Process Control — Metrology & Inspection

235.6+135.6%All 195.0 +95.0%

Lithography machines print the circuit pattern, and deposition/etch machines build transistors up one layer at a time. But there's another group of machines — the quietest and the most powerful. Their job is to "measure" whether every layer is the right thickness, and to "look" for tiny nano-scale defects that can kill a whole chip. This is Process Control. In a world where one chip costs a fortune, "good chips per wafer" (yield) is money — and the company that owns this market is a single name, KLA, with about 58% of the world.

Theme index · base 100 · USD total return

Why is Process Control — Metrology & Inspection moving?

Q2 2026
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AI chip demand lifts metrology, but memory and macro risks bite

  • AI chip demand drives metrology orders KLA hit record highs, while Onto, Camtek, FormFactor and Teradyne reported surging orders, as AI chip demand strongly lifted metrology and inspection tool sales.

    This is the main positive force behind the sector's performance in the period.

  • Samsung/SK Hynix $500B+ Korea hub promises sustained tool demand Samsung and SK Hynix's planned $500B+ Korea hub signals years of new chip capacity, promising sustained demand for process control tools and supporting the sector's long-term growth.

    This is a new, large-scale commitment that underpins future demand for metrology and inspection.

  • SK Hynix slows HBM expansion, hurting toolmakers SK Hynix slowed its HBM expansion, which hurt KLA, Nova and FormFactor, showing how quickly memory-market shifts can cut demand for process control equipment.

    This is a key negative development that created a real counterweight to the AI-driven optimism.

  • KLA falls 12% in broad chipmaker sell-off KLA fell over 12% in a broad chipmaker sell-off, driven by weak US jobs data and China exposure worries, highlighting how macro and geopolitical concerns can overshadow strong AI demand.

    This captures the market volatility and external risks that pressured the sector despite positive fundamentals.

Latest
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AI chip and memory boom drives record metrology demand; competition and China risks persist

  • AI and memory boom lifts metrology demand to record levels Bank of America raised its US chip growth forecast to 18% a year through 2030 and now sees wafer-fab equipment spending at $156 billion in 2026, up 33%. More chip production means more measuring and testing tools are needed at every step.

    This is the core force driving the theme: surging AI and memory chip production directly increases demand for process-control tools.

  • Advanced packaging inspection demand surges on HBM4 and AI chips Camtek sees 45% growth in advanced packaging inspection in the second half, with 80% of orders tied to AI and HBM. Onto raised its 2026 advanced packaging outlook to at least 80% on strong Dragonfly G5 demand. This niche is growing much faster than the overall market.

    Advanced packaging is a key sub-area of process control, and these specific growth figures show where the strongest demand is coming from.

  • Record results and order backlogs confirm broad strength Renishaw posted record annual revenue and profit on demand for optical encoders used in chip equipment. Teradyne's Q2 revenue doubled year over year, and KLA's process-control revenue rose 12% with a $12.5 billion backlog. These results show the boom is broad, not just one company.

    These company results provide concrete evidence that the demand surge is translating into actual sales and profits across the theme.

  • Intensifying competition and China risks cap upside KLA faces tougher competition from Applied Materials, which expects its process-control business to grow over 50% in 2026, and from ASML. Meanwhile, China export controls and rising local rivals like Camtek's Asian competitors threaten Western suppliers' access to a major market.

    This is the main counterweight to the positive demand story, and it could limit how much Western metrology firms benefit from the boom.

Q3 2026
▲2▼1

AI and memory drive record metrology demand, but China risks and volatility persist

  • Record demand from AI, advanced packaging, HBM4, and memory Metrology and inspection demand hit records in Q3 2026, driven by AI chips, advanced packaging, HBM4, and memory. KLA, FormFactor, Nova, Onto, Camtek, Teradyne, and Renishaw posted strong results and backlogs.

    This is the core positive force behind the sector's performance in the quarter.

  • SEMI forecasts equipment sales peak at $229.5B by 2028 SEMI forecasts equipment sales peaking at $229.5B by 2028, signaling long-term growth. Chinese toolmakers like Jingce and Semitronix also surged, adding to the positive momentum.

    This highlights the long-term demand outlook and broadening global participation.

  • China self-sufficiency and ASML breakthrough spark inspection stock sell-offs China's self-sufficiency push and a reported ASML breakthrough sparked sell-offs in inspection stocks. U.S. export controls threaten Western suppliers' China access, adding to the negative pressure.

    This is a key risk that weighed on the sector during the quarter.

  • KLA falls despite records as rivals gain; volatility from valuations and Fed KLA fell despite records as rivals like Applied Materials, ASML, Skyverse, and Changchuan gained. Rich valuations, margin pressure, lumpy orders, weak guidance, and a hawkish Fed kept the sector volatile.

    This captures the mixed performance and volatility that characterized the quarter.

News & notes moving Process Control — Metrology & Inspection
United StatesJapan
Process Control — Metrology & Inspection▲2impact 4

Onto Innovation Stock Up 126% as Record Q2 Revenue and $1 Billion Backlog Fuel Bull Case

Onto Innovation has emerged as a key beneficiary of the AI semiconductor investment cycle, with its stock jumping 125.6% in a year, roughly matching the Zacks Nanotechnology industry's 125.7% gain and outpacing the Zacks Computer and Technology sector and the S&P 500 composite, which rose 26% and 15.5%, respectively. The company reported record second-quarter revenue of $343.1 million, up 35.3% year over year and nearly 18% sequentially, with non-GAAP earnings per share of $1.93 versus $1.25 a year earlier, while backlog exceeded $1 billion for the first time. Management raised its second-half 2026 revenue, margin and EPS outlook, guiding third-quarter revenue of $380 to $400 million and expecting gross margin to expand by another 50 basis points in each of the third and fourth quarters, with operating margin improving 200 basis points to 31.5-32.5% in the third quarter and exceeding 33% by year-end. The company also raised its 2026 advanced-packaging growth outlook to at least 80% from more than 50% previously and now expects advanced-nodes revenue to grow more than 35% in 2026, up from about 25%, helped by its Dragonfly G5 platform and more than $200 million in Dragonfly orders from a single OSAT, mostly for 2027 delivery. In April 2026, Onto Innovation agreed to acquire a 27% stake in Rigaku Holdings for about $710 million, and it ended the second quarter with $1.88 billion in cash and short-term investments, though risks include customer concentration, with four customers accounting for 57.3% of first-half 2026 revenue, and a forward price/earnings multiple of 30.23X versus the industry's 5.83X.
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Semiconductors › Process Control — Metrology & Inspection ▲Demand
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ONTO · Capital · Positive Onto Innovation reported record Q2 revenue of $343.1M, EPS of $1.93, a >$1B backlog, and raised its 2026 outlook.
ONTO · Demand · Positive Onto raised its 2026 advanced-packaging growth outlook to at least 80% and cited over $200M in Dragonfly orders from a single OSAT.
268A.JP · Capital · Neutral Onto agreed to acquire a 27% stake in Rigaku Holdings for about $710 million, a passing mention with no detail on Rigaku's own outlook.
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Japan
Process Control — Metrology & Inspection

JEOL Launches HAXIS Low-Angle Ion Milling Scanning Electron Microscope

JEOL Ltd. announced the development of HAXIS, a new low-angle ion-milling scanning electron microscope, and began sales on October 5, 2026. The instrument is a semiconductor failure analysis platform that combines low-angle ion milling delayering with scanning electron microscopy imaging and passive voltage contrast analysis. According to the company, HAXIS delivers clear and highly reproducible PVC observation even on advanced semiconductors, using argon, an inert gas, to ensure stable surface quality and reduce running costs. The combined workflow is designed to speed the path from electrical failure detection to physical analysis and root-cause identification, supporting quick turnaround time failure analysis. JEOL is led by President and CEO Izumi Oi.
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Semiconductors › Process Control — Metrology & Inspection Technology
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6951.JP · Technology · Positive JEOL developed and launched HAXIS, a new low-angle ion-milling SEM platform for semiconductor failure analysis.
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United StatesNetherlands
Process Control — Metrology & Inspection▲impact 4

