Cox Forecasts Sharp Decline in GM and Ford's US Market Share

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Cox Automotive, a major US automotive services company, announced on the 24th that it forecasts General Motors and Ford Motor will see the largest declines in US market share in the first through third quarters among the 13 automakers surveyed. Ford's year-to-date cumulative sales are down 8.8% from the same period last year, and its share is expected to fall by nearly 1 percentage point from a year earlier to 12.5%, while GM's sales are seen down 6.2% and its share dropping from 17.4% to 16.7%. Meanwhile, Stellantis, the other member of the US Big Three, is projected to gain share, but the combined share of the three companies is expected to remain at about 36%, a record low. Analysts point out that GM and Ford are being hurt by a relative shortage of fuel-efficient passenger cars and SUVs compared with competitors, and that automakers offering multiple hybrid models are posting relatively solid results this year amid high gasoline prices. Combined sales of South Korea's Hyundai Motor and its affiliate Kia are expected to surpass Ford in the third quarter, marking the first time they have topped Ford on a quarterly basis.

Impact on assets 5

Electrification & Mobility± Mixed · 5 stocks
Ford Motor Company
F
▼ NegativeDemandrelevance

Cox forecasts Ford's US market share to fall to 12.5% with sales down 8.8%, hurt by a shortage of fuel-efficient cars and SUVs versus hybrid-offering rivals.

General Motors Company
GM
▼ NegativeDemandrelevance

Cox projects GM's US sales down 6.2% and share dropping to 16.7%, citing a relative shortage of fuel-efficient passenger cars and SUVs.

Stellantis NV
STLA
▲ PositiveDemandrelevance

Stellantis is projected to gain US market share even as the Big Three's combined share hits a record low.

Kia Corp
000270
▲ PositiveCompetitionrelevance

Kia, with Hyundai, is expected to surpass Ford in third-quarter US sales for the first time, aided by its hybrid lineup.

Hyundai Motor Co. Ltd.
005380
▲ PositiveCompetitionrelevance

Hyundai, with affiliate Kia, is expected to top Ford in quarterly US sales for the first time, benefiting from multiple hybrid models.

Theme Impact 2

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