Asia Plus names CENTEL top tourism pick as hotel revenue outpaces visitor growth

Money & Banking··THCN·Read original
2▲4 ▼0Impact / 5
Summary · why it matters

Asia Plus Securities said in a research note that Thailand's tourism sector still looks set for solid growth. During China's Golden Week from September 27 to October 3, 2026, Thailand received 522,532 foreign arrivals, up 8% from the previous week, driven by 133,946 Chinese tourists, a rise of 42% from the prior week. Although foreign arrivals in the third quarter of 2026 fell 5% year on year, they rose 3.5% from the previous quarter, and excluding the Malaysian market the decline was only 0.9%. Key markets continued to expand, with China up 12%, Europe up 1.5%, the Middle East up 13% and the Americas up 1.5%. The standout point is that hotel revenue is still growing faster than visitor numbers. Forward booking data indicates that revenue per room for CENTEL and MINT is likely to rise about 10-13% from a year earlier, while ERW targets revenue growth of 7% from a year earlier. International passenger volume at AOT in July to September 2026 fell 1.9% year on year, in line with the foreign tourist trend when the Malaysian market is excluded. As for the next catalyst, the market is watching the annual meetings of the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank from October 12 to 18, 2026. Large international events of this kind are likely to benefit hotel operators such as ERW, AWC and CENTEL more directly than airport or airline businesses. On investment strategy, the brokerage remains positive on Thailand's tourism group, picking CENTEL as its top stock on the back of strong hotel business profit trends, while AOT and ERW remain attractive as stocks that stand to gain from international events and the recovery of Thailand's tourism sector.

Impact on assets 5

Consumer Discretionary▲ · 3 stocks
Real Estate▲ · 1 stocks
Industrials▲ · 1 stocks
Airports Of Thailand PCL
AOT
± MixedDemandrelevance

AOT international passenger volume fell 1.9% YoY in Jul-Sep 2026, though it may benefit from international events less directly than hotels.

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