← Trump Media & Technology overview

Trump Media & Technology vs SBI: why the prices moved differently

Weekly · monthly · quarterly news summaries, side by side in time

Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. (DJT)

Q3 2026
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Trump Media launches paid early-access API, faces backlash and losses

  • Truth API launch Trump Media launched Truth API, selling millisecond-early access to Trump's Truth Social posts for $60,000–$100,000 monthly. Over ten high-speed trading firms subscribed, creating a high-margin recurring revenue stream worth $7–12 million annually—two to three times last year's total revenue.

    This is a new revenue stream that could significantly boost DJT's top line.

  • Political and legal backlash The feed faces political and legal backlash: Senators Warner, Warren, and Schiff pushed for SEC scrutiny, banks are avoiding it, and a lawsuit calls it corrupt and possibly unconstitutional, threatening adoption.

    Regulatory and legal risks could hinder the API's success and hurt DJT's reputation.

  • Crypto venture scrapped Trump Media also scrapped its $6.42 billion Crypto.com venture, shifting focus to a TAE merger with execution risk.

    Abandoning a major crypto deal removes a potential growth catalyst and introduces merger uncertainty.

  • Cash burn and losses Meanwhile, continued Bitcoin transfers (2,628 BTC) raised cash concerns, and the company posted a $238 million quarterly net loss with $360.6 million in crypto losses, highlighting heavy cash burn.

    Large losses and cash outflows raise solvency concerns and pressure the stock.

July 2026
▼3▲1

Trump Media launches paid early-access API, faces backlash and losses

  • Truth API launch Trump Media launched Truth API, selling millisecond-early access to Trump's Truth Social posts for $60,000–$100,000 monthly. Over ten high-speed trading firms subscribed, creating a high-margin recurring revenue stream worth $7–12 million annually—two to three times last year's total revenue.

    This is a new revenue stream that could significantly boost DJT's top line.

  • Political and legal backlash The feed faces political and legal backlash: Senators Warner, Warren, and Schiff pushed for SEC scrutiny, banks are avoiding it, and a lawsuit calls it corrupt and possibly unconstitutional, threatening adoption.

    Regulatory and legal risks could hinder the API's success and hurt DJT's reputation.

  • Crypto venture scrapped Trump Media also scrapped its $6.42 billion Crypto.com venture, shifting focus to a TAE merger with execution risk.

    Abandoning a major crypto deal removes a potential growth catalyst and introduces merger uncertainty.

  • Cash burn and losses Meanwhile, continued Bitcoin transfers (2,628 BTC) raised cash concerns, and the company posted a $238 million quarterly net loss with $360.6 million in crypto losses, highlighting heavy cash burn.

    Large losses and cash outflows raise solvency concerns and pressure the stock.

Latest
▼2▲1

Trump Media drops crypto deal, bets on Truth API and TAE merger

  • Truth API gains paying customers Trump Media signed over 10 high-speed trading firms to its Truth API, each paying $60,000–$100,000 monthly. That's $7–12 million a year, two to three times last year's total revenue, giving DJT a real, high-margin income stream.

    This is the main new positive force behind DJT's price, showing actual revenue growth.

  • Legal and regulatory pushback on Truth API A lawsuit by two media groups and calls for an SEC probe argue that selling early access to Trump's market-moving posts is corrupt and possibly unconstitutional. This legal cloud could slow adoption or force changes, weighing on DJT.

    It is a new, material risk that could undermine the key growth driver.

  • Crypto.com venture scrapped, focus shifts to TAE merger Trump Media cancelled its $6.42 billion crypto venture with Crypto.com, removing a speculative piece but also cutting regulatory noise. Attention now turns to the proposed merger with fusion firm TAE, targeted to close by end of 2026, which carries execution risk.

    This is a major strategic shift that changes DJT's story and risk profile.

  • Big losses from bitcoin and operations Trump Media reported a $238 million quarterly net loss and a $360.6 million crypto loss for the first half, with revenue under $2 million. Much of the loss is paper losses from bitcoin's falling value, but it still highlights heavy cash burn and financial strain.

    These losses are a key new negative factor weighing on DJT's price.

