Every time a plane takes off, the maintenance clock starts ticking — engines have to come off for overhaul every few years, the airframe goes in for major checks on a cycle, and every flight hour is money flowing back into the "maintenance" business. MRO is the side where aviation actually makes its money — recurring revenue, high margins, tied to the entire global fleet. And right now it's the hottest it's ever been, because the fleet is aging, parts are scarce, and new planes are arriving late, so airlines have to "stretch" their old jets to keep flying.
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Theme index· base 100 · USD total return
Why is MRO & Aftermarket Services moving?
Latest
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MRO demand stays strong; AAR's $4B deal reshapes the sector
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AAR's $4B MRO Holdings deal creates a bigger aftermarket player AAR posted record quarterly sales of $918 million, up 24%, and agreed to buy 65% of MRO Holdings for about $4 billion. The combined company would have roughly $4.3 billion in yearly sales and a higher profit margin, showing that scale and consolidation are now driving the repair-and-parts business.
This is the period's biggest company event and shows consolidation reshaping the MRO theme.
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Engine repair capacity expands across Asia-Pacific and RTX network GMF and FTAI expanded their engine and APU maintenance partnership across Asia-Pacific with guaranteed volumes for five years, while RTX's GTF repair network reached 21 facilities and shop visits jumped. More repair shops and guaranteed work mean more aftermarket revenue for the companies involved.
Shows real capacity expansion and guaranteed demand, a core force lifting the MRO theme.
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Record flying and new aircraft orders build future repair demand Global commercial flights hit a single-day record of 153,359 in July, and Boeing won FAA certification for the 737 Max 7 with 282 unfilled orders. More planes flying and more deliveries mean a larger installed base that needs spare parts, repairs and overhauls for years.
Flying hours and fleet growth are the underlying demand engine for aftermarket services.
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High fuel costs and airline bankruptcies squeeze maintenance budgets JAL's quarterly profit fell 80% as fuel costs jumped 58%, Thai Airways said fuel reached 40% of costs, and AirBaltic filed for bankruptcy. When airlines lose money on fuel, they may delay or cut maintenance spending, a real risk to aftermarket demand.
This is the main counterweight: airline financial stress can reduce MRO spending.
Q3 2026
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MRO demand strong on record orders, but fuel and shortages pose risks
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Record engine orders and defense budgets boost MRO demand IndiGo's 1,000+ LEAP engine order and rising defense budgets drove strong aftermarket services growth at GE Aerospace, RTX, Safran, TransDigm, Howmet, and Bombardier, keeping demand robust.
This point explains the primary positive force behind MRO demand during the quarter.
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Capacity expansion through acquisitions and new facilities StandardAero's $180M license deal, AAR's $4B MRO Holdings acquisition, and new Asia-Pacific engine repair capacity expanded MRO capacity, while GE acquired casting supplier Consolidated Precision Products for $11.75B.
This point highlights the supply-side investments that supported MRO growth.
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Fuel spikes and airline losses pressure maintenance budgets Jet fuel spikes halved IATA's 2026 profit forecast to $23B, pressuring airline maintenance budgets; Ryanair, Singapore Airlines, and American reported losses or warnings, which could lead to deferred maintenance spending.
This point identifies a key risk that could dampen MRO demand.
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Engineer shortage and geopolitical risks threaten future capacity A severe licensed-engineer shortage threatens future capacity, Boeing delivery delays cloud new-build demand, and the Gulf conflict plus airline bankruptcies (AirBaltic, JAL, Thai Airways) could cut flying hours and defer maintenance spending.
This point outlines structural and geopolitical challenges that could limit MRO growth.
News & notes movingMRO & Aftermarket Services
Thailand
MRO & Aftermarket Services▲2
FORTH approves capital increase of up to 455 million baht to fund commercial aircraft repair centre
Fort Corporation Public Company Limited, or FORTH, announced that its board of directors meeting on 30 September 2026 approved a proposal to be submitted to the first extraordinary general meeting of shareholders of 2026 to consider and approve an increase in registered capital of not more than 13,565,891.50 baht, from existing registered capital of 467,687,350 baht to new registered capital of 481,253,241.50 baht, through the issuance of not more than 27,131,783 new ordinary shares with a par value of 0.50 baht per share, offered to existing shareholders in proportion to their holdings at a price of 12.90 to 16.80 baht per share, at a ratio of 34.4752 existing shares to 1 new share. The final offering price will be determined at least 2 business days before the date on which purchasers of the securities are no longer entitled to subscribe for the new shares. The company expects to receive proceeds of approximately 350.00 to 455.81 million baht from this share issuance and offering, and plans to use the funds to support investment and business expansion under its commercial aircraft repair centre project, or MRO, by 2028. The first extraordinary general meeting of shareholders of 2026 is scheduled for 11 November 2026 at 2:00 p.m. on the 7th floor of the company's office building, and the record date for shareholders entitled to attend the meeting is set for 14 October 2026.
FORTH.BK · Capital · Positive FORTH's board approved a capital increase of up to 455 million baht via new share issuance to fund its commercial aircraft repair centre (MRO) project by 2028.
AAR Corp Posts Record Q1 Sales of $918 Million, Buys 65% of MRO Holdings for $4 Billion
AAR Corp reported record fiscal first-quarter sales of $918 million, up 24% year over year including 11% organic growth, with adjusted diluted EPS of $1.49 per share, up 38%, and adjusted EBITDA margin expanding 100 basis points to 12.7%. Alongside the results, the company agreed to acquire a 65% controlling interest in MRO Holdings at an implied enterprise value of approximately $4 billion, a 10.7 times adjusted EBITDA multiple net of tax benefit synergies. MRO Holdings is expected to generate approximately $1 billion in adjusted sales, $285 million in adjusted EBITDA at a 27% margin, and more than $200 million in adjusted operating cash flow in calendar 2026. The combined company would have roughly $4.3 billion in annual sales and nearly $700 million in adjusted EBITDA, lifting the adjusted EBITDA margin to 16% before synergies from about 12%, with a new medium-term target of 19% to 20% over the next three to four years. AAR expects approximately $75 million in run rate cost synergies within three to four years, funded by about $1 billion of AAR equity, including roughly $780 million to MRO Holdings shareholders at $135 per share and about $230 million via a PIPE, plus approximately $2.1 billion of new debt, taking net leverage to about 3.6 times at close before declining toward its 2 to 2.5 times target range.
AIR · Capital · Positive AAR posted record Q1 sales of $918M with 38% EPS growth and agreed to acquire a 65% stake in MRO Holdings, lifting EBITDA margin targets to 19-20%.
