Everyone talks about NVIDIA's chips and AI models. But before the first GPU lights up, someone has to design the building, pour the foundations, run the high-voltage power lines, set switchgear that weighs tons, and lay kilometers of cooling pipe. This node is the companies that "actually build" — the EPC contractors, the electrical-and-mechanical trades (MEP), and the engineers who turn AI spending into a building that works. They're the "picks and shovels" for the people selling picks and shovels — the work nobody talks about, but the real bottleneck of the AI era.
Contains
Theme index· base 100 · USD total return
Why is Build-out, Construction & Engineering moving?
Q2 2026
▲2▼1
AI Data Center Boom Drives Construction Demand, But Labor Shortages Loom
▲
AI data center spending surge Major tech companies like Meta, Amazon, Oracle, Microsoft, and Micron announced huge data center projects globally, boosting construction and engineering demand. This surge is a key force behind the build-out.
It directly explains the main driver of increased construction activity in the period.
▲
Record contractor backlogs and pricing power Contractors are reporting record backlogs and new power plant contracts, giving them strong revenue visibility and pricing power. This indicates a healthy and busy construction sector.
It shows the positive impact on contractors' business conditions and future revenue.
▼
Skilled labor shortage A shortage of skilled workers like electricians and HVAC technicians is causing delays and higher costs for homeowners, as these workers are pulled to commercial projects. This tight labor market raises costs and could constrain project timelines.
It highlights a significant risk that could limit the sector's growth despite strong demand.
Latest
▲2▼1
Data center build-out accelerates globally, but power grid delays and labor shortages bite
▲
Global data center construction accelerates with new mega-projects Crusoe confirmed a Google campus in Texas with 5,500 workers daily; JERA and partners plan a $15 billion AI data center in Japan; and Project Star, a $22.3 billion Texas energy campus, was backed by the US and South Korea. These add years of engineering and construction work.
Shows the build-out is broadening globally, directly driving demand for construction and engineering services.
▼
Power grid delays threaten major data center timelines Oracle's 1.3 GW Wisconsin campus faces delays because a high-voltage power line is stuck in regulatory review, potentially pushing full power to 2029. This shows that even with construction underway, grid connection bottlenecks can stall projects and delay contractor revenue.
Highlights a key bottleneck that can delay or derail construction schedules, a real counterweight to the positive demand.
▲
Contractors report record backlogs and strong demand EMCOR's Q2 revenue jumped 19.8% to a record $5.15 billion, with remaining performance obligations up 43.9% to $17.14 billion. STECON expects 2026 revenue above 35 billion baht and aims to add 69 billion baht in new work, mostly data centers. These confirm years of locked-in work.
Directly shows the theme's companies are benefiting from the build-out with record backlogs and growth.
◆
Labor shortage and local opposition persist as constraints The US needs 1.7 million skilled trades workers annually through 2035, but training produces only 55 for every 100 needed. Goodman Group shelved an $840 million Sydney data center after community resistance. Amazon pledged $1 billion to ease local opposition. These factors can slow or block projects.
Shows the main obstacles that could limit how much of the build-out actually gets built, balancing the positive demand.
Q3 2026
▼3▲1
AI Data Center Demand Booms, But Grid and Labor Woes Delay Projects
▲
AI data center demand drives record backlogs and global expansion AI data center demand is booming, pushing contractor backlogs to records like Quanta's $53.4B and EMCOR's $17.1B. Hyperscaler spending nears $660–725B, with global expansion into India, Saudi Arabia, and Europe. North American demand doubled to 25 GW, locking in years of work.
This point captures the main positive force: surging AI data center demand that fuels construction and engineering activity.
▼
Grid bottlenecks, permitting, and local opposition block $68B of projects Grid bottlenecks, permitting moratoriums, and local opposition blocked or delayed $68B of projects. Turbine lead times stretch to 2032, and copper shortages raise costs. Goldman warns only 50–60% of near-term US capacity may open on time.
This point highlights a major counterweight: infrastructure and supply chain constraints that are delaying projects and raising costs.
▼
Skilled labor shortage limits execution A shortage of 439,000 workers limits execution, causing delays and higher costs. This tight labor market constrains project timelines and adds to expenses, as skilled workers like electricians and HVAC technicians are pulled to commercial projects.
This point shows how labor shortages are a key risk constraining the sector's ability to execute projects.
▼
Financing tightens as Big Tech may outspend cash flow Big Tech may outspend cash flow by 2027, relying on debt. Oracle's force majeure and SB Energy's delayed IPO are spooking lenders as financing tightens, potentially slowing future projects.
This point reveals a financial risk: tightening credit conditions could hamper the sector's growth.
News & notes movingBuild-out, Construction & Engineering
United States
Build-out, Construction & Engineering▲2impact 4
Goldman Sachs: US Data Center Growth Through 2027 Largely Unchanged Despite Local Opposition
Goldman Sachs strategist Laura Cyr said in a Monday note that the US data center growth outlook through 2027 remains largely unchanged despite rising political and community opposition. Cyr raised Goldman's year-end 2026 US data center capacity forecast by 5 gigawatts to 64 gigawatts, while cutting its year-end 2027 forecast by 5 gigawatts to 90 gigawatts. She now expects US data center power demand to grow 38%, or 12 gigawatts, in 2026 and 38%, or 17 gigawatts, in 2027, on a December versus December basis. Cyr pointed to Governor Abbott's directive to halt new Texas data center permits pending ERCOT and Texas Water Development Board audits, and an NBC News poll showing 64% of voters would be less likely to support a candidate who backs a local data center versus 11% who would be more likely. Separately, BofA Global Research estimated that up to 75% of a data center's total water consumption happens off-site, that GPU-based server electricity demand is growing roughly 30% per year, and that every incremental megawatt of new data center capacity embeds roughly 60 to 75 tons of metals, primarily copper.
Quanta Raises 2026 Free Cash Flow Outlook to $2-$2.5 Billion
Quanta Services raised its full-year 2026 free cash flow outlook to $2-$2.5 billion, alongside operating cash flow expectations of $2.9-$3.4 billion, after a strong first half. In the second quarter, Quanta generated operating cash flow of $1.10 billion and free cash flow of $886 million, bringing first-half free cash flow to $1.07 billion, sharply higher than $288 million in the comparable 2025 period. Management attributed the second-quarter strength partly to favorable working-capital dynamics, particularly from large-load and renewable projects, while days sales outstanding improved to 57 days. The outlook is underpinned by a record $53.4 billion backlog, expanding project activity and rising investment in electric grids, power generation, data centers and other mission-critical infrastructure. Quanta still expects roughly $900 million of net capital expenditures in 2026, and cash generation could fluctuate with project timing, working-capital requirements, acquisitions, weather, permitting, supply-chain issues, inflation and project execution. Quanta competes with MasTec and EMCOR Group across power, electrical and mission-critical infrastructure markets; MasTec reported negative $59 million of free cash flow in the second quarter, while EMCOR posted record remaining performance obligations of $17.14 billion.