KLA Backlog Surges to $12.57 Billion on AI Demand

KLA Corporation's backlog climbed to $12.57 billion at the end of fiscal 2026 from $7.86 billion a year earlier, driven primarily by demand tied to the AI infrastructure buildout. In the fourth quarter of fiscal 2026, the company raised its calendar 2026 wafer fabrication equipment market expectation, including advanced packaging, to the low-$150-billion range, up from its earlier view of more than $140 billion and compared with roughly $120 billion in calendar 2025. KLA expects second-half calendar 2026 revenues to increase roughly 20% from the first half as additional supply becomes available, and it forecasts advanced-packaging process-control systems revenues of approximately $1.1 billion in calendar 2026, up more than 70% year over year. Rivals are expanding too: Applied Materials expects its process diagnostics and control business to grow more than 50% in 2026, while ASML Holding expects full-year 2026 advanced foundry and logic revenues to rise about 25%, memory revenues to increase 75% and EUV revenues to grow roughly 45%. KLA shares have risen 55.7% year to date, and the Zacks Consensus Estimate for its earnings stands at $1.18 per share, unchanged over the past 30 days and implying 34.09% year-over-year growth.
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Semiconductors › Process Control — Metrology & Inspection ▲Demand
KLAC · Demand · Positive KLA's backlog surged to $12.57 billion from $7.86 billion on AI-infrastructure-driven demand, with advanced-packaging process-control revenue seen up over 70% in calendar 2026.
AMAT · Demand · Positive Applied Materials expects its process diagnostics and control business to grow more than 50% in 2026, cited as a rival expanding on the same AI-driven equipment demand.
ASML.AS · Demand · Positive ASML expects full-year 2026 advanced foundry/logic revenues up ~25%, memory up 75% and EUV up ~45%, reflecting the same AI-driven equipment demand.
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TaiwanUnited States
Process Control — Metrology & Inspection▲2impact 4

TSMC 2nm capacity to reach 120,000 wafers monthly by end-2026, EDN reports

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co is accelerating its 2-nanometre capacity expansion, with monthly output projected to reach about 120,000 wafers by the end of 2026, ahead of earlier expectations of 90,000 to 100,000 wafers, according to Taiwanese publication EDN. Customers including Apple, Nvidia, AMD, Qualcomm and MediaTek have recently raised orders for TSMC's 2nm family capacity by 10% to 20%, the report said, citing industry sources. TSMC is bringing five 2nm fabs online this year, two in Hsinchu and three in Kaohsiung, according to senior vice president Hou Yung-ching. Hou said first-year 2nm wafer output would be 45% higher than the first-year output of 3nm in 2023, while 2nm capacity is expected to grow at a compound annual rate of 70% from 2026 to 2028.
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Semiconductors › Process Control — Metrology & Inspection ▲Demand
2330.TW · Supply · Positive TSMC is accelerating 2nm capacity expansion to ~120,000 wafers monthly by end-2026, ahead of prior expectations.
2454.TW · Demand · Positive MediaTek is named among customers that raised TSMC 2nm orders by 10-20%, signaling strong demand for its next-gen chips.
AAPL · Demand · Positive Apple raised its orders for TSMC's 2nm capacity by 10-20%, signaling strong demand for its next-gen chips.
AMD · Demand · Positive AMD raised its orders for TSMC's 2nm family capacity by 10-20%.
NVDA · Demand · Positive Nvidia raised its orders for TSMC's 2nm family capacity by 10-20%.
QCOM · Demand · Positive Qualcomm raised its orders for TSMC's 2nm family capacity by 10-20%.
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United States
Process Control — Metrology & Inspection▲impact 4

Onto Innovation Raises Advanced Packaging Outlook to 80% on Dragonfly G5 Demand

Onto Innovation has raised its full-year 2026 advanced packaging growth outlook to at least 80% from more than 50% previously, citing strong demand for its Dragonfly G5 inspection platform. The company generated $343.1 million of quarterly revenue, up 35.3% year over year, while its inspection business, dominated by Dragonfly systems, grew approximately 30% sequentially on demand from 2.5D logic and HBM applications. Onto launched Dragonfly G5 in March 2026 and disclosed in April that the platform had been qualified for 2.5D AI packaging applications, with demand strongest among HBM manufacturers and AI-focused OSATs, including more than $200 million in Dragonfly orders from a single OSAT, most slated for 2027. Management said demand for the Dragonfly platform is expected to grow more than 50% in 2026 from 2025 and expects further growth in 2027 with no signs of customer overcapacity. Competitors are also benefiting from the same AI-driven spending: KLA now expects 2026 wafer fabrication equipment spending in the low-$150 billion range, up from $135-$140 billion, and Applied Materials expects advanced packaging revenue to grow more than 70% in 2026, up from its prior outlook of more than 50%.
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Semiconductors › Process Control — Metrology & Inspection ▲Demand
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Artificial Intelligence › HBM & AI Memory ▲Demand
ONTO · Demand · Positive Onto raised its 2026 advanced packaging growth outlook to at least 80% on strong Dragonfly G5 demand, including more than $200 million in orders from a single OSAT.
AMAT · Demand · Positive Applied Materials expects advanced packaging revenue to grow more than 70% in 2026, up from prior outlook of more than 50%, on the same AI-driven spending.
KLAC · Demand · Positive KLA now expects 2026 wafer fabrication equipment spending in the low-$150 billion range, up from $135-$140 billion, benefiting from the same AI-driven spending.
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United States
Process Control — Metrology & Inspection▲

Teradyne Leads Semiconductor Manufacturing Stocks With Record Q2, Revenue Up 104%

Teradyne reported Q2 revenues of $1.33 billion, up 104% year on year, exceeding analysts' expectations by 9.3% and posting the biggest analyst estimate beat and highest guidance raise among the 14 semiconductor manufacturing stocks tracked. The company, a US-based supplier of automated test equipment for semiconductors, also beat analysts' EPS and operating income estimates, and its stock is up 20.8% since reporting, trading at $387.50. Across the group, revenues beat consensus estimates by 3.5% while next quarter's revenue guidance came in 6.5% above expectations, and share prices are up 7.2% on average since the latest earnings results. Kulicke and Soffa reported revenues of $330.4 million, up 123% year on year and 5.7% above expectations, the fastest revenue growth of the group, though its stock is down 3.2% since reporting at $90.86. KLA Corporation reported revenues of $3.66 billion, up 15.2% year on year and 1.3% above expectations, with its stock down 1.5% at $188.03, while Entegris reported revenues of $883.2 million, up 11.5% and 5.5% above expectations, with its stock up 19.8% at $149.97, and Amtech reported revenues of $22.38 million, up 14.5% and 4.1% above expectations, with its stock down 5.2% at $15.19.
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Semiconductors › Process Control — Metrology & Inspection ▲Demand
TER · Capital · Positive Teradyne reported record Q2 revenue of $1.33B, up 104% YoY, beating EPS and operating income estimates with the biggest beat and highest guidance raise of the group.
ASYS · Capital · Positive Amtech reported Q2 revenue of $22.38M, up 14.5% YoY and 4.1% above expectations.
ENTG · Capital · Positive Entegris reported Q2 revenue of $883.2M, up 11.5% YoY and 5.5% above expectations.
KLAC · Capital · Positive KLA reported Q2 revenue of $3.66B, up 15.2% YoY and 1.3% above expectations.
KLIC · Capital · Positive Kulicke and Soffa reported revenue of $330.4M, up 123% YoY and 5.7% above expectations, the fastest growth of the group.
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United Kingdom
Process Control — Metrology & Inspection▲

Renishaw Posts Record Annual Results on AI Chip Equipment Demand

Renishaw reported record full-year results for the year to June, with revenue up 14% to £815.8 million and adjusted pretax profit rising 32% to a record £168 million, sending its shares up around 3%. Adjusted operating profit climbed 36% to £152.9 million, lifting the margin to 18.7% from 15.7%, while adjusted earnings per share increased 30% to 179.5p and statutory pretax profit rose 27% to £150 million despite £18 million of redundancy and other one-off costs. Fourth-quarter revenue reached a record £244.2 million, up 28% year on year, and the order book continued to grow. Position Measurement was the standout division, with revenue jumping 26% to £260.9 million and adjusted operating profit up 53% to £71.5 million as its margin expanded to 27.4% from 22.5% on demand for optical encoders used in semiconductor manufacturing equipment, while Specialised Technologies grew revenue 43% to £107.5 million and swung from a £9.9 million adjusted operating loss to a £4.7 million profit. Industrial Metrology, still the largest part of the group, grew 4% as weakness in some traditional industrial markets offset demand for newer metrology systems and software. Renishaw increased its regular dividend by 5% to 82p per share and added a special 70p interim dividend, with cash and deposits rising to £291 million.
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Semiconductors › Process Control — Metrology & Inspection ▲Demand
RSW.LSE · Capital · Positive Adjusted pretax profit rose 32% to a record £168 million, margin expanded to 18.7%, and the dividend was increased with a special payout.
RSW.LSE · Demand · Positive Record annual results driven by demand for optical encoders used in semiconductor manufacturing equipment, with revenue up 14% and order book growing.
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China
Process Control — Metrology & Inspection

