Cox Automotive, a major US automotive services company, announced on the 24th that it forecasts General Motors and Ford Motor will see the largest declines in US market share in the first through third quarters among the 13 automakers surveyed. Ford's year-to-date cumulative sales are down 8.8% from the same period last year, and its share is expected to fall by nearly 1 percentage point from a year earlier to 12.5%, while GM's sales are seen down 6.2% and its share dropping from 17.4% to 16.7%. Meanwhile, Stellantis, the other member of the US Big Three, is projected to gain share, but the combined share of the three companies is expected to remain at about 36%, a record low. Analysts point out that GM and Ford are being hurt by a relative shortage of fuel-efficient passenger cars and SUVs compared with competitors, and that automakers offering multiple hybrid models are posting relatively solid results this year amid high gasoline prices. Combined sales of South Korea's Hyundai Motor and its affiliate Kia are expected to surpass Ford in the third quarter, marking the first time they have topped Ford on a quarterly basis.
Cox forecasts Ford's US market share to fall to 12.5% with sales down 8.8%, hurt by a shortage of fuel-efficient cars and SUVs versus hybrid-offering rivals.
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Germany pushes for EU approval of Tesla's driver-assistance system; Musk welcomes move
German Transport Minister Birger is advocating for rapid European Union approval of Tesla's driver-assistance system, Full Self-Driving. In a statement on the 6th, Birger said the move followed talks with Tesla last month on numerous technical details and liability issues, and Tesla Chief Executive Officer Elon Musk posted "thank you" in German on X on the 7th, welcoming the German government's support. As part of the talks, Germany agreed with Tesla that Full Self-Driving may exceed the speed limit by up to 10 percent, and Germany plans to support this approach in the European approval process, where speeding is one of the main points of contention. Meanwhile, traffic safety experts and some regulators argue that the speed offset function Tesla uses should be removed before approval in Europe. Birger also revealed that Tesla proposed changing the system's name to "Tesla Assist Driving" to address concerns that the name is somewhat misleading. Full Self-Driving has already been approved in parts of Europe including the Netherlands and Belgium, but several EU member states, including Sweden and France, have expressed concerns about exceeding speed limits, and an EU vote scheduled for October was postponed until at least December while some countries conduct additional testing.
TSLA · Regulation · Positive Germany is advocating for rapid EU approval of Tesla's Full Self-Driving system, easing a key regulatory hurdle for Tesla in Europe.
Porsche to Restructure Business on Assumption of Falling Sales, Focusing on Top Price Segment
German luxury sports carmaker Porsche said on the 7th that it will restructure its business on the assumption of declining sales. Under the restructuring plan, the company aims to lower its future break-even sales volume to under 200,000 vehicles, a level far below last year's total deliveries of 279,449. Porsche's global deliveries have already fallen by nearly 10% since its 2022 listing, hit by a sharp drop in demand in China and U.S. tariffs. At an investor briefing held at its development center in Weissach in southwestern Germany, CEO Michael Leiters argued that the company can turn itself around by focusing on high-end sports cars such as the 911, and said it aims to raise prices for the 10,000 vehicles in its highest annual sales price segment. With this strategy, Porsche has set a long-term target of a 15% group operating margin, and aims for 10-15% over the medium term, roughly within five years. However, its margin has plunged from the upper 10% range four years ago, when it listed, to 1.1% in 2025. Leiters said that under current conditions the company expects to achieve the lower end of its medium-term target, but explained that further improvement will require deeper business restructuring or a more favorable business environment. He said the company will strengthen its management base by cutting development and sales costs, in addition to existing workforce reduction measures and a plan to cut management positions by 40%, and indicated it will expand platform sharing with Audi, a fellow luxury carmaker under Volkswagen, to reduce costs. Following the announcement, the share price rose 3.2%.
P911.XETRA · Capital · Neutral Porsche targets 15% long-term operating margin and cuts development/sales costs and management positions after margin plunged to 1.1%.
P911.XETRA · Pricing · Neutral Porsche plans to raise prices on its top 10,000-vehicle segment while restructuring for lower break-even volume amid falling sales.
VOW.XETRA · Capital · Neutral Volkswagen is Porsche's parent and platform-sharing partner; Porsche's cost cuts and Audi platform sharing affect VW.
VOW3.XETRA · Capital · Neutral Volkswagen VZO shares are affected by Porsche's restructuring and expanded Audi platform sharing under the VW group.
PAH3.XETRA · Capital · Neutral Porsche Automobil Holding is the parent holding of Porsche AG, whose restructuring and margin targets affect its stake value.