New York City Council Weighs AI Safety Rules as Data Center Buildout Forecasts Diverge
The New York City Council will hold a hearing today where Jacob Coxon, the former Anthropic researcher whose viral prediction about AI risk set off a broader fear cycle, will testify in front of the city council alongside other whistleblowers including Alex Turner from DeepMind and Daniel Cocatajalo from OpenAI, while Anthropic, OpenAI, Meta and Google send representatives and SpaceX has been subpoenaed. The council is debating a sweep of proposals, including third-party validation of new models with a human-operated shutdown mechanism, a private right of action for foreseeable harm from third-party misuse, and whistleblower bounties paying 25% of proceeds if the city acts and 50% if designated to serve and sue. On the data center buildout, Bernstein and Goldman Sachs published new notes tracking gigawatt estimates, with the two landing in similar places: they look at about 18 gigawatts added this year, Goldman's at 26 for next year, and Bernstein's at 25, even amid regional political pushback. Bernstein surveyed 63 forecasts from 40 sources and found the range for gigawatts by 2030 runs from 59 to 186, while only 38% of projects on the books are expected to actually get built. In Washington, President Trump's super intelligence force will be led by Director of National Intelligence Jay Clayton, Pentagon Undersecretary Andrew Ferguson, Chief Technology Officer Emil Michael and OPM Director Scott Cooper, with a report due in 120 days to President Trump and Chief of Staff Susie Wiles. Bloomberg Intelligence reports the gap between top US and top Chinese models has narrowed to just 3% for the US edge, down from 9% in May and 15% earlier this year.
TeraWulf Expands Muskie Data Campus Power Contract to 1 GW
TeraWulf said Monday it executed an amended and restated electric service agreement with Kentucky Power, an American Electric Power company, raising contracted power capacity at its Muskie Data Campus in eastern Kentucky from 500 megawatts to 1 gigawatt. The amendment moves planned delivery of Muskie's second 500 MW phase forward from 2030 to 2029, while the first 500 MW phase remains targeted to begin ramping in 2028. TeraWulf acquired Muskie in May 2026 for phased development as an AI and high-performance computing campus, and Kentucky Power is developing a 765-kV / 345-kV substation connected to the regional transmission network to serve the site. Chairman and Chief Executive Officer Paul Prager said securing the next 500 MW and moving its planned delivery into 2029 gives the company greater flexibility to meet prospective customers' deployment needs. The company added that it continues to evaluate the campus's potential to support up to 2 GW over time, subject to additional utility planning, infrastructure, and agreements.
Artificial Intelligence › AI Data Center & Build-out ▲Supply
Artificial Intelligence › Build-out, Construction & Engineering ▲Supply
WULF · Demand · Positive TeraWulf amended its Kentucky Power agreement to double contracted capacity at Muskie to 1 GW and moved the second 500 MW phase forward to 2029, supporting AI/HPC customer deployments.
Kentucky Power · Demand · Positive Kentucky Power is the counterparty expanding the Muskie electric service agreement to 1 GW and developing the 765-kV/345-kV substation to serve the campus.
AEP · Demand · Positive AEP subsidiary Kentucky Power expands and accelerates a 1 GW electric service agreement for TeraWulf's Muskie campus, growing contracted power demand.
CIBC Lifts Enerflex Price Target to CA$30 on 450 MW Data Center Power Contract
CIBC raised its price target on Enerflex to CA$30 from CA$27.50 after updating its model for a 450 MW behind-the-meter power generation award tied to a North American data center developer, while keeping a Neutral rating on the stock. The firm had already lifted its target to CA$30 in July 2026, and it cited strong Engineered Systems bookings and a modest EBITDA beat in the second quarter as positives supporting execution on the core business. CIBC noted that earlier weakness in the shares followed a lack of secured data center power generation bookings, which it believes pushed potential catalysts into later quarters. On the updated assumptions, Simply Wall St's fair value for Enerflex rose to CA$46.94 from CA$44.50, with revenue growth now 6.72% versus 3.39% previously, net profit margin at 8.64% versus 9.01%, a future P/E of 18.29x versus 17.87x, and a discount rate of 6.83% versus 6.68%.
Artificial Intelligence › Build-out, Construction & Engineering ▲Demand
Energy Transition & Power Demand › Grid, Transmission & Power Equipment ▲Demand
EFXT · Capital · Positive CIBC lifted its Enerflex price target to CA$30 after modeling the 450 MW data center power award and citing strong bookings and an EBITDA beat.
Amazon Pledges $1 Billion to Communities Around AI Data Centers
Amazon is pledging to invest $1 billion into the communities surrounding its AI data centers, a move aimed at easing local opposition to the facilities. Matt Garman, who heads Amazon Web Services, laid out the commitment in a 3,000-word essay, saying the money will go toward things like building out schools in the communities where the company builds data centers. Garman also said Amazon will no longer ask communities to sign non-disclosure agreements, a practice some legislators have discussed banning by law. The discussion comes as state governors tout data centers as job creators, though critics note the facilities are labor-light once construction ends, leaving unions that represent electricians, plumbers, construction builders and HVAC workers supportive of the projects while communities question what remains afterward.
EMCOR Q2 2026 Revenue Jumps 19.8% to Record $5.15 Billion
EMCOR Group reported record second-quarter 2026 results, with revenues climbing 19.8% year over year to $5.15 billion and operating income surging 31.8% to $547.3 million. Operating margin expanded 100 basis points to 10.6%, while earnings per share soared 34.8% to $9.06. Remaining Performance Obligations reached a record $17.14 billion, up 43.9% year over year and 29% from December 2025, with Network & Communications, Water & Wastewater, and Institutional and Healthcare among the biggest contributors. The company is also widening its reach through M&A, as five recently announced electrical acquisitions bring roughly $625 million in trailing-12-month revenues, $105 million in EBITDA and about 1,500 employees. EMCOR said labor shortages, tariffs, supply-chain volatility and project-mix shifts remain risks, but its diversified demand base and acquisition strategy could make its broad market footprint a meaningful competitive advantage.
JERA teams up with Dell and RHAELM to build a 400-megawatt AI data center worth 15 billion dollars
JERA, Japan's major power producer, announced a partnership with Dell Technologies and RHAELM, a UK-based AI infrastructure developer, to develop a Hyperscale AI Data Center project in Chiba Prefecture near Tokyo, valued at approximately 15 billion dollars, with a power capacity of about 400 megawatts. It is positioned as one of the largest single-site AI infrastructure projects in Japan. Meanwhile, Apollo Global Management plans to join as RHAELM's investment and financial partner. A key point of the project is that it will be developed on land adjacent to JERA's Chiba thermal power plant, with JERA providing the site and 400 megawatts of power under a long-term agreement of 15 to 25 years, while RHAELM is responsible for development, construction, management, and financing. Dell will supply rack-scale AI infrastructure. The project is scheduled to come online in phases starting in 2028 and is expected to use the full 400 megawatts of power by 2029. The three companies also aim to create a model that expands to other JERA power plant sites during the 2030s, with the goal of developing total data center capacity at the multi-gigawatt level across Japan.
Jacobs Solutions Selected by NVIDIA for Data Center Digital Twin Deployment
Jacobs Solutions has been selected by NVIDIA to deploy its Data Center Digital Twin platform at a large U.S. research and development facility, sending the company's shares up 3.3% in the afternoon session. The work is a three-year SaaS agreement built on NVIDIA Omniverse libraries, under which Jacobs will use the digital twin to optimize energy demand, monitor operations, and balance power loads across the AI facility. The stock closed the day at $139.76, up 3.3% from the previous close. Jacobs Solutions is up 3.3% since the beginning of the year, but at $139.77 per share it is still trading 15% below its 52-week high of $164.44 from October 2025.
Oracle Says Project Jupiter Data Center Undamaged by New Mexico Flooding
Oracle and STACK Infrastructure said Wednesday that no critical infrastructure was damaged at the Project Jupiter campus after flooding reached the site in southern New Mexico, and the project remains on its planned schedule. The two companies said they are working with partners and insurers to address site impacts. Oracle shares slipped about 5% last Thursday after news that the company sent a force majeure notice tied to its New Mexico data center project to protect itself from higher expenses. Project Jupiter is designed to have 2.45 gigawatts of capacity and is part of the broader Stargate artificial intelligence infrastructure effort involving Oracle, OpenAI, and SoftBank, with about 20 banks providing an $18B loan to help finance the data center campus. The facility is expected to use Bloom Energy fuel cells.