Uni-Trend Launches and Sells Vector Network Analyzer Products

Uni-Trend stated on an investor interaction platform on September 23 that the company has launched and is selling vector network analyzer products. The current product line mainly includes the VNA4000 series, with a frequency range of 100 kilohertz to 9 gigahertz, 2 or 4 ports, and a dynamic range greater than 138 decibels, as well as the VNA3000 series, with a frequency range of 100 kilohertz to 8.5 gigahertz. These products are mainly aimed at the research, development, and production testing of radio frequency components and assemblies in fields such as wireless communications, broadcasting and television, automotive electronics, semiconductors, and medical devices, providing performance testing solutions. The company said that based on publicly available industry information, with the development of downstream sectors such as communications, high-speed data center interconnects, automotive electronics intelligence, and semiconductors, the demand for higher frequency and higher precision testing of radio frequency and microwave components is generally on the rise. The high-end vector network analyzer market is still mainly occupied by leading overseas manufacturers, leaving considerable room for domestic substitution. The company also cautioned that revenue from vector network analyzer related products has a small base and accounts for a relatively low proportion of overall revenue.
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Semiconductors › Process Control — Metrology & Inspection Competition
688628.CG · Technology · Positive Uni-Trend launched and is selling new VNA4000/VNA3000 vector network analyzer products, expanding its RF test product line.
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TaiwanUnited States
Process Control — Metrology & Inspection▲impact 4

TSMC Q2 CapEx Hits $15.59 Billion as 2026 Budget Raised a Third Time

TSMC spent $15.59 billion on capital expenditure in its June 2026 quarter, its largest quarterly outlay in the past eight quarters and about 42% above the $10.98 billion spent in the prior quarter, as the company raised its 2026 capital budget for a third time this year, from $52 billion to $56 billion in January, to the high end of that range in April, and to $60 billion to $64 billion in July. On the Q2 2026 earnings call, CFO Wendell Huang guided third quarter gross margin down 170 basis points to 66%, citing 3 to 4 percentage points of dilution from the steep ramp of TSMC's 2 nanometer process, even as the June 2026 quarter's gross margin reached 67.72%, its highest in two years and consistent with the 67.7% figure cited by CEO C.C. Wei. Huang said TSMC generated about $24.5 billion in operating cash flow that quarter, enough to cover the $15.59 billion in CapEx and roughly $4.9 billion in dividends without new borrowing. TSMC is trading at 22.46 times forward normalized earnings, close to its 22.41 times two year average and well below the 29.65 times high in that range, after a mid September selloff tied to AI safety warnings from Anthropic's Dario Amodei and OpenAI's Sam Altman rather than anything specific to TSMC. Institutional 13F filings dated June 30, 2026 show a split Street, with Coatue raising its TSMC stake 7.6% to 9.3 million ADRs and Situational Awareness lifting its position to 2.6 million shares, while Lone Pine cut its stake 92.7%, SoftBank cut 71.5%, and Viking Global cut 29%.
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2330.TW · Capital · Positive TSMC raised its 2026 capex budget for a third time to $60-64B and spent a record $15.59B in Q2, funded by $24.5B operating cash flow without new borrowing.
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Process Control — Metrology & Inspection▲impact 4

KLA Lifts Calendar 2026 WFE Market Estimate to Low-$150 Billion Range

KLA Corporation is benefiting from accelerating artificial intelligence infrastructure spending, which is driving higher investments in leading-edge foundry and logic technologies and boosting demand for its process-control solutions. In fiscal 2026, the Semiconductor Process Control segment's revenues increased 12% year over year, and overall fiscal 2026 revenues rose 12% year over year to $13.58 billion. During the fourth quarter of fiscal 2026, management raised its calendar 2026 wafer-fabrication equipment market estimate, including advanced packaging, to the low-$150 billion range, up from its previous $140 billion-plus view and approximately $120 billion in calendar 2025. KLAC expects second-half 2026 revenues to be approximately 20% higher than the first half, aided by high-performance computing, high-bandwidth memory, increasing extreme ultraviolet adoption in DRAM and advanced packaging technologies such as hybrid bonding, and said backlog was expected to reach about $12.5 billion. The company faces intensifying competition from Applied Materials, which expects its process diagnostics and control business to grow more than 50% in calendar 2026, and from ASML, which expects advanced foundry and logic revenues to rise about 25% in 2026 and extreme ultraviolet revenues to increase roughly 45%.
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Semiconductors › Process Control — Metrology & Inspection ▲Demand
Semiconductors › Wafer-Fab Equipment & Lithography ▲Demand
Artificial Intelligence › Foundry & Advanced Packaging ▲Supply
Artificial Intelligence › AI Compute & Accelerator Silicon ▲Demand
Semiconductors › Deposition, Etch & Process Tools ▲Demand
Semiconductors › Lithography Systems ▲Demand
Semiconductors › Foundry & Contract Fabrication ▲Demand
Semiconductors › Memory — DRAM, NAND & HBM ▲Demand
KLAC · Capital · Positive Management raised its calendar 2026 WFE market estimate to the low-$150 billion range from $140 billion-plus and guided second-half 2026 revenues ~20% above the first half.
KLAC · Demand · Positive AI infrastructure spending is driving leading-edge foundry/logic investment and demand for KLA's process-control solutions, with fiscal 2026 revenue up 12% to $13.58 billion and backlog near $12.5 billion.
AMAT · Competition · Neutral Named as an intensifying competitor whose process diagnostics and control business is expected to grow over 50% in calendar 2026.
ASML.AS · Competition · Neutral Cited as a competitor expecting advanced foundry/logic revenues up ~25% and EUV revenues up ~45% in 2026.
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IsraelUnited StatesSouth Korea
Process Control — Metrology & Inspection▲

Camtek Projects 45% Advanced Packaging Growth on AI Chip Inspection Demand

Camtek, the dominant player in advanced packaging inspection and metrology with about 60% market share, is positioning itself for strong growth as AI chip demand expands. In its most recent quarter, roughly 80% of orders were for advanced packaging inspection, driven by memory chip manufacturers transitioning to HBM4 chips and expanding production amid the memory shortage. Camtek's Q2 revenue rose 8% year over year to a record $133 million, and third-quarter revenue is expected to rise about 20% sequentially to around $159 million, with second-half revenue projected to grow 25% over the first half. CEO Rafi Amit said on the Q2 earnings call that the company's leading position in advanced packaging is expected to drive approximately 45% growth in that business in the second half of 2026 compared with the first half. The broader advanced packaging inspection industry is expected to grow at a compound annual rate of 11% over the next five years to $6.2 billion, up from $3.7 billion in 2026, and most orders coming in now will be executed in 2027. Camtek stock is up 25% year to date and 52% over the past 12 months, though it has fallen about 35% from its May peak, leaving its trailing P/E around 184 and its forward P/E at 27, with analysts holding a median price target of $190 per share.
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Semiconductors › Process Control — Metrology & Inspection ▲Demand
Artificial Intelligence › HBM & AI Memory ▲Demand
Semiconductors › Advanced Packaging & Test (OSAT) ▲Demand
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Semiconductors › Memory — DRAM, NAND & HBM ▲Demand
MU · Demand · Positive Memory chip makers transitioning to HBM4 and expanding production amid the memory shortage are driving ~80% of Camtek's advanced packaging inspection orders.
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IsraelUnited StatesASAsia
Process Control — Metrology & Inspection▲

Camtek Eyes US$0.98 EPS as Q3 2026 Revenue Guidance Points to 20% Growth

Camtek is heading into its upcoming earnings report with analysts projecting earnings per share of US$0.98, up from the same quarter last year, after the stock closed its most recent session at US$138.59. The company has guided for Q3 2026 revenue of US$158 million to US$160 million, implying about 20 percent sequential growth, supported by large Hawk and Eagle G5 orders tied to AI and HBM applications. Camtek's narrative projects US$821.7 million in revenue and US$367.0 million in earnings by 2029, requiring 18.1 percent yearly revenue growth and roughly a US$319 million earnings increase from US$48.1 million today, with a fair value estimate of US$187.25, a 35 percent upside to the current price. The most cautious analysts assume revenue of about US$762 million and earnings near US$375 million by 2029, underscoring how sharply expectations can differ. The core risk remains that demand from a concentrated set of HPC and Asia based customers could prove more volatile than expected.
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Semiconductors › Process Control — Metrology & Inspection ▲Demand
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United States
Process Control — Metrology & Inspection▲4impact 4

BofA Lifts US Semiconductor Growth Forecast to 18% Through 2030

Bank of America raised its growth forecast for the US semiconductor industry, projecting an 18% compound annual growth rate between 2026 and 2030, up from its previous estimate of 14%. The bank attributed the revision primarily to higher expectations for memory chips and server-related components, and now forecasts the industry's total addressable market will reach $3.2 trillion by 2030, up from its previous estimate of $2.7 trillion. BofA said the industry took approximately 50 years to reach $1 trillion in sales but could double its current estimated market size of $1.7 trillion within four years, citing customer orders and capacity commitments across the data-centre and AI sectors. Separately, the bank raised its forecasts for the wafer fabrication equipment market, expecting spending to reach $156 billion in 2026, a 33% increase from the prior year, and $210 billion in 2027, representing projected annual growth of 34%, with the revisions reflecting higher expected spending on memory manufacturing equipment, particularly for DRAM production. BofA forecasts DRAM equipment spending of $61 billion in 2026 and $85 billion in 2027, and estimates the overall wafer fabrication equipment market could reach $360 billion by 2030, a compound annual growth rate of approximately 23% between 2026 and 2030.
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BAC · Capital · Positive BofA raised its US semiconductor growth and WFE spending forecasts, a bullish analyst/valuation revision from the bank itself.
NVDA · Demand · Positive BofA cited customer orders and capacity commitments across data-centre and AI sectors, supporting demand for NVIDIA's AI chips.
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Process Control — Metrology & Inspection▲

