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Sainsbury's Held Merger Talks With Morrisons Earlier This Year
Sainsbury's held preliminary talks about a possible merger with Morrisons between November and February, but the UK's second-largest supermarket subsequently walked away from a deal. A combination would have created a supermarket group with almost a quarter of Britain's grocery market, putting it within striking distance of Tesco. Sainsbury's has a 15.2pc share of the market while Morrisons accounts for 8.4pc, according to Worldpanel by Numerator, giving them a combined 23.6pc against Tesco's 27.8pc. The FT reported on Monday that the companies had held preliminary discussions about a combination, although there are no active talks between the two sides, and any deal would face close scrutiny from the Competition and Markets Authority. The revelation comes seven years after the competition watchdog blocked Sainsbury's £7.3bn attempt to buy Asda, and since then Aldi and Lidl have continued to expand rapidly, taking a combined 19pc of the grocery market. Morrisons was bought by private equity group Clayton, Dubilier & Rice in 2021, a deal that saddled the company with a large debt burden, leaving it with £7.5bn of net debt at the end of its latest financial year. Sainsbury's and Morrisons declined to comment.
SBRY.LSE · Capital · Neutral Sainsbury's held preliminary merger talks with Morrisons but walked away, with any deal facing CMA scrutiny.
Clayton Dubilier & Rice · Capital · Neutral Morrisons, owned by CD&R, was the subject of preliminary merger talks with Sainsbury's that ultimately ended.
Mission Produce Marketing Unit Sales Climb to $414.3 Million on Avocado Demand
Mission Produce's Marketing and Distribution segment posted third-quarter fiscal 2026 sales of $414.3 million, up from $344.1 million a year earlier, with adjusted EBITDA rising to $24.7 million from $20 million. The company sold roughly 253 million pounds of avocados in the quarter, up 38% year over year, lifted by the Calavo acquisition and growth in its legacy business, though lower average selling prices partly offset the gain. A more balanced sourcing mix across Mexico, California and Peru helped per-unit margins recover sequentially from the fiscal second quarter, and Mission Produce increased its estimated U.S. retail market share by about 60 basis points year to date. Management said added packing capacity in Mexico and California and complementary customer relationships from the Calavo combination could drive meaningful market-share gains between 2027 and 2030. The Zacks Consensus Estimate points to a 17.7% year-over-year decline in AVO's fiscal 2026 earnings and 29.2% growth in fiscal 2027, with the stock carrying a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy).
AVO · Demand · Positive Avocado volume sold rose 38% YoY to ~253 million pounds, lifting Marketing & Distribution sales to $414.3M on strong avocado demand.
Albertsons Names Cody Perdue Interim CFO, Expands Board to 14 Members
Albertsons Companies has appointed Cody Perdue as Interim Chief Financial Officer following Sharon McCollam's planned retirement, and added three experienced retail and technology leaders to its Board of Directors, expanding the board to 14 members. The leadership moves underscore Albertsons' emphasis on finance discipline, grocery expertise and technology modernization as it continues its transformation efforts. The company's raised US$2.0 billion share repurchase authorization and ongoing buybacks stand out given Albertsons' weak 1 year total return of about negative 29.5 percent and current net margin of just 0.08 percent. Albertsons' narrative projects $83.7 billion revenue and $621.1 million earnings by 2029, while some of the lowest analysts assume fairly flat revenue near US$82.4 billion and only about US$647.6 million of earnings by 2029. The CFO transition and expanded, tech-focused board do not change the near term focus on execution, cost control and digital profitability, but they concentrate attention on whether leadership can deliver planned efficiency and modernization gains without further pressuring thin margins.
ACI · Capital · Neutral Albertsons names interim CFO after McCollam's retirement and expands its board, alongside a $2.0B buyback authorization, keeping focus on execution and thin margins.
Kroger Cuts Fiscal 2026 Identical-Sales Outlook Despite 20% Digital Growth
Kroger reported second-quarter fiscal 2026 adjusted earnings of $1.09 per share, up 4.8% year over year and ahead of the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.05, while cutting its fiscal 2026 identical-sales outlook to 0.2%-0.8% from 1%-2%. Total sales rose 2% to $34.62 billion but missed the consensus mark of $34.69 billion, and identical sales excluding fuel increased just 0.2%. Adjusted e-commerce sales climbed 20%, following 19% growth in the first quarter, with new digital customers also up 20%, and Kroger Precision Marketing profit rose 24%, its best growth rate since 2021. The company's 0.2% identical-sales growth absorbed about 265 basis points of combined pressure, including roughly 140 basis points from the Inflation Reduction Act, about 60 basis points from the shift to generic prescriptions, about 35 basis points from Cyclospora and about 30 basis points from egg deflation. Adjusted earnings guidance remained $5.10-$5.30 per share, and Kroger carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold).