ORCL · Supply · Positive Oracle says no critical infrastructure was damaged by New Mexico flooding and Project Jupiter remains on schedule, easing the force majeure cost risk.
Stack Infrastructure · Supply · Positive STACK Infrastructure said the Project Jupiter campus suffered no critical infrastructure damage and stays on its planned schedule.
KGI unveils 5 top picks for October, focusing on private investment and data center themes
KGI Securities unveiled its top stock picks for October 2026, recommending accumulation of stocks in the private investment and data center themes, comprising DELTA, GULF, WHA, STECON and CENTEL. The research team believes the market in October is likely to rebound, as the market has already priced in much of the global economic risk, including uncertainty in the Middle East and surging bond yields in major markets worldwide. It expects the SET Index to recover, and sees a high chance the Fed will pause rate hikes temporarily after August core PCE came in below consensus. It also sees a fairly high possibility that the US and Iran will reach some form of ceasefire agreement soon. On domestic factors, the Thai government began rolling out the final phase of consumption stimulus measures today and will shift its focus to stimulating private investment, including PPP-model infrastructure projects and FDIs. As for STECON, it signed new project contracts worth 10 billion baht, equal to 20% of its 2026F target of 50 billion baht, lifting its backlog to 116.4 billion baht, and it expects to win another 70 billion baht in projects, mainly data centers and power plants. Meanwhile, GULF has identified data center demand of more than 2GW of capacity expected to secure Direct PPAs, and the PDP2026 plan is expected to add another 20-30GW of renewable energy capacity and another 20GW of gas-fired capacity. For CENTEL, the research team remains positive after updating information with management, noting that RevPAR booked in Q3/2026F recovered year-on-year by a mid-single-digit rate from -10% in Q2/2026, and is expected to improve further during the high season in Q4/2026F. The recommended portfolio for September fell 2.6%, underperforming the overall market, which declined 2.0%.
STECON.BK · Demand · Positive STECON signed new project contracts worth 10 billion baht (20% of its 2026F target), lifting backlog to 116.4 billion baht, and expects another 70 billion baht mainly in data centers and power plants.
CENTEL.BK · Demand · Positive RevPAR booked in Q3/2026F recovered to mid-single-digit growth from -10% in Q2, with further improvement expected in the Q4 high season.
GULF.BK · Demand · Positive GULF identified data center demand of more than 2GW expected to secure Direct PPAs, plus PDP2026 adding 20-30GW renewable and 20GW gas-fired capacity.
US and South Korea Back $22.3 Billion Project Star Energy Campus in Texas
The United States Department of Commerce and the Government of the Republic of Korea have selected Related Companies and NextEra Energy Resources, in partnership with Lewis Energy Group, to develop Project Star, a $22.3 billion energy infrastructure campus in Encinal, Texas. The project will create 6.47 GW of natural gas generation to directly support an adjacent 5 GW digital infrastructure campus that Related Digital is developing, and will deliver excess power generation back to the grid. The investment is expected to create an estimated 8,400 jobs during peak construction and approximately 170 permanent jobs once operational, with the adjacent data center campus also creating hundreds of permanent jobs. The energy campus will be owned jointly by the Republic of Korea and the United States under the structure of the joint trade agreement, and will be built and operated by the Related and NextEra Energy Resources joint venture team, with Lewis Energy providing associated infrastructure including gas. The project is expected to be developed in phases, with initial generating resources anticipated to come online as early as 2029, subject to required permitting and approvals.
Wärtsilä, Schneider Electric and Stanley Consultants Launch "Generator-to-Chip" Data Center Power Approach
Wärtsilä, Schneider Electric and Stanley Consultants have launched a coordinated "Generator-to-Chip" approach aimed at helping U.S. data center developers and operators bring scalable power capacity online faster. The approach aligns onsite power generation, electrical infrastructure, automation, engineering and project execution from the outset, connecting the power pathway from generation and electrical distribution through to digital monitoring and the IT load, which the companies say reduces handoffs and improves coordination across critical interfaces. Wärtsilä supplies flexible, modular engine power plants for reliable onsite generation that can start rapidly and scale with data center demand, while Schneider Electric contributes the integrated electrical architecture, automation and digital power management, and Stanley Consultants provides technical and advisory services across the data center lifecycle, including engineering, permitting, design coordination, construction management, commissioning oversight and climate resilience expertise. The companies said the combined solution can accelerate project schedules compared with traditional, sequential delivery models, as lengthy grid interconnection timelines and delays in critical power infrastructure slow projects amid rapidly growing U.S. demand for new data center capacity driven by accelerating investment in AI. Risto Paldanius, Vice President, Americas, at Wärtsilä Energy, said power has become the schedule for many data center projects, and Melton Chang, Executive Vice President, Power Systems at Schneider Electric, said an AI Energy Park starts with the load and coordinates generation, electrical infrastructure, automation and digital technologies as one system.
Energy Transition & Power Demand › Behind-the-Meter & On-site Power ▲Supply
Artificial Intelligence › AI Data Center & Build-out ▲Supply
Artificial Intelligence › Build-out, Construction & Engineering ▲Supply
0IKJ.LSE · Demand · Positive Wärtsilä supplies flexible modular engine power plants for the new Generator-to-Chip data center power solution, tapping growing US data center demand.
SU.PA · Demand · Positive Schneider Electric contributes integrated electrical architecture, automation and digital power management to the new data center power offering.
Stanley Consultants · Demand · Positive Stanley Consultants provides engineering, permitting, design and commissioning services for the new data center power approach.
Accelevation debuts at $17.55 after $540 million IPO priced below range
Accelevation Holdings Corp slipped 2.5% in its public market debut on Wednesday after the data center infrastructure manufacturer and its private equity backer raised $540 million in an initial public offering priced below the marketed range. The Nasdaq-listed stock opened at $17.55, giving the Miamisburg, Ohio-based company a market capitalization of approximately $3.9 billion based on outstanding shares listed in regulatory filings. The transaction comprised 30 million Class A common shares priced at $18.00 apiece, with Accelevation offering 10 million shares and sponsor Olympus Partners selling 20 million; underwriters hold a 30-day option to acquire up to 4.5 million additional shares from the selling stockholders, who retain roughly 85% of total voting power following the listing. Accelevation will direct its portion of the net proceeds toward purchasing newly issued units in Accelevation Holdings LLC, which intends to apply the capital toward debt repayment, transaction expenses, and general corporate needs, while the company receives no proceeds from the secondary share sale by Olympus Partners, which acquired the business in early 2025. Founded in 2017, the company designs, manufactures, and installs customized structural, electrical, and mechanical systems for large-scale data center operators, and generated $18.8 million in net income on $437.5 million in revenue for the six months ended June 30, 2026, a sharp reversal from a net loss of $8.7 million on revenue of $158.6 million a year earlier, supported by a $1.1 billion contract backlog as of midyear. Filings flag customer concentration risks, with two primary clients accounting for approximately 61% of direct revenue last year, and joint lead bookrunning managers for the offering included Morgan Stanley and J.P. Morgan, alongside a syndicate including Goldman Sachs, Barclays, and BofA Securities.
Artificial Intelligence › AI Data Center & Build-out Capital
Artificial Intelligence › Build-out, Construction & Engineering Capital
Accelevation Holdings Corp · Capital · Negative Accelevation's IPO priced below the marketed range at $18.00 and the stock slipped 2.5% to $17.55 in its Nasdaq debut.