Applied Materials Posts Record Q2 Revenue of $9.12 Billion, Up 24.8%

Applied Materials reported quarterly revenues of $9.12 billion, up 24.8% year on year, exceeding analysts' expectations by 0.9%, as the 14 semiconductor manufacturing stocks tracked by the report delivered a very strong Q2 in which group revenues beat consensus estimates by 3.5% and next quarter's revenue guidance came in 6.5% above. President and CEO Gary Dickerson called it another record-breaking quarter with the highest sequential revenue growth in the company's history, citing significant improvement in inventory levels and next-quarter revenue guidance above analysts' expectations, though the stock is down 15.3% since reporting and trades at $453.00. Among peers, Kulicke and Soffa posted the group's fastest growth with revenues of $330.4 million, up 123% year on year and 5.7% above expectations, yet its stock is down 11.7% at $82.90, while KLA Corporation, the weakest of the group, reported revenues of $3.66 billion, up 15.2% and 1.3% above expectations, with its stock down 7.3% at $176.86. FormFactor reported revenues of $258.2 million, up 31.9% and 7.6% above expectations, with its stock up 34.7% at $112.38, and Lam Research reported revenues of $6.72 billion, up 30% year on year, meeting expectations, with its stock up 17.8% at $297.23.
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Semiconductors › Deposition, Etch & Process Tools ▲Demand
Semiconductors › Wafer-Fab Equipment & Lithography ▲Demand
Semiconductors › Process Control — Metrology & Inspection ▲Demand
AMAT · Capital · Positive Applied Materials reported record Q2 revenue of $9.12B, up 24.8% YoY and above consensus, with strong next-quarter guidance.
FORM · Capital · Positive FormFactor reported revenue of $258.2M, up 31.9% YoY and 7.6% above expectations.
KLAC · Capital · Positive KLA reported revenue of $3.66B, up 15.2% YoY and 1.3% above expectations, though it was the group's weakest.
KLIC · Capital · Positive Kulicke and Soffa posted the group's fastest growth, revenue of $330.4M up 123% YoY and 5.7% above expectations.
LRCX · Capital · Positive Lam Research reported revenue of $6.72B, up 30% YoY, meeting expectations.
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Process Control — Metrology & Inspection▲

Bank of America Double-Upgrades Renishaw to Buy, Lifts Target to 5,400p

Bank of America upgraded Renishaw from Underperform to Buy and lifted its price target to 5,400p from 2,779p, sending the precision-engineering group's shares up more than 5%. The broker argued the current demand cycle is considerably stronger than previously expected, particularly across semiconductor and electronics manufacturing equipment and aerospace and defense. The call follows increasingly strong trading updates from Renishaw itself: fourth-quarter revenue reached a record of approximately £243 million, up 27% year on year and 18% from the previous quarter, while full-year revenue is expected to reach around £815 million, representing growth of 14%. Adjusted operating profit for the year is expected to be approximately £152 million, and adjusted profit before tax should reach roughly £167 million, up 31% year on year. Bank of America raised its 2027 EBIT estimate by 22% to £181 million, about 11% above current consensus, and Renishaw's full-year results on September 23 will be the next major test of whether the roughly £815 million of revenue and £167 million of adjusted pretax profit are delivered as expected.
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Aerospace & Aviation › Aerostructures & Components ▲Demand
Semiconductors › Process Control — Metrology & Inspection ▲Demand
RSW.LSE · Capital · Positive BofA double-upgraded Renishaw to Buy and lifted its price target to 5,400p from 2,779p.
RSW.LSE · Demand · Positive Broker cited a considerably stronger demand cycle in semiconductor/electronics equipment and aerospace/defense, alongside record Q4 revenue up 27% year on year.
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Process Control — Metrology & Inspection▲

JPMorgan Names KLA Top Chip-Equipment Pick, Lifts WFE Forecasts

JPMorgan raised its forecasts for the wafer fabrication equipment market and named KLA as its top pick among U.S. chip-equipment makers in a note to clients on Friday. Analyst Mio Shikanai lifted the bank's WFE market growth estimates to 31% for 2026, taking the market to $163 billion, 38% for 2027 at $225 billion and 17% for 2028 at $263 billion, a 28% compound annual growth rate over 2025 to 2028. Shikanai said cloud service providers are accelerating their investments in response to further growth in AI-related demand, with spending by the top four U.S. players seen growing at a 58% annual rate through 2028. DRAM memory and TSMC drove the upgrade, with the analyst expecting memory supply to lag demand even in 2028 and TSMC's leading-edge capacity to stay above 100% utilization. Shikanai said she sees the most attractive risk/reward in KLA given its relative underperformance year to date, underappreciated exposure to foundry and logic-led WFE spending in 2027, and potential for upward revisions to consensus revenue estimates, noting KLA shares are up about 50% this year but have lagged peers Lam Research and Applied Materials, up roughly 85% and 82%, respectively.
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Semiconductors › Wafer-Fab Equipment & Lithography ▲Demand
Artificial Intelligence › HBM & AI Memory ▲Supply
Semiconductors › Process Control — Metrology & Inspection ▲Demand
Artificial Intelligence › Foundry & Advanced Packaging ▲Supply
Semiconductors › Memory — DRAM, NAND & HBM ▲Demand
Artificial Intelligence › AI Compute & Accelerator Silicon ▲Demand
Semiconductors › Deposition, Etch & Process Tools ▲Demand
Semiconductors › Foundry & Contract Fabrication ▲Demand
KLAC · Capital · Positive JPMorgan named KLA its top pick among U.S. chip-equipment makers, citing underperformance and potential upward consensus revenue revisions.
AMAT · Capital · Positive JPMorgan's raised WFE market forecasts and AI-driven capex outlook lift the chip-equipment sector, benefiting Applied Materials as a peer named in the note.
LRCX · Capital · Positive Raised WFE forecasts and AI-driven spending support Lam Research, named as a peer that has outperformed KLA.
2330.TW · Demand · Positive TSMC's leading-edge capacity staying above 100% utilization drove JPMorgan's WFE upgrade, signaling strong demand for its foundry output.
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Process Control — Metrology & Inspection▲2impact 4

Applied Materials CEO Backs 40% Growth Forecast With Eight-Quarter Order Book

Applied Materials CEO Gary Dickerson told David Faber at Goldman's Copia Conference that the company is approaching 40% growth this year, driven entirely by AI compute demand, and he expects strong growth in 2026, 2027 and beyond, backed by rolling eight-quarter customer forecasts and longer tool-shipment commitments. The August quarter delivered revenue of $9.12 billion, up 24.8% year over year, with non-GAAP EPS of $3.50, and guidance for the October quarter calls for revenue near $10.25 billion; CFO Brice Hill said customer visibility extends in some conversations to 2030 and the company is preparing to double its quarterly system output by 2028. Dickerson said DRAM revenue grew from 22% to 26% of semiconductor systems revenue, with DRAM including HBM packaging up 52% year over year to record levels, while advanced packaging is expected to grow more than 70% in calendar 2026. Peer results corroborate the order book: Lam Research reported June-quarter revenue of $6.72 billion, up 30.0% year over year, and raised its calendar 2026 WFE view to the low $150 billion range from $140 billion; KLA posted record revenue of $3.66 billion with remaining performance obligations around $12.5 billion; and ASML plans to add 30% to its 2026 low NA EUV capacity of around 65 for 2027, with another 30% under investigation for 2028. Applied trades at a trailing P/E of 41x and forward P/E of 26x at a current price of $468.85, up 188.38% over the past year but down 10.11% over the past month and below its 52-week high of $738.88, with the 200-day moving average at $407.06.
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Semiconductors › Wafer-Fab Equipment & Lithography ▲Demand
Semiconductors › Deposition, Etch & Process Tools ▲Demand
Semiconductors › Memory — DRAM, NAND & HBM ▲Demand
Semiconductors › Process Control — Metrology & Inspection ▲Demand
Artificial Intelligence › Foundry & Advanced Packaging ▲Demand
Semiconductors › Lithography Systems ▲Demand
Artificial Intelligence › AI Compute & Accelerator Silicon ▲Demand
Artificial Intelligence › HBM & AI Memory ▲Demand
AMAT · Capital · Positive August quarter revenue of $9.12B (+24.8% YoY) and EPS of $3.50 with October guidance near $10.25B.
AMAT · Demand · Positive CEO cites ~40% growth driven by AI compute demand with an eight-quarter order book and record DRAM/HBM and advanced packaging demand.
ASML.AS · Supply · Positive ASML plans to add 30% to its 2026 low NA EUV capacity for 2027 with another 30% under investigation for 2028.
KLAC · Demand · Positive KLA posted record revenue of $3.66B with remaining performance obligations around $12.5B, corroborating the strong order book.
LRCX · Demand · Positive Lam Research reported June-quarter revenue of $6.72B, up 30% YoY, and raised its 2026 WFE view, corroborating the order book.
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Process Control — Metrology & Inspection▲impact 4