Kroger Q2 Earnings Beat as Identical Sales Slow, Guidance Cut
Kroger reported second-quarter fiscal 2026 adjusted earnings of $1.09 per share, up 4.8% year over year and ahead of the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.05, even as identical sales excluding fuel rose just 0.2%, down from 3.4% growth a year earlier. Total sales increased 2% to $34.62 billion but fell short of the $34.69 billion consensus mark, and the company lowered its fiscal 2026 identical-sales guidance excluding fuel to 0.2%-0.8% from 1%-2% while maintaining adjusted earnings guidance of $5.10-$5.30 per share. The stock trades at 10.78X forward 12-month earnings, below its five-year median of 12.08X and well under the 30.68X for the Zacks sub-industry, 20.83X for the Zacks Retail-Wholesale sector and 19.66X for the S&P 500, consistent with a Value Score of A. Growth engines held up, with adjusted e-commerce sales up 20%, Kroger Precision Marketing profit up 24% for its best growth rate since 2021, and Our Brands outpacing national brands by 250 basis points as Private Selection sales rose more than 14%. Profitability faced pressure from higher shrink, transportation, healthcare and planned wage investments, with additional diesel and freight pressure expected through the rest of fiscal 2026, while Walmart posted 2.6% U.S. comparable-sales growth excluding fuel and 24% U.S. e-commerce growth and Costco reported 7.2% adjusted U.S. comparable-sales growth and 19.8% adjusted digitally enabled growth. Kroger carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) with a VGM Score of A, Value Score of A, Growth Score of B and Momentum Score of D.
Kroger Launches Rewards Elite Mastercard Powered by Imprint
Kroger is launching a new Kroger Rewards Elite Mastercard powered by the payments platform Imprint. Imprint said its AI-powered platform delivers tailored programs that drive measurable increases in engagement and spend, and Kroger shoppers can earn point multipliers for groceries, fuel, and dining. Imprint CEO Daragh Murphy will join NYSE Live to discuss the partnership and new growth opportunities for his company. The announcement came as part of the NYSE's pre-market update, which also noted the inaugural Fortune AIQ Summit taking place today at the NYSE under the theme 'Putting AI to work,' following the release of the 2026 Fortune AIQ 75 power list by Fortune and ServiceNow. In markets, the 10-year Treasury yield rose to 5.34%, its highest level since April 2002, with the September jobs report due Friday ahead of the market open.
KR · Demand · Positive Kroger launches a new Rewards Elite Mastercard with point multipliers for groceries, fuel, and dining to drive shopper engagement and spend.
Imprint · Demand · Positive Imprint's AI-powered payments platform powers Kroger's new Rewards Elite Mastercard, a new partnership and growth opportunity for Imprint.
Life to Acquire Albis for Up to 26.3 Billion Yen, Pursuing an 'Enclave' Strategy in Food Supermarket Realignment
Life Corporation announced on September 8 that it will launch a tender offer for Albis, a food supermarket chain based in the Hokuriku region, and make it a consolidated subsidiary. This is Life's first acquisition of a rival supermarket, with the purchase price reaching up to 26.3 billion yen. Life's main trading areas are the Tokyo metropolitan area and the Kinki region, while Albis is based mainly in Toyama Prefecture and the Hokuriku region, and has already expanded into Aichi and Gifu Prefectures, so the two companies' store networks barely overlap. The acquisition would bring Life and Albis's combined sales to roughly 980 billion yen on a simple sum basis, making it a deal that symbolizes the race among food supermarkets to reach the 1 trillion yen mark. Conventional distribution realignment has been based on the dominant strategy of concentrating store openings, but a movement is now beginning to leapfrog trading areas and bring in companies that are strong in those regions.
7475.JP · Capital · Positive Life will launch a tender offer to acquire Albis for up to 26.3 billion yen, making it a consolidated subsidiary.
8194.JP · Capital · Positive Life's first acquisition of a rival supermarket adds Albis's Hokuriku/Aichi/Gifu network, lifting combined sales to roughly 980 billion yen.
Albertsons names Cody Perdue interim CFO effective September 30
Albertsons Companies has named Cody Perdue as interim chief financial officer effective September 30. Perdue, who has served as senior vice president of Treasury, Investor Relations and Risk Management since 2025, will remain in that role while also serving as interim CFO. He replaces Sharon McCollam, who announced her retirement in July. McCollam will remain with the company in an advisory role until the end of Albertsons' fiscal year on February 27, 2027. "Cody has been my right hand and a trusted partner to the entire leadership team," McCollam said, adding that he has been at the center of the company's most significant strategic and financial transactions and that she looks forward to working with him to ensure a seamless transition.