Olympus Partners · Capital · Neutral Olympus Partners is the PE sponsor selling 20 million shares in the IPO, retaining ~85% voting power; the below-range pricing and debut dip affect its exit valuation.
Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang Predicts AI Infrastructure Boom Could Create One Million US Jobs
Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang predicted that artificial intelligence could generate approximately one million American jobs through a massive expansion of domestic computing infrastructure, speaking alongside Elon Musk at an America.Gov event on September 29. Huang estimated the United States could build between 10 and 20 gigawatts of new AI infrastructure annually, requiring substantial investment in electricity generation, cooling systems, networking and construction. He said that buildout would probably create about a million jobs in building out these data centers, and argued AI could help reverse decades of American industrial decline by generating fresh demand for blue-collar labor, calling it the first time in 50 years that the United States is reindustrializing. Musk reinforced the assessment, describing significant employment growth around his companies' computing infrastructure projects, with some communities now experiencing more available jobs than workers. Huang's forecast highlights how Nvidia's growth opportunity increasingly extends beyond selling graphics processors, though his million-job estimate refers to infrastructure-related employment rather than net job creation after accounting for potential AI displacement elsewhere.
Oracle Wisconsin AI Campus Faces Power Delays, Shares Slip 1.8%
Oracle Corp. shares fell 1.8% Wednesday after infrastructure data provider Aterio reported that the company's massive artificial-intelligence data-center project in Wisconsin faces severe delays because of a gridlocked power connection. Vantage Data Centers is building the 500-acre "Project Lighthouse" campus for Oracle in Port Washington, Wisconsin, and while physical construction is advancing rapidly, with permits secured and two of the site's four buildings already enclosed, the facility cannot run computers until the local utility, American Transmission Co., builds a new high-voltage power line. That transmission project has hit a regulatory wall: the Public Service Commission of Wisconsin recently revoked an initial approval and restarted its legal review clock after builders filed hundreds of changes to the project's scope. The reset puts Oracle at risk of missing its target to begin using the site in the second half of 2027, and under Aterio's most likely scenario meaningful power will not reach the campus until early 2028, with full power capacity possibly not arriving until April 2029 if regulators take a full year to review. The Wisconsin gridlock comes just days after Oracle warned it might delay payments on "Project Jupiter," a separate massive campus in New Mexico, citing delayed gas pipelines and pending air permits, and Oracle did not immediately respond to requests for comment on the Aterio report.
ORCL · Supply · Negative Power-connection delays at its Wisconsin AI campus risk missing the 2027 target, with full power possibly not until 2029.
Vantage Data Centers · Supply · Negative As builder of Project Lighthouse, its campus cannot run computers until the delayed high-voltage transmission line is completed.
American Transmission Company · Regulation · Neutral Its high-voltage transmission project hit a regulatory wall after Wisconsin regulators revoked initial approval and restarted review.
Aterio · · Neutral Aterio is the data provider whose report on the power delays is cited, not a party affected by the news.
Aterio Flags Delay Risk for Oracle's 1.3 GW Wisconsin Data Center
Aterio published an analysis warning that Oracle's 1.3 GW Project Lighthouse data center campus in Port Washington, Wisconsin, faces material risk of missing its second-half 2027 delivery guidance, with meaningful load unlikely before mid-2028. The campus, which Vantage Data Centers is building for Oracle, cannot operate until American Transmission Company completes a new high-voltage interconnection, and that work requires approval from the Public Service Commission of Wisconsin. ATC's first application spent ten months under review before the PSC revoked its completeness finding in August and closed the case, citing hundreds of post-filing scope changes, and ATC refiled in September, resetting the statutory clock under a new docket. Aterio models three timelines: an earliest legal path with partial power around October 2027 and full 1.3 GW around August 2028, a base case with partial power around December 2027 and full capacity around October 2028, and an extended review with partial power around June 2028 and full capacity around April 2029. The next milestone is the PSC's completeness decision, expected around October 19, 2026, alongside ATC's filing with grid operator MISO on a voltage-stabilizing device near the campus substation.
ORCL · Regulation · Negative PSC review delays on ATC's interconnection approval risk pushing Oracle's 1.3 GW Project Lighthouse data center delivery from H2 2027 to mid-2028 or later.
Jacobs wins three-year SaaS deal for Nvidia AI R&D facility
Jacobs has been selected by Nvidia to deploy its Data Center Digital Twin platform at a large-scale AI research and development facility in the U.S. Under a three-year software-as-a-service agreement, Jacobs will provide a digital twin environment designed to improve operational planning and facility performance at one of Nvidia's advanced AI R&D facilities. Built on Nvidia Omniverse libraries, the platform creates a real-time environment that allows operators to simulate scenarios and monitor and optimize facility performance, combining engineering models, operational technology and live facility data into a single platform. J shares rose 1.5% premarket on Wednesday.
US Needs 1.7 Million Skilled Trades Workers a Year Through 2035, Alliance Says
The US will need to fill 1.7 million skilled trades job openings annually through 2035, according to a new report from the Alliance for America's Skilled Trades, while current training programs produce just 55 workers for every 100 needed. The alliance, founded by BlackRock, Ford, Google and Carhartt, is adding Meta, Microsoft, Nvidia and Waymo as the labor shortage threatens the buildout of AI infrastructure. Ford CEO Jim Farley said no single company can close the skilled trades gap alone and that training just 55 workers for every 100 needed puts economic growth at risk. The report projects employment of electricians, HVAC technicians and industrial machinery mechanics to grow at twice, three times and five times the rate for all occupations, respectively, with Arizona needing 29,000 electricians, Texas 86,000 auto mechanics and North Carolina 19,000 carpenters by 2034. The essential economy, spanning construction, utilities, agriculture, transportation, oil and gas, and equipment manufacturing, accounts for $12 trillion of gross domestic product, 95 million jobs and 3 million businesses, and a PRT Staffing survey found 17.4% of manufacturing companies report worker shortages, with 3.8 million manufacturing jobs projected to need filling over the next decade.
Economists Warn AI Investment Is Fueling US Inflation, Making Rate Control Harder
Economists are warning that the massive artificial intelligence infrastructure spending by America's tech giants is becoming a new source of pressure that makes US inflation harder to control. JPMorgan estimates that AI infrastructure investment, covering data center construction and the purchase of chips and servers, could reach roughly 1 trillion dollars in 2026, more than the US federal government's annual military budget. Meanwhile, Stein van Nieuwenburg, an economist at Columbia University, wrote in a research paper published by the Brookings Institution that cumulative AI infrastructure investment through 2036 could reach 10.3 trillion dollars, roughly equivalent to spending the entire 1.2 trillion dollar US infrastructure law that former President Joe Biden signed in 2021, nearly every year for about a decade. That investment is expected to average more than 3.6% of US gross domestic product annually through 2036, up from about 1.9% this year, according to Goldman Sachs estimates. The data center construction is driving demand for memory chips, building materials, electricity and workers such as construction laborers, plumbers and electricians, pushing up prices for some goods and services amid a tight labor market and still-strong consumer purchasing power. US retail sales rose 1.2% in August and the unemployment rate stood at 4.1%. The top eight stocks in the S&P 500 are all AI-related and together account for 38.8% of the index's total market value. Austan Goolsbee, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, said on September 21 that he is watching closely whether AI data center construction is spilling over into other parts of the economy and creating more activity than the system can handle, and that if overall demand runs too hot, the Fed is ready to raise its policy interest rate further. Oren Klachkin, an economist at Nationwide, noted that AI investment is relatively insensitive to changes in interest rates, so it is unlikely to slow down anytime soon.