Memory Boom to Drive Chip Equipment Spending to Record $135.2 Billion in 2026

Global wafer-fabrication-equipment spending is projected to rise 16.9% to a record $135.2 billion in 2026, up from $115.7 billion in 2025, with memory equipment growing faster than the broader market. Within that total, 300mm DRAM equipment spending is projected to rise 29% to $37 billion and 300mm 3D NAND equipment spending is expected to increase 28% to $14 billion, while logic, foundry and other equipment spending remains the largest category at approximately $84.2 billion but grows just 10.6%. The combined $51 billion of DRAM and NAND equipment spending is being driven by Samsung Electronics, Micron Technology and SK hynix simultaneously expanding investment in advanced DRAM, high-bandwidth memory, NAND, cleanrooms and advanced packaging. Lam Research, the most direct beneficiary, reported record June-quarter revenue of $6.72 billion and fiscal 2026 revenue of approximately $23.23 billion, up from $18.44 billion in fiscal 2025, and recently raised its quarterly dividend 27% from $0.26 to $0.33 per share. KLA reported fiscal fourth-quarter revenue of $3.66 billion, up approximately 15% year over year, with fiscal 2026 revenue of $13.58 billion and GAAP net income of $4.83 billion, while ASML reported second-quarter 2026 net sales of €9.3 billion, a 54% gross margin and net income of €2.9 billion, and raised its expected 2026 net sales range to between €43 billion and €45 billion. The principal industry risk remains eventual memory overinvestment, though current investment is concentrated on advanced products, cleanrooms and process migrations.
About megatrends
Semiconductors › Wafer-Fab Equipment & Lithography ▲Demand
Semiconductors › Deposition, Etch & Process Tools ▲Demand
Semiconductors › Memory — DRAM, NAND & HBM ▲Capital
Semiconductors › Lithography Systems ▲Demand
Semiconductors › Process Control — Metrology & Inspection ▲Demand
ASML.AS · Demand · Positive ASML reported Q2 2026 net sales of €9.3bn, 54% gross margin, and raised its 2026 sales guidance to €43-45bn amid record wafer-fab equipment spending driven by memory makers.
LRCX · Demand · Positive Lam Research, called the most direct beneficiary, posted record June-quarter revenue of $6.72B as memory equipment spending surges.
KLAC · Demand · Positive KLA reported fiscal Q4 revenue up ~15% YoY to $3.66B amid record wafer-fab equipment spending driven by memory makers.
000660.KO · Capital · Positive SK hynix is expanding investment in advanced DRAM, HBM, NAND, cleanrooms and advanced packaging, fueling record equipment spending.
005930.KO · Capital · Positive Samsung Electronics is among the memory makers simultaneously expanding investment in advanced DRAM, HBM, NAND and packaging.
MU · Capital · Positive Micron is among the memory makers simultaneously expanding investment in advanced DRAM, HBM, NAND and packaging, driving equipment demand.
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Process Control — Metrology & Inspection▲2impact 4

Qualcomm, Intel, and Chip Stocks Surge on AWS Deal and Manufacturing Milestones

Qualcomm, Intel, Amkor, Nova, and FormFactor shares traded up in the afternoon session after Qualcomm announced a multi-generational product collaboration with Amazon Web Services to develop custom AI data center infrastructure, while ASML, TSMC, and Intel achieved key milestones in next-generation chip manufacturing. Qualcomm's partnership with AWS focuses on co-designing successive generations of custom AI chips for high-performance inference and data center workloads, aiming to strengthen AWS's internal hardware ecosystem, reduce operating costs, and improve energy efficiency. Simultaneously, ASML and TSMC announced a joint initiative to transition from traditional 6-inch photomasks to larger 12-inch formats, targeting a pilot line by 2031 and full production by 2033, which will expand the print field and reduce manufacturing costs. Additionally, Intel Foundry and ASML confirmed that Intel has processed over one million wafers on its Intel 18A node using High NA EUV equipment. These coordinated advancements boosted investor confidence in sub-2-nanometer chip designs and next-generation AI infrastructure. Among the stocks, Intel jumped 9.5%, Amkor and FormFactor each rose 6.3%, Nova gained 3.7%, and Qualcomm advanced 3.3%.
About megatrends
Cloud & Digital Infrastructure › Mega-cap Hyperscalers ▲Demand
Artificial Intelligence › Custom Silicon / ASIC ▲Technology
Cloud & Digital Infrastructure › Hyperscale Cloud (IaaS / PaaS) ▲Demand
Semiconductors › Wafer-Fab Equipment & Lithography ▲Technology
Semiconductors › Foundry & Contract Fabrication ▲Technology
Semiconductors › Logic, Compute & Connectivity Processors ▲Demand
Semiconductors › Advanced Packaging & Test (OSAT) ▲Demand
Artificial Intelligence › Inference-Optimized Silicon ▲Technology
QCOM · Demand · Positive Qualcomm announced a multi-generational collaboration with AWS to co-design custom AI data center chips for inference and data center workloads.
INTC · Technology · Positive Intel Foundry processed over one million wafers on its Intel 18A node using High NA EUV equipment, a key manufacturing milestone.
2330.TW · Technology · Positive TSMC and ASML launched a joint initiative to move from 6-inch to 12-inch photomasks, targeting pilot production by 2031 and full production by 2033.
ASML.AS · Technology · Positive ASML confirmed Intel processed over one million wafers on Intel 18A using High NA EUV and is part of the TSMC 12-inch photomask transition initiative.
AMZN · Demand · Positive AWS partners with Qualcomm to co-design custom AI data center chips, strengthening AWS's internal hardware ecosystem and cutting operating costs.
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Process Control — Metrology & Inspection▲

Spirox Unveils SP7000G High-Speed TGV Crack Inspection System

Spirox has launched the SP7000G High-Speed TGV Crack Inspection System, designed to support high-volume glass substrate inspection for next-generation AI and HPC packaging. The system can scan a full 510 mm by 515 mm glass substrate in under 20 minutes, detecting internal microcracks after metallization and ABF build-up processes. Spirox introduced the system at its Advanced Packaging Technology Forum, where experts from Corning and DNP discussed Glass Core and TGV technologies. The SP7000G complements Spirox's existing SP8000G, offering a comprehensive solution for non-destructive TGV inspection across R&D, quality control, and high-volume manufacturing.
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Semiconductors › Process Control — Metrology & Inspection ▲Technology
3055.TW · Technology · Positive Spirox launched the SP7000G, a new product for high-speed TGV inspection, enhancing its product portfolio.
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Israel
Process Control — Metrology & Inspection▲

Nova Reports Record Quarterly Sales of $255 Million

Nova reported second-quarter 2026 revenue of $255.0 million, up 8% sequentially and 16% year-over-year, with GAAP net income of $75 million and non-GAAP net income of $86.5 million. The company achieved record revenue in advanced logic devices and advanced packaging solutions, driven by industry shifts to Gate-All-Around architecture and capacity additions. For the third quarter, Nova guided revenue to $277–$287 million, with GAAP diluted EPS of $2.46–$2.61 and non-GAAP diluted EPS of $2.70–$2.85. However, gross margin slipped to 56.5% from 57.7% in the prior quarter and 57.8% a year ago, while operating expenses rose to $68.0 million. CEO Gaby Waisman cited broad-based demand and market share gains as drivers of increased visibility.
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Semiconductors › Process Control — Metrology & Inspection ▲Demand
300921.CS · Capital · Positive Record revenue and strong guidance indicate financial outperformance.
NVMI · Capital · Positive Nova reported record Q2 2026 revenue of $255M, up 16% YoY, with strong Q3 guidance, though gross margin slipped to 56.5%.
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Process Control — Metrology & Inspection

