Goldman Sachs says AI could displace 15 million American workers over the next decade

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Goldman Sachs estimates that artificial intelligence could displace roughly 15 million American workers over the next decade, or about 9% of the U.S. workforce. Joseph Briggs, who co-leads Goldman Sachs Research's global economics team, said AI tools are already pulling between 10,000 and 15,000 jobs out of monthly payroll growth, concentrated in tech, management consulting, and graphic design. The bank's forecast is based on a historical pattern where every 1% technology-driven productivity gain raises job destruction rates by about half a percentage point over two years, and it expects AI to deliver a 15% productivity boost at full adoption. Briggs noted that lower-wage workers in predictable roles face the most immediate exposure, and income inequality is likely to widen during the transition. The June payrolls report showed just 57,000 jobs added, less than half of expectations, and the unemployment rate dipped to 4.2% only because 507,000 people stopped looking for work.

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IT · · Neutral Gartner conducted the survey and published the report, but the article reports no financial or business impact on Gartner itself.
AMZN · Demand · Neutral 75% of consumers plan to shop on Amazon, but the article only reports this as context in a Gartner survey, not a company-specific development.
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FICO · · Neutral FICO released its own 2026 State of Responsible AI study; the survey findings are about the industry, not a company-specific financial or product development.
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