its Electricity-Computing Synergy model to power AI data centers with green energy plus storage, citing a China Unicom project that cuts electricity costs about 50%. This opens a large new customer base beyond home solar, supporting future demand.

    New strategic expansion into AI data center power, a fresh demand driver.

  • Core business still losing money Trina's first-half forecast shows a net loss of 180-360 million yuan, much smaller than last year, but the loss excluding one-off items is still up to 2.96 billion yuan, roughly flat. That means the actual panel-making business is not yet profitable, a real drag on the stock.

    New earnings forecast revealing core profitability remains weak despite headline improvement.

  • Profit boost from asset sales, not operations The narrower headline loss came largely from selling equity stakes and investment gains, not from selling more panels profitably. Storage and distributed systems did contribute positively. Investors should note the improvement is partly one-off, so it may not repeat.

    Clarifies that reported profit improvement is partly non-recurring, a counterweight to the positive headline.

Guangdong Rongtai Industry Co Ltd (600589.CG)

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