Raiffeisen Bank International Wins Vienna Court Ruling Worth About €3.15b

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Raiffeisen Bank International won a Vienna court ruling awarding it about €3.15b in damages tied to funds frozen in Russia, while the bank also publicly rejected short-seller allegations from Grizzly Research and said it is considering legal action. The twin developments sharpened attention on both the bank's legal risk and its potential balance sheet implications. The shares closed at €64.25, after a 16.5% 90 day share price return, a 70.6% year to date share price gain and a 1 year total shareholder return of 127.7%. The most followed analyst narrative places fair value nearer €55.59 using a 7.26% discount rate, calling the stock overvalued, while a discounted cash flow model estimates a future cash flow value of €144.83, implying a 55.6% discount at the current price. Raiffeisen Bank International still carries heavy geopolitical and litigation exposure, and setbacks in Russia or Polish mortgage cases could quickly test the upbeat narrative.

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Grizzly ResearchPrivate± Mixed
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Its short-seller allegations against Raiffeisen were publicly rejected by the bank, which is considering legal action.