Silver Jumps 2.3% to Near $61.80 as Hawkish Fed Bets Recede

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Summary · why it matters

Silver price rose 2.3% to near $61.80 during Monday's European session as traders scaled back hawkish Federal Reserve expectations following soft September US labor data. The economy created just 29K jobs in September, below the 90K estimate and a prior reading revised down to 133K from 162K, while the Unemployment Rate climbed to 4.2% against expectations it would hold at 4.1%. According to the CME FedWatch tool, the odds of a Fed rate hike at this month's policy meeting have fallen to 19.4% from 70.9% a week ago. Deutsche Bank analysts, however, see the broader labor market as broadly stable and expect two further 25 basis point Fed hikes over the next couple of quarters. The US Dollar Index rose 0.3% to near 102.20 and touched a fresh annual high near 102.53, supported by safe-haven demand tied to heightened French fiscal risks. On the technical side, XAG/USD trades at $61.69 below its 20-day exponential moving average at $63.24, with the Relative Strength Index at 43.89, while $30 is the immediate support zone and the August 3 low sits at $56.57.

Impact on assets 2

Financials▲ · 1 stocks
Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft
DBK
± MixedMonetaryrelevance

Deutsche Bank analysts expect two more 25bp Fed hikes, a view at odds with the article's dovish repricing after soft US jobs data.

Others▲ · 1 stocks
⛏Silver Futures
SILVER
▲ PositiveMonetaryrelevance

Silver jumped 2.3% as traders scaled back hawkish Fed bets after weak September US labor data cut rate-hike odds to 19.4%.

Theme Impact 1

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