Thai Airways Board Orders CEO to the Front Lines to Fix Baggage Backlog and Flight Delays
Lavaron Saengsanit, Permanent Secretary of the Ministry of Finance and Chairman of the Board of Thai Airways International Public Company Limited, or THAI, disclosed that at the company's board meeting on September 28, an urgent directive was issued to management to resolve the problems of delayed baggage and delayed flights affecting passengers in the aftermath of the flooding. The board assigned Chai Eamsiri, the Chief Executive Officer, to skip the board meeting and instead go to the front lines to take command and oversee the resolution of problems on site at the airports directly, while reporting progress back to the board periodically. Regarding the backlog of unclaimed baggage, the meeting directed management to urgently consider bringing in external service providers for support, and to possibly coordinate with Thailand Post Company Limited to deliver bags directly to passengers. At the same time, coordination will be made with Airports of Thailand Public Company Limited, or AOT, to speed up the clearance of baggage stuck in the system. As for the shortage of ground personnel caused by the floods, the board assigned the company to coordinate requests for manpower support from military units to help perform duties temporarily, and issued a special instruction that Thai Airways provide accurate information to passengers continuously and as quickly as possible.
THAI.BK · Supply · Negative Thai Airways faces baggage backlog, flight delays, and ground personnel shortage after flooding, forcing CEO to the front lines.
AOT.BK · · Neutral AOT is only mentioned as a coordination partner to speed up baggage clearance, no direct impact stated.
Thai Airways vows to clear 5,600 backlogged bags in 72 hours, cancels flights to reset
Chai Eamsiri, Chief Executive Officer of Thai Airways International, or THAI, announced that all backlogged baggage will be cleared within 72 hours, after 100% of flights were delayed over the past two days, September 26-27, due to a labour shortage caused by flooding problems. More than 5,600 bags remain backlogged, which is considered very high, so the company decided to cancel flights to Set Zero and prevent new flights from mixing with the backlogged bags. It is also coordinating with Airports of Thailand, or AOT, to request more than 100 military personnel from the Ministry of Defence and the Royal Thai Air Force, as well as hiring two transport companies and Thailand Post, which AOT helped arrange to increase to three, to help manage the return of bags to passengers. Some passengers are being allowed to collect their bags themselves at the terminal, while others will have them delivered, with notifications to be made via the Thai Airways Facebook page. Chai said that of the more than 500 workers, divided between licensed staff and general labourers, only about 200-300 came to work today, so headquarters staff have been pulled in and absent workers called back to help, with compensation offered. He confirmed that this was not caused by a staff strike but by employees' personal circumstances, and that the problem is a frontline issue, not a policy one. This afternoon Thai Airways will set up a desk to receive damage reports and compensate passengers affected by the backlogged bags and delayed flights, possibly at a point inside Suvarnabhumi Airport's passenger terminal. Meanwhile, the cargo warehouse is heavily overfilled, so customers are being urged to collect their goods as soon as possible.
Thai Airways apologises as nearly 100% of flights delayed, aims to restore normal operations within 72 hours
Chai Eiamsiri, Chief Executive Officer of Thai Airways, apologised to passengers after nearly 100% of flights were delayed due to severe flooding, with fewer than 3% of flights departing on time. The company decided to cut capacity by roughly 30–40% by cancelling and merging about 30 flights out of more than 110 flights per day, while transferring passengers to partner airlines. The main cause was that ground personnel and specialised skilled staff whose accommodation is in flooded areas could not travel to work, with a shortage of more than 200–300 workers out of the roughly 500 needed, leaving about 5,600 pieces of baggage stranded at Suvarnabhumi Airport. Thai Airways requested cooperation from the Ministry of Defence and the Royal Thai Air Force to deploy about 100 personnel along with vehicles to transport employees in the affected areas, and is working with Airports of Thailand, Thailand Post and three private delivery providers to speed up the return of baggage to passengers. It aims to restore operations to normal within 72 hours and has set up compensation counters for both delayed baggage and delayed flights. Thai Airways shares closed at 6.05 baht, down 0.10 baht, or 1.63%, with trading value of 447.67 million baht.
Transport Ministry Presses THAI to Clear Backlog of Baggage, Board Meeting Called Urgently
Siriwong Angkasakulkiat, Deputy Minister of Transport, disclosed that Thai Airways International Public Company Limited, or THAI, is facing a mounting backlog of passenger baggage at Suvarnabhumi Airport, along with delayed baggage. Chai Eiamsiri, Chief Executive Officer of THAI, explained that the main cause was a severe shortage of staff, after a large number of personnel were affected by the flood situation, making it impossible to manage baggage normally. Thai Airways promised to expedite the handling of the backlogged baggage for completion within today. The Ministry of Transport proposed convening an urgent meeting of the THAI board of directors to consider ways to resolve the problem and lay out further management measures. It also noted that Thai Airways is still handling baggage for alliance airlines in its network, which are governed by service level agreements, or SLAs, and therefore it may be necessary to prioritise looking after its own passengers first. Meanwhile, the Ministry of Transport, through Airports of Thailand Public Company Limited, or AOT, has coordinated with the Royal Thai Air Force and Thailand Post Company Limited to send personnel and officials to fully assist with baggage transport. For passengers who have stated their intention to have baggage delivered, officials will deliver it to the name and address specified. For passengers who have said they will come to collect it themselves, officials will sort and gather the baggage for them to pick up later. Siriwong stressed that compensation and relief measures for passengers are the direct duty and responsibility of Thai Airways, since the Ministry of Transport acts only as the regulator of prices and safety standards, while service levels are a matter of Thai Airways' own management, marketing, and customer care. If Thai Airways chooses not to look after its passengers, the impact and business damage will fall on the company itself. The Ministry of Transport also expressed concern about Thai Airways' handling of the situation, saying the government should receive better answers and cooperation, after the Ministry of Transport and related agencies had provided full assistance, including AOT arranging food for the air force personnel who came to help with operations, as well as sending vehicles and water pumps to help ease the flood situation around Thai Airways' employee housing. The minister visited the area to monitor the situation personally and saw that Thai Airways' response still reflected management and passenger responsibility issues that need improvement, especially communicating information to customers honestly and promptly.
THAI.BK · Supply · Negative Severe staff shortage after flooding caused a mounting backlog of delayed passenger baggage, forcing an urgent board meeting and compensation duties.
AOT.BK · Supply · Neutral AOT coordinated with the air force and Thailand Post to send personnel to help clear THAI's baggage backlog, a support role rather than a direct operational hit.
Boeing wins $13.8M U.S. Air Force C-17 fleet support deal
Boeing has secured a $13.8 million contract from the U.S. Air Force for cargo ramp lock actuators for the C-17 fleet. The award is structured as a mix of firm-fixed-price and cost-plus-fixed-fee terms, meaning some work is reimbursed with an agreed-upon fee while other work is paid at a predetermined price. The work will be performed in Long Beach, California, and is expected to be completed by May 30, 2030. The contract includes $11.1 million in Air Force operations and maintenance funds and $2.6 million in FMS funds. The Air Force Life Cycle Management Center is the contracting activity.
AAR Set to Report Q1 Earnings Tuesday With EPS Seen at $1.29
AAR is scheduled to announce its Q1 earnings results on Tuesday, September 29th, after market close. The consensus EPS estimate is $1.29, up 19.4% year over year, and the consensus revenue estimate is $879.97M, up 18.9% year over year. Over the last 2 years, AAR has beaten EPS estimates 100% of the time and has beaten revenue estimates 88% of the time. Over the last 3 months, EPS estimates have seen 2 upward revisions and 0 downward, while revenue estimates have seen 1 upward revision and 1 downward.