SCB EIC expects public construction value in 2027 to contract 5% to 927 billion baht
SCB EIC, the research center of Siam Commercial Bank, estimates that the value of public construction in 2027 is likely to contract 5% year-on-year to 927 billion baht, pressured by the annual budget framework for fiscal year 2027, in which the investment budget was cut 13% from fiscal year 2026. Meanwhile, the value of private construction is likely to hold steady at 598 billion baht, with residential and commercial real estate construction continuing to contract, while industrial factory construction continues to expand on the back of approved investment promotions and new FDI inflows such as data centers. In the construction materials industry, demand in 2027 is likely to contract in line with the construction sector, pushing capacity utilization to a relatively low level, while construction material prices are likely to decline in line with raw material costs and energy prices, amid intense price competition and imports of steel and tiles from abroad. SCB EIC recommends that construction contractors expand into new work such as energy-efficient buildings and data centers, manage cash flow and backlogs appropriately, control costs by signing advance material purchase contracts, and invest in technology. Meanwhile, construction material producers should manage raw material sources, costs, and inventory, and prepare for the CBAM measure, which adds to the cost of steel exports.
Land and Houses recommends buying DELTA with a 320 baht target and STECON with a 21.2 baht target
Land and Houses Securities issued an analysis recommending buying DELTA and STECON shares, setting a strategic target price of 320 baht for DELTA, equivalent to a FY69F P/E of 117x, and 21.2 baht for STECON, equivalent to a FY69F P/E of 19x. For DELTA, it estimates resistance at 279 baht, support at 260 baht, and a stop loss at 250 baht, expecting Q3/69F profit to recover both quarter-on-quarter and year-on-year after the raw material shortage in Q2/69 eased. Meanwhile, a product mix shift toward higher-margin AI and data center products and liquid cooling should help gross profit margin recover to around 30%. For STECON, it estimates resistance at 21.1 baht, support at 19.4 baht, and a stop loss at 18.6 baht, expecting Q3/69F net profit to fall quarter-on-quarter from the high base in Q2/69, which included dividend income from GULF, though construction business profit is likely to grow both quarter-on-quarter and year-on-year as revenue from projects in hand is recognized faster, especially data center work. A further catalyst is the opportunity to win three new data center projects worth a combined total of about 50 billion baht, which would boost backlog and support revenue in 2027 and 2028, along with opportunities from government infrastructure tenders and the investment cycle under the Power Development Plan.
STECON expects 2026 revenue to exceed 35 billion baht, reaching 50-60 billion in 2027
Pakpoom Srichamni, Chief Executive Officer of Stecon Group Public Company Limited, or STECON, disclosed that the company expects total revenue in 2026 to exceed its target of 35 billion baht, after total revenue in the first half of 2026 already reached 16.787 billion baht, or about 48% of the full-year target. It currently still holds construction work in hand from transportation projects, including the Purple Line electric train and the M6 and M81 motorways, while also tracking opportunities from the M82 project and continuing to bid for new work. The company places importance on data center projects, especially investment by major service providers, or hyperscalers, and is in the process of extending its business from a construction contracting base into the development of and investment in infrastructure, including water, utilities, and energy, in order to increase the share of recurring revenue. Kasikorn Securities stated that STECON currently has work in hand of about 113 billion baht, with management aiming to add approximately 69 billion baht more to its backlog during the remainder of 2026, divided into three data center projects worth a combined 49.8 billion baht, power plant projects worth 16 billion baht, and airport projects worth 3 billion baht. If it wins the work as planned, revenue in 2027 could be 50 billion to 60 billion baht, compared with the research department's current estimate of 37 billion baht, while gross profit margin will be above 7%. Initially, it forecasts normal profit in 2026 at 1.497 billion baht, up 63% year on year, and maintains a Buy recommendation with a fair value of 22.28 baht, selecting the stock as a top pick in the large contractor group.
Artificial Intelligence › Build-out, Construction & Engineering ▲Demand
Energy Transition & Power Demand › Grid, Transmission & Power Equipment ▲Demand
STECON.BK · Capital · Positive Kasikorn Securities maintains a Buy recommendation with a fair value of 22.28 baht, forecasts 2026 normal profit up 63% year on year, and selects STECON as a top pick in the large contractor group.
STECON.BK · Demand · Positive STECON expects 2026 revenue to exceed its 35 billion baht target and 2027 revenue of 50-60 billion baht, driven by its 113 billion baht backlog and bidding for new data center, power plant, and airport projects.
Samsung to Invest $1 Billion in KKR, Nvidia-Backed Helix Digital Infrastructure
Samsung Electronics will invest $1 billion in Helix Digital Infrastructure, an AI infrastructure platform backed by KKR, Nvidia and Vistra, as the Korean group expands beyond supplying components into data-center development, according to a Tuesday press release. Samsung Electronics will provide $500 million, while Samsung C&T, Samsung SDS, Samsung SDI, Samsung Life Insurance and Samsung Fire & Marine Insurance will fund the balance. The six companies will join KKR, Kuwait Investment Authority, Nvidia and Vistra as founding investors. The investment gives Samsung exposure to several parts of the AI buildout. Helix is designed to develop and operate hyperscale data centers, secure power generation and transmission capacity, and deploy fiber networks, a mandate that connects Samsung's semiconductor, cooling, construction and battery operations with infrastructure projects supporting AI workloads.
Artificial Intelligence › AI Data Center & Build-out ▲Capital
Artificial Intelligence › Build-out, Construction & Engineering ▲Capital
005930.KO · Capital · Positive Samsung Electronics will invest $500M of the $1B into Helix, expanding beyond components into data-center development.
Helix Digital Infrastructure · Capital · Positive Helix Digital Infrastructure receives a $1 billion investment from Samsung Electronics and five other Samsung affiliates, joining KKR, Nvidia and Vistra as founding investors.
006400.KO · Capital · Positive Samsung SDI is one of the Samsung affiliates funding the $1B investment in Helix Digital Infrastructure, gaining exposure to AI data-center buildout.
018260.KO · Capital · Positive Samsung SDS is among the Samsung companies funding the $1B Helix Digital Infrastructure investment, connecting its operations to AI infrastructure projects.
028260.KO · Capital · Positive Samsung C&T is one of the Samsung affiliates contributing to the $1B investment in Helix, linking its construction operations to data-center development.
032830.KO · Capital · Positive Samsung Life Insurance is among the Samsung companies funding the $1B Helix Digital Infrastructure investment as a founding investor.
Goodman Group Shelves $840 Million Sydney Data Center as Australia's AI Boom Faces Backlash
Goodman Group has shelved plans for an $840 million data center facility in suburban Sydney after facing significant community resistance, as Australia's data center boom runs into growing local opposition. The state of Victoria has also recently banned data centers in residential areas, and the Federal Senate has begun an inquiry into the sector. The debate is being amplified by AI security concerns after Prime Minister Anthony Albanese called for stronger AI safeguards following revelations that an OpenAI model hacked a government website. Jeannie Paterson, co-director of the Centre for AI and Digital Ethics at the University of Melbourne, told Bloomberg that existing hacking and unauthorized-access laws in the US and Australia are not yet being enforced, and that jurisdiction is a hurdle because Anthropic does not currently train models in Australia, though that would change if the company makes predicted investments in Australian data centers. She added that civil penalties and tort liability, rather than criminal intent requirements, offer a more agile way to hold AI developers accountable, especially as companies approach IPOs where shareholders care about such exposure.
OpenAI · Regulation · Negative Article cites an OpenAI model hacking a government website, amplifying AI security concerns and calls for stronger safeguards amid Australia's data center backlash.
