Piper Sandler initiated coverage of Nvidia with an overweight rating and a $300 price target, calling the company the "outright leader in AI compute." Analyst David O'Connor launched the call as part of a broader initiation across AI chipmakers, estimating Nvidia holds roughly 80% of the AI compute market and about 50% of unit shipments, with industry supply expected to stay constrained for another two to three years. The firm projects Nvidia revenue growing at a 47% compound annual rate through fiscal 2030, with earnings reaching $30 a share, and derives the $300 target from a 14 times multiple on calendar 2028 estimates. That target sits about 34% above the prior close but roughly 8% below the average 12-month analyst target of $327.18, which carries 58 buy ratings against one sell; BMO Capital has a $340 target, Wedbush's Dan Ives a $250 base case for the end of 2026, and JPMorgan a $265 target for the rest of 2026. The initiation landed the same week Bloomberg reported the Justice Department is investigating whether Nvidia structured its roughly $20 billion licensing agreement with AI chip startup Groq to avoid antitrust review, sending shares down about 1%. Nvidia reported $96.2 billion in revenue for the quarter ended July 26, up 106% from a year earlier, with data center revenue of $89.0 billion, gross margin of 75%, and adjusted earnings of $2.22 a share, and guided to $108 billion in revenue for the current quarter.
BNP Paribas Raises AMD Price Target 60% to $960 on AI CPU Strength
BNP Paribas raised its price target on AMD by 60% to $960, citing remarkable strength in CPUs driven by artificial intelligence, while keeping a Neutral rating on the Dr. Lisa Su-led company. Analyst Karl Ackerman wrote that AMD is increasingly becoming a leading provider of AI infrastructure, successfully pivoting from a silicon pure-play to a full-stack systems platform, and said the firm's new agentic CPU model supports above-consensus estimates driven by AMD's leadership and roadmap to capture a growing share of a roughly $245B agentic CPU total addressable market by 2030. Ackerman noted that AMD's Helios AI accelerators have become a credible second source to Nvidia, backed by 14 gigawatts of commitments, and that the success of Helios, improvements in ROCm integration, and the recent acquisition of World Labs bolster AMD's opportunity to address frontier AI deployments, with OpenAI, Meta, and Anthropic having announced multi-gigawatt agreements and AMD potentially capturing at least 8% of the more than $1T 2030 GPU market. The analyst added that AMD expects ASICs and XPUs to serve roughly 25% of the accelerator market over time, with the Cerebras partnership pairing Helios for high-throughput inference with Cerebras' Wafer-Scale Engine for ultra-low-latency token generation, and the Taalas acquisition adding IP and engineering talent for AMD's own low-latency silicon. AMD shares were modestly lower in Monday trading.
NVIDIA's $279 Billion Supply Commitments Face Customer Spending Test
NVIDIA is carrying $279 billion in supply and capacity commitments, up from $119 billion at the prior quarter-end, a schedule that now hinges on whether customer spending keeps pace. The filing allocates $92 billion of those commitments to the remainder of fiscal 2027, $87 billion to fiscal 2028 and $88 billion to fiscal 2029, with smaller amounts afterward, and NVIDIA said it may cancel, reschedule or adjust some agreements before firm orders. NVIDIA also disclosed August guarantees capped at $105 billion for an OpenAI-related SB Energy buildout, which generally begin as the relevant leases commence, with the first construction phase expected in fiscal 2029 and payments dependent on specified tenant defaults. Inventory rose to $31.58 billion from $21.40 billion at the fiscal year-end, while accounts receivable increased to $63.06 billion from $38.47 billion, and some investment-grade customers have payment terms from 90 days to one year. NVIDIA generated $96.22 billion of second-quarter revenue and $63.73 billion of operating income, an operating margin of about 66%, and management guided to $108 billion of next-quarter revenue, plus or minus 2%, excluding China data-center compute sales. At September 30's $228.38 close, NVIDIA's equity was worth about $5.51 trillion, and its trailing free cash flow of roughly $127 billion implies a cash yield of about 2.3%.
Artificial Intelligence › AI Data Center & Build-out Demand
NVDA · Supply · Negative NVIDIA's supply and capacity commitments ballooned to $279B from $119B, a schedule that hinges on customer spending keeping pace and may be cancelled or rescheduled.
OpenAI · Capital · Neutral NVIDIA disclosed August guarantees capped at $105B for an OpenAI-related SB Energy buildout, but the article gives no clear read-through for OpenAI itself.
Bank of America Raises AMD Price Target to $720 on AI CPU Opportunity
Bank of America reiterated a Buy rating on Advanced Micro Devices and raised its price target to $720 from $620, citing the company's opportunity to capture a larger share of the rapidly expanding server CPU market. The firm expects the server market to grow from approximately $61 billion to $211 billion by 2030, with roughly $180 billion of that total tied to AI workloads, and sees agentic AI boosting demand for CPUs that coordinate workloads and manage data alongside GPUs. AMD's data center revenue rose 107% in the second quarter to $6.72 billion, driven by EPYC server CPUs and Instinct GPUs, while client business revenue climbed 23% year over year to $3.1 billion on Ryzen demand. The stock has gained more than 180% in 2026 and trades at a forward price-to-earnings multiple of 39X, roughly double Nvidia's 19X, though AMD's gross margin of 54% trails Nvidia's roughly 75%. Hedge fund participation increased to 164 funds holding AMD as of the second quarter, up from 134 in the first quarter, while short interest stood at approximately 39.98 million shares as of September 15, about 2.46% of the float.
