BHP Group Limited is a resources company operating in Australia, Europe, China, Japan, India, South Korea, the rest of Asia, North America, and South America. It operates through three segments: Copper, Iron Ore, and Coal. The company explores for deposits including copper, iron ore, steelmaking coal, energy coal, nickel, potash, cobalt, sulphide, ammonium sulphate, silver, gold, molybdenum, uranium, and zinc. It is also involved in services, marketing, trading, and finance businesses, as well as potash, nickel, and copper development, mining, smelting, and refining of nickel, and the provision of towing, freight, administrative, and marketing support and other services. BHP Group Limited was founded in 1851 and is headquartered in Melbourne, Australia.
BHP's Jansen potash write-down and cost blowout hit shares
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Jansen potash write-down and cost blowout BHP announced a $2.3 billion write-down on its Jansen potash mine in Canada and raised the cost estimate for stage two to $6.9 billion, with production delayed to late 2031. Shares fell 5.6% in Sydney and 4.3% in London. This is a major setback for a key growth project, hurting investor confidence and near-term returns.
This is the biggest new event driving BHP's price down this period.
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Chile power transmission lines sale BHP is preparing to sell its Chilean power transmission lines for about $1.5 billion, part of a larger asset sale program that has already exceeded $6 billion. This supports the balance sheet and funds growth, especially copper. Selling non-core assets is generally positive for the stock.
This is a new positive development that shows BHP's focus on core assets and cash generation.
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Potash rail transport deal with CN Canadian National Railway secured a four-year deal to transport potash from BHP's Jansen mine to Vancouver ports. This strengthens supply chain reliability for future potash exports, supporting the project's long-term viability. It is a small but positive step for BHP's potash ambitions.
This new deal reduces logistical risk for Jansen, partially offsetting the negative write-down news.
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Executive leadership changes BHP announced updates to its executive leadership team, which created some uncertainty and contributed to a more than 1% drop in its shares on June 26. Leadership changes can signal strategic shifts or internal challenges, making investors cautious.
This is a new event that adds to negative sentiment, though its impact is smaller than the Jansen write-down.
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BHP's copper growth story meets rising costs and a fatal mine halt
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Jansen potash cost blowout BHP warned of a $2.3 billion charge and cost overrun at its Jansen potash project, lifting total investment to $6.9 billion from $4.9 billion. This is the third cost miss, hurting the plan to diversify beyond copper and iron ore and weighing on the shares.
A large, company-specific write-down directly hits BHP's earnings and credibility.
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AI data centers drive copper demand BHP was named among copper producers set to benefit as AI data centers spend heavily on infrastructure. An AI data center uses about ten times more copper than a normal one, and BHP is executing well at Escondida and Copper South Australia, supporting future demand for its copper.
A structural demand driver that underpins BHP's copper growth outlook.
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NexGen uranium financing talks NexGen is in talks with BHP for a potential $1 billion financing and equity stake in its Rook I uranium project. BHP's record FY2026 results, with $33 billion EBITDA and $9.8 billion free cash flow, give it the financial strength to invest in new energy minerals.
Shows BHP using its strong cash flow to expand into future-facing commodities.
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Escondida halt and Baowu stake talks A fatal accident forced a full suspension at Escondida, the world's largest copper mine, cutting BHP's output and tightening global supply. Separately, BHP is in early talks to sell a 15-25% stake in its Jimblebar iron ore mine to China Baowu, a possible capital boost but with uncertain outcome.
Two major events: one near-term negative for production, one uncertain for iron ore.
Q3 2026
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Record earnings and growth projects offset by copper guidance cut and Jansen cost blowout
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Record FY earnings and highest dividend in four years BHP reported record full-year earnings with profit up 30% to $13.2bn and copper EBITDA of $18.2bn, funding its highest dividend in four years. This rewarded shareholders and showcased strong cash generation.
This is a major positive financial result that directly supports the share price and investor returns.
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Copper output miss and 2027 guidance warning Copper production missed expectations and 2027 guidance warned of up to a 15.5% drop due to lower Escondida grades. This raises concerns about future earnings from BHP's key profit driver.
This is a new negative development that directly impacts future revenue and investor confidence.
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Jansen potash third cost blowout Jansen potash saw a third cost blowout, adding $2.3bn and lifting total investment to $6.9bn. This further erodes confidence in the project's returns and capital discipline.
This is a new negative event that adds to previous concerns about the Jansen project's cost overruns.
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Growth projects advance but operational risks persist Escondida expansion permit and Ministers North iron ore approval advanced long-term growth, aided by AI data-center demand. However, a fatal accident suspended Escondida and Port Hedland strike risk persisted after a costly stoppage.
This captures both the positive long-term growth initiatives and the negative operational disruptions that affected the quarter.
News & notes movingBHP.LSE
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Critical Materials & Supply Chain▲
BHP Unit Wins El Seguro Copper Exploration Contract in Argentina
Impulsa Mendoza has awarded Public Tender No. 2/2026 to Cerro Quebrado S.A., a BHP Group company, granting it an exploration contract with a purchase option for the El Seguro copper project in Argentina's Malargüe Western Mining District. The award gives BHP a second route into the district alongside its alliance with Kobrea Exploration, deepening its copper exploration exposure in a single emerging Andean jurisdiction. The contract sits alongside BHP's recent production and guidance updates, in which copper output in FY2026 fell 3% year on year to 1,952.8 kt and 2027 copper guidance was set below 2026 levels. BHP's narrative projects $56.1 billion in revenue and $13.3 billion in earnings by 2029, with a fair value of A$61.02, while some of the lowest ranked analysts assumed revenue would fall to about US$52.5 billion by 2029 even as earnings rose to roughly US$11.7 billion.