Onto Innovation Closes $720M Stake in Rigaku

Onto Innovation closed its purchase of a 27% minority stake in Rigaku Holdings Corporation for roughly $720 million, buying the shares from Atom Investment, L.P., an affiliate of Carlyle, on August 10. The deal builds on a collaboration announced in April to develop X-ray-based tools for chip manufacturing, and comes four days after Onto reported record second-quarter revenue of $343.1 million, up 35.3% year over year. Backlog crossed $1 billion for the first time, and the company guided third-quarter revenue to $380–400 million with non-GAAP EPS of $2.18–$2.38. However, first-half net income fell to $93.9 million from $98.0 million, and GAAP operating margin dropped to 15.3% from 18.3%, as costs climbed. The Rigaku stake will be booked under the fair value option method, giving Onto one board seat but no consolidation, a large sum for limited control.
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Semiconductors › Process Control — Metrology & Inspection Technology
ONTO · Capital · Positive Onto closed its $720M purchase of a 27% Rigaku stake, building on their X-ray chip-tool collaboration.
ONTO · Demand · Positive Onto reported record Q2 revenue of $343.1M, up 35.3% YoY, with backlog crossing $1B for the first time.
268A.JP · Capital · Positive Rigaku gains Onto as a 27% minority shareholder for ~$720M and a board seat.
CG · Capital · Neutral Carlyle affiliate Atom Investment sold its Rigaku stake to Onto, a portfolio exit for Carlyle.
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Process Control — Metrology & Inspection▲

Semiconductor Wafer Inspection Market to Reach $6.9B by 2035

A new market analysis from ResearchAndMarkets.com forecasts the global semiconductor wafer inspection equipment market will grow from $3.68 billion in 2025 to $5.16 billion by 2030 and approximately $6.9 billion by 2035, driven by demand from AI, electric vehicles, and advanced packaging. The market, which grew at a CAGR of 8.1% since 2020, is expected to expand at 7% from 2025 to 2030 and 6% from 2030 to 2035. Optical inspection systems led the market in 2025 with a 57.2% share, while electron beam inspection systems are projected to grow fastest through 2030 at 8.4% CAGR. Among end users, integrated device manufacturers held the largest share at 48.7%, but foundries are expected to see the strongest growth at 9.1% CAGR. Asia-Pacific was the largest regional market in 2025, with North America and the Middle East forecast as the fastest-growing regions through 2030.
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Semiconductors › Process Control — Metrology & Inspection ▲Demand
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United States
Process Control — Metrology & Inspection▲3impact 4

Semiconductor Stocks Surge After Nvidia's Blowout Earnings

Semiconductor stocks surged in the afternoon session after Nvidia reported blowout quarterly earnings and issued an upbeat revenue forecast, easing investor fears of a slowdown in artificial intelligence infrastructure spending. Among the gainers, Amkor jumped 6.6%, Vishay Intertechnology rose 3.5%, Allegro MicroSystems climbed 3.3%, FormFactor and Intel each advanced 3.1%. Nvidia's strong second-quarter beats on revenue and profit, along with an upbeat third-quarter outlook, lifted peer chipmakers and hardware suppliers including Broadcom, Micron Technology, and Marvell Technology. CEO Jensen Huang confirmed on the earnings call that the AI infrastructure build-out is "at full steam," serving as a broad positive catalyst across the supply chain. Amkor, which is up 19.7% year-to-date, still trades 40.4% below its 52-week high of $86.23 from June 2026.
About megatrends
Artificial Intelligence › AI Compute & Accelerator Silicon ▲Demand
Semiconductors › Advanced Packaging & Test (OSAT) ▲Demand
Artificial Intelligence › GPU & Merchant Accelerators ▲Demand
Artificial Intelligence › AI Power & Cooling ▲Demand
Artificial Intelligence › HBM & AI Memory ▲Demand
Artificial Intelligence › AI Data Center & Build-out ▲Demand
Artificial Intelligence › AI Networking & Interconnect ▲Demand
Artificial Intelligence › AI Compute Cloud & Neoclouds ▲Demand
NVDA · Capital · Positive Nvidia reported blowout quarterly earnings with revenue and profit beats plus an upbeat Q3 revenue forecast.
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China
Process Control — Metrology & Inspection▲

Semitronix's H1 non-GAAP net profit surges 572.41%, order backlog reaches 955 million yuan

Hangzhou Semitronix Electronics Co., Ltd. disclosed its 2026 semi-annual report. In the first half of the year, it achieved operating revenue of 341 million yuan, up 38.68% year on year. Net profit attributable to shareholders of the listed company was 34.7773 million yuan, up 121.73% year on year. Non-GAAP net profit attributable to the parent company was 5.0347 million yuan, a sharp increase of 572.41% year on year, turning from loss to profit. The earnings growth was mainly driven by the coordinated volume expansion of its EDA software and semiconductor testing equipment businesses, as well as rapid delivery of its order backlog. As of the end of the reporting period, the company's order backlog reached 955 million yuan, up 92.50% year on year. Cumulative shipments of testing equipment reached 96 units, up 104.26% year on year, including 93 units of WAT and WLR equipment and 3 units of WLBI wafer-level burn-in testing equipment. In the first half of the year, net cash flow from operating activities reached 105 million yuan, surging 848.56% year on year. The company invested 170 million yuan in research and development, with 656 R&D personnel accounting for 80.20% of total staff, and has obtained 299 authorized patents at home and abroad. The company cautioned that revenue is subject to seasonal fluctuation risks. From 2023 to 2025, second-half revenue accounted for 73.33%, 68.59%, and 66.54% of the full year respectively, with the fourth quarter being the peak period for revenue recognition.
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Semiconductors › Process Control — Metrology & Inspection ▲Demand
301095.CS · Capital · Positive H1 non-GAAP net profit surged 572.41% and turned profitable, with revenue up 38.68% year on year.
301095.CS · Demand · Positive Order backlog reached 955 million yuan, up 92.50% year on year, with testing equipment shipments up 104.26%.
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China
Process Control — Metrology & Inspection▲3

Semitronix first-half attributable net profit up 121.7% to 34.78 million yuan

Semitronix released its 2026 interim report, with first-half net profit attributable to the parent up 121.7% year on year to 34.78 million yuan. Operating revenue was 341 million yuan, up 38.7% year on year. Net profit attributable to the parent excluding non-recurring items swung to a profit of 5.03 million yuan from a loss of 1.07 million yuan in the same period last year. Net operating cash flow was 105 million yuan, up 848.6% year on year. Earnings per share were 0.1736 yuan. In the second quarter, operating revenue was 236 million yuan, up 31.3% year on year, and net profit attributable to the parent was 45.49 million yuan, up 54.7% year on year. As of the end of the second quarter, total assets were 3.706 billion yuan, down 0.4% from the end of the previous year, and net assets attributable to the parent were 3.141 billion yuan, down 1.4%. The company said the semiconductor industry is developing rapidly, with AI and high-performance computing driving demand growth in the integrated circuit market. The company has competitive advantages in yield improvement and electrical testing, and continues to expand its market share in EDA software, PDA software, and wafer-level electrical testing equipment.
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Semiconductors › Process Control — Metrology & Inspection ▲Competition
301095.CS · Capital · Positive First-half net profit up 121.7% and revenue up 38.7%, with strong cash flow and EPS growth.
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China
Process Control — Metrology & Inspection▲3

Jingce Electronic's net profit surges 171% year-on-year in first half of 2026

Jingce Electronic has released its semi-annual report for 2026, reporting operating revenue of 1.812 billion yuan, up 31.19% year-on-year, and net profit attributable to shareholders of the listed company of 75.0349 million yuan, up 171.21% year-on-year. The profit growth was mainly driven by scaled mass production of the company's semiconductor products, enhanced delivery capabilities, and continued growth in its display inspection business. The company plans not to distribute cash dividends, not to issue bonus shares, and not to convert capital reserves into share capital. It is worth noting that the company's net profit in the second quarter was 32 million yuan, compared with 43 million yuan in the first quarter, implying a quarter-on-quarter decline of 24% in second-quarter net profit.
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Semiconductors › Process Control — Metrology & Inspection ▲Demand
300567.CS · Capital · Positive Net profit surged 171% YoY on strong semiconductor and display inspection growth, though Q2 profit declined QoQ.
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United States
Process Control — Metrology & Inspection▲