▼2▲1

Trump Media's paid early-access feed launches amid political pushback

  • Truth API launches with premium pricing Trump Media launched Truth API, selling millisecond-early access to Trump's Truth Social posts for up to $100,000 a month. High-frequency traders are subscribing, creating a high-margin recurring revenue stream that could boost DJT's value.

    This is the core new product driving potential revenue and investor interest.

  • Political and regulatory backlash Senator Warner urged financial groups to reject the feed, and Senators Warren and Schiff asked the SEC to scrutinize it. Some banks are avoiding it due to political risk, which could limit adoption and revenue.

    This is a real counterweight that could slow or block the product's success.

  • Continued Bitcoin sales raise cash concerns Trump Media moved another 2,628 BTC (about $165 million) to an exchange, continuing a pattern of selling its Bitcoin holdings. The company denies selling, but the transfers reduce its crypto reserves and may signal financial strain.

    This shows ongoing capital management that could affect DJT's balance sheet and investor confidence.

SBI Holdings Incorporated (8473.JP)

Q3 2026
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SBI Holdings expands crypto, stablecoins, and tokenization in Q3 2026

  • Crypto and stablecoin expansion SBI Holdings made a ¥12bn stake in EDX Markets, acquired Coinhako and Bitbank, and launched Japan's first approved foreign dollar stablecoin (RLUSD). It also became a founding validator on Circle's Arc and now earns JGB income from its yen stablecoin JPYSC.

    These concrete moves show SBI's aggressive push into crypto and stablecoins, a key growth driver for the quarter.

  • New partnerships and payment trials SBI formed new partnerships with Minkabu, Livedoor, and JR Kyushu, and began Japan-Korea payment trials. These alliances aim to broaden SBI's ecosystem and customer reach in digital finance.

    Partnerships and trials are new growth initiatives that could drive future revenue and market position.

  • Indonesia Ajaib stake SBI acquired a $270M stake in Indonesia's Ajaib, expanding its footprint in Southeast Asia's growing digital investment market. This move aligns with SBI's strategy to capture overseas retail investing demand.

    The Ajaib investment is a significant new international expansion, showing SBI's ambition beyond Japan.

  • Execution and market risks Tokenization, on-chain trading, and AI remain experimental. The FOLIO IPO and EDX investment depend on market conditions and may not deliver near-term earnings. Crypto prices stay volatile, and many initiatives are early-stage or awaiting commercialization.

    These risks could temper the positive impact of SBI's expansion and affect its stock price.

September 2026
▲4

SBI expands crypto and stablecoin reach with Bitbank buy and Korea payments push

  • Stablecoin reserves now earn bond income SBI started investing part of the yen stablecoin JPYSC's reserves in short-term Japanese government bonds, allowed under new rules. This lets the stablecoin business earn a return on reserves, making it more profitable and useful, which supports the share price.

    New regulation-driven revenue source for SBI's stablecoin business.

  • Japan-Korea stablecoin payments move toward real use SBI tested direct yen-won stablecoin exchange with Kyobo Life, then signed with two Korean firms to trial cross-border payments at 1.2 million Korean merchants. If commercialized, this opens a new payments business for SBI, lifting growth prospects.

    Shows SBI building a real cross-border stablecoin payments business.

  • Bitbank acquisition completed, crypto arm grows SBI finished buying crypto exchange Bitbank for 46.7 billion yen, making it a wholly owned subsidiary while keeping its CEO. This adds a large exchange to SBI's crypto business, increasing scale and earnings, though crypto prices remain volatile.

    Major completed acquisition that expands SBI's crypto exchange footprint.

  • New partners bring customers to SBI finance SBI will become Minkabu's second-largest shareholder and buy Livedoor, and JR Kyushu will launch a banking app using SBI Shinsei Bank and SBI Securities. These deals feed new customers into SBI's financial services, supporting future revenue.

    New distribution partnerships that widen SBI's customer reach.

Latest
▲4

SBI expands crypto and stablecoin reach with Bitbank buy and Korea payments push

  • Stablecoin reserves now earn bond income SBI started investing part of the yen stablecoin JPYSC's reserves in short-term Japanese government bonds, allowed under new rules. This lets the stablecoin business earn a return on reserves, making it more profitable and useful, which supports the share price.

    New regulation-driven revenue source for SBI's stablecoin business.

  • Japan-Korea stablecoin payments move toward real use SBI tested direct yen-won stablecoin exchange with Kyobo Life, then signed with two Korean firms to trial cross-border payments at 1.2 million Korean merchants. If commercialized, this opens a new payments business for SBI, lifting growth prospects.

    Shows SBI building a real cross-border stablecoin payments business.

  • Bitbank acquisition completed, crypto arm grows SBI finished buying crypto exchange Bitbank for 46.7 billion yen, making it a wholly owned subsidiary while keeping its CEO. This adds a large exchange to SBI's crypto business, increasing scale and earnings, though crypto prices remain volatile.

    Major completed acquisition that expands SBI's crypto exchange footprint.

  • New partners bring customers to SBI finance SBI will become Minkabu's second-largest shareholder and buy Livedoor, and JR Kyushu will launch a banking app using SBI Shinsei Bank and SBI Securities. These deals feed new customers into SBI's financial services, supporting future revenue.

    New distribution partnerships that widen SBI's customer reach.

August 2026
▲4

SBI deepens stablecoin and tokenization push with new partners and a $270M Indonesia bet

  • Japan approves first foreign dollar stablecoin, offered via SBI Japan's regulator cleared Ripple's RLUSD, the first foreign-issued dollar stablecoin allowed in Japan, and SBI will offer it to institutions and individuals. This widens SBI's stablecoin product line and fee income, reinforcing its lead in regulated digital money.

    A new regulatory approval directly expands SBI's stablecoin business, a core growth driver.

  • SBI named founding validator on Circle's Arc blockchain SBI Group is among the founding validators securing Circle's Arc network, launching publicly in September alongside Visa, Mastercard and BlackRock. Being an early gatekeeper of a major payments chain gives SBI influence and new business in tokenized finance.

    It shows SBI gaining a strategic role in a major new financial blockchain, supporting its digital asset growth story.

  • SBI invests 43 billion yen for 20% of Indonesia's Ajaib SBI is paying about $270 million for a fifth of Ajaib, one of Indonesia's largest online investment platforms, making it an equity-method affiliate. The deal extends SBI's Southeast Asia digital-asset network and gives it a channel to push its yen stablecoin JPYSC.

    This is the period's largest capital commitment and a concrete step in SBI's stated Asia digital-economy strategy.

  • SBI's joint finance blockchain Strium sets launch timeline StarTail's CEO said the Strium testnet, built jointly with SBI, aims to launch this year with mainnet in fiscal 2026, supporting tokenized stocks, bonds and yen stablecoin payments. A concrete schedule turns a February announcement into a nearer-term product.

    It gives investors a timeline for a key SBI blockchain project, moving it from plan toward delivery.

▲4

SBI deepens stablecoin and tokenization push with new partners and a $270M Indonesia bet

  • Japan approves first foreign dollar stablecoin, offered via SBI Japan's regulator cleared Ripple's RLUSD, the first foreign-issued dollar stablecoin allowed in Japan, and SBI will offer it to institutions and individuals. This widens SBI's stablecoin product line and fee income, reinforcing its lead in regulated digital money.

    A new regulatory approval directly expands SBI's stablecoin business, a core growth driver.

  • SBI named founding validator on Circle's Arc blockchain SBI Group is among the founding validators securing Circle's Arc network, launching publicly in September alongside Visa, Mastercard and BlackRock. Being an early gatekeeper of a major payments chain gives SBI influence and new business in tokenized finance.

    It shows SBI gaining a strategic role in a major new financial blockchain, supporting its digital asset growth story.

  • SBI invests 43 billion yen for 20% of Indonesia's Ajaib SBI is paying about $270 million for a fifth of Ajaib, one of Indonesia's largest online investment platforms, making it an equity-method affiliate. The deal extends SBI's Southeast Asia digital-asset network and gives it a channel to push its yen stablecoin JPYSC.

    This is the period's largest capital commitment and a concrete step in SBI's stated Asia digital-economy strategy.

