← Chery Automobile overview

Chery Automobile vs Aluminum (CME): why the prices moved differently

Weekly · monthly · quarterly news summaries, side by side in time

Chery Automobile Co Ltd (9973.HK)

Q3 2026
▲3▼1

Chery Accelerates Global Expansion with New Markets and Brands

  • Global Market Expansion Chery entered Canada, Japan, and South Africa, opened a South Africa plant, and launched the LEPAS brand, significantly broadening its international footprint and opening new revenue streams.

    This is a major new development that expands Chery's addressable market and growth potential.

  • Strong Sales Performance EU registrations surged 250.9% year-to-date to 116,318 units, H1 exports rose 71.5%, and the Jaecoo 7 became the UK's best-selling model, demonstrating robust demand for Chery vehicles.

    These metrics show exceptional sales growth and market acceptance, directly boosting investor confidence.

  • Strategic Investments and Analyst Coverage Chery surpassed Tesla China in EV exports, invested $75 million in KG Mobility, and JPMorgan initiated coverage with an overweight rating, highlighting strategic moves and positive analyst sentiment.

    These actions and endorsements signal strategic positioning and financial community confidence.

  • Execution and Regulatory Risks New plants and brands face execution and ramp-up challenges, rapid expansion may strain resources amid regulatory and tariff pressures, and Canadian volumes remain small with uncertain returns.

    These risks could hinder growth and profitability, providing a balanced view of potential headwinds.

September 2026
▲4

Chery's European and UK demand surges, broker backs stock

  • EU sales up 250.9% year-to-date EU new car registrations rose 4.5% in August, and Chery's EU sales jumped 250.9% to 116,318 units so far this year. That is a huge increase in actual customer purchases, which directly boosts Chery's revenue and profit.

    Shows real demand growth in a key region, a core reason the stock is moving up.

  • UK best-seller and market share gains UK new car sales rose 12% in September, and Chery's Jaecoo 7 SUV was the best-selling model. This follows earlier UK momentum, but the best-seller status is a new milestone that confirms Chery's brand is winning over British buyers.

    New milestone in a major market, reinforcing the growth story.

  • European factory plans and steel demand Chery is teaming up with a local partner to take over an old Nissan plant in Spain, and Thyssenkrupp named Chery as a key driver of future steel demand from Chinese automakers in Europe. Building locally helps avoid EU import rules and supports long-term sales.

    Shows Chery is investing to secure European production, reducing regulatory risk and supporting future growth.

  • JPMorgan starts coverage with overweight JPMorgan initiated coverage of Chery with an overweight rating, meaning the bank expects the stock to outperform. This can attract new investors and support the share price, even as some other Chinese companies delay Hong Kong IPOs.

    A major broker's positive rating can directly influence investor demand for the stock.

Latest
▲4

Chery's European and UK demand surges, broker backs stock

  • EU sales up 250.9% year-to-date EU new car registrations rose 4.5% in August, and Chery's EU sales jumped 250.9% to 116,318 units so far this year. That is a huge increase in actual customer purchases, which directly boosts Chery's revenue and profit.

    Shows real demand growth in a key region, a core reason the stock is moving up.

  • UK best-seller and market share gains UK new car sales rose 12% in September, and Chery's Jaecoo 7 SUV was the best-selling model. This follows earlier UK momentum, but the best-seller status is a new milestone that confirms Chery's brand is winning over British buyers.

    New milestone in a major market, reinforcing the growth story.

  • European factory plans and steel demand Chery is teaming up with a local partner to take over an old Nissan plant in Spain, and Thyssenkrupp named Chery as a key driver of future steel demand from Chinese automakers in Europe. Building locally helps avoid EU import rules and supports long-term sales.

    Shows Chery is investing to secure European production, reducing regulatory risk and supporting future growth.

  • JPMorgan starts coverage with overweight JPMorgan initiated coverage of Chery with an overweight rating, meaning the bank expects the stock to outperform. This can attract new investors and support the share price, even as some other Chinese companies delay Hong Kong IPOs.

    A major broker's positive rating can directly influence investor demand for the stock.