BHP.LSE · Supply · Positive BHP's Cerro Quebrado unit won the El Seguro copper exploration contract with a purchase option, expanding its copper resource base in Argentina
Cerro Quebrado S.A. · Supply · Positive Cerro Quebrado S.A., a BHP company, was awarded the El Seguro copper exploration contract with a purchase option
COPPER · Supply · Positive BHP's new copper exploration contract in Argentina signals potential future copper supply growth
BofA Raises Copper Forecast 20% to $12,000, Names Top Mining Picks
BofA Securities raised its long-term copper price forecast by 20% to $12,000 per ton for 2026 and updated its mining sector rankings, upgrading BHP to Buy with a price objective of A$68 and naming the world's largest copper producer its top pick among large-cap mining stocks. Glencore was rated Buy with a price objective of GBp650, with BofA highlighting its copper growth options and monitoring a potential Australian listing for the diversified miner. Norsk Hydro received a Buy rating with a price objective of NOK98, which BofA described as offering interesting risk-reward characteristics for the pure-play aluminum company. Antofagasta maintained its Buy rating with a price objective of GBp4700, with the bank noting roughly 30% volume growth potential. BofA also trimmed its 2027 aluminum forecast by 5% to $3,625 per ton, and cautioned that investors should be prepared for potential drawdowns of 10% to 20%, noting that during China's super cycle from 2002 to 2008 markets experienced multiple corrections despite overall upward trends.
BHP.LSE · Capital · Positive BofA upgraded BHP to Buy with an A$68 price objective and named it top pick among large-cap miners.
0Q11.LSE · Capital · Positive BofA initiated a Buy rating on Norsk Hydro with a NOK98 price objective, citing attractive risk-reward for the pure-play aluminum company.
ANTO.LSE · Capital · Positive BofA maintained its Buy rating on Antofagasta with a GBp4700 price objective, noting roughly 30% volume growth potential.
GLEN.LSE · Capital · Positive BofA rated Glencore Buy with a GBp650 price objective, highlighting its copper growth options.
COMEX copper closes up 0.27% after Chilean output slumps and Escondida strike looms
Copper futures in New York closed higher on Wednesday, September 30, amid concerns over tight supply. The December COMEX copper contract rose 1.80 cents, or 0.27%, to settle at $6.6215 per pound. The market drew support after Chile's national statistics agency reported that Chilean copper output in August fell 12.8% year on year to 369,500 metric tons, the lowest monthly output level since February 2011, following a 9.4% decline the previous month. The drop was attributed to unusually cold winter weather and disruptions to port logistics. Meanwhile, a union of 1,020 supervisory workers at the Escondida mine, operated by BHP in Chile and the world's largest copper mine, voted overwhelmingly, by 95%, to reject the company's final collective labor contract offer, paving the way for a possible strike. Under Chilean labor law, both sides must enter a mandatory government-mediated conciliation process lasting five working days, which can be extended by another five days before the union can legally strike. However, copper's gains were partly capped after a Panamanian government commission recommended opening negotiations with First Quantum Minerals to set the terms for restarting the Cobre Panama mine, in order to generate cash flow to support the budget for a gradual, orderly long-term closure of the mine.
COPPER · Supply · Positive Chilean copper output fell 12.8% y/y to its lowest since 2011 and an Escondida strike looms, tightening supply and lifting COMEX copper.
BHP.LSE · Supply · Negative Union at BHP-operated Escondida, the world's largest copper mine, voted 95% to reject the final contract offer, paving the way for a possible strike that would disrupt BHP's output.
First Quantum Minerals Ltd. · Supply · Negative A Panamanian commission recommended negotiating terms to restart Cobre Panama, which would add supply and partly cap copper's gains.
Kobrea Approves US$4 Million BHP-Funded 2026/2027 Exploration Program in Argentina
Kobrea Exploration Corp. announced that the Management Committee under its exploration alliance with BHP Metals Exploration Pty Ltd. has approved a US$4 million Work Program and Budget for the 2026/2027 exploration season at its Western Malargüe Copper Projects in Mendoza Province, Argentina. BHP Metals Exploration will fund the US$4 million program under the alliance agreement, and it will be conducted during the Project Generation Phase. The program is designed to advance known porphyry copper targets and systematically evaluate the broader 733 km² land package for additional prospects. Activities include property-wide geochemical sampling, geological mapping and ground geophysical surveys, as well as diamond drilling at the El Destino copper-gold-molybdenum porphyry prospect, induced polarization at the El Destino and KBX-17 prospects, and property-wide hyperspectral analysis and stream sediment sampling. CEO James Hedalen said the approval allows the company to move into a comprehensive summer field season, combining district-scale exploration with diamond drilling at El Destino, one of the priority targets identified by its technical teams.
Kobrea Exploration Corp. · Capital · Positive Kobrea's management committee approved a US$4 million BHP-funded exploration program including diamond drilling at the El Destino porphyry target
BHP Metals Exploration Pty Ltd · Capital · Positive BHP Metals Exploration will fund the approved US$4 million 2026/2027 exploration program at Kobrea's Western Malargüe copper projects
BHP.LSE · Capital · Positive BHP funds a US$4 million exploration program under its alliance with Kobrea, advancing its copper exploration interests in Argentina
BHP Resumes Operations at Escondida Copper Mine After Fatal Accident
BHP Group Limited has begun a progressive resumption of activities at its Escondida asset in Chile, the world's largest copper mine, following a temporary site-wide suspension triggered by a fatal maintenance accident. The company had halted mining operations to conduct safety assessments, evaluate workforce readiness, and secure clearance from Chilean regulatory authorities. BHP holds a 57.5% controlling interest in Escondida, alongside joint-venture partners Rio Tinto with 30% and JECO Corp with 12.5%, and the mine produced approximately 1.3 million tonnes of copper in fiscal 2026. Because copper accounts for over half of BHP's underlying earnings, restoring operational continuity at Escondida is vital to protecting the group's near-term production targets and cash flow generation. The restart comes as BHP faces separate cost pressures, with capital expenditure for Stage 1 of the Jansen potash project escalating 22% to 29% to $7.0 to $7.4 billion, while Jansen Stage 2 faces potential timeline delays.