Healey unveils £100m apprenticeship fund and £300m Rolls-Royce investment in reindustrialisation push
Chancellor John Healey has set out plans to reindustrialise Britain, announcing a £100 million fund for local mayors to boost apprenticeships, a £300 million investment by Rolls-Royce in British factories, and confirmed support for British shipbuilding. In his speech to the Labour Party conference in Liverpool, Healey said the new Local Apprenticeship Service would see teams acting like football scouts to link young people with firms, describing it as a down payment on work to tackle the almost one million young people not in employment, education or training. He also confirmed previously trailed plans for £6 billion of government contracts for British shipyards, and said Rolls-Royce would invest £300 million in factories in Derby, Bristol, Glasgow and Rotherham. Healey, who will deliver his first Budget next month, acknowledged he did not have the money available to his predecessor Gordon Brown and sought to reassure markets that fiscal discipline would be at the core of his Budget. The speech came as diesel hit a record 199.18p a litre and the Confederation of British Industry said firms across the private sector expect activity to fall in the three months to December, though CBI chief executive Rain Newton-Smith said Healey had set out a strong vision with many of the right signals.
RR.LSE · Capital · Positive Rolls-Royce will invest £300m in its Derby, Bristol, Glasgow and Rotherham factories as part of the reindustrialisation push.
Spirit Airlines Wins Approval to Sell Final 27 Aircraft for $668.1 Million
Spirit Airlines secured bankruptcy court approval from Judge Sean H. Lane at the U.S. Bankruptcy Court for the Southern District of New York to sell its final 27 Airbus A320ceo aircraft for $668.1 million, the most valuable remaining property the defunct carrier has to liquidate. The larger transaction involves creditors taking ownership of aircraft that served as collateral for Spirit's debt: 23 of the planes go to Save 2026-B LLC for $567.4 million, while four Airbus A321s are sold for $100.7 million cash to FTAI Aircraft Leasing Bermuda (2026) Ltd., with that cash flowing into the bankruptcy estate. The sale is only one piece of the wind-down, which also includes 22 takeoff and landing slots at New York's LaGuardia Airport won by JetBlue at auction, an 8.3-acre Dania Beach, Florida corporate campus sold for $93.25 million to an affiliate of Boston hedge fund Hill City Capital, and flight simulators, spare engines and ground-service equipment. Google separately agreed to pay $10 million for a collection of Spirit's business data including approximately 100 million emails and 500 million Microsoft Teams chats, subject to deidentification and court approval. Proceeds are subject to the bankruptcy plan's payment priorities, with DIP lenders holding superpriority claims first, followed by administrative and professional creditors, then other secured and unsecured creditors, leaving shareholders at the bottom with no guarantee of any recovery.
Boeing finds 737 MAX software glitch affecting navigation, fix expected by early 2028
Boeing has discovered a software glitch in its 737 MAX series of airplanes that could cause an automated navigation system to fail during certain landings, according to a document obtained by The Wall Street Journal. The scenario can occur when pilots change their flight paths due to a missed approach, and in one possibility the crew would have to fly manually as some autopilot features would be disabled. Airlines operating the 737 MAX were notified of the issue in August, with Boeing saying it did not warrant safety concerns and that it shared information reinforcing existing pilot procedures for safely handling such cases. Boeing said its engineers are working on a software update to permanently address the issue, which it expects by early 2028. Southwest and United Airlines, two of the largest operators of the 737 MAX, told Boeing they do not want new MAX aircraft with the current software and prefer an older version, while the FAA is investigating the matter and will take action as warranted.
BA · Technology · Negative Boeing discovered a 737 MAX software glitch that can disable autopilot during certain landings, requiring a fix not expected until early 2028.
LUV · Supply · Negative Southwest told Boeing it does not want new 737 MAX aircraft with the current software and prefers an older version, delaying deliveries.
UAL · Supply · Negative United told Boeing it does not want new 737 MAX aircraft with the current software and prefers an older version, delaying deliveries.
Acron Aviation Extends Thales Singapore Repair Center to Cover ACSS Surveillance Products
Acron Aviation announced a five-year extension of its Authorized Repair Center agreement with Thales Singapore to cover its ACSS surveillance product line. Operating from Singapore, the facility will serve operators and MROs across the Asia-Pacific region, establishing in-region capability for customers previously served from outside Asia-Pacific. Under the extended agreement, Thales Singapore will continue to perform repair and overhaul on all ACSS surveillance products, including T3CAS. Ronald Nye, President of Avionics at Acron Aviation, said Singapore gives the company the right footprint and Thales is the right partner, adding that extending the relationship to surveillance puts local presence behind more of its products. Thomas Mouveaux, General Manager APAC for Aviation Global Services at Thales, said Thales will leverage its strategic presence in Singapore to deliver the highest standards of service, reliability and performance, and noted Thales is the only Acron Aviation authorized repair partner for Surveillance products in the Asia-Pacific region.
Aerospace & Aviation › Avionics & Aircraft Systems ▲Demand
HO.PA · Demand · Positive Thales Singapore's Authorized Repair Center agreement with Acron Aviation extended five years to cover ACSS surveillance products, expanding in-region service demand.
US airlines oppose more China flights, fear disadvantage on Russian routes
US airlines have come out against the idea of increasing passenger flights between the United States and China, after President Xi Jinping proposed on Thursday, September 24, in Washington that the two countries add direct flights to promote travel and trade. Chris Sununu, president of the Airlines for America trade group, known as A4A, which represents major US carriers including American Airlines, United Airlines and Delta Air Lines, said Chinese airlines can still fly eight flights through Russian airspace, while US airlines must take detours, driving up their costs. He said the group has urged officials in the Trump administration not to make concessions, because routing around Russia is no small matter but imposes enormous costs on airlines. Currently, US and Chinese airlines can each operate about 50 round-trip flights a week between the two countries. A4A had earlier opposed a request by Air China to add scheduled flights, arguing that US carriers can barely open routes from the US East Coast to China because they cannot pass through Russian airspace. The restrictions came after the United States barred Russian flights from its airspace in March 2022 following Russia's invasion of Ukraine, and Russia retaliated by banning US airlines from its airspace. Then in 2023, the United States and China agreed that additional Chinese flights would not use routes through Russia. However, the proposal had previously been opposed by other US agencies and was shelved ahead of trade talks with China.
AAL · Regulation · Negative A4A, representing American Airlines, opposes adding US-China flights because US carriers must detour around Russian airspace, raising costs and putting them at a disadvantage.
DAL · Regulation · Negative Delta, as an A4A member, opposes more China flights since US carriers cannot use Russian airspace and face higher costs versus Chinese rivals.
601111.CG · Regulation · Positive Air China's request to add scheduled flights was opposed by A4A; the proposal to add US-China flights would benefit the Chinese carrier that can still fly through Russian airspace.