August 2026
▲4

Chery's overseas push broadens as rivals stumble in key markets

  • UK sales momentum builds Chery's Jaecoo E5 became the UK's third best-selling electric car in July, helped by Britain's decision not to tariff Chinese EVs. Super Group also credited Omoda, Jaecoo and Chery for driving its UK sales volumes up 22.1%, well ahead of the national market. More UK sales mean more revenue and profit for Chery.

    Shows Chery winning real volume in a tariff-free European market, a direct earnings driver.

  • New markets: Japan and South Africa Chery is co-developing a small 'kei' electric car with Japan's Autobacs Seven for launch next year, and is entering South Africa's pickup truck market, a segment long dominated by Toyota and Ford. Both moves open new sales channels as growth slows at home and Western tariffs bite.

    New geographic and product expansion is a structural growth driver beyond Chery's existing markets.

  • Robotics arm scales up Chery's EXEED AiMOGA Robotics passed 2,000 cumulative global deliveries across more than 60 countries, using Chery's factories, supply chain and service network. It is a small business today, but shows Chery can commercialise new technology and diversify beyond cars.

    Signals a new revenue stream and technology credibility that can support valuation over time.

  • Overtakes Tesla in China exports In August, Chery ranked ahead of Tesla China in passenger electric-vehicle exports, behind only BYD and Geely. Tesla's China exports fell 45.5% month on month. Chery's rising export rank shows it is gaining share in the global EV trade even as competition intensifies.

    Direct evidence Chery is out-competing a major rival in export volumes, a key growth metric.

▲4

Chery's overseas push broadens as rivals stumble in key markets

  • UK sales momentum builds Chery's Jaecoo E5 became the UK's third best-selling electric car in July, helped by Britain's decision not to tariff Chinese EVs. Super Group also credited Omoda, Jaecoo and Chery for driving its UK sales volumes up 22.1%, well ahead of the national market. More UK sales mean more revenue and profit for Chery.

    Shows Chery winning real volume in a tariff-free European market, a direct earnings driver.

  • New markets: Japan and South Africa Chery is co-developing a small 'kei' electric car with Japan's Autobacs Seven for launch next year, and is entering South Africa's pickup truck market, a segment long dominated by Toyota and Ford. Both moves open new sales channels as growth slows at home and Western tariffs bite.

    New geographic and product expansion is a structural growth driver beyond Chery's existing markets.

  • Robotics arm scales up Chery's EXEED AiMOGA Robotics passed 2,000 cumulative global deliveries across more than 60 countries, using Chery's factories, supply chain and service network. It is a small business today, but shows Chery can commercialise new technology and diversify beyond cars.

    Signals a new revenue stream and technology credibility that can support valuation over time.

  • Overtakes Tesla in China exports In August, Chery ranked ahead of Tesla China in passenger electric-vehicle exports, behind only BYD and Geely. Tesla's China exports fell 45.5% month on month. Chery's rising export rank shows it is gaining share in the global EV trade even as competition intensifies.

    Direct evidence Chery is out-competing a major rival in export volumes, a key growth metric.

July 2026
▲2▼2

Chery accelerates global expansion with new plants, brands, record exports

  • Global expansion and record exports Chery entered Canada with a small quota, opened a South Africa plant, launched LEPAS NEV brand in Europe, Middle East, Thailand, and Indonesia, and saw EU registrations surge 268.7% to 84,987 units in H1 2026. H1 exports rose 71.5%.

    This is the main positive force driving Chery's growth and investor sentiment during the period.

  • Strategic investment and sales milestone Chery invested $75 million in South Korea's KG Mobility and surpassed 20 million cumulative sales, reinforcing its global footprint and scale.

    These events highlight Chery's strategic moves and growing scale, supporting the positive narrative.

  • Execution and ramp-up risks New plants and brand launches carry execution and ramp-up risks, and rapid expansion may strain resources amid competitive, regulatory, and tariff pressures in developed markets.

    This is the key counterweight that could temper the positive impact of Chery's expansion.

  • Uncertain returns from Canada Canada volumes remain small and require Canadian control, making returns uncertain and potentially limiting near-term profitability from that market.

    This specific risk highlights a challenge in one of Chery's new markets, balancing the positive expansion news.

