US Jobs Improvement Would Keep Dollar Buying Alive, September Rate Hike Expectations

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Summary · why it matters

Among the major economic indicators scheduled for release from August 31 to September 4, the focus is on the US August employment report. If it shows an improvement in the labor market, dollar buying is expected to continue in light of tightening monetary policy. The US employment report is due out at 9:30 p.m. on the 4th, with nonfarm payrolls expected to rise by 55,000 month-over-month, the unemployment rate at 4.1%, and average hourly earnings up 0.3% month-over-month. Also, the Bank of Canada is set to announce its policy rate on the 2nd, expected to hold at 2.25%. The US ISM non-manufacturing index is due on the 3rd, expected at 54.3. Canada's employment report is also due on the 4th, with payrolls expected to rise by 17,500 and the unemployment rate at 6.4%.

Impact on assets 3

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％Canada Prime Rate
CAPRIMERATE
▼ NegativeMonetaryrelevance

Expected BoC hold at 2.25% with no hike, keeping policy rate unchanged; no direct impact on prime rate.

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