United Airlines Takes Delivery of First A321XLR With Pratt & Whitney GTF Advantage Engines
United Airlines Holdings received its first Airbus A321XLR equipped with Pratt & Whitney GTF Advantage engines, an early step in the carrier's broader fleet modernization and long-haul narrowbody deployment plans. The new GTF Advantage powerplants are designed to provide higher thrust, improved durability, and more efficient fuel burn on long-range routes. United operates a large network of passenger routes across the US, Canada, the Atlantic, the Pacific, and Latin America, and the A321XLR with GTF Advantage engines plugs directly into its Narrative tying premium cabins and a modernized, fuel efficient fleet to stronger economics on long haul routes. The delivery backs the bullish view that United can use aircraft and engine choices to chase higher-yield passengers while keeping unit costs in check, since longer range narrowbodies open thinner transatlantic or deep Latin American routes where a widebody might struggle to fill. On the bear side, rolling out new engine technology adds complexity and capital intensity just as Delta and American pursue their own fleet plans, making reliability and maintenance performance on GTF Advantage powered jets an early proof point for whether the approach feeds through to resilient margins.
UAL · Technology · Positive United received its first A321XLR with Pratt & Whitney GTF Advantage engines, advancing its fleet modernization and long-haul narrowbody plans.
GE Aerospace to Buy Consolidated Precision Products for $11.75 Billion
GE Aerospace has agreed to acquire Consolidated Precision Products, one of the world's largest makers of precision sand castings, for $11.75 billion in its biggest deal since becoming a standalone company in 2024. The company plans to use $7 billion of cash and fund the remainder with new debt, with the transaction expected to close in the second half of 2027. CPP supplies components for GE's LEAP and GEnx commercial engines, and about 70% of its revenue comes from commercial and defense engines; it is expected to generate roughly $2 billion in revenue in 2027. The deal values CPP at about 26 times its expected 2027 core profit before expected synergies, or roughly 18 times including them. CEO Larry Culp said investment in casting capacity is needed to support simultaneous demand across commercial engines, aftermarket and defense, and GE expects its demand for airfoils to rise more than 30% by 2030 compared with 2026 levels. Vertical Research analyst Robert Stallard told Reuters the deal makes strategic sense given tight engine casting supply, but said it remains to be seen how it will affect CPP's non-GE customers such as RTX's Pratt & Whitney; GE shares were little changed after the announcement while casting rival Howmet Aerospace fell about 8%.
GE · Capital · Positive GE Aerospace agrees to acquire Consolidated Precision Products for $11.75B, its biggest deal since becoming standalone, to secure engine casting capacity.
Consolidated Precision Products · Capital · Positive Consolidated Precision Products is being acquired by GE Aerospace for $11.75 billion.
HWM · Competition · Negative Casting rival Howmet Aerospace fell about 8% as GE vertically integrates casting supply via the CPP acquisition.
RTX · Competition · Neutral Article notes it remains to be seen how the deal affects CPP's non-GE customers such as RTX's Pratt & Whitney.
Boeing Wins 150-Jet 737 Max Commitment From Turkish Airlines
Boeing has secured a commitment from Turkish Airlines covering as many as 150 737 Max jets, the carrier's biggest single-aisle order from the manufacturer. The agreement, announced in a Wednesday press release, consists of 100 firm orders for 737-8 aircraft plus options for 50 additional jets, and Turkish Airlines can replace some of those selections with the larger 737-10 model. The single-aisle commitment follows a 2025 widebody deal covering as many as 75 787 Dreamliners. Turkish Airlines and its AJet subsidiary operate more than 200 Boeing aircraft spanning 737 Max, 737 Next-Generation, 777 and 787 models, along with 777 freighters, and the airline's fleet of 567 passenger and cargo aircraft serves 358 destinations in 133 countries. The 737-8s are intended for domestic and international routes, and Boeing said the agreement includes industrial participation in Turkiye's aviation sector, though financial details and the scope of that work were not provided. Discussions over the purchase began in 2025.
Aerospace & Aviation › Avionics & Aircraft Systems ▲Demand
BA · Demand · Positive Turkish Airlines committed to up to 150 737 Max jets, including 100 firm orders, a major order for Boeing's single-aisle product.
Turkish Airlines · Demand · Neutral Turkish Airlines is the buyer committing to up to 150 737 Max jets, expanding its fleet but also a capital commitment.
GE Aerospace raised its full-year 2026 operating profit guidance to a range of $10.55-$10.75 billion, up from a previous forecast of $9.85-$10.25 billion, even as second-quarter operating margin fell 130 basis points to 21.7%. The company reported second-quarter 2026 operating profit of $2.75 billion, an increase of 18% year over year, but cost of sales surged 26.7% to $8.7 billion, selling, general and administrative expenses rose 10.9% to $1.1 billion, and research and development expenses climbed 28.1% to $460 million, with the margin decline attributed to growth investments and inflation. The updated guidance implies year-over-year growth of 17.6% at the midpoint, and GE expects 2026 top-line and margin performance to benefit from higher LEAP engine deliveries, with high-teens growth in LEAP deliveries expected this year, along with strong aftermarket services demand and operational execution. Among peers, Textron's second-quarter cost of sales rose 4.2% to $3.09 billion and its gross profit margin declined 100 basis points to 17.8% on reduced margin in the Bell segment, while RTX Corporation's total costs and expenses increased 12.8% to $22 billion yet its adjusted operating profit margin expanded 150 basis points to 11.4%.
GE · Capital · Positive GE Aerospace raised its full-year 2026 operating profit guidance to $10.55-$10.75 billion and posted 18% YoY Q2 operating profit growth.
RTX · Capital · Positive RTX's total costs rose 12.8% to $22 billion but its adjusted operating profit margin expanded 150 basis points to 11.4%.
TXT · Capital · Negative Textron's Q2 cost of sales rose 4.2% and gross profit margin declined 100 basis points to 17.8% on reduced Bell segment margin.
Pratt & Whitney Canada, an RTX business, has signed a four-year maintenance, repair, and overhaul agreement with Malaysia's AirBorneo Airways covering the PW127M engines powering its ATR 72-500 regional turboprop fleet through 2030. AirBorneo uses its ATR 72-500 aircraft to support the Rural Air Services network, providing regional air connectivity to remote communities across East Malaysia. Engine maintenance work under the agreement will be centered at Pratt & Whitney Canada's facility in Singapore, following recent infrastructure investments designed to expand the site's turboprop MRO capacity across the Asia-Pacific region. Pratt & Whitney Canada's PW100/PW127 engine family has accumulated over 200 million flight hours across more than 40 years of regional turboprop operations globally.
RTX · Demand · Positive RTX's Pratt & Whitney Canada signed a four-year PW127M MRO agreement with AirBorneo Airways, securing aftermarket service revenue through 2030.
AirBorneo Airways · Supply · Positive AirBorneo secured a four-year MRO agreement ensuring continued maintenance and availability of its ATR 72-500 PW127M engines through 2030.