Anthropic · Regulation · Neutral Mentioned as not currently training models in Australia and facing jurisdiction/liability hurdles, but no concrete company-specific development.
Crusoe Confirms It Is Developing Google Data Center Campus in Armstrong County, Texas
Crusoe announced it is the developer of Google's data center campus under construction in Armstrong County outside of Amarillo, Texas. The campus is engineered to provide capacity to power advanced AI and has a direct connection to Serena's adjacent Goodnight 1 wind farm, which at 265.5 MW is operational, and the Goodnight 2 wind farm, also 265.5 MW, which is under construction and was catalyzed by Crusoe's development at the site. When wind generation exceeds campus demand, surplus power is supplied back to the grid, benefiting local ratepayers and reducing curtailment of West Texas wind energy. Construction broke ground in June 2025 and is underway with more than 5,500 skilled laborers on-site daily, and the project will use a closed-loop, non-evaporative liquid cooling system designed to limit its water footprint primarily to domestic uses such as kitchens. The campus is part of Crusoe's growing West Texas portfolio, which includes two campuses under development in Abilene.
Artificial Intelligence › AI Power & Cooling ▲Technology
Crusoe · Demand · Positive Crusoe is confirmed as developer of Google's data center campus and its West Texas portfolio, a concrete project win.
Serena Energy · Demand · Positive Serena's Goodnight 1 and 2 wind farms supply power to the campus, with Goodnight 2 catalyzed by Crusoe's development.
GOOG · Capital · Positive Crusoe confirmed it is developing Google's AI data center campus in Armstrong County, Texas, expanding Alphabet's data center capacity.
Fermi Taps NAES to Operate Natural Gas Turbine Fleet at Project Matador
Fermi Inc. announced an operations and maintenance agreement with NAES Corporation, the largest independent operator of power plants in the United States, to run and maintain Fermi's natural gas turbine fleet at its Project Matador private-power campus in Carson County, Texas. Under the agreement, Fermi retains ownership of the assets and control of the facility while NAES serves as operator, performing operating and maintenance procedures, setting up the work management system, and preparing the plants for service. As Fermi's natural gas turbines come online, NAES will staff and operate the units, oversee the maintenance program, and handle site safety and environmental compliance. The deal also brings in the NAES Enterprise Reliability Program, which supplies operator training, asset risk reviews, maintenance planning, control reviews, and a live reliability dashboard. The agreement follows several recent milestones at Project Matador, including the selection of CBRE to operate and maintain the first data center, the arrival of the first Siemens Energy SGT6-5000F natural gas turbines, a binding lease agreement with first customer TensorWave, a build-own-operate-transfer strategic alliance with Hillcore Energy Capital Corporation for roughly 2.6 gigawatts of added power, and EPC agreements with Primoris Services Corporation and TSK. Fermi America is developing Project Matador with more than $1.5 billion invested in buildout to date, and subject to entering into binding customer agreements, the project is expected to ramp to approximately 17 GW.
Energy Transition & Power Demand › Behind-the-Meter & On-site Power ▲Supply
Energy Transition & Power Demand › Natural Gas Value Chain ▲Demand
Artificial Intelligence › Build-out, Construction & Engineering Supply
FRMI · Supply · Positive Fermi signs NAES to operate and maintain its Project Matador natural gas turbine fleet, advancing the power capacity buildout.
NAES Corporation · Demand · Positive NAES wins an operations and maintenance agreement to run Fermi's natural gas turbine fleet at Project Matador.
Wison New Energies Unveils Floating Data Center Concept at Gastech 2026
Wison New Energies unveiled a floating data center concept at the Gastech 2026 conference in Bangkok, pairing its Floating Storage Regasification to Power technology with modular data-center infrastructure on a single offshore platform. The Floating Power Data Center, or FPDC, stores and regasifies LNG onboard and converts it directly to electricity for onsite computing racks, and the company is examining whether cold energy released during regasification could help cool the servers. The concept responds to mounting constraints on land-based data centers in the U.S., including multi-year grid interconnection queues, water-cooling objections and scarce land near metro and fiber hubs, as well as political backlash such as Texas Governor Greg Abbott's August directive to pause the state's data center permitting process pending a review of water and energy usage. Wison's most recent proof point in offshore execution came this summer, when it signed the EPCIC contract for the Baleine Phase 3 FPSO serving Eni's offshore field in Côte d'Ivoire, a nearly 308-meter facility designed to process 90,000 barrels of oil a day. At Gastech, Wison also signed a collaboration agreement with Shell to integrate Shell's Dual Mixed Refrigerant liquefaction technology into its floating LNG portfolio, the first time the process will be available across the wider FLNG market, and a strategic memorandum of understanding with Houston-based KBR covering engineering, advisory services and integrated project solutions. Norway's DNV granted the world's first FLNG ABATE Notation FEED Approval for Wison's Low Emission FLNG, and the Houston-headquartered American Bureau of Shipping granted Approval in Principle for Wison's Floating Storage and Regasification Unit design for ammonia.
Artificial Intelligence › Build-out, Construction & Engineering Supply
SHEL.LSE · Technology · Positive Wison signed a collaboration agreement with Shell to integrate Shell's Dual Mixed Refrigerant liquefaction technology into its floating LNG portfolio, the first time the process will be available across the wider FLNG market.
Truckstop Spot Load Volume Up 20% in September as Flatbed Hits 2008 High
Truckstop's spot market load volume is tracking roughly 20% above year-ago levels in September, with flatbed freight posting its strongest year-over-year gains since 2008, according to Sean Dehan, COO and Chief Strategy Officer of Truckstop. Speaking on FreightWaves Today, Dehan said the platform was already up 15% year over year with about two-thirds of September complete, putting the full month on pace for about 20%. Flatbed strength is driven largely by data center construction and broader AI infrastructure investment, pushing volumes past even the COVID-era surge, while van and reefer reflect a capacity story more than a demand story. On costs, Dehan said insurance premiums have risen 10% to 20% annually for four or five successive years and diesel has reached record levels, including a first-ever $10-per-gallon reading in California. He also addressed the legal fallout from the Montgomery and Lupus decisions on brokerage liability, saying broker customers are now demanding more carrier safety data and that Truckstop is developing tools for carriers to proactively share their own safety data.
Artificial Intelligence › Build-out, Construction & Engineering ▲Demand
Truckstop · Demand · Positive Truckstop's spot load volume is up ~20% YoY in September, with flatbed at its strongest since 2008 on data center and AI infrastructure construction.
Truckstop · Regulation · Positive Montgomery and Lupus brokerage-liability fallout is driving broker customers to demand more carrier safety data, and Truckstop is developing tools for carriers to share safety data.
DarkHorse Taps Empirix, Covectis, Perpetual Grid and Barge for TVA Region AI Data Center Conversions
DarkHorse Technologies Inc. announced strategic relationships with Empirix Partners, Covectis, Perpetual Grid and Barge Design Solutions to support the conversion and development of its power and data center assets in the Tennessee Valley Authority region for artificial intelligence and high-performance computing use. The partners will cover project management, equipment procurement planning, go-to-market strategy, utility coordination and architectural and engineering design for the company's Tennessee and Kentucky assets, with initial scope already underway to define improvements, costs and schedules for individual sites. Empirix leads owner's representation, program management and procurement planning, Covectis handles market positioning and economic modeling, and Perpetual Grid supports power planning and utility coordination, while Barge, an employee-owned architecture and engineering firm founded in 1955 with more than 650 professionals and more than 7.5 gigawatts of data center master-planning experience, provides architectural and engineering design under a master professional services agreement. The announcement follows DarkHorse's September 8, 2026 strategic review, which identified the TVA region as the focus of its AI and high-performance computing development, and the company's approach centers on smaller, distribution-connected sites and work with host communities and their utilities. DarkHorse, formerly Sphere 3D Corp., owns and/or operates approximately 50 MW of operating power capacity across four data center locations in Tennessee and Kentucky, has a proposed new 50 MW data center under development in Kentucky, and holds a development pipeline of approximately 100 MW of additional potential expansion opportunities.