BHP.LSE · Supply · Positive BHP resumes operations at Escondida after a safety suspension, restoring copper production that drives over half its earnings
BHP.LSE · Capital · Negative Jansen potash Stage 1 capex escalates 22-29% to $7.0-7.4bn and Stage 2 faces potential timeline delays
COPPER · Supply · Negative Resumption of the world's largest copper mine restores supply, easing the outage-driven tightness in copper
RIO.LSE · Supply · Positive Rio Tinto holds a 30% stake in Escondida, so the mine restart restores its share of copper output
BHP Board Urges Vote Against Stephen Mayne's AGM Director Bid
BHP Group's board has urged shareholders to vote against the election of shareholder-nominated director candidate Stephen Mayne at the upcoming annual general meeting. Mayne self-nominated after publicly raising concerns about shareholder disenfranchisement tied to BHP's use of hybrid AGMs, setting up a governance-focused contest centered on shareholder engagement and board composition. The board's recommendation signals how tightly it intends to control the governance agenda, and the shareholder vote at the AGM will be the clearest gauge of how much backing Mayne's concerns actually have. A close result, strong turnout or a significant protest vote against board recommendations would give a concrete read on wider investor sentiment toward BHP's current governance approach. BHP Group operates a large global metals and mining portfolio across Australia, Asia, the Americas and Europe, and its A$301.2 billion scale means decisions about how the board is shaped and how AGMs are run can influence how a wide base of investors engage with the company.
BHP.LSE · Regulation · Neutral BHP's board urges shareholders to vote against shareholder-nominated director Stephen Mayne at the AGM, a governance/board-composition contest with unclear outcome.
BHP Iron Ore Port Union to Seek Arbitration After Wage Talks Collapse
At BHP's Port Hedland iron ore operations in Western Australia, labor negotiations over the terms of a new wage agreement have failed to reach consensus, and the BHP Ports Labor Union Alliance has announced it will seek arbitration. Port Hedland is one of the world's largest iron ore export ports and serves as the main shipping hub for BHP's Pilbara operations. The union's arbitration filing, representing about 450 operators and maintenance workers, would allow the Fair Work Commission, the regulator, to determine the terms of the agreement. The union and the company have been negotiating for more than nine months, meeting almost weekly in recent months under the mediation of the Fair Work Commission to discuss a four-year wage agreement. In August, workers held a two-day strike, the largest labor dispute at the site in a quarter century. In a statement, the union criticized BHP for being unwilling to negotiate an agreement that reflects the professional skills, harsh working conditions, and significant personal sacrifices of the people who generated more than 13 billion dollars in profit for the company this year. A BHP spokesperson said the company remains focused on achieving a fair and reasonable agreement. BHP has offered most workers a 17 percent pay increase over the four-year term of the agreement, including a 25,000 Australian dollar transition payment paid over two years and increased shift allowances. The union argues that under this proposal, about 40 percent of workers would be worse off than they are now.
BHP.LSE · Regulation · Negative Labor talks collapsed and the union seeks Fair Work Commission arbitration over wages at BHP's Port Hedland iron ore operations, risking disruption and imposed terms.
IRONORE · Supply · Neutral Arbitration at BHP's Port Hedland hub, a major seaborne iron ore export port, could threaten supply, but no disruption is yet confirmed.
Wheaton Precious Metals Posts Record $1.8 Billion First-Half 2026 Revenue
Wheaton Precious Metals Corp. reported record revenues of $1.8 billion for the first half of 2026, an 88% year-over-year surge driven by a higher average realized gold equivalent price and higher production levels. First-half 2026 gold equivalent production was 414,755 ounces, up 13.8% year over year, lifted by the acquisition of the precious metals purchase agreement with BHP Group Limited. The company reaffirmed its 2026 attributable production guidance of 860,000-940,000 GEOs, weighted to the second half, a rise of 30% at the midpoint from 2025's production of 692,000 ounces, and continues to expect production of 1.2 million GEOs by 2030, averaging around that level through 2035. The BHP Group Antamina precious metals purchase agreement became effective April 1, 2026, lifting Wheaton's attributable silver to 67.5% and adding another 33.75% of payable silver until delivery thresholds step down; Antamina produced 2.3 million attributable silver ounces in the second quarter, up 56% year over year. Among peers, SSR Mining Inc. reported first-half 2026 revenues of $1.03 billion, up 42% year over year, on 211,873 gold equivalent ounces, and AngloGold Ashanti plc posted gold revenues of $6.3 billion, up 43.8%, as its gold production dipped 4% year over year.
WPM · Capital · Positive Wheaton posted record first-half 2026 revenue of $1.8 billion, up 88% year over year, on higher realized gold equivalent prices and production.
WPM · Supply · Positive The BHP Antamina precious metals purchase agreement became effective April 1, 2026, lifting attributable silver and production.
SSRM · Capital · Positive SSR Mining reported first-half 2026 revenues of $1.03 billion, up 42% year over year, on 211,873 gold equivalent ounces.
BHP.LSE · Supply · Neutral BHP is mentioned only as the counterparty whose Antamina precious metals purchase agreement Wheaton acquired; no direct impact on BHP is described.
China Baowu Eyes Stake in BHP's Jimblebar Iron Ore Mine
China Baowu Steel, the world's largest steelmaker, is considering acquiring a 15%-25% stake in BHP's Jimblebar iron ore mine in Western Australia, according to Reuters. The stake would come from BHP's share of the project, which currently stands at 85%, with Japanese trading houses Itochu and Mitsui holding minority interests. BHP responded that it remains committed to its Western Australia iron ore business and regularly explores options to create long-term shareholder value. Jimblebar produced 62.5 million tons of iron ore in fiscal year 2026, accounting for about 25% of BHP's total output of the steelmaking ingredient. The potential deal comes amid declining Chinese investment in Australia due to national security concerns, which have previously led to blocked acquisitions in lithium and rare earths.
BHP.LSE · Capital · Neutral BHP may sell a 15-25% stake in its Jimblebar mine to Baowu, a potential asset divestment with unclear valuation impact.
China Baowu Steel Group Corporation Ltd. · Capital · Neutral Baowu is considering acquiring a 15-25% stake in BHP's Jimblebar iron ore mine, a potential investment of unclear terms.
IRONORE · · Neutral Article reports a potential ownership change at one mine with no stated effect on iron ore supply or demand.
8001.JP · Capital · Neutral Itochu holds a minority interest in Jimblebar, so a stake sale could affect its position, but no specific impact is stated.
8031.JP · Capital · Neutral Mitsui holds a minority interest in Jimblebar, so a stake sale could affect its position, but no specific impact is stated.
BHP Tests Greener Copper Recovery in Arizona Pilot Projects
BHP Group is partnering with US-based SiTration on pilot copper projects in Arizona that extract copper from legacy mining water using SiTration's advanced valorization technology, rather than processing new ore. The collaboration aims to support more sustainable copper production in response to demand from electrification and digital infrastructure. Bench-scale work has already produced LME Grade A copper, and the larger Arizona pilot is targeting about two tonnes of cathode over two months. The key question is scalability, with investors watching for BHP to confirm commercial-scale rollout plans after reviewing pilot results over the next year. BHP, a large A$324.2b resources company, sees copper as a key growth driver alongside iron ore and potash.
SiTration · Technology · Positive SiTration's technology is central to the pilot, with successful bench-scale results and potential commercial rollout.
BHP.LSE · Technology · Positive BHP partners on pilot projects using new technology to extract copper from legacy water, supporting sustainable production.
COPPER · Supply · Positive Pilot aims to produce copper from legacy water, potentially adding supply without new ore processing.
Albemarle Names Ragnar Udd CEO, Kent Masters to Executive Chairman
Albemarle Corporation announced that Ragnar "Rag" Udd has been appointed President and Chief Executive Officer, effective February 1, 2027, and will join the Board of Directors. Current Chairman and CEO Kent Masters will transition to Executive Chairman upon Udd's arrival, with Gerald Steiner continuing as Lead Independent Director. Udd, who brings over 25 years of experience in global resources, currently serves as Chief Commercial Officer of BHP, where he oversees sales, marketing, procurement, and maritime activities. The succession follows a comprehensive board-led planning process, and Masters will serve as Executive Chairman through the 2027 annual meeting, after which his role will be reviewed annually.
Wheaton Precious Metals Corp. has seen strong performance this year, driven by its new precious metals purchase agreement with BHP Group Limited. The $4.3-billion Antamina stream deal, effective April 1, 2026, is Wheaton's largest transaction, increasing its attributable silver to 67.5% and adding 33.75% of payable silver until thresholds step down, with ongoing payments equal to 20% of spot silver. Despite Antamina's second-quarter production falling short due to lower grades and a maintenance shutdown, the mine's silver output rose 56% year over year to 2.3 million ounces. Wheaton's attributable gold-equivalent production increased 13.8% to 414,755 ounces in the first half of 2026, and the company reaffirmed its 2026 guidance of 860,000-940,000 GEOs, expecting a 30% rise at the midpoint from 2025's 692,000 ounces. Wheaton projects 1.2 million GEOs by 2030, with the Antamina deal and new mines driving growth. Shares have jumped 43.5% in a year, and the Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2026 sales is $3.66 billion, up 58.1% year over year.
NexGen in Talks with BHP for $1 Billion Rook I Financing
NexGen Energy Ltd. is in active talks with BHP Group Limited regarding a potential equity stake and financing for its Rook I uranium project in Saskatchewan, as CEO Leigh Curyer revealed on August 17. NexGen, which recently broke ground on the project slated to be one of the world's largest and lowest-cost uranium mines, aims to raise $1 billion in capital over the next nine months through prepayments, debt, or direct equity. The company posted a net income of $74.55 million CAD in Q2 2026, reversing a net loss of $86.69 million CAD a year earlier, and holds $970.25 million CAD in cash and short-term investments. In contrast, BHP reported record FY2026 results with underlying EBITDA of $33 billion, up 27% year-over-year, and free cash flow of $9.8 billion, up 83%. BHP's financial strength and diversified portfolio contrast sharply with NexGen's development-stage profile, making the potential partnership a key catalyst for NexGen's funding gap.
NXE · Capital · Positive NexGen is in talks with BHP for $1B financing, addressing its funding gap.
BHP.LSE · Capital · Positive BHP's record FY2026 results and strong cash flow highlight its financial capacity for the potential investment.
URANIUM · Demand · Positive NexGen's Rook I project progress and financing talks signal increased uranium supply, but demand context is not directly stated.
BHP and SiTration to pilot copper recovery at Arizona mine site
BHP and SiTration, a Massachusetts Institute of Technology spin-out, are planning two pilot programmes of copper recovery technology at BHP's site in the Globe-Miami district of Arizona. The initial phase will be a small-scale trial running over one month, followed later this year by a larger deployment expected to produce up to two tonnes of commercial-scale copper cathodes over two months. The companies aim to extract copper from legacy mining water at the historic Copper Cities site, which produced nearly 400,000 tonnes of copper between the 1950s and early 1980s. SiTration has already conducted bench-scale tests on feedstock from Copper Cities that reportedly produced LME Grade A copper without chemicals, without new waste products, and with energy consumption below 3–4 kilowatt-hours per kilogram. Both companies have signed an agreement to collaborate on the pilot programme and evaluate future opportunities if results are positive.
Copper Overtakes Iron Ore as BHP's Top Earnings Driver
BHP Group Limited reported that copper generated $18.19 billion of underlying EBITDA in the year ended June 30, overtaking iron ore's $14.53 billion and contributing more than half of group EBITDA for the first full year. Underlying attributable profit rose 30% to $13.2 billion, above consensus estimates of $12.66 billion, while Australian shares climbed as much as 4.2% to a two-month high. The miner reduced net debt to $8.69 billion and lifted its FY2026 dividend to $1.72 per ordinary share, the highest in four years. BHP expects average annual capital and exploration spending of about $11 billion over the medium term, with more than half directed toward copper growth, and estimates its project pipeline could increase attributable copper production by approximately 40% by fiscal 2035. The company produced approximately 2 million metric tons of copper for a second consecutive year and describes itself as the world's largest copper producer, while its average realized copper price increased 35% to $5.74 per pound.