▲4

Chery's global expansion accelerates with new markets, plants, and record exports

  • Canada low-tariff EV quota exploration Chery is among four Chinese automakers exploring Canada's low-tariff EV import quota and considering joint ventures. This could open a new developed market, boosting future sales and profit, though initial volumes are small and rules require Canadian control.

    New market access with potential upside, directly relevant to growth outlook.

  • LEPAS brand launches in Thailand and Indonesia Chery's premium NEV brand LEPAS launched the L6 EV in Thailand and L8 PHEV in Indonesia, with more models planned for Europe, Australia, Africa, and the Middle East. This expands global sales and leverages Chery's ecosystem, supporting revenue growth.

    New product launches in key Southeast Asian markets signal expanding global footprint.

  • OMODA & JAECOO AI cockpit debut and South Africa plant OMODA & JAECOO debuted the OMODA 4 SUV and AI cockpit in Indonesia, and broke ground on its first South African plant for the JAECOO 5. These moves boost technology leadership and local production, supporting demand in emerging markets.

    Combines technology differentiation and local manufacturing, both key growth drivers.

  • Investment in KG Mobility and 20 million sales milestone Chery invested $75 million in South Korea's KG Mobility via convertible bonds, gaining ~10% stake and potential production collaboration. Chery also surpassed 20 million cumulative sales, with H1 exports up 71.5% year-on-year, confirming strong global demand.

    Capital deployment and record export data reinforce growth trajectory and market confidence.

▲4

Chery's global expansion accelerates with new plants and export shipments

  • Canada market entry Chery is actively entering Canada, holding dealer meetings and planning Q4 sales. This opens a new market for its vehicles, though the initial quota is small. It signals progress in a developed market and a practice run for the US, supporting future growth.

    New market entry expands Chery's addressable demand and shows strategic progress.

  • South Africa plant opening Chery opened its Rosslyn plant in South Africa, retaining all 692 employees and planning production for mid-2027. This local manufacturing boosts presence in Africa, reduces import costs, and supports long-term demand growth.

    Local production capacity enhances competitiveness and market share in a key region.

  • LEPAS global deliveries begin Chery's new energy brand LEPAS shipped nearly 1,500 L8 PHEVs to Europe and its first batch to the Middle East. These initial deliveries mark the start of global sales for the premium brand, indicating strong export demand and expansion into new markets.

    First shipments of a new brand demonstrate execution and open additional revenue streams.

  • EU registrations surge Chery's EU registrations jumped 268.7% to 84,987 units in the first half of 2026, far outpacing the overall market. This rapid growth shows strong consumer acceptance and increasing market share in Europe, a key high-margin region.

    Triple-digit growth in a major market directly boosts revenue and brand strength.

Aluminum (CME) (ALUMINUM.COMM)

Q3 2026
▲2▼2

Aluminum Q3: tight supply vs. new capacity, tariffs add uncertainty

  • Strong electrification demand and record-low inventories Grid and electrification demand stayed strong, with Nexans and Hydro signing a low-carbon deal. LME inventories hit a century low of 271,275 tonnes, and institutions forecast widening deficits, supporting higher prices.

    This point explains the main bullish force: robust demand and critically low inventories.

  • Alunorte alumina output cut tightens supply Alunorte's alumina output was cut to 50%, further tightening the supply of raw material for aluminum. This reduction adds to the tight supply picture and supports higher aluminum prices.

    This point highlights a specific supply disruption that contributed to price support.

  • New supply and forecast cuts weigh on prices Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs cut 2027–28 price forecasts on new supply from Indonesia, Saudi Arabia, India, and Angola. Century's Mt. Holly expansion added ~10% US output, easing supply concerns.

    This point captures the main bearish force: expectations of rising future supply and analyst downgrades.

  • Tariff changes and trade tensions raise costs The US halved tariffs for smelter investors, but US-Canada trade tensions escalated with 50% tariffs and retaliation, raising costs and uncertainty. Mexico's tariff negotiations remained unresolved.

    This point explains how trade policy added cost pressure and uncertainty, a key negative factor.

September 2026
▲3

Tariff war and supply cuts drive aluminum prices

  • Alumina supply cut Alunorte, a major alumina refinery, cut output to 50% due to a natural gas shortage. Alumina is a key input for aluminum, so reduced supply could tighten the market and support higher aluminum prices.