S&P 500 Q3 Earnings Seen Up 23.9% as Growth Broadens Across Sectors
S&P 500 earnings for the third quarter are expected to rise 23.9% from a year earlier on 11.4% higher revenues, according to Zacks Investment Research, with 14 of 16 Zacks sectors posting positive earnings growth and 6 sectors producing double-digit growth. The double-digit gainers are Aerospace at 159.5%, Energy at 111.8%, Tech at 41.9%, Basic Materials at 29.8%, Transportation at 14.9% and Industrial Products at 13.0%. Excluding the Tech sector, Q3 earnings for the rest of the index would be up 14.3%; excluding Energy, aggregate growth would fall to 19.9%; excluding both Tech and Energy, the rest of the S&P 500 would grow 7.4%. Within Tech, excluding Nvidia, Micron and Alphabet, Q3 earnings for the rest of the sector would be 20.5% versus 41.9% otherwise, while the Zacks Semiconductor industry is expected to post 85.4% earnings growth on 62.8% revenue growth. Since the start of Q3, Energy has seen the largest upgrade to its earnings outlook on elevated oil prices tied to the Persian Gulf situation, with Aerospace, Industrial Products, Tech, Autos, Transportation, Finance and Utilities also enjoying positive revisions.
Boeing 737 MAX Production Ramp Slower Than Expected, CEO Ortberg Says
Boeing is taking longer than expected to stabilize 737 MAX production at 47 aircraft per month, CEO Kelly Ortberg said, remarks that sparked a selloff in Boeing shares even as Bank of America Securities argued the market reaction was excessive. The company still aims to raise that rate to 52 aircraft per month next year, while 787 Dreamliner production remains at 8 aircraft per month, and Boeing reiterated that certification of the long-delayed 737-10 could arrive soon; that model accounts for roughly 30% of the 737 MAX order book. Recent reports indicate the slower production ramp could leave 2026 free cash flow closer to $2 billion rather than the higher figures some investors had anticipated. The Federal Aviation Administration also finalized a new airworthiness directive covering certain 737 MAX aircraft over similarities with older 737 models where cracks were reported near the forward galley door. Hedge fund holdings in Boeing fell from 99 at the end of the first quarter of 2026 to 90 at the end of Q2 2026, and short interest stood at 1.9% of float as of August 14, 2026.
Aerospace & Aviation › Avionics & Aircraft Systems Demand
BA · Supply · Negative 737 MAX production ramp to 47/month is slower than expected, delaying the path to 52/month and cutting 2026 free cash flow toward $2 billion.
BA · Regulation · Negative FAA finalized a new airworthiness directive on certain 737 MAX aircraft over forward galley door cracks.
Qantas to launch direct Sydney–New York flights in mid-2028
Qantas, Australia's largest airline, announced on the 23rd that it will launch direct flights linking Sydney, the country's largest city, with New York on the US East Coast in mid-2028. The direct route will be its second ultra-long-haul service, following the planned Sydney–London direct flight scheduled to begin in October 2027. Qantas currently connects Sydney and New York via Auckland, New Zealand. The new direct service will use Airbus A350-1000ULR aircraft fitted with additional fuel tanks, covering just over 16,000 kilometers in about 18 hours, cutting more than three hours off the connecting route. Ticket sales will begin in August 2027.
AIR.PA · Demand · Positive Qantas will use Airbus A350-1000ULR aircraft for its new Sydney–New York ultra-long-haul route, a concrete order for Airbus's product.
GMF and FTAI Expand Engine Maintenance Partnership Across Asia-Pacific
PT Garuda Maintenance Facility Aero Asia Tbk, known as GMF and part of Garuda Indonesia Group, and FTAI Aviation Ltd. have strengthened their strategic collaboration to expand GMF's engine and APU maintenance capacity and market presence across Asia-Pacific. The partnership, formalized during MRO Asia-Pacific 2026 at Singapore EXPO, will initially cover CFM56-5B and CFM56-7B engines and GTCP131-9 series APUs, with guaranteed capacity for FTAI over the next five years. Building on an existing relationship in which GMF provides engine maintenance services for FTAI, the collaboration provides a foundation to progressively expand into deeper module and piece-part capabilities and next-generation engines, including CFM LEAP. GMF CEO Andi Fahrurrozi said the collaboration responds to growing engine maintenance demand from FTAI, its customers, and the broader aviation market across the region, while FTAI President David Moreno said bringing committed engine volumes to GMF puts maintenance capacity closer to Asia-Pacific customers with faster turnaround times. The collaboration is also expected to strengthen the engine MRO supply chain by improving access to materials, spare parts, and components while creating opportunities to enhance availability and cost.
FTAI · Demand · Positive FTAI expands its engine maintenance partnership with GMF, securing guaranteed capacity for CFM56 and APU services across Asia-Pacific.
PT Garuda Maintenance Facility Aero Asia Tbk · Demand · Positive GMF gains guaranteed FTAI engine and APU maintenance volumes and expanded Asia-Pacific market presence.
Eaton Expands Asia-Pacific Aerospace Aftermarket With FAA Certification and Singapore Investment
Eaton announced two strategic expansions at MRO Asia-Pacific 2026, including a new FAA certification for Eaton Aero Services and EDB-supported investments in Singapore. Eaton Aero Services, Eaton's joint venture with SIA Engineering Company, received FAA Part 145 Repair Station certification, authorizing it to perform FAA-approved maintenance, repair and overhaul services and issue FAA airworthiness release certificates. That certification joins existing approvals from the Civil Aviation Authority of Malaysia and the Civil Aviation Authority of Singapore, expanding the joint venture's ability to support regional customers. Separately, Eaton is expanding its engineering and innovation capabilities in Singapore with support from the Singapore Economic Development Board, spanning aerospace product innovation, retrofit, modification and upgrade programs, engineering solutions and MRO process innovation. Ian Lam, managing director of Eaton's Aerospace Group for Asia-Pacific, said the investments strengthen the company's engineering and MRO capabilities and position it to serve customers with greater speed, flexibility and proximity.
ETN · Regulation · Positive Eaton's Aero Services JV received FAA Part 145 Repair Station certification, expanding its FAA-approved MRO capabilities in Asia-Pacific.
ETN · Capital · Positive Eaton is expanding engineering and innovation capabilities in Singapore with EDB support, an investment in aerospace product innovation and MRO process innovation.
Eaton Aero Services · Regulation · Positive Eaton Aero Services, Eaton's JV with SIA Engineering, received FAA Part 145 certification authorizing FAA-approved MRO services and airworthiness release certificates.
Krungsri sees slight tourist recovery, eyes AOT as standout aviation stock
Krungsri Securities said tourist arrivals in the third week of September 2026 came to 0.46 million, down 7% year-on-year but recovering 5% from the previous week. The year-on-year contraction was driven by a 32% drop in Malaysian tourists, 35% from South Korea and 23% from India, while Chinese tourists numbered 0.07 million, down 6% year-on-year for a second consecutive week. Cumulative arrivals from January 1 to September 19 stood at 22.2 million, down 4% year-on-year. Total passenger volume nationwide in the third week of September 2026 fell 9% year-on-year, a deeper contraction than the previous week's 7% decline, though passenger volume at Samui airport still grew a strong 14% year-on-year. The research team maintained a Neutral view on the aviation sector, assessing that the US-Iran war remains a key risk given elevated oil prices, with the average jet fuel price from January 1 to September 21 at 144 US dollars per barrel, up 66% year-on-year and above the research team's full-year 2026 average jet fuel assumption of 130 US dollars per barrel, leaving airline stocks' 2026 earnings exposed to downside. The research team also picked AOT as its Top Pick in the sector with a Buy rating and a target price of 70 baht, citing less direct exposure to oil price risk and a positive catalyst from an increase of more than 50% in the international route passenger service charge. In the near term, BA stands out on continued strong passenger growth at Samui airport, with a Buy rating and a target price of 25 baht.