BHP and Port Hedland unions fail to reach wage deal
BHP and unions representing workers at its Port Hedland iron ore operations in Western Australia failed to reach a wage agreement, with negotiations set to resume on August 25. BHP employs more than 800 people at the port, and the Combined BHP Ports Unions said the company's latest proposal did not adequately address workers' concerns, pointing to BHP's $13.2B full-year profit and its highest dividend payout in four years. The union added that workers would consult their elected representatives on options including counteroffers. Some BHP workers at the facility staged a second planned stoppage earlier this month, marking the first major industrial action at the site in 25 years, though CEO Brandon Craig said he did not expect the dispute to affect the company's performance.
BHP's fiscal 2026 profit beats expectations, announces highest dividend in four years
BHP Group, the world's largest listed mining company, reported results for the fiscal year 2026 ended June 30, 2026, with underlying attributable profit of 13.2 billion US dollars, up 30 percent from the prior year and above the Visible Alpha consensus estimate of 12.66 billion US dollars. The company also declared a final dividend of 99 cents per share, bringing total dividends for the full year to 1.72 dollars per share, the highest level in four years. Helped by global copper prices surging past 14,000 US dollars per metric ton to a record high, operating profit from the copper segment reached 18.19 billion US dollars, including by-products from mining such as gold and uranium, surpassing the iron ore segment's 14.53 billion US dollars to become the company's top profit driver. Meanwhile, iron ore operations in Western Australia generated operating profit of 14.67 billion US dollars, up 2 percent from last year and in line with the Visible Alpha estimate of 14.75 billion US dollars. BHP aims to increase copper production capacity by 40 percent by 2035 and expects global copper demand to exceed 50 million metric tons per year by 2050, up from 34 million tons this year. Capital expenditure is expected to rise by more than 1 billion US dollars next year, with the company holding a further 3.5 billion US dollars in assets that can be unlocked under a total capital portfolio plan of 10 billion US dollars. Most recently, Global Infrastructure Partners invested 2 billion US dollars for a minority stake in the power network within the company's mining areas. Net debt fell to 8.69 billion US dollars, below the target range of 10 to 12 billion US dollars and below the Visible Alpha estimate of 9.1 billion US dollars. Brandon Craig, BHP's new chief executive, stressed the importance of the company's project pipeline, saying copper, iron ore, steelmaking coal and potash are all fundamental to global development, so the company must bring these commodities to market as quickly as possible. Although acquiring copper mining assets costs about five times more than developing them internally, BHP continues to watch for market opportunities. For the Western Australia iron ore business, despite facing pressure from a major strike by workers at Port Hedland, the first in decades, Craig expressed confidence it will not have a negative impact on operations while negotiations continue. On trade negotiations with Chinese state-owned iron ore buyers, BHP remains focused on efficient market mechanisms rather than setting up a joint sales desk with other mining producers. Craig also dismissed speculation about a possible review to sell the Queensland steelmaking coal business within the next one to five years, confirming the assets remain an important part of BHP's portfolio if market conditions develop as expected. Regarding reports that NextGen Energy, a Canadian uranium mining company, is exchanging information and holding regular discussions with BHP about the Rook I uranium project in Saskatchewan, Craig said BHP will continue to study options in other commodities but would not speculate or comment further on the matter.
BHP in Talks With NexGen Over Rook I Uranium Project
BHP Group is in talks with NexGen Energy over the massive Rook I uranium project in Saskatchewan, moving the mining giant closer to the center of the uranium race. NexGen is searching for roughly $1 billion in funding over the next nine months and is considering a mix of project equity, debt financing and long-term customer agreements. Rook I is not expected to start production until around 2030, but the project could become one of the world's biggest uranium operations. BHP already has uranium exposure through Olympic Dam, and Reuters reported that the mining giant previously explored a potential NexGen acquisition, although BHP has stayed quiet on the latest discussions. Shares gained about 1.4% to $87.96 as investors looked beyond traditional commodities and focused on uranium's growing role in powering the next wave of artificial intelligence infrastructure.
Copper Hits 2021 Squeeze Levels, Threatening Bitcoin Miners and AI Data Centers
Copper's sharpest supply squeeze since 2021 is raising infrastructure costs for Bitcoin miners and AI data centers. The London Metal Exchange's cash copper contract traded as much as $478 per ton above the three-month contract on Monday, the widest backwardation since 2021, while LME inventories fell for a 42nd consecutive day to 204,975 tons with almost half already earmarked for removal. Jefferies expects a 442,000-ton copper deficit in 2026, widening to 782,000 tons by 2030, and forecasts average prices of $13,380 per ton in 2026 rising to $17,637 by 2030. Higher copper costs could increase capital expenses for Bitcoin mining facilities requiring transformers, substations, and cabling, and intensify competition with AI data centers for grid connections and electrical equipment.
Resolution Copper awards $110 million in contracts for Arizona mine development
Resolution Copper has awarded contracts totaling approximately $110 million to Major Drilling America and Redpath USA Corporation for early-phase work on its proposed underground copper mine in Arizona. The contracts are part of a planned $500 million investment program and follow the completion of the Final Environmental Impact Statement process, a Record of Decision, and a congressionally required land exchange earlier this year. Major Drilling America will conduct deep-hole directional diamond core drilling over two-and-a-half years, while Redpath USA Corporation will handle the first phase of underground development, including converting two 7,000-foot shafts and installing new infrastructure. The work is expected to create 100 new full-time positions, and a final investment decision remains subject to ongoing data collection, permitting, and partner approvals. Resolution Copper is a joint venture between Rio Tinto, which holds a 55% stake, and BHP, which owns 45%.
Wheaton Precious Metals Reports Record Quarterly Revenue of $929 Million
Wheaton Precious Metals reported record quarterly revenue of $929 million, an 85% increase year-over-year, driven by higher gold and silver prices and increased sales volumes. Net earnings rose 86% to $543 million, while operating cash flow reached $650 million, up 57%. Second-quarter production was 202,000 gold equivalent ounces, a 6% increase, with sales volumes of 209,000 GEOs, up 14%. The company closed the Antamina silver stream with BHP, the largest precious metals streaming transaction ever, and ended the quarter with a net debt position of approximately $1.9 billion. Wheaton also paid $171 million in dividends and highlighted an industry-leading organic growth profile targeting 1.2 million GEOs by 2030.