Artificial Intelligence › Build-out, Construction & Engineering ▲Demand
Energy Transition & Power Demand › Grid, Transmission & Power Equipment Demand
DRK · Capital · Positive DarkHorse announced strategic partnerships to convert its TVA-region power and data center assets for AI/HPC use, advancing its development pipeline.
Barge Design Solutions · Demand · Positive Barge Design Solutions was tapped to provide architectural and engineering design under a master professional services agreement for DarkHorse's data center conversions.
Covectis · Demand · Positive Covectis was chosen to handle market positioning and economic modeling for DarkHorse's TVA-region data center assets.
Empirix Partners · Demand · Positive Empirix Partners was selected to lead owner's representation, program management and procurement planning for DarkHorse's TVA-region projects.
Perpetual Grid · Demand · Positive Perpetual Grid was engaged to support power planning and utility coordination for DarkHorse's AI data center conversions.
45 US Data Center Projects Worth $68 Billion Blocked or Delayed
Forty-five US data center projects worth $68 billion combined were blocked or delayed from April through June, with a reported 843 opposition groups against AI across 49 states. The delays come against a backdrop of 2,700 data centers currently operating in the country, of which about 400 are under construction and roughly 1,500 are awaiting approval and permitting. Some planned IPOs tied to the buildout, including hydropower and energy companies, have been pushed back, though Excelvation Holdings is seeking to raise $720 million in its offering. A Reuters Ipsos poll found 73% of Americans worry AI companies have not done enough to prevent serious harm to society, while 39% said they believe AI is having a negative impact on society. Despite the growing opposition, the broader AI trade remains intact, with Meta and AMD trading higher even as cracks begin to show in the data center boom.
Mitsubishi Electric Unveils Chip-to-Grid Blueprint for NVIDIA-Powered AI Factories
Mitsubishi Electric Power Products, Inc. announced its new Chip-to-Grid Reference Designs, an integrated blueprint for AI factories built with NVIDIA Vera Rubin NVL72 and future next-generation NVIDIA AI infrastructure. The designs target hyperscale, neocloud, and colocation operators across North America, providing scalable architecture built around 250 MW deployment blocks that support expansion to gigawatt-scale campuses and enable rack densities to grow from approximately 200 kW today to more than 1 MW per rack. Each 250 MW deployment block can operate islanded, using on-site generation and battery energy storage with a pathway to future utility interconnection, or grid connected. The framework integrates utility interconnection, on-site generation, battery energy storage, electrical distribution, advanced cooling, and facility controls, and aligns with NVIDIA MGX rack-scale accelerated computing platforms and the NVIDIA Vera Rubin DSX AI Factory Reference Design infrastructure provisioning strategy. Tricia Breeger, President and CEO of MEPPI, said success depends on resilient energy systems and scalable infrastructure that can grow from today's deployments to tomorrow's gigawatt-scale campuses, while Vladimir Troy, Vice President of AI Infrastructure at NVIDIA, said the designs give operators a repeatable blueprint for deploying NVIDIA Vera Rubin infrastructure.
Mitsubishi Electric Power Products, Inc. · Demand · Positive Mitsubishi Electric Power Products announced the Chip-to-Grid Reference Designs, an integrated blueprint for NVIDIA-powered AI factories.
6503.JP · Demand · Positive MEPPI's new Chip-to-Grid Reference Designs target hyperscale, neocloud, and colocation operators, creating a new product offering for Mitsubishi Electric's power infrastructure.
NVDA · Demand · Positive Mitsubishi Electric's Chip-to-Grid reference designs are built around NVIDIA Vera Rubin NVL72 and MGX platforms, expanding deployment of NVIDIA AI infrastructure.
Alpha Compute Buys 300 Acres in Pennsylvania for AI Data Center
Alpha Compute has executed definitive real estate and asset purchase agreements to acquire over 300 acres of land and subsurface rights in Pennsylvania. The acquisition secures surface, mineral, and gas rights across the Utica and Marcellus shale formations, including over 75 existing wells, heavy equipment, and gathering infrastructure. Historical Halliburton estimated 10,000 barrels per acre of light Pennsylvania sweet crude oil across subsurface parcels, with modern geological reviews now underway to map reserve potential. Alpha Compute plans to build a new data center on the site modeled after its Northern Pennsylvania facility, complying with local zoning, regional grid standards, and Pennsylvania Department of Environmental Protection regulations. The company intends to establish municipal covenants to align with local development goals, create construction and operational jobs, modernize utility infrastructure, and ensure responsible well management under DEP oversight.
Artificial Intelligence › AI Data Center & Build-out ▲Capital
Energy Transition & Power Demand › Natural Gas Value Chain ▲Demand
Artificial Intelligence › Build-out, Construction & Engineering ▲Demand
Energy Transition & Power Demand › Behind-the-Meter & On-site Power ▲Demand
Critical Materials & Supply Chain › Copper Demand
ALP · Capital · Positive Alpha Compute executed definitive agreements to acquire 300+ acres with mineral/gas rights and wells to build a new AI data center.
Quanta Services Adds AI Cloud Veteran Ellen Rubin to Board
Quanta Services, Inc. appointed Ellen Rubin, an AI and cloud infrastructure veteran and current Operating Partner at Glasswing Ventures, to its Board of Directors earlier this month. Rubin brings experience from Amazon Web Services, multiple enterprise software start-ups, and Allegion's boardroom, and her background in AI, hybrid cloud, and security could help Quanta align its power infrastructure and utility solutions more closely with the technical needs of data centers and other AI-related customers. The appointment comes alongside Quanta's raised 2026 outlook, which now calls for US$39.3 billion to US$39.7 billion in revenue and US$1.74 billion to US$1.82 billion in net income, backed by a US$53 billion backlog and acquisition-driven expansion in power infrastructure. The company's narrative projects US$46.7 billion in revenue and US$2.4 billion in earnings by 2029, while some of the most optimistic analysts were already modeling revenue above US$60 billion and earnings above US$3 billion by 2029. Rubin's appointment adds AI and cloud depth on the board, but it does not materially change the near-term catalyst around converting record backlog into earnings or the key risk of integrating acquisitions at scale.
US Hyperscalers to Spend Up to $725 Billion on AI Infrastructure in 2026
The top five US hyperscalers are projecting a combined capital expenditure of $660 billion to $725 billion for 2026, nearly double their 2025 outlays, as the AI build-out shifts from software to physical infrastructure. Microsoft is guiding for roughly $175 billion in adjusted capital expenditure for both FY2026 and FY2027, with two-thirds of quarterly spend going to short-lived assets like CPUs and GPUs and the rest to long-lived data center infrastructure, and it added 1 gigawatt of capacity in Q3 FY2026, doubling its global footprint in two years. Amazon AWS has raised its 2026 capex guidance to approximately $220 billion, with CEO Andy Jassy saying AI capacity is expected to remain constrained through 2027 and contracted demand extending into 2028. Meta saw profit drop 14% in Q2 2026 despite a 28% revenue increase as its build-out, including a 1 gigawatt data center in Ohio and a Louisiana facility that could scale to 5 gigawatts, compressed margins, while Alphabet raised its 2026 capex guidance to as much as $205 billion and its Google Cloud backlog more than doubled year-over-year to $240 billion. The Stargate joint venture involving Oracle, OpenAI and others targets up to $500 billion in infrastructure investment by 2029, and Oracle's FY2026 capex reached $55.7 billion, more than doubling from the previous year.