KLA Sees Advanced Packaging Revenue Surge, Faces Rivals

KLA is benefiting from accelerating demand for advanced packaging driven by AI and high-performance computing, with the company expecting its advanced packaging process-control systems revenues to reach approximately $1.1 billion in calendar 2026, representing growth of more than 70% year over year. The company's broad portfolio, including wafer inspection and metrology systems and chemistry process-control systems, positions it to capture spending across multiple stages of advanced packaging, while HPC packaging and integration are also driving demand in its Specialty Process and PCB and Component Inspection businesses, with these combined products expected to grow more than 25% in calendar 2026. However, KLA faces tough competition from Onto Innovation and Applied Materials, with Onto raising its 2026 advanced packaging growth outlook to approximately 80% and securing more than $200 million of Dragonfly orders from a single OSAT, and Applied Materials expecting its process diagnostics and control business to grow more than 50% in 2026. KLA shares have jumped 50.9% year to date, outperforming the broader Zacks Computer and Technology sector's return of 15.4%, but the stock is overvalued with a forward 12-month price/sales of 13.05X compared with the sector's 6.32X. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fiscal 2027 earnings is pegged at $5.43 per share, up 7.1% over the past 30 days, suggesting 44.41% growth from fiscal 2026, and KLA currently carries a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy).
About megatrends
Artificial Intelligence › AI Compute & Accelerator Silicon ▲Demand
Semiconductors › Process Control — Metrology & Inspection ▲Demand
Semiconductors › Advanced Packaging & Test (OSAT) ▲Demand
Artificial Intelligence › Foundry & Advanced Packaging ▲Demand
Artificial Intelligence › Custom Silicon / ASIC Competition
KLAC · Demand · Positive KLA sees advanced packaging revenue surge due to AI and HPC demand, with 70% growth expected.
ONTO · Demand · Positive Onto Innovation raises advanced packaging growth outlook and secures over $200M in orders.
AMAT · Competition · Negative Applied Materials faces competition from KLA's advanced packaging growth, though its own growth is also noted.
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United States
Process Control — Metrology & Inspection▲

Teradyne Gains on AI Data Center Growth, Outperforming Cisco and Vertiv

Teradyne is benefiting from accelerating AI-driven data-center investments, which are expanding demand across semiconductor test, networking, storage, product test, and robotics, strengthening its prospects alongside Cisco Systems and Vertiv Holdings. More than 60% of Teradyne's second-quarter 2026 revenues were AI-driven, and the company expects third-quarter 2026 revenues between $1.20 billion and $1.30 billion. A key driver is the acceleration in semiconductor capital expenditures, with wafer fabrication equipment CapEx forecasted to approach $250 billion by the end of the decade, driving 5% to 10% annual growth in wafer production and 15% to 20% compound annual growth in total transistor production. Teradyne's memory business saw revenues exceed $200 million for the third consecutive quarter in the second quarter of 2026, driven by strong demand for HBM and DRAM and a revival in NAND testing. The company also expects the Co-Packaged Optics testing market to reach $300-$700 million by 2028, and its shares have surged 89.3% year-to-date, outperforming the Zacks Computer & Technology sector's 14.4% growth. Teradyne currently holds a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), with the consensus estimate for 2026 earnings at $9.10 per share, up 26.38% over the past 30 days.
About megatrends
Artificial Intelligence › HBM & AI Memory ▲Demand
Semiconductors › Process Control — Metrology & Inspection ▲Demand
Semiconductors › Memory — DRAM, NAND & HBM ▲Demand
Artificial Intelligence › AI Networking & Interconnect ▲Demand
Semiconductors › Advanced Packaging & Test (OSAT) ▲Demand
Artificial Intelligence › Foundry & Advanced Packaging ▲Demand
TER · Demand · Positive AI-driven data center investments boost demand for Teradyne's semiconductor test and memory testing products.
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United States
Process Control — Metrology & Inspection3

Photronics Stock Briefly Soars 27% on Q3 Beat

Photronics shares briefly soared 27.1% on Wednesday morning after the company reported fiscal Q3 2026 earnings that beat expectations, but the gains quickly faded to a 4% increase within 20 minutes. Revenue of $216.0 million topped the $208.8 million analysts expected, and adjusted earnings of $0.50 per share surpassed the $0.40 consensus. However, earnings fell slightly year-over-year, and revenue rose only 2.7%, while the midpoint of fourth-quarter revenue guidance is just 1% above the year-ago period's $215.8 million. The high end of the bottom-line range is $0.56 per share, down from $0.60 in Q4 2025. High-end integrated circuit work reached a record 44% of total IC revenue, but product delays and geopolitical uncertainty have slowed design releases, explaining the wide Q4 guidance of $207 million to $227 million in revenue and $0.40 to $0.56 in adjusted EPS.
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Semiconductors › Process Control — Metrology & Inspection Demand
PLAB · Capital · Positive Q3 earnings and revenue beat expectations, driving shares up 27% initially
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China
Process Control — Metrology & Inspection▲

XiDian Corp Half-Year Report: Strong Order Backlog, R&D Spending Exceeds 25% of Revenue

XiDian Corp released its 2026 semi-annual report, with net cash flow from operating activities turning positive to 7.1252 million yuan, mainly due to increased orders driving higher advance payments. In April 2026, the company signed fixed asset purchase contracts with Zhaochi Semiconductor and Zhaochi Jingxian under Zhaochi Holdings, with a total tax-inclusive amount of 335 million yuan, accounting for 80.05% of audited operating revenue in 2025, marking a landmark breakthrough in the Mini and Micro LED sector. Wafer probe station business achieved revenue of 80.8896 million yuan, up 31.02% year on year, with a gross margin of 42.46%. Research and development expenses were 31.8418 million yuan, accounting for 25.16% of revenue. As of June 30, 2026, the company held 363 authorized patents and 112 software copyrights, ranking first in market share among domestic probe station manufacturers in mainland China.
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Semiconductors › Process Control — Metrology & Inspection ▲Demand
301629.CS · Demand · Positive Strong order backlog and landmark Mini/Micro LED contracts drive revenue growth
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China
Process Control — Metrology & Inspection3

Skyverse Technology first-half revenue hits 941 million yuan, loss widens to 127 million yuan

Skyverse Technology released its 2026 interim report. Operating revenue reached 941 million yuan, up 34.01 percent year on year, but net profit attributable to the parent swung from a loss of 18.35 million yuan a year earlier to a loss of 127 million yuan. Second-quarter operating revenue was 545 million yuan, up 33.6 percent year on year, while net profit attributable to the parent widened from a loss of 3.39 million yuan a year earlier to a loss of 59.48 million yuan. The company said its main business maintained stable development, with newly launched products such as dark-field nano-pattern wafer defect inspection equipment and revenue from HBM and 2.5D and 3D advanced packaging contributing significantly. However, increased research and development investment and market expansion led to an overall expansion in headcount, causing short-term profitability to fluctuate.
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Semiconductors › Process Control — Metrology & Inspection Competition
Artificial Intelligence › AI Compute & Accelerator Silicon Competition
Artificial Intelligence › Foundry & Advanced Packaging ▲Demand
688361.CG · Capital · Negative Net loss widened to 127 million yuan despite revenue growth, due to higher R&D and expansion costs.
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United States
Process Control — Metrology & Inspection▲

KLA Gains From Advanced Nodes, HBM and Packaging

Guinness Global Innovators Fund highlighted KLA Corporation as a notable contributor in its second-quarter 2026 investor letter. The fund holds three semiconductor equipment manufacturers, which were its top performers over the quarter: Applied Materials up 111.8% in USD, KLA up 105.2%, and Lam Research up 103.0%. KLA, the leader in process control and yield management, continues to play a critical role as semiconductor manufacturing becomes increasingly complex, with demand for its inspection and metrology tools structurally supported by the transition to advanced nodes, high-bandwidth memory and advanced packaging. The fund returned 13.8% in GBP for the quarter, compared with 13.0% for the MSCI World Index and 13.1% for the IA Global sector average.
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Semiconductors › Process Control — Metrology & Inspection ▲Demand
KLAC · Demand · Positive Leader in process control, demand structurally supported by advanced nodes, HBM, and packaging.
AMAT · Demand · Positive Mentioned as top performer, benefiting from semiconductor equipment demand.
LRCX · Demand · Positive Mentioned as top performer, benefiting from semiconductor equipment demand.
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Process Control — Metrology & Inspection▼

KLA Corporation Stock Drops 14% Despite Raised Guidance

KLA Corporation shares have fallen 14.2% over the past month to $183.99, even as management raised its advanced-packaging revenue guidance by more than 70% to roughly $1.1 billion and lifted its calendar 2026 wafer-equipment market outlook to the low $150 billion range. Fiscal Q4 revenue reached $3.66 billion, up 15.21% year over year, with non-GAAP EPS of $1.05 beating expectations for the fifth consecutive quarter. The pullback stems from renewed anxiety over U.S. export controls on China and a broad rotation out of semiconductor capital equipment names, not from any deterioration in the business. CEO Rick Wallace sold 87,568 shares at $198.95 in August, and free cash flow slipped 23.24% year over year to $817 million. The stock trades at a 34 forward P/E, well below its 52-week high of $307.03, with a consensus analyst target of $231.78 and zero sell ratings among 29 covering analysts.
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Semiconductors › Process Control — Metrology & Inspection ▼Regulation
KLAC · Tariff · Negative Renewed anxiety over U.S. export controls on China drives stock drop.
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United States
Process Control — Metrology & Inspection▲2impact 4