AOT.BK · Capital · Positive Krungsri picks AOT as Top Pick with Buy rating and 70 baht target, citing less oil exposure and a >50% international passenger service charge hike catalyst.
BA.BK · Demand · Positive BA stands out on continued strong passenger growth at Samui airport, which grew 14% year-on-year.
HEICO Bull Case in Focus as Analysts Lift Estimates After Strong Q3 2026 Results
HEICO's investment case is drawing renewed attention after analysts raised their earnings estimates for the aerospace and defense supplier, citing strong revenue growth, expanding market share and healthy free cash flow. The company's most relevant recent announcement was its Q3 2026 earnings release, which reported higher sales and earnings year on year. HEICO's narrative projects $7.1 billion in revenue and $1.3 billion in earnings by 2029, yielding a fair value estimate of $393.95, a 30% upside to its current price. Some of the lowest ranked analysts remain cautious, assuming revenue of about US$6.1 billion and earnings near US$1.0 billion by 2029, and see 3D printing and customer insourcing as real threats to HEICO's pricing power. The sharp share price pullback and high valuation keep sentiment fragile, while the biggest risk remains pressure on its aftermarket share from OEMs and changing customer behavior.
HEI · Capital · Positive Analysts raised earnings estimates after strong Q3 2026 results with higher sales and earnings year on year.
HEI · Competition · Negative Lowest-ranked analysts flag 3D printing and customer insourcing as threats to HEICO's pricing power and aftermarket share.
RTX CEO Touts $289 Billion Backlog, Sees Growth to $460.5 Billion by 2028
RTX CEO Chris Calio highlighted the company's record $289 billion backlog, or remaining performance obligations, at the Morgan Stanley 14th Annual Laguna Conference last week, pointing to potential growth toward a Wall Street consensus of $460.5 billion by the end of 2028. Calio said the $289 billion RPO at the end of the second quarter does not include the recently awarded $22.9 billion seven-year Tomahawk cruise missile order or the five framework agreements RTX made with the Department of Defense in February, of which he said volumes will rise anywhere from 2 to 4x. The current RPO is split between $170 billion in commercial aerospace and $119 billion in defense, with only 25% set to be recognized in the next 12 months, and Calio noted that approximately 45% of the RPO relates to long-term commercial aerospace maintenance contracts at Pratt & Whitney expected to be realized over a span of up to 20 years. Calio also cited strength in orders across commercial aerospace original equipment, commercial aerospace aftermarket, and defense, noting that Boeing and Airbus have a 15,000 aircraft backlog to execute on and that demand for integrated air and missile defense is top of mind for every country around the world.
RTX · Demand · Positive RTX touts a record $289B backlog plus a $22.9B Tomahawk order and DoD framework agreements with volumes rising 2-4x, signaling strong product demand.
AIR.PA · Demand · Positive RTX points to Airbus's 15,000 aircraft backlog as evidence of strong commercial aerospace OE demand, implying continued orders for Airbus.
BA · Demand · Positive RTX cites Boeing's 15,000 aircraft backlog as evidence of strong commercial aerospace OE demand, implying continued orders for Boeing.
SABA Members Sign Long-Term SAF Deals Backing Infinium's Project Atlas
The Sustainable Aviation Buyers Alliance announced commitments from its members to purchase sustainable aviation fuel certificates tied to Infinium Energy's Project Atlas, a Texas-based eSAF facility expected to produce approximately 100,000 metric tons of SAF annually. AVEVA, Bain & Company, Google, McKinsey and others backed the procurement, which SABA said is the first-ever application of its approach to drive new production of high-integrity SAF by focusing on projects moving toward final investment decision. Infinium submitted its winning proposal jointly with American Airlines, which will take physical delivery of the fuel and oversee logistics, and contracted volumes are expected to support greenhouse gas abatement of over 212,000 mtCO2e, equivalent to the emissions of over 3,500 JFK to LAX commercial flights. To date, SABA has aggregated $500 million in demand for SAFc from over 35 member companies, and with the binding multi-year offtake agreements in hand, Infinium said it is well positioned to advance to final investment decision and secure financing to build the facility. Infinium also plans to sell RFNBO compliant eSAF from the facility into European regulatory markets.
Infinium · Demand · Positive SABA members signed binding multi-year offtake agreements for SAF certificates tied to Infinium's Project Atlas, supporting its path to final investment decision.
AAL · Demand · Positive American Airlines will take physical delivery of the SAF from Infinium's Project Atlas and oversee logistics, securing contracted fuel volumes.
American, United and Southwest Cut Flights as Q4 Fuel Costs Jump $1B
American Airlines, United Airlines and Southwest Airlines are scaling back or reconsidering planned flight schedules as jet fuel prices surge, a move that could leave travelers with fewer flight options and potentially higher fares heading into the holiday season. For American, the latest jump in fuel prices alone is expected to add roughly $1 billion to its fourth-quarter fuel costs compared with the assumptions it made in July, after fourth-quarter fuel prices rose by roughly $1 per gallon from that July level, according to CFO Devon May, who noted that every one-cent change in fuel prices affects quarterly costs by about $10 million. United has already said some flights scheduled for December will no longer operate and warned of additional adjustments in the first quarter of 2027 and beyond if fuel prices remain elevated, while Southwest has roughly halved its planned 2026 capacity growth from an original target of about 2% to 3%, with its CFO saying further reductions could follow. The International Air Transport Association reported the global average jet fuel price rose 7.4% to $194.90/bbl from the week before, and its June outlook noted that airlines could rationalize capacity by trimming less-profitable routes or reducing flight frequencies. Executives from all three carriers said demand has remained resilient despite higher fares, and that combination of strong demand and less available capacity can give airlines more ability to maintain or increase fares.
China Making Progress on Purchase of 200 Boeing Jets, U.S. Trade Representative Says
U.S. Trade Representative Greer said on the 21st that China is making progress toward fulfilling the plan it announced in May to purchase 200 Boeing aircraft. Speaking to Fox News, Greer said that of China's Boeing orders, "about 140 are proceeding smoothly. Order procedures are also moving forward for roughly 10 more." He did not say, however, whether China would place additional Boeing orders ahead of the meeting scheduled for the 24th between U.S. President Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping. China's Commerce Ministry announced in May that it would buy 200 Boeing jets, the first time the Chinese government had officially confirmed a Boeing order. Trump later said the number of Boeing aircraft purchased could reach as many as 750.
Aerospace & Aviation › Avionics & Aircraft Systems ▲Demand
BA · Demand · Positive China is progressing on its announced purchase of 200 Boeing jets, with about 140 orders proceeding smoothly and ~10 more in process.