    This is a new supply disruption that directly affects aluminum production costs and availability.

  • Australian government supports smelter Australia committed A$2.5 billion to keep Rio Tinto's Tomago smelter running beyond 2028. This ensures continued aluminum production, preventing a potential supply loss that could have pushed prices higher.

    This is a new government intervention that stabilizes supply, which is important for the aluminum market outlook.

  • US-Canada trade tensions escalate The US expanded 50% tariffs on Canadian aluminum and banned some imports, while Canada retaliated. This trade war raises costs and disrupts supply, but also creates uncertainty that can push prices up due to tightness.

    This is a major new escalation in trade policy that directly impacts aluminum flows and pricing.

  • Mexico seeks tariff relief Mexico is negotiating with the US to reduce or eliminate the 50% tariffs on steel and aluminum. If successful, it could ease trade tensions and support aluminum demand, but the outcome is still uncertain.

    This is a new development in tariff negotiations that could affect aluminum trade flows and prices.

Latest
▲3

Tariff war and supply cuts drive aluminum prices

  • Alumina supply cut Alunorte, a major alumina refinery, cut output to 50% due to a natural gas shortage. Alumina is a key input for aluminum, so reduced supply could tighten the market and support higher aluminum prices.

    This is a new supply disruption that directly affects aluminum production costs and availability.

  • Australian government supports smelter Australia committed A$2.5 billion to keep Rio Tinto's Tomago smelter running beyond 2028. This ensures continued aluminum production, preventing a potential supply loss that could have pushed prices higher.

    This is a new government intervention that stabilizes supply, which is important for the aluminum market outlook.

  • US-Canada trade tensions escalate The US expanded 50% tariffs on Canadian aluminum and banned some imports, while Canada retaliated. This trade war raises costs and disrupts supply, but also creates uncertainty that can push prices up due to tightness.

    This is a major new escalation in trade policy that directly impacts aluminum flows and pricing.

  • Mexico seeks tariff relief Mexico is negotiating with the US to reduce or eliminate the 50% tariffs on steel and aluminum. If successful, it could ease trade tensions and support aluminum demand, but the outcome is still uncertain.

    This is a new development in tariff negotiations that could affect aluminum trade flows and prices.

July 2026
▲2▼2

Aluminum: tight supply and strong demand, but new supply and tariff cuts weigh

  • Demand from grid and electrification stays strong Long-term demand from power grid and electrification projects remains solid, highlighted by Nexans and Hydro's five-year low-carbon aluminum deal. Chinese producers reported massive profit jumps, confirming robust current demand. This supports higher aluminum prices.

    Shows a key positive demand force behind aluminum prices in the period.

  • LME inventories hit century low, deficit forecast LME aluminum inventories fell to a century low of 271,275 tonnes—less than one day of global consumption. Institutions forecast a widening supply deficit. Very low stockpiles and expected shortages tend to push prices higher.

    Captures a major supply tightness signal that supported prices.

  • New global supply and forecast cuts pressure prices Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs cut 2027-28 aluminum price forecasts, citing new supply from Indonesia, Saudi Arabia, India, Angola, and recovering Middle East output. This expected extra supply weighs on future prices.

    Highlights a key bearish force from new supply and analyst downgrades.

  • US tariff cut and Century expansion boost supply The US halved aluminum import tariffs for companies investing in new smelters, and Century Aluminum's Mt. Holly expansion will boost US output by roughly 10%. Alcoa also lowered alumina output guidance due to operational issues. These add supply and pressure prices.

    Shows policy and expansion-driven supply increases that weighed on prices.

▲3▼1

Aluminum: record-low inventories and supply deficit drive prices higher

  • LME inventories hit century low London Metal Exchange aluminum stocks fell to 271,275 tonnes, the lowest this century and less than one day of global consumption. This extreme tightness makes the market vulnerable to any supply disruption and supports higher prices.

    This is a new, concrete supply-side factor that directly explains upward price pressure.