Keysight Technologies Reports 36% Revenue Growth on AI Infrastructure Demand

Keysight Technologies reported fiscal third-quarter 2026 revenues of $1.85 billion, up 36% year over year, with non-GAAP earnings surging 79% to $3.07 per share. Orders rose to $2.09 billion from $1.34 billion a year earlier, marking the second consecutive quarter above $2 billion. The company cited accelerating investments in AI infrastructure, next-generation communications, semiconductors, and defense markets as key drivers. For the fiscal fourth quarter, Keysight projects revenues between $1.93 billion and $1.95 billion, implying approximately 37% year-over-year growth at the midpoint, and non-GAAP earnings between $3.34 and $3.40 per share. Management expects fiscal 2026 revenues and earnings to increase approximately 32% and 60%, respectively.
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Artificial Intelligence › AI Tooling, Data & MLOps ▲Demand
Semiconductors › Process Control — Metrology & Inspection ▲Demand
KEYS · Capital · Positive Reports 36% revenue growth and strong earnings, with raised guidance.
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United States
Process Control — Metrology & Inspection▲

Keysight Technologies Fair Value Estimate Raised 8% to $415.08

Simply Wall St has lifted its assessed fair value for Keysight Technologies from about US$383.08 to roughly US$415.08, an increase of around 8%, following updated modeling assumptions. The revision reflects a higher revenue growth assumption of about 16.54%, up from 12.63%, and a net profit margin assumption of roughly 26.44%, up from 21.28%, while the future P/E assumption fell to about 32.19x from 44.69x. Several Wall Street firms, including Morgan Stanley, UBS, JPMorgan, Baird, Barclays, Susquehanna and Citi, have raised price targets into a roughly US$400 to US$440 range, citing AI-driven test intensity, record orders and operating leverage. Keysight guided fourth fiscal quarter 2026 revenue to a range of US$1.93 billion to US$1.95 billion, with the midpoint implying about 37% year-over-year growth, supported by AI data center demand for its software and test tools. The company was also added to several Russell growth benchmarks, including the Russell 1000 Growth and Russell 3000 Growth indices, and introduced new products such as the APS-ONE-400 cybersecurity test platform and expanded Eggplant AI-driven test automation.
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Semiconductors › Process Control — Metrology & Inspection ▲Demand
Artificial Intelligence › AI Tooling, Data & MLOps ▲Demand
KEYS · Capital · Positive Fair value estimate raised 8% and multiple analyst price target hikes reflect improved financial outlook.
KEYS · Demand · Positive AI-driven test intensity and record orders, with Q4 FY2026 revenue guidance implying 37% YoY growth.
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United States
Process Control — Metrology & Inspection▲impact 4

Keysight Technologies Shares Rise After Record Third-Quarter Results

Keysight Technologies shares climbed 2.6% in pre-market trading after the electronic design and testing specialist delivered record fiscal third-quarter results that comfortably exceeded Wall Street expectations. Adjusted earnings per share reached $3.07 versus the analyst consensus of $2.48, while quarterly revenue came in at $1.85 billion against expectations of $1.75 billion. Orders surged 56% year-on-year to $2.09 billion, driven by demand for testing solutions linked to artificial intelligence infrastructure, with the Communications Solutions Group's commercial communications revenue jumping 56%. For the fiscal fourth quarter, management forecast revenue of between $1.93 billion and $1.95 billion and adjusted earnings per share of $3.34 to $3.40, both well above consensus estimates of $1.82 billion and $2.68 respectively. Operating margin expanded by more than 800 basis points and free cash flow reached $403 million, while Morgan Stanley holds a $400 price target on the stock.
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Semiconductors › Process Control — Metrology & Inspection ▲Demand
Artificial Intelligence › AI Networking & Interconnect ▲Demand
KEYS · Capital · Positive Record Q3 results beat estimates, with strong earnings, revenue, and guidance.
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China
Process Control — Metrology & Inspection▲5

AMEC plans to invest 3.5 billion yuan in semiconductor equipment project

AMEC plans to invest 3.5 billion yuan to build the second phase of its Lingang industrialization base, focusing on etching equipment, metrology and inspection equipment, and thin-film deposition equipment. The company's wholly owned subsidiary AMEC Lingang will invest in and construct the project in the Lingang Special Area, with a planned total investment of 3.5 billion yuan, including 1.7 billion yuan in fixed asset investment. After reaching full production, it is expected to achieve annual sales revenue of 3 billion yuan. On the same day, AMEC released its 2026 semi-annual report, achieving operating revenue of 6.691 billion yuan, up 34.89 percent year on year, and net profit attributable to shareholders of the listed company of 2.825 billion yuan, up 300.22 percent year on year. MEMSensing plans to acquire a total of 54 percent equity in Beijing Putian Optoelectronics through equity transfer and capital increase, with a total transaction amount of 177 million yuan. National Silicon Industry Group posted a net loss of 965 million yuan in the first half of the year, compared with a loss of 367 million yuan in the same period last year. SJSemi reported net profit of 449 million yuan in the first half of the year, up 3.33 percent year on year.
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Semiconductors › Deposition, Etch & Process Tools ▲Supply
Semiconductors › Process Control — Metrology & Inspection ▲Supply
Critical Materials & Supply Chain › Semiconductor Materials Capital
688012.CG · Capital · Positive Plans 3.5B yuan investment and reports strong H1 earnings with revenue up 34.89% and net profit up 300.22%.
688126.CG · Capital · Negative Reported net loss of 965M yuan in H1, wider than 367M loss a year ago.
688286.CG · Capital · Positive Plans to acquire 54% equity in Beijing Putian Optoelectronics for 177M yuan.
688820.CG · Capital · Positive Reported net profit of 449M yuan in H1, up 3.33% year on year.
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United StatesJapan
Process Control — Metrology & Inspection▲

Onto Innovation Completes $720 Million Rigaku Stake Purchase

Onto Innovation completed its approximately $720 million purchase of a 27% minority stake in Rigaku Holdings on August 10, 2026. The investment aims to accelerate joint development of next-generation X-ray process-control technology for semiconductor manufacturing. Management estimates the semiconductor X-ray technology market at roughly $1 billion and expects adoption to increase as 3D transistor and packaging structures become more complex. Onto ended the second quarter with $1.88 billion of cash and short-term investments, strengthened by a $1.5 billion zero-percent convertible-note offering due in 2031. The Rigaku stake will be accounted for under the fair value option, so strategic value depends on joint development, customer qualifications, and adoption rather than immediate consolidated revenue.
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Semiconductors › Process Control — Metrology & Inspection ▲Technology
Artificial Intelligence › AI Compute & Accelerator Silicon Technology
Artificial Intelligence › Foundry & Advanced Packaging Technology
ONTO · Capital · Positive Completed $720M Rigaku stake purchase and $1.5B convertible offering, strengthening balance sheet.
268A.JP · Capital · Positive Onto's investment values Rigaku and supports joint development, though no immediate revenue.
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Process Control — Metrology & Inspection▲

Chayanon says tech stocks still have room to run, recommends watching Memory Chip and NVIDIA

Chayanon Rakkanjanun, co-founder of Finnomena Group and CEO of Finnomena Funds, said technology stocks have not yet run their course, despite heavy volatility since the start of the year from four main factors: rapid changes in AI technology, capital rotation following technology, uncertainty from tensions in the Middle East, and signals from Kevin Warsh, chairman of the US Federal Reserve, that interest rates could rise, with US government bonds hitting their highest level in 25 years since the subprime crisis, pressuring tech stocks. Chayanon pointed to positive signals from South Korean chip exports by Samsung and SK Hynix, which grew more than 100 percent from May to July 2026, still-high demand for High Bandwidth Memory and DRAM, continuously rising GPU rental prices, and second-quarter 2026 results from hyperscalers including Google Cloud Platform, Microsoft Azure, Amazon Web Services, and Meta Platforms that beat expectations, along with announced data center capital spending totaling 700 billion dollars this year and 1 trillion dollars next year. He recommended avoiding or investing only lightly in the Memory Chip group, choosing Micron, said NVIDIA has no competitor for four to five years, picked Google among the hyperscalers, and pointed to an advantage in Japanese stocks for AI inspection, while recommending the LHSUPERAI fund, which invests across the full supply chain.
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Cloud & Digital Infrastructure › Hyperscale Cloud (IaaS / PaaS) ▲Demand
Cloud & Digital Infrastructure › Mega-cap Hyperscalers ▲Demand
Semiconductors › Memory — DRAM, NAND & HBM ▲Demand
Artificial Intelligence › HBM & AI Memory ▲Demand
Artificial Intelligence › GPU & Merchant Accelerators ▲Demand
Artificial Intelligence › AI Data Center & Build-out ▲Capital
Semiconductors › Process Control — Metrology & Inspection ▲Demand
Artificial Intelligence › Foundation Models & Research Labs ▲Demand
NVDA · Technology · Positive NVIDIA has no competitor for four to five years, and AI technology advancements drive demand for its GPUs.
MU · Demand · Positive High demand for HBM and DRAM, positive signals from Samsung and SK Hynix chip exports, and rising GPU rental prices indicate strong memory demand.
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