BitcoinBTC-USD
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Higher bond yields and potential Fed rate hike reduce risk appetite, pressuring Bitcoin.
Impact on assets 1
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BitcoinFed Rate Decision Pits 104 Economists Against a 36% Hike Bet
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The Federal Reserve decides on interest rates this Wednesday with almost every economist expecting no change, while traders see a 36% chance of a hike. A Reuters poll of 104 economists unanimously predicted a hold, with 78 expecting no change through December, but fed funds futures have swung from a 13% hike probability a week ago to 36% now. Chair Kevin Warsh has stopped providing forward guidance, and the Fed will not publish new forecasts, leaving markets guessing amid oil above $100 a barrel and new US tariffs on 60 trading partners. The 10-year Treasury yield closed Friday at 4.69%, its highest since January 2025, and the two-year yield at 4.33% already exceeds the Fed's 3.75% ceiling. Bitcoin traded near $64,915, about 49% below its October 2025 record, as higher bond yields cap risk appetite ahead of Warsh's post-decision remarks.
BitcoinHigher bond yields and potential Fed rate hike reduce risk appetite, pressuring Bitcoin.