Amazon Sets Up $8 Billion Vehicle for Nvidia Grace Blackwell Chips
Amazon has established an $8 billion special purpose vehicle to buy and lease back Nvidia Grace Blackwell chips to AWS clients, an off balance sheet financing tool for AI hardware as cloud capital demands rise. Morgan Stanley has reinstated Nvidia as a Top Pick, citing its view on AI data center demand and capacity expansion. The Amazon vehicle and the Morgan Stanley call both sit inside a wider Nvidia AI infrastructure story, alongside Nvidia's own US$500 billion ecosystem financing plans. The structure lets AWS keep building AI capacity without stacking all the hardware on its own balance sheet, pointing to new funding structures that can support large orders as AI factories become more capital intensive across cloud and sovereign projects. The clearest early signal on whether the model scales would be other hyperscalers or sovereign AI buyers setting up similar chip vehicles that explicitly name Nvidia hardware, with disclosed sizes and timelines.
Artificial Intelligence › AI Data Center & Build-out ▲Capital
AMZN · Capital · Positive Amazon sets up an $8B off-balance-sheet special purpose vehicle to buy and lease back Nvidia Grace Blackwell chips for AWS clients, expanding AI capacity without stacking hardware on its own balance sheet.
NVDA · Demand · Positive Amazon's $8B vehicle explicitly buys Nvidia Grace Blackwell chips, and Morgan Stanley's Top Pick cites AI data center demand and capacity expansion for Nvidia hardware.
MS · Capital · Positive Morgan Stanley reinstated Nvidia as a Top Pick, an analyst valuation call tied to AI data center demand and capacity expansion.
Nvidia Boosts Buyback by $150B as AMD Strikes $8.2B World Labs Deal
Nvidia said its board increased its share buyback program by $150 billion, leaving $235 billion in total authorization, the largest buyback program in U.S. history according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Advanced Micro Devices said it would acquire AI model and research lab World Labs in an all-stock transaction valued at nearly $8.2 billion, a deal Citi analyst Atif Malik said gives the company deeper visibility into how AI models are evolving, while RBC analyst Srini Pajjuri said it could help position AMD to offer full-stack solutions for robotics, simulation and physical AI markets. Micron Technology reported fourth-quarter results and an outlook that beat expectations as its strategic customer agreements continued to increase, and Accenture reported fiscal quarterly results that exceeded expectations on both revenue and bookings, sending its shares up nearly 16% on Thursday. HPE closed nearly 4% higher after saying it won a $1.2 billion order of AMD's Helios AI rack from cloud infrastructure company Vultr, and raised its fiscal 2027 networking growth outlook to the high-teens to low-20s on a percentage basis, with data center networking revenue expected to grow at a low-to-high 50s percent compound annual rate through fiscal 2029. Anthropic intends to launch its initial public offering before the Thanksgiving holiday, according to Bloomberg, which also reported that Broadcom's Wall Street syndicate is starting to gather $60 billion of fresh AI chip financing to benefit Anthropic PBC and other companies, while Meta Platforms is adding a new Meta Enterprise Platform for organizations, tapping MongoDB CEO Chirantan Desai to lead it, and introduced Muse for Small Business.
AMD · Capital · Positive AMD said it would acquire AI model and research lab World Labs in an all-stock transaction valued at nearly $8.2 billion.
HPE · Demand · Positive HPE won a $1.2 billion order of AMD's Helios AI rack from cloud infrastructure company Vultr.
HPE · Capital · Positive HPE raised its fiscal 2027 networking growth outlook to high-teens to low-20s and expects data center networking revenue to grow at a low-to-high 50s percent CAGR through fiscal 2029.
NVDA · Capital · Positive Nvidia's board increased its share buyback program by $150 billion, the largest in U.S. history.
World Labs · Capital · Positive AMD agreed to acquire World Labs in an all-stock deal valued at nearly $8.2 billion.
ACN · Capital · Positive Accenture reported fiscal quarterly results that exceeded expectations on both revenue and bookings, sending shares up nearly 16%.
CoreWeave Taps NVIDIA Vera Rubin NVL72 With Cognition as First Customer
CoreWeave announced availability of the NVIDIA Vera Rubin NVL72, with Cognition as its first production customer, alongside new support for the NVIDIA Vera CPU. Cognition, which uses CoreWeave for training, reinforcement learning and inference, reported that the Vera Rubin NVL72 delivered up to 4.8x higher total token throughput for SWE-2 inference workloads versus a GB200 NVL72 baseline and 3.8x higher output-token throughput for reinforcement-learning workloads. CoreWeave said a Vera rack can contain 128 CPUs and 11,264 cores, theoretically supporting more than 11,000 concurrent isolated environments, and that testing showed more than three times faster agent sandbox startup times compared with an x86 CPU. The company will offer Vera on bare metal using the same operating model and economics as the rest of its infrastructure, aiming to monetize CPU-intensive infrastructure alongside accelerator hours. CoreWeave remains heavily dependent on NVIDIA's technology roadmap and faces competition from hyperscalers and specialized GPU clouds including Microsoft Azure and Nebius Group N.V., which closed four deals in the quarter averaging more than $1 billion each and plans roughly £1.7 billion in U.K. AI compute expansion expected to deliver 65 MW when fully operational in 2027.
Artificial Intelligence › AI Server OEM & System Integration ▲Technology
CRWV · Demand · Positive CoreWeave launches NVIDIA Vera Rubin NVL72 availability with Cognition as first production customer, a concrete product/adoption win.
Cognition AI, Inc. · Demand · Positive Cognition is the first production customer for the Vera Rubin NVL72, reporting large throughput gains for its SWE-2 and RL workloads.
NVDA · Technology · Positive CoreWeave's new offering is built on NVIDIA's Vera Rubin NVL72 and Vera CPU, extending adoption of NVIDIA's platform.
NBIS · Competition · Neutral Mentioned as a specialized GPU-cloud competitor with four deals and U.K. expansion, but no direct news about Nebius itself.