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MUFG's Derek Halpenny says rising rates volatility is driving a broader unwind of emerging-market FX carry trades, with Latin American currencies coming under particular pressure. USD/MXN has surged as implied volatility jumps, squeezing long leveraged positions in the Mexican peso. The carry liquidation is pressuring LatAm currencies more broadly, according to the MUFG note.
Rising rate volatility drives EM carry unwind, squeezing long MXN positions and pressuring the peso.