  • Institutions forecast widening supply deficit CMB International expects the global aluminum supply deficit to widen to 2% of demand in 2026, with prices up 15% year-on-year, due to Middle Eastern smelter disruptions. Soochow Securities sees a long-term bull case from capped Chinese capacity and steady demand growth.

    New analyst forecasts reinforce the supply-deficit narrative that is the main bullish driver.

  • Strong Chinese producer earnings confirm robust demand Yunnan Aluminum, Zhongfu Industrial, and Tianshan Aluminum all forecast large first-half profit jumps, with Yunnan's second-quarter profit hitting a record. This confirms strong demand and tight market conditions, supporting higher aluminum prices.

    New earnings reports from major producers show the market is tight and demand is solid.

  • US smelter expansion adds future supply Century Aluminum's Mt. Holly expansion will raise total US primary aluminum output by about 10%, with a $50 million investment. While gradual, this new supply could eventually weigh on prices, though it is small against global demand.

    This is a new supply-side development that acts as a counterweight to the bullish factors.

▲2▼2

US tariff cut and smelter expansions add supply; demand still strong

  • US tariff cut for new smelters adds future supply Trump halved the aluminum import tariff from 50% to 25% for companies that invest in new US smelters. This lowers costs and encourages more domestic production, which eventually adds supply and weighs on aluminum prices.

    This is a major new policy that directly affects aluminum supply and prices.

  • Century Aluminum expands Mt. Holly smelter Century Aluminum is expanding its Mt. Holly smelter, increasing US aluminum production capacity. More supply tends to push prices down, though the impact is gradual as new output comes online.

    This is a concrete new supply increase that affects the market balance.

  • Strong Chinese earnings confirm robust aluminum demand Chinese nonferrous metals companies reported a 161% jump in first-half profit, driven by rising aluminum prices. This shows demand is strong and supports higher aluminum prices.

    It provides fresh evidence of strong demand from the world's largest aluminum consumer.

  • Hydro's profit surge reflects higher aluminum prices Norsk Hydro's Q2 profit more than doubled, helped by higher aluminum prices and better recycling margins. This confirms that current market conditions are favorable for producers, supporting prices.

    It shows that aluminum prices are high enough to boost producer profits, reinforcing positive sentiment.

▲2▼1

Aluminum demand solid but new supply and bearish forecasts weigh on prices

  • Long-term demand from grid and electrification Nexans and Hydro signed a five-year deal for 85,000 tonnes of low-carbon aluminium wire rod, supporting Europe's grid buildout. This steady demand for power cables and transmission lines underpins aluminum prices over the long term.

    Shows a concrete new demand source that supports aluminum prices.

  • New global supply and bearish bank forecasts Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs cut aluminum price forecasts for 2027-28, citing new supply from Indonesia, Saudi Arabia, India, Angola, and recovering Middle East output. This expected surplus is the main force pushing prices down.

    Directly explains the biggest downward pressure on aluminum prices this period.

  • Strong Chinese producer profits signal tight market Hongqiao, Diantou Energy, and Yee Chiu Resources all forecast big profit jumps for the first half of 2026, driven by high aluminum prices and a temporary supply gap from Middle East conflicts. This confirms strong current market conditions.

    Shows that current aluminum prices are high enough to boost producer earnings, supporting the market.

  • Alcoa's record results and output cut Alcoa reported record quarterly revenue of $4 billion on higher aluminum prices, but lowered its 2026 alumina output guidance due to operational issues. The output cut reduces supply, which is positive, but the overall market still faces new global supply.

    Highlights a major producer's performance and a supply reduction that could support prices.

Q2 2026
▲3▼1

Aluminum's big picture: electrification demand up, supply recovering

  • Electrification and AI power demand boost aluminum Global electricity demand is growing faster than GDP for the first time, driven by AI data centers and EVs. This electrification is lifting demand for metals like aluminum, with prices already up 12% over the past year. More power infrastructure means more aluminum for cables and equipment, supporting higher prices.

    This is the main demand-side force pushing aluminum prices up, directly answering what's driving the commodity.

  • Novelis restarts production, easing auto supply crunch Novelis restarted its Oswego aluminum plant after fires disrupted supply to Ford and other automakers. This adds supply back to the market, which tends to push aluminum prices down. Ford expects to recover some lost earnings as production normalizes.