Australian union plans 48-hour strike at BHP iron ore export port
The Australian union is escalating its protest, preparing a 48-hour strike at BHP's bulk iron ore export hub in Port Hedland, Western Australia, the world's largest bulk iron ore export centre. The strike could cost BHP more than 200 million Australian dollars, or around 141 million US dollars. Around 150 workers will stop loading ore onto ships for 24 hours on Saturday, August 8, and will strike at the wharf for another 24 hours starting Sunday, August 9. The decision follows more than six months of protracted negotiations and a previous strike on July 16 involving 63 employees. BHP said it is disappointed by the lack of progress in talks and is concerned that the union is not engaging sincerely.
BHP.LSE · Supply · Negative 48-hour strike at Port Hedland disrupts BHP's iron ore exports, costing up to $141 million.
IRONORE · Supply · Negative Strike at major export hub reduces seaborne iron ore supply, potentially tightening market but also signaling labor unrest.
S&P/ASX 200 closes up 82 points, hits new high alongside Dow Jones on falling oil prices
The S&P/ASX 200 index of the Australian stock market closed at a record high today, buoyed by the Dow Jones index surging to a new high for two consecutive trading days, as signs of progress in negotiations to end the war between the United States and Iran dragged oil prices lower. The S&P/ASX 200 closed at 9,227.80 points, up 82 points or 0.90 percent, while the All Ordinaries index closed at 9,405.40 points, up 93.50 points or 1.00 percent. Non-energy mining stocks and technology stocks led the market higher, with BHP and Rio Tinto surging 3.3 percent and 2.3 percent respectively on copper business revenue. Gold mining stocks rose in line with gold prices, with Evolution Mining jumping 6.3 percent and Northern Star Resources up 5.8 percent. The big four bank stocks fell between 0.4 percent and 1.4 percent, and energy stocks also declined.
BHP Port Hedland iron ore workers plan strike on August 8-9
Workers at BHP's iron ore operations at the Port Hedland export terminal in Western Australia plan to strike on August 8-9 if a labor agreement is not reached at the next bargaining meeting on August 4, unions said on Friday. The strike will start with a 24-hour ban on ship-loading on August 8, followed by a 24-hour work stoppage at the terminal on August 9, according to the Electrical Trades Union. BHP, which exports all of its Western Australia iron ore through Port Hedland, said it is focused on reaching a fair deal and has offered a 16% pay raise, adding it has plans to ensure operations can safely continue. Up to 236 unionized workers are eligible to strike out of the terminal's total workforce of about 1,200 workers. The terminal ships more than 500 million tons per year of iron ore, mostly to China, and any disruption could reverberate through the global iron ore market.
S&P/ASX 200 closes down 70.90 points after Wall Street plunges
The S&P/ASX 200 index of the Australian stock market closed down 70.90 points, or 0.78%, at 8,967.70 points today, after investors sold off following a heavy Wall Street plunge on Wednesday, triggered by a non-unanimous Federal Reserve meeting and geopolitical tensions. The Fed voted 9 to 3 to hold short-term interest rates at 3.50 to 3.75 percent for the fifth consecutive meeting, while three FOMC members voted for a 0.25 percent rate hike due to concerns over inflation staying above the 2 percent target for more than five years. Stocks fell broadly, led by technology, logistics, retail, and non-energy minerals sectors. BHP Group dropped 1.4 percent and Fortescue fell 0.9 percent. Gold mining stocks tumbled, with Northern Star Resources down 3.5 percent and Evolution Mining down 2.8 percent.
S&P/ASX 200 surges 121.70 points as oil prices fall and Middle East concerns ease
The S&P/ASX 200 index of the Australian stock market closed sharply higher by 121.70 points, or 1.39%, at 8,894.00 points today, supported by a drop in oil prices and an easing of tensions in the Middle East after the United States and Iran temporarily halted attacks on each other. The All Ordinaries index closed at 9,063.80 points, up 122.30 points, or 1.37%. All sectors advanced, led by technology, commercial services, non-energy minerals, and processing industries. Capricorn Metals soared 14.3%, BHP jumped 2.2%, Goodman Group rose 3.3%, Aristocrat Leisure gained 2.1%, and Evolution Mining added 2%. The four major banks rose between 1.1% and 1.5%. However, the market trimmed gains as investors turned cautious ahead of the release of Australia's June and second-quarter 2026 inflation data this week, amid concerns over persistent inflationary pressures.
Zacks Highlights Three Copper Stocks for AI Data Center Boom
Zacks Investment Research has identified Freeport-McMoRan, Southern Copper, and BHP Group as copper producers poised to benefit from the massive growth in AI-powered data centers. The four major hyperscalers have raised their AI capital expenditure budget to $750 billion for 2026, a figure expected to surpass $1 trillion next year, with Moody's estimating more than $3 trillion in total investment over the next five years. An AI-led data center consumes ten times more copper than a conventional one, and while data centers currently account for just 1% of global copper demand, the AI boom could dramatically reshape the landscape. Freeport-McMoRan is expanding reserves and executing smelter projects in Indonesia, Southern Copper is advancing over $20.5 billion in investments across Peru and Mexico, and BHP Group is leveraging strong execution at Escondida and Copper South Australia while shifting toward future-facing commodities. All three stocks carry a Zacks Rank of 3, or Hold.
New York copper futures close 1.21% higher on tight supply concerns
Copper futures for September delivery on the COMEX market closed up 7.60 cents, or 1.21%, at 6.3410 dollars per pound on Monday, supported by declining inventories and lower-than-expected supply from Chile, a major producer. BHP Group signaled that copper output in Chile is likely to decline next year, while South32 missed its production target in the fourth quarter as severe weather affected mines at its Chilean project. Goldman Sachs warned that if the Middle East conflict escalates, it could pressure prices through inflation concerns and prolonged high interest rates, which would hit industrial metals that rely on economic growth, amid steadily falling copper stockpiles.