Bank of America Reiterates Buy on Boeing After CEO Flags 737 and 777X Delays
Bank of America aerospace analyst Ronald Epstein reiterated his Buy rating and $270 price target on Boeing after CEO Kelly Ortberg's September 16 remarks at Morgan Stanley's Laguna Conference triggered a roughly 7% intraday drop in the shares. Boeing closed at $198.20 on Friday, September 18, down 4.83% over the past five trading days and 12.98% year to date, and Epstein's target implies about a 36% increase from that close. Ortberg said the 737 production line has not yet stabilized at the targeted 47-jets-per-month rate because of in-house wing production, though he said the 737 MAX 10 should be certified very soon, and he confirmed that 777X certification testing will extend into 2027. Epstein called the market reaction a bit dramatic and said the real near-term risk is a potential strike by the Society of Professional Engineering Employees in Aerospace, which represents around 17,000 engineers and whose contract expires on October 6, with members still needing to vote on a tentative four-year agreement reached earlier in September. He said he is comfortable with Bank of America's 2026 free cash flow forecast of $2.4 billion for Boeing, noting the 737 MAX 10 accounts for about 30% of the 737 backlog, and Boeing's order book exceeded $695 billion earlier this year.
SAV Expects Profit Acceleration in Second Half of 2026 on Overflight Growth
Samart Aviation Solutions Public Company Limited, or SAV, is signalling a standout recovery in its operating results for the second half of 2026. Mr. Rattanun Wilailak, Senior Manager of Business Development and Investor Relations at Samart Corporation Public Company Limited, or SAMART, and its subsidiaries, told the Stock Vision news team that the third and fourth quarters of 2026 are trending better compared with the second quarter of 2026, driven by a recovery in flight numbers, lower oil prices, and easing conflict in some areas, especially overflight traffic passing through Cambodian airspace, where the Vietnam route has seen flight growth of more than 20%. The fourth quarter of 2026 will also get an additional boost from the arrival of the high season for tourism. SAV is currently monitoring progress on tender projects of Airports of Thailand Public Company Limited, or AOT, and Aeronautical Radio of Thailand Limited, with a combined project value of more than 2.45 billion baht. The AOT project is expected to open for bidding in October 2026, while the Aeronautical Radio of Thailand project still requires clear details and policy from the relevant agencies. Meanwhile, Dao Securities (Thailand) Public Company Limited said SAV still holds a positive view on its operating direction for the third and fourth quarters of 2026, which are expected to return to growth both year on year and quarter on quarter. In July 2026, flight numbers returned to growth of 8% year on year, and in August 2026 they will accelerate to 20% year on year. It estimates flight numbers in the third quarter of 2026 will grow more than 10% both year on year and quarter on quarter, improving from the second quarter of 2026, which was down 2% year on year and 12% quarter on quarter. It maintained its 2026 profit forecast at 547 million baht, flat year on year, with first-half 2026 profit accounting for 48% of the full year. It preliminarily estimates third-quarter 2026 profit will improve to 130 to 140 million baht, from 128 million baht in the third quarter of 2025 and 122 million baht in the second quarter of 2026. Fourth-quarter 2026 profit will continue to improve and reach the highest level of the year. It maintained its Buy recommendation with a target price of 14.50 baht, based on DCF at a WACC of 9.5% and a terminal growth rate of 2.5%. It assesses that second-quarter 2026 profit marked the bottom and will return to accelerating growth in the third and fourth quarters of 2026 and in 2027, with catalysts from the tender projects of AOT and Aeronautical Radio of Thailand, with a combined project value of not less than 2.45 billion baht, which will add upside to 2027 profit. Meanwhile, dividend yield remains high at around 8.5% per year.
Qatar Airways CEO calls Iran war the biggest crisis in 30 years, plans to cut low-profit flights
Hamad Al-Khater, Chief Executive Officer of Qatar Airways, said the Iran war is the biggest test the airline has faced in more than 30 years of operations. In an interview with Bloomberg TV ahead of the Qatar Economic Forum in New York on Sunday, September 20, he said this is the biggest crisis in the company's history, but geopolitical factors are something the airline must deal with every day. The conflict between the United States and Israel and Iran, now in its seventh month, has forced several Persian Gulf countries to temporarily close their airspace and led to the cancellation of tens of thousands of flights, while agencies around the world have issued travel warnings. Al-Khater said the airline is considering which routes are most profitable and will suspend or pause service on less profitable routes, after many airlines had to reduce flight numbers to conserve cash amid rising energy costs, even though travel demand remains fairly strong and load factors remain high. Last week, Qatar Airways announced it would restore service on routes matching pre-war levels for the first time, while Emirates said it has restored nearly all of its routes and increased capacity.
Qatar Airways · Geopolitics · Negative CEO says the Iran war is the biggest crisis in Qatar Airways' 30-year history, forcing airspace closures and flight cancellations.
Qatar Airways · Supply · Neutral Rising energy costs and cash-conservation pressures push the airline to suspend or pause less profitable routes.
Willis Lease Finance Acquires Malaysia Land for Third Engine Repair Center
Willis Lease Finance Corp. has acquired land in Malaysia to build a new Willis Engine Repair Center, its third such facility worldwide. The new WERC will join existing facilities in Florida and Wales, delivering storage, repair and maintenance services to third-party assets and the engine portfolio the company owns. CEO Austin C. Willis called the move an integral step in the company's pursuit of global expansion and evidence of its commitment to one of the most rapidly expanding segments of the aviation market. The company recently completed its acquisition of 13 aircraft engines and 12 commercial aircraft. Construction of the Malaysia facility is expected to conclude in early 2027, though the schedule faces risks including permit delays, supply chain disruptions, workforce shortages and unanticipated operational complications.
JAL Q1 Net Profit Falls 80.2%, Full-Year and Dividend Forecasts Unchanged
Japan Airlines reported in its consolidated results for the first quarter of the fiscal year ending March 2027 that net profit fell 80.2% year on year to 5.3 billion yen. Revenue rose 11.2% to 523.7 billion yen, but aviation fuel costs climbed 58.4% from 94 billion yen to 148.8 billion yen amid heightened tensions in the Middle East, dragging profit before financial and corporate income taxes down 72.1% to 12.7 billion yen. The full-service carrier business, the group's biggest earner with a full-year segment EBIT plan of 104 billion yen, posted a loss of 800 million yen in the quarter, swinging from a profit of 30.7 billion yen a year earlier. Meanwhile, EBIT in the miles, finance and commerce business grew 17.6% to 12 billion yen, helping underpin the group's overall profitability. The company left its full-year earnings forecast and its dividend forecast of 96 yen per share unchanged, with September 30 set as the next record date for shareholder benefits.
9201.JP · Capital · Negative Q1 net profit fell 80.2% and pre-tax profit dropped 72.1% as fuel costs surged, with the core full-service carrier swinging to a loss.