Citi: Data Center Opposition Has Not Weakened AI Construction Pipeline
Citi says growing political opposition to artificial intelligence infrastructure ahead of the November U.S. midterm elections has not materially weakened the data center construction pipeline. Data center development has become a bipartisan flashpoint, with local governments introducing moratoriums and at least 15 state legislatures proposing tighter regulatory restrictions, yet spending remains strong as AI infrastructure demand continues to support development. The impact has been concentrated among speculative and early-stage projects, which are increasingly delayed or cancelled during local approval processes, while late-stage developments that have already secured sites and grid connections continue to move ahead. Hyperscalers are seeking workarounds to power constraints and local restrictions, with Amazon pursuing direct investment in nuclear development with Dominion Energy and Meta securing a major nuclear power purchase agreement with Constellation Energy. Citi does not expect another market shock comparable to the emergence of DeepSeek, arguing investors have already adjusted to the prospect of highly efficient Chinese models, though it flags a potentially greater risk from governments restricting models deemed too dangerous, which could abruptly create excess computing capacity.
Energy Transition & Power Demand › Grid, Transmission & Power Equipment Regulation
Artificial Intelligence › AI Power & Cooling ▲Demand
AMZN · Capital · Positive Amazon is pursuing direct investment in nuclear development with Dominion Energy to work around power constraints and local data center restrictions.
AMZN · Supply · Positive Amazon is pursuing direct investment in nuclear development with Dominion Energy to work around power constraints and local data center restrictions.
CEG · Demand · Positive Meta secured a major nuclear power purchase agreement with Constellation Energy, a concrete demand deal for its power.
D · Demand · Positive Amazon is pursuing direct nuclear investment with Dominion Energy, a concrete demand development for the utility.
META · Demand · Positive Meta secured a major nuclear power purchase agreement with Constellation Energy to power its AI data centers.
Caterpillar Expands Robot Trucks to Two More Virginia Quarries
Caterpillar announced on September 15 that its self-driving haul trucks at a Luck Stone quarry are moving large tonnage, with expansion to two more Virginia quarries, Boscobel and Bealeton, including the first autonomous deployment of Cat 775 trucks. The company disclosed no order value, truck count, or profit contribution from the autonomy milestone, and autonomy was named on the earnings call only as a source of higher SG&A and R&D expenses inside Resource Industries. In the second quarter of 2026, revenue reached $20.5 billion, up 24% year over year, with adjusted EPS of $8.17, up 73%, while backlog climbed to $72 billion, up roughly $35 billion versus a year earlier. Power & Energy is the engine, with segment sales up 17% to $8.2 billion and power generation sales up 72% on large gensets and turbines for data centers, and gas prime orders extend toward the back half of 2028 and into 2029. Caterpillar trades at $798.51 against a consensus analyst target of $975.61, a trailing PE of 34x, and full-year tariff costs of around $2.2 billion for 2026, with expected IEEPA tariff recoveries of approximately $400 million.
Energy Transition & Power Demand › Behind-the-Meter & On-site Power ▲Demand
Energy Transition & Power Demand › Natural Gas Value Chain ▲Demand
Robotics & Physical AI › Autonomous Trucking & Delivery Technology
Artificial Intelligence › Build-out, Construction & Engineering Technology
CAT · Technology · Positive Caterpillar expanded its autonomous self-driving haul trucks to two more Virginia quarries, including the first autonomous deployment of Cat 775 trucks.
CAT · Capital · Positive Q2 2026 revenue rose 24% to $20.5B with adjusted EPS up 73% and backlog climbing to $72B.
Crusoe Raises $3.9 Billion Series F at $30.9 Billion Valuation
Crusoe announced the initial closing of its anticipated $3.9 billion Series F funding round at a $30.9 billion post-money valuation. The oversubscribed round was co-led by Atreides Management, Mubadala Capital, and Valor Equity Partners, with backing from new and existing investors including Founders Fund, GIC, NVIDIA, Qatar Investment Authority, Radical Ventures, and TPG. The company said the capital will help it scale existing programs and build out its own AI factories, from large-scale vertically-integrated campuses to modular Crusoe Spark units, fueling growth of Crusoe Cloud. Crusoe reported over $140 billion in total contracted value across its vertically-integrated platform and more than 6 GW of gross contracted capacity across data centers and cloud, including 1 GW of gross capacity delivered and operational today. The company also cited 20x-plus year-over-year growth in Crusoe Cloud bookings year to date and over $100 million in contracted ARR for Crusoe Managed Inference, launched late last year.
BlackRock AI Infrastructure Partnership to Deploy Over 3 Million Tradespeople
BlackRock and its AI Infrastructure Partnership signed an agreement in August with North America's Building Trades Unions to give unions visibility into the coming project pipeline and to train and deploy the workforce needed to build it, with more than 3 million skilled craft professionals represented across the U.S. and Canada. BlackRock expects the expansion of data centers, power generation and related infrastructure to create hundreds of thousands of skilled jobs, and its separate $100 million Future Builders initiative aims to reach 50,000 workers over five years. For traveling union members, pension contributions made while working outside a home local may stay with the jobsite fund or return home through reciprocal arrangements such as money-follows-the-man, while pro-rata reciprocity can combine service earned under multiple participating funds for eligibility or vesting purposes, with each fund responsible for its share. Social Security instead keeps a single lifetime earnings record regardless of the states worked, using the highest 35 years of indexed earnings, though the Social Security Administration ordinarily limits corrections to an earnings record after three years, three months and 15 days, with important exceptions. The company said workers should confirm how reciprocity works before taking an out-of-area job, keep records from every fund and local, and check their Social Security earnings record against W-2s from every state worked.
Artificial Intelligence › Build-out, Construction & Engineering ▲Demand
BLK · Capital · Positive BlackRock's AI Infrastructure Partnership signed an agreement to train and deploy over 3 million tradespeople for its data center and power buildout, advancing its infrastructure investment program.
CoinShares: Miners Won't Return from AI Even as BTC Recovers
On September 15, CoinShares published its second-quarter 2026 Bitcoin mining report, expressing the view that even if the Bitcoin price recovers, the shift of listed miners toward AI infrastructure will not reverse. According to the report, in the second quarter the listed mining sector as a whole fell below its cash-based break-even point, with the average cash production cost per BTC at about 75,500 dollars, while BTC had fallen to 58,400 dollars by the end of the quarter. By the firm's estimates, AI brings these companies about 1.5 million dollars in annual profit per megawatt, while mining yields only about 500,000 dollars. Author Luke Nolan cited examples including Core Scientific paying 41.9 million dollars to cancel contracts for next-generation mining rigs. New data center construction itself has also become more difficult, with at least 225 construction halts or regulatory interventions seen across 30 U.S. states. Although BTC has recovered to around 77,000 dollars and many miners are once again above break-even, the firm believes it is unlikely that miners who have committed power and infrastructure to AI through long-term leases and the like will return to mining.
Artificial Intelligence › Build-out, Construction & Engineering Regulation
CORZ · Capital · Negative Core Scientific cited as paying $41.9M to cancel next-generation mining rig contracts as it pivots to AI infrastructure.
BTC · Monetary · Neutral Report notes BTC fell to $58,400 (below miners' ~$75,500 break-even) then recovered to ~$77,000, but the article's focus is miners shifting to AI, not a clear directional driver for BTC.