BHP.LSE · Supply · Positive BHP signaled declining copper output in Chile, tightening supply and supporting copper prices, benefiting BHP as a copper producer.
S32.LSE · Supply · Positive South32 missed production target due to severe weather, reducing supply and supporting copper prices, benefiting South32 as a copper producer.
Labor Dispute Intensifies at BHP as Power Grid Maintenance Workers Vote to Strike
Australia's Electrical Trades Union announced on the 17th that maintenance workers on the high-voltage transmission grid managed by resources giant BHP in Western Australia's Pilbara region have overwhelmingly voted in favor of strike action. This comes just a day after negotiations over a labor agreement broke down at the company's iron ore operations in Port Hedland, where hundreds of workers launched an eight-hour strike, further escalating the industrial conflict. A total of 97.5 percent of electrical workers voted in favor of strikes ranging from 30 minutes to 24 hours, with the union demanding transparent job classifications and equal pay for equal work. BHP has scheduled talks involving the Fair Work Commission for the 21st and 23rd, stating it is focused on making constructive progress toward a fair and reasonable agreement.
BHP approves $900 million Ministers North iron ore project in Pilbara
BHP has approved a $900 million investment to develop the Ministers North iron ore project in Western Australia's Pilbara region. The project will develop the high-grade Brockman ore deposit as a satellite extension of the Yandi mine, leveraging existing infrastructure to reduce costs and improve efficiency. Once fully ramped up, Ministers North is expected to produce 20 million tonnes per annum, supporting BHP's medium-term iron ore production target of 305 million tonnes per year on a 100% basis. Construction is set to begin this month with first ore targeted in fiscal 2029. The joint venture is owned by BHP with 85%, Itochu Corporation with 8%, and Mitsui & Co. with 7%.
BHP iron ore production recovers in Q4, copper output muted
BHP Group's iron ore production recovered in the fourth quarter after weather-related disruptions hit output in the prior quarter, while copper production also edged up. West Australian iron ore production, on a 100% basis, rose 7% quarter-on-quarter to 74.8 million metric tons in the three months to June 30, and hit a record high for the fiscal year at 291.2 million metric tons, in line with guidance. Average realised iron ore prices were $83.58 per metric ton, down 2% sequentially but up 5% from a year ago. Copper production rose 3% quarter-on-quarter to 491.9 thousand metric tons, but fell 5% from a year earlier, with fiscal year output down 3% to 1.95 million metric tons, also in line with guidance. BHP guided fiscal 2027 iron ore production of 286 to 298 million metric tons and copper production of 1.65 to 1.80 million metric tons, citing an unexpected snag in its South Australia operations, while average realised copper prices surged to $6.53 per pound, up 11% sequentially and 47% year-on-year.
BHP.LSE · Supply · Positive Iron ore production recovered 7% QoQ and hit record fiscal year output, in line with guidance.
COPPER · Supply · Negative Copper production rose only 3% QoQ, fiscal year output down 3%, and guidance for 2027 is below current levels due to South Australia snag.
IRONORE · Supply · Positive Iron ore production recovered and record fiscal year output suggests stable supply, but prices fell 2% sequentially.
Sydney shares flat as miners fall after BHP cuts copper production outlook
The Sydney stock market ended flat. Mining giant BHP led declines in mining stocks after it cut its copper production outlook, while bank shares rose. BHP fell 2.3 percent, weighed down by a warning that copper output could drop by up to 15.5 percent in 2027 due to lower grades at the Escondida mine in Chile, as well as a strike at its Port Hedland iron ore operations. The mining index fell as much as 2.4 percent, with Rio Tinto and Fortescue down 0.4 percent and 1.1 percent respectively. Meanwhile, the bank index rose 0.9 percent to a two-month high, with the big four banks gaining between 0.1 percent and 1.8 percent.
BHP.LSE · Supply · Negative BHP cut copper production outlook by up to 15.5% due to lower grades at Escondida and a strike at Port Hedland iron ore operations.
COPPER · Supply · Positive BHP's copper production cut reduces expected supply, which is positive for copper prices.
IRONORE · Supply · Negative BHP's strike at Port Hedland iron ore operations may tighten supply, but iron ore futures not directly mentioned; negative for iron ore due to potential disruption.
RIO.LSE · Supply · Negative Rio Tinto fell 0.4% as part of mining sector decline led by BHP's copper production cut.
Fortescue Ltd · Supply · Negative Fortescue fell 1.1% as part of mining sector decline, though no company-specific news.
Sydney Stock Market Rises as Iron Ore Prices Climb on BHP Strike Concerns
The Sydney stock market closed higher. Major mining stocks were bought, and iron ore prices rose as concerns over supply disruptions grew due to a planned strike by workers at BHP's Port Hedland operations in Western Australia. The mining stock index gained 1.7 percent, with BHP rising as much as 4.4 percent to hit its highest level in about four weeks. The S&P/ASX index finished up 32.600 points at 8841.100.
Strike at BHP's iron ore port on the 16th after labour talks break down
Hundreds of workers at BHP's Port Hedland operations in Western Australia are expected to go on strike on the 16th. A union spokesperson said talks with the company over a labour agreement failed to reach a deal. Port Hedland is one of the world's largest iron ore export hubs, with BHP shipping around 80 million dollars' worth of iron ore from there each day. This strike is set to be BHP's biggest in at least 30 years. The strike is scheduled to run for eight hours from 2 p.m. to 10 p.m. local time on the 16th, with negotiations between the two sides set to resume on the 21st.
BHP Group secures environmental permit for $1.3 billion Escondida expansion
BHP Group has secured an initial environmental permit for the expansion of its Escondida copper mine in Chile. The approval allows the company to proceed with early-stage projects valued at $1.3 billion, including sulphide leaching operations and electricity infrastructure improvements. This permit is a key milestone within BHP's broader investment plan, which involves spending between $10.7 billion and $14.7 billion on its Chilean operations in the coming years. The upgrades aim to address declining ore grades and support the company's long-term goal of doubling its global copper output to over two million tonnes by the mid-2030s. BHP holds a 57.5% interest in the Escondida site, with the remaining ownership split between Rio Tinto Group and a consortium of Japanese companies.