Porsche to cut output below 200,000 vehicles in shift upmarket
Porsche announced Wednesday it plans to sell fewer vehicles at higher prices as it tries to regain profitability hit by competition from China. The Volkswagen subsidiary aims to lower its break-even production point to fewer than 200,000 vehicles per year under a strategy running to 2035, after delivering nearly 280,000 vehicles in 2025, 10 percent fewer than in 2024. It aims to raise the average selling price of high-end models by around 20 percent in the medium term, after profitability slumped to 1.1 percent last year, an unprecedented low for an ultra-luxury manufacturer. Porsche plans to cut its workforce by a quarter by 2030, having already announced 9,000 job cuts, and will also cut 40 percent of management posts. With China deliveries down almost a third in the first half of this year, CEO Michael Leiters said he wants a smaller but stronger and more resilient business, and the carmaker will reduce its Chinese dealerships from more than 150 to nearer 80 by the end of 2026. Leiters said Porsche would keep investing in internal combustion engines and plug-in hybrids, adding there would be no turning its back on electric power, though the Porsche 911 will never be electric.
P911.XETRA · Pricing · Neutral Porsche plans to sell fewer vehicles at higher prices, raising average selling prices ~20% while cutting output below 200,000, a mixed margin-recovery strategy.
VOW.XETRA · Capital · Neutral Volkswagen subsidiary Porsche's profit collapse and output cuts affect VW's consolidated earnings, but VW is only referenced as parent.
VOW3.XETRA · Capital · Neutral Volkswagen VZO shares are affected via Porsche's profit slump and restructuring as a VW subsidiary, but VW is only mentioned as parent.
PAH3.XETRA · Capital · Neutral Porsche Automobil Holding SE is the parent holding of Porsche AG, whose profitability slump and restructuring affect its stake value; only contextually implied.
Mercedes-Benz Q3 passenger car sales fall 8%, down 31% in China
German luxury carmaker Mercedes-Benz said on the 7th that, amid difficult conditions in the Chinese market, third-quarter sales in its core passenger car division fell 8% year on year, extending its declining trend. Third-quarter vehicle sales totaled 407,200 units, of which the Chinese market accounted for 86,800 units, down 31% year on year. High-end segment sales came to 53,900 units, down 21%, hit by the deteriorating market environment in China and ongoing model changes. In the United States, meanwhile, passenger car sales rose 6%, and in Europe they rose 5%. Group-wide battery electric vehicle sales, including passenger cars and vans, rose 52% to 78,100 units.
EU Carmaker Shares Rise as Brussels Reportedly Prepares Cap on Chinese Hybrid Imports
Shares of European carmakers advanced on Wednesday as media reports suggested European Union officials were preparing emergency measures to cap imports of Chinese-made hybrid vehicles into the bloc. France's Renault rose 4.3%, Fiat-maker Stellantis gained 3.0% in Italy, and Germany's Volkswagen had ticked up by 3.1% by 05:11 ET. EU Trade Commissioner Maros Sefcovic and his team were set to fly to China for talks due to begin on Thursday and last until Friday, according to The Guardian. Brussels is hoping to secure "tangible, meaningful and measurable" results from the discussions with Chinese officials prior to a meeting of EU leaders next week, the paper added. The EU has previously requested that China restrict hybrid car exports, warning that safeguards such as quotas could be put in place should Beijing not do so, and China's response to this request is unknown.
RNL.PA · Tariff · Positive Renault shares rose as Brussels prepares emergency measures capping Chinese hybrid imports into the EU.
RNO.PA · Tariff · Positive EU trade safeguards on Chinese hybrid imports would protect Renault from Chinese competition in Europe.
STLA · Tariff · Positive EU reportedly preparing emergency measures/quota cap on Chinese hybrid imports, protecting Stellantis from Chinese competition in Europe.
VOW.XETRA · Tariff · Positive EU plans to cap Chinese-made hybrid vehicle imports, a trade measure that shields Volkswagen's European business.
VOW3.XETRA · Tariff · Positive EU reportedly preparing quota/safeguard measures on Chinese hybrid imports, benefiting Volkswagen's European operations.
Tesla Presses EU Regulators on Full Self-Driving Approval, Reuters Reports
Tesla is running a social media campaign and pushing European regulators to approve its Full Self-Driving technology, according to a Reuters report on Wednesday. The report says the company has urged regulators to reduce the rigor of safety reviews, submitted research making bold crash-reduction claims, and mobilized Tesla enthusiasts to demand speedy approvals. The strategy has won a critical first approval in the Netherlands, clearing the way for a Europe-wide vote expected soon by regulators from 27 European Union countries. Seven traffic-safety researchers who examined Tesla's methodology for Reuters said the company's safety study provides no evidence for its central claim that FSD prevents fatal crashes. During the Netherlands review, Tesla repeatedly sought to scale back the intensity of the regulator's examination and pushed, with some success, to set the terms and methods of its evaluation and testing, according to a Reuters review of correspondence between the automaker and the regulator. Tesla did not respond to detailed questions from Reuters, and RDW, the Dutch vehicle-safety regulator, said it assesses driver assistance systems from all manufacturers objectively and independently.
TSLA · Regulation · Neutral Tesla is lobbying EU regulators to approve Full Self-Driving, winning a first Dutch approval but facing researcher criticism of its safety claims.