    This is a new supply increase that weighs on aluminum prices, providing a counterweight to demand-driven gains.

  • US domestic aluminum supply chain gets a boost Brimstone and Century Aluminum signed an MOU to create the first fully US mine-to-metal aluminum supply chain, reducing reliance on imports. Century also plans to double US primary aluminum capacity and restarted idle capacity. This supports long-term domestic supply but may not immediately lower prices.

    This is a new strategic development that could reshape supply dynamics and support prices by reducing import dependence.

  • Alcoa secures power for Lista smelter, ensuring production Alcoa signed power agreements with Statkraft to secure electricity for its Lista aluminum plant through 2031. This ensures continued production at the smelter, which recently restarted a potline adding 31,000 tonnes of capacity. Stable energy supply supports aluminum output, but the impact on prices is gradual.

    This is a new supply-side development that ensures production continuity, indirectly supporting prices by preventing disruptions.

June 2026
▲3▼1

Aluminum's big picture: electrification demand up, supply recovering

  • Electrification and AI power demand boost aluminum Global electricity demand is growing faster than GDP for the first time, driven by AI data centers and EVs. This electrification is lifting demand for metals like aluminum, with prices already up 12% over the past year. More power infrastructure means more aluminum for cables and equipment, supporting higher prices.

    This is the main demand-side force pushing aluminum prices up, directly answering what's driving the commodity.

  • Novelis restarts production, easing auto supply crunch Novelis restarted its Oswego aluminum plant after fires disrupted supply to Ford and other automakers. This adds supply back to the market, which tends to push aluminum prices down. Ford expects to recover some lost earnings as production normalizes.

    This is a new supply increase that weighs on aluminum prices, providing a counterweight to demand-driven gains.

  • US domestic aluminum supply chain gets a boost Brimstone and Century Aluminum signed an MOU to create the first fully US mine-to-metal aluminum supply chain, reducing reliance on imports. Century also plans to double US primary aluminum capacity and restarted idle capacity. This supports long-term domestic supply but may not immediately lower prices.

    This is a new strategic development that could reshape supply dynamics and support prices by reducing import dependence.

  • Alcoa secures power for Lista smelter, ensuring production Alcoa signed power agreements with Statkraft to secure electricity for its Lista aluminum plant through 2031. This ensures continued production at the smelter, which recently restarted a potline adding 31,000 tonnes of capacity. Stable energy supply supports aluminum output, but the impact on prices is gradual.

    This is a new supply-side development that ensures production continuity, indirectly supporting prices by preventing disruptions.

▲3▼1

Aluminum's big picture: electrification demand up, supply recovering

  • Electrification and AI power demand boost aluminum Global electricity demand is growing faster than GDP for the first time, driven by AI data centers and EVs. This electrification is lifting demand for metals like aluminum, with prices already up 12% over the past year. More power infrastructure means more aluminum for cables and equipment, supporting higher prices.

    This is the main demand-side force pushing aluminum prices up, directly answering what's driving the commodity.

  • Novelis restarts production, easing auto supply crunch Novelis restarted its Oswego aluminum plant after fires disrupted supply to Ford and other automakers. This adds supply back to the market, which tends to push aluminum prices down. Ford expects to recover some lost earnings as production normalizes.

    This is a new supply increase that weighs on aluminum prices, providing a counterweight to demand-driven gains.

  • US domestic aluminum supply chain gets a boost Brimstone and Century Aluminum signed an MOU to create the first fully US mine-to-metal aluminum supply chain, reducing reliance on imports. Century also plans to double US primary aluminum capacity and restarted idle capacity. This supports long-term domestic supply but may not immediately lower prices.

    This is a new strategic development that could reshape supply dynamics and support prices by reducing import dependence.

  • Alcoa secures power for Lista smelter, ensuring production Alcoa signed power agreements with Statkraft to secure electricity for its Lista aluminum plant through 2031. This ensures continued production at the smelter, which recently restarted a potline adding 31,000 tonnes of capacity. Stable energy supply supports aluminum output, but the impact on prices is gradual.

    This is a new supply-side development that ensures production continuity, indirectly supporting prices by preventing disruptions.

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