BHP Group's leadership changes and copper project progress spark debate over whether shares are undervalued
BHP Group is in the spotlight following a series of leadership changes, including the planned retirement of Executive Director Mike Henry on June 30, 2026, and a reshaped executive team. The company's share price has eased in the short term, with a 7-day return of 4.53% and a 30-day return of 5.34%, but the year-to-date return of 24.28% and one-year total shareholder return of 54.67% indicate strong momentum. A widely followed narrative by Mason_ng estimates BHP's fair value at A$121.48, well above the last close of A$56.87, framing the stock as significantly undervalued. However, BHP trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 19.6 times, above the Australian Metals and Mining industry average of 11.1 times and slightly above its own fair ratio of 19.4 times, suggesting the market may already be pricing in much of the growth story. Key risks include exposure to commodity price swings and a potential slowdown in key markets such as China.
Critical Materials & Supply Chain › Copper Capital
BHP.LSE · Capital · Neutral Analyst valuation estimate suggests stock is undervalued, but current P/E above industry average implies growth already priced in.
The Australian stock market is trading significantly lower on Tuesday, with the benchmark S&P/ASX 200 falling below the 7,200 mark. The index is losing 68.50 points or 0.95 percent to 7,165.10, while the broader All Ordinaries Index is down 77.40 points or 1.03 percent to 7,429.60. Weakness in materials and technology stocks is partially offset by gains in gold miners and energy stocks as rising geopolitical tension between Russia and Ukraine weighs on market sentiment. Among major miners, Rio Tinto, BHP Group and Fortescue Metals are losing almost 1 percent each, while OZ Minerals is slipping more than 4 percent. In contrast, Woodside Petroleum and Beach Energy are advancing more than 2 percent each, and gold miners Northern Star Resources is up more than 4 percent. Shares in Coles are gaining almost 4 percent after posting a better-than-expected first-half profit, and Cochlear is surging more than 8 percent after declaring a higher interim dividend.
Defense & Geopolitical Fragmentation › Defense Primes — United States Geopolitics
Cochlear Limited · Capital · Positive Cochlear declared a higher interim dividend.
Coles Group Ltd · Capital · Positive Coles posted a better-than-expected first-half profit.
BHP.LSE · Geopolitics · Negative Rising geopolitical tension between Russia and Ukraine weighs on market sentiment, dragging down miners including BHP.
RIO.LSE · Geopolitics · Negative Rising geopolitical tension between Russia and Ukraine weighs on market sentiment, dragging down miners including Rio Tinto.
Faraday Copper to acquire BHP's San Manuel property in Arizona
Faraday Copper has signed a definitive agreement to acquire BHP's San Manuel property in Arizona, creating a multi-asset copper district in the USA. Faraday will issue common shares to BHP equivalent to a 30% fully diluted interest, with BHP expected to hold approximately 138 million shares after closing. The transaction combines San Manuel with Faraday's adjacent Copper Creek project, aiming to accelerate near-term copper cathode production and leverage private land and existing infrastructure. Faraday shareholders will vote on the deal at a special meeting expected in August 2026, with completion targeted by the end of the third quarter of 2026. The Board unanimously recommends approval, and TD Securities has provided a fairness opinion.
Faraday Copper Corp. · Capital · Positive Faraday Copper acquires BHP's San Manuel property, creating a multi-asset copper district and aiming to accelerate production.
BHP.LSE · Capital · Positive BHP is selling the San Manuel property for a 30% stake in Faraday Copper, a strategic divestiture of a non-core asset.
COPPER · Supply · Neutral The acquisition aims to accelerate copper production, but impact on copper futures is indirect and long-term.
Fortescue shares fall as China reportedly restricts iron ore shipments
Fortescue Metals shares declined 1.1% to $19.03 on Thursday after reports that Chinese authorities are restricting access to some of the company's iron ore shipments. China Mineral Resources Group, the state-owned company coordinating iron ore purchases, has verbally informed steel producers they will no longer be permitted to collect Fortescue's Super Special Fines and Fortune Fines from port inventories starting 15 July, according to Reuters. The affected products are lower-grade iron ore, and the move is part of Beijing's broader strategy to strengthen oversight of imports. UBS reaffirmed its Neutral rating on Fortescue while raising its target price to A$19.70 from A$19.40, reflecting limited expected upside. The wider market also weighed on sentiment, with Australia's S&P/ASX 200 falling around 0.5% as investors reduced exposure to banking and mining stocks, and iron ore prices remained near the $99 to $100 per tonne range.
Fortescue Ltd · Regulation · Negative China restricts access to Fortescue's iron ore shipments from port inventories starting 15 July, directly impacting its sales.
IRONORE · Demand · Negative China's restriction on iron ore shipments and weak sentiment may pressure iron ore prices, which are near $99-$100/tonne.
BHP.LSE · Demand · Negative China's restriction on Fortescue's iron ore shipments may reduce overall iron ore demand, negatively affecting BHP as a peer.
China Mineral Resources Group · Regulation · Neutral China Mineral Resources Group is the state-owned entity implementing the restriction; impact on the company itself is not discussed.
AVDE ETF Gains 23.6% Annually as International Dividends Outpace U.S. Markets
The Avantis International Equity ETF, trading under the ticker AVDE, has returned 23.6% over the past year, outperforming U.S. markets and delivering a distribution yield in the low-2.50% range backed by real operating cash flow across roughly 30 countries. ASML anchors the fund's income with $12.81 billion in free cash flow in fiscal 2025 and a total dividend of €7.50 per share, while HSBC contributes a yield above 5% but faces near-term dividend growth constraints after pausing buybacks. BHP's free cash flow fell 54.9% in fiscal 2025, reducing its total dividend to $1.10 per share and making its contribution a commodity-linked variable. The ETF's diversification across every major sector means no single dividend cut can crater the payout, and its active value tilt differentiates it from alternatives like the iShares International Select Dividend ETF and the Vanguard FTSE Developed Markets ETF.