  • SBI's joint finance blockchain Strium sets launch timeline StarTail's CEO said the Strium testnet, built jointly with SBI, aims to launch this year with mainnet in fiscal 2026, supporting tokenized stocks, bonds and yen stablecoin payments. A concrete schedule turns a February announcement into a nearer-term product.

    It gives investors a timeline for a key SBI blockchain project, moving it from plan toward delivery.

July 2026
▲3

SBI expands crypto and digital assets, but payoffs remain distant

  • Crypto and digital-asset expansion SBI invested ¥12bn in US exchange EDX Markets, passed 2 million SBI VC Trade accounts, and acquired Singapore's Coinhako, widening its crypto footprint.

    This is the main new growth push behind the stock.

  • Tokenization and on-chain trading initiatives SBI co-led an Ethereum security-token test, partnered with Solana Foundation and Ondo Finance to tokenize Japanese stocks, and announced a 24/7 on-chain exchange with stablecoin support.

    These new projects show SBI's push into blockchain-based markets.

  • AI-driven trade execution pilot SBI piloted AI-driven trade execution, a new technology effort that could improve trading efficiency if it works.

    This is a new operational initiative that may support future growth.

  • Early-stage risks and FOLIO IPO plan SBI applied to list 69%-owned FOLIO Holdings, but tokenization, on-chain trading, and AI execution are experimental; the IPO and EDX investment depend on market conditions and may not add near-term earnings.

    This is the real counterweight: new plans are unproven and not yet profitable.

▲5

SBI accelerates on-chain finance push and plans to list FOLIO

  • SBI to build 24/7 on-chain exchange SBI plans a next-generation exchange with 24/7 trading, instant settlement, and stablecoin support. This positions SBI at the forefront of digital finance, potentially opening new revenue streams and supporting the share price.

    This is a new strategic initiative that could drive future growth.

  • Partnership with Solana Foundation SBI partnered with the Solana Foundation and renamed its unit SBI Solana Global to push Japan's capital markets onto public blockchains. This expands SBI's blockchain capabilities and could attract new business.

    New partnership signals deeper blockchain commitment.

  • Ondo partnership to tokenize Japanese stocks SBI teamed with Ondo Finance to tokenize Japanese stocks for overseas investors and distribute Ondo's products in Japan. This broadens SBI's customer base and revenue opportunities in the growing tokenization market.

    New collaboration expands addressable market.

  • Coinhako acquisition completed SBI acquired a majority stake in Singapore's Coinhako, making it a consolidated subsidiary. This expands SBI's digital asset business in Asia and adds over 480,000 users, strengthening its regional footprint.

    New acquisition expands crypto business and user base.

  • FOLIO Holdings IPO application SBI applied to list its 69%-owned subsidiary FOLIO Holdings on the Tokyo Stock Exchange. The IPO could unlock value and strengthen group synergies, potentially boosting SBI's share price.

    New IPO plan may unlock value for SBI shareholders.

▲4

SBI expands crypto and digital asset push with new investments and tests

  • SBI invests ¥12bn in US crypto exchange EDX Markets SBI put about 12 billion yen into EDX Markets, a US crypto exchange for big institutions. This expands SBI's digital asset business and could boost future profits, supporting the share price.

    This is a major new investment that directly expands SBI's crypto ecosystem.

  • SBI VC Trade hits 2 million crypto accounts SBI's crypto exchange now has over 2 million registered accounts, about 14% of Japan's total. With the Bitbank deal, the group could reach nearly 3 million accounts, making it a top player and strengthening its competitive position.

    This shows SBI's growing scale and market share in crypto, a key growth area.

  • SBI co-leads cross-border security token trading test on Ethereum SBI Securities and partners tested cross-border trading of security tokens using the USDC stablecoin on Ethereum. This shows SBI is at the forefront of using blockchain for traditional finance, which could open new business opportunities.

    This innovation positions SBI as a leader in digital asset infrastructure, a potential long-term growth driver.

  • SBI's DeFimans to test next-gen trade execution with AI SBI Group's DeFimans and partners will test a new trade execution system that combines traditional and on-chain markets, using AI. This could make SBI a key player in the growing market for tokenized assets, supporting future revenue.

    This is a new initiative that could position SBI for growth in digital asset trading infrastructure.

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