Willis Lease Finance Adds 13 Engines and 12 Aircraft in New Deal
Willis Lease Finance Corp. is adding 13 aircraft engines and 12 commercial aircraft to its aviation asset holdings through a recently concluded transaction. CEO Austin C. Willis said the acquisitions offer a compelling opportunity to allocate capital toward assets that resonate with existing operations, building on the company's core strengths in aircraft and engine leasing. The additions expand the company's leasing and aftermarket revenue opportunities, though results will depend on utilization, lease economics, maintenance costs, and residual values. The deal follows a second quarter in which lease rent revenue grew 6.7% but total revenue slipped 0.8% to $194 million, dragged by a 30.2% drop in spare parts and equipment sales to $21.2 million and a 67.6% decline in interest revenue. Net income attributable to common shareholders fell 51.2% to $28.7 million and diluted EPS dropped from $2.81 to $1.31, while debt declined from $2.70 billion to $2.32 billion and the leased engine count fell from 363 to 334 as leased aircraft rose from 20 to 22.
WLFC · Capital · Positive Willis Lease Finance concluded a transaction adding 13 engines and 12 commercial aircraft, allocating capital to expand its leasing asset base.
Amazon to Replace Boeing 767 Fleet With 30 Airbus A330 Freighters by 2027
Amazon.com plans to transition its air cargo fleet from Boeing 767 aircraft to Airbus A330 freighters, with Air Transport Services Group set to acquire and convert 30 Airbus A330 jets to support Amazon's air network. ATSG expects to begin operating the Airbus A330 cargo aircraft for Amazon in 2027 as part of the refreshed fleet. The switch gives Amazon access to larger, more modern cargo aircraft that can carry more volume per flight than the 767s they replace, potentially reshaping how the retailer positions inventory for Prime and marketplace orders, especially on longer domestic and transcontinental routes where aircraft range and payload matter most. The move marks a key shift in Amazon's air logistics strategy and lines up with the company's broader thesis of heavy capital spending on logistics and data centers as a trade off for efficiency and future return potential. The clearest proof point will arrive as ATSG starts flying the A330s in 2027, when Amazon discloses how much of its parcel volume flows through the new jets versus legacy aircraft and third party carriers, along with any commentary on unit costs per package or delivery speed.
S&P 500 earnings are expected to increase by +24% from the same period last year in the third quarter, the 8th straight quarter of double-digit earnings growth for the index, according to Zacks Investment Research. Earnings are expected to be above the year-earlier level for 14 of the 16 Zacks sectors, with 5 sectors expected to enjoy double-digit growth: Aerospace up +159.3%, Energy up +111.9%, Tech up +41.9%, Basic Materials up +31.2%, and Transportation up +15.1%. The Conglomerates sector is the only one expected to have lower earnings in Q3 relative to the same period last year, down 35.4%, while Consumer Staples earnings are expected to be flat. Excluding the Energy sector, Q3 earnings growth for the S&P 500 drops to +20% from +24%, and excluding the Tech sector, growth for the rest of the index drops to +14.4%. Nvidia's Q3 earnings are expected to increase +90% year-over-year on +91.2% higher revenues, while Micron's year-over-year earnings and revenue growth rates are expected to be +938% and +348.6%, respectively, and Tech sector earnings growth gets cut by slightly more than half once contributions from Nvidia and Micron are excluded. The Q3 earnings season will get the spotlight when the big banks report on October 13th, but the reporting cycle actually got underway with the September 10th quarterly releases from Oracle and Adobe, followed by homebuilder Lennar as the third S&P 500 member to report such Q3 results, with an additional six index members on deck this week including Costco, AutoZone and Darden. Total Q3 earnings for the three S&P 500 members that have reported results already are up +22.6% from the same period last year on +14.9% higher revenues, with 33.3% beating EPS estimates and 66.7% besting revenue estimates.
TransDigm Defense Revenue Climbs 11% as Bookings Outpace Sales
TransDigm Group's defense revenues rose approximately 11% year over year in the third quarter of fiscal 2026, with year-to-date defense revenues up 10%, as healthy demand across the U.S. defense aerospace market lifted both original equipment manufacturing and aftermarket businesses. Aftermarket growth ran slightly ahead of OEM growth, reflecting continued demand for replacement parts and services across military aircraft. Defense bookings increased both year over year and sequentially in the quarter and exceeded sales, and management expects defense revenue growth to continue through fiscal 2026, with a strong backlog providing visibility into fiscal 2027. Shares of TransDigm have lost 9.7% over the past six months against a 13.5% decline for the industry, and the stock trades at a forward 12-month price-to-sales ratio of 5.25X versus an industry average of 7.23X. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for TransDigm's 2026 and 2027 earnings has moved higher over the past 60 days, and the stock carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold).
Tony Fernandes Confirms AirAsia Has Over 1 Billion Dollars in Cash, Plans MRO Investment in Thailand
Tony Fernandes, founder and advisor of AirAsia Group, confirmed that the group has more than 1 billion US dollars in cash on hand and has no need to seek government assistance. He said the group is in the process of securing a loan of about 1 billion Malaysian ringgit from financial institutions, expected to be completed between December and January, with the financial support terms already signed. He stated that AirAsia has never defaulted on debt or undergone debt restructuring in any country, and over the past two years it has gradually repaid more than 240 million US dollars to Ares, clearing the debt on schedule. He also confirmed there is no risk of triggering the PN17 distressed criteria. As for the grounded aircraft, he said they are parked for routine periodic inspections, about 20 to 25 planes per month, not seized over unpaid debts, and the entire fleet is expected to return to full operations by the fourth quarter. At Asia Aviation Public Company Limited, or AAV, Fernandes said the company plans major investment in aircraft maintenance, repair and overhaul centers, or MRO, as well as cargo operations in Thailand and Indonesia, which will significantly reduce the operating cost structure of the group's airlines. AirAsia is meanwhile shifting its strategy back to core ASEAN markets and domestic routes in Thailand and Malaysia, while accelerating the procurement of highly fuel-efficient narrow-body aircraft such as the Airbus A321LR and XLR and the A220, even as average ticket prices have risen about 40 to 45 percent compared with 2019.
AirAsia founder says fuel price surge is a lighter blow than the pandemic
Tony Fernandes, co-founder of Malaysian budget carrier AirAsia, said on the 18th that the impact of soaring jet fuel prices on the company is far lighter than during the pandemic, as he sought to ease investor concerns over its financial health. At a press conference, he noted that AirAsia has ample liquidity and is adept at cash management, saying the current crisis stems mainly from geopolitical tensions and rising fuel prices, while stressing that travel demand remains solid. Reuters reported on the 16th, citing sources, that the Malaysian government had approached Malaysia Airlines and Batik Air about whether they could absorb the domestic market share of AirAsia, Southeast Asia's largest budget carrier, as part of scenario planning while authorities keep a close watch on the company's financial health. Fernandes said the second quarter was the toughest period for the company, which holds about 60 percent of Malaysia's domestic market, while projecting that conditions will improve as it adjusts fares to reflect higher fuel costs. The company has been hit by the surge in jet fuel prices triggered by U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iran; its average fuel price in the second quarter rose 66 percent from the previous quarter, and higher fuel costs and foreign exchange losses pushed its net result to a loss of 831 million ringgit.