Maison Solutions Gets Second Nasdaq Notice Over Delayed Filings
Maison Solutions Inc. said it received an additional Nasdaq notification on September 23, 2026, warning that it is not in compliance with Nasdaq Listing Rule 5250(c)(1) because it has not timely filed its Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended July 31, 2026, and remains delinquent on its Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended April 30, 2026. The notification has no immediate effect on the listing of the company's Class A common stock, which continues to trade on The Nasdaq Capital Market under the symbol MSS. Under Nasdaq listing rules, Maison Solutions has until October 19, 2026 to submit a plan to regain compliance, a deadline established in an earlier August 20, 2026 notification concerning the late Form 10-K and unchanged by the new notice. If Nasdaq accepts the plan, it may grant an exception of up to 180 calendar days from the Form 10-K's due date, or until February 9, 2027, to file both reports; if the plan is rejected, the company may appeal to a Nasdaq Hearings Panel. Maison Solutions, a U.S.-based specialty grocery retailer serving Asian American communities in Southern California and Arizona under the HK Good Fortune and Lee Lee International brands, said it is working diligently to regain compliance.
MSS · Regulation · Negative Maison Solutions received a second Nasdaq notice for failing to timely file its 10-Q and 10-K, risking delisting if its compliance plan is rejected.
Kobe Bussan to issue 60 billion yen in convertible bonds with share subscription rights
Kobe Bussan will issue 60 billion yen in convertible bonds with share subscription rights. The funds raised will be used for M&A and share buybacks. The company, listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange Prime Market, announced the move after the close of trading on the 29th.
3038.JP · Capital · Neutral Kobe Bussan will issue 60 billion yen in convertible bonds with share subscription rights, using proceeds for M&A and share buybacks.
Kobe Bussan to Buy Back Up to 7.21% of Shares for 40 Billion Yen
Kobe Bussan, which operates the Gyomu Super chain, announced on the 29th that it will repurchase up to 16 million shares, or 7.21% of its outstanding shares, for up to 40 billion yen. The acquisition period runs from the 30th to April 30, 2027. The company said the move is aimed at expanding shareholder returns, as well as easing the short-term impact on share supply and demand from the issuance of euro-yen convertible bonds with new share warrants, maturing in 2033, which was approved the same day, and ensuring smooth fundraising.
3038.JP · Capital · Positive Kobe Bussan announced a buyback of up to 16 million shares (7.21%) for up to 40 billion yen to expand shareholder returns.
Ingles Markets has declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.165 per share, unchanged from the previous payout. The dividend carries a forward yield of 0.78%. It is payable October 15 to shareholders of record as of October 8, which is also the ex-dividend date.
Mission Produce Sold 253 Million Pounds of Avocados, Up 38%
Mission Produce's AVO avocado business sold approximately 253 million pounds of avocados in its fiscal third quarter, up 38% year over year, helped by the addition of Calavo and growth in the legacy Mission Produce business. U.S. retail avocado volume rose about 9% even as the average retail price climbed approximately 15% sequentially, and U.S. avocado consumption stayed above 10 pounds per capita year to date, up 12% from last year, with household penetration improving by roughly 50 basis points. AVO's legacy U.S. retail market share also increased by approximately 60 basis points year over year. Management said greater sourcing flexibility from California and Peru improved the operating environment versus the preceding quarter, and that future volume growth will depend on converting expanded sourcing and distribution into deeper customer relationships without sacrificing unit economics. Separately, Corteva's second-quarter volume fell 3% year over year on seasonal timing and acreage shifts, while Dole's Diversified Fresh Produce Americas and Rest of World segment revenue rose 13.9% and adjusted EBITDA advanced 33.8%.
BofA Names Tesco and M&S Top Picks in UK Food Retail
BofA Securities has named Tesco and Marks & Spencer as its two buy-rated top picks in its latest Pan European Food Retailing report, citing resilient grocery demand, strong execution and further growth opportunities. The broker kept price objectives of 540p for Tesco and 440p for M&S. For Tesco, BofA forecasts second-quarter group revenue growth of 2.6%, with UK sales up 2.6%, and first-half adjusted operating profit of £1.73 billion, up 1.5% year on year, implying a 10 basis point margin contraction; it raised its FY27 to FY29 EPS estimates by around 1%. For M&S, BofA expects first-half revenue to rise 13% to £8.98 billion, with adjusted PBT of £396 million versus £184 million a year earlier, and upgraded its Food sales forecasts to £19.1 billion for FY27 and £20.0 billion for FY28, increases of 3% and 4.3% respectively. The broker flagged Fashion, Home & Beauty as the main area of caution, saying the next phase of the turnaround will be more demanding, but maintained its buy rating and 440p price objective with Food as the primary driver of valuation upside.
MKS.LSE · Capital · Positive BofA maintained a buy rating and 440p price objective on M&S and upgraded its Food sales forecasts, with Food as the primary driver of valuation upside.
TSCO.LSE · Capital · Positive BofA named Tesco a buy-rated top pick with a 540p price objective and raised its FY27-FY29 EPS estimates by around 1%.
Pi Securities says this flood season is nothing like 2011, recommends buying CPALL and TU
Pi Securities said in a strategy analysis that the current flood situation is far removed from 2011, because in 2011 Thailand faced La Niña with above-normal rainfall that covered as many as 74 provinces, including economic zones and especially the industrial estates around Ayutthaya. But the current round pressures only some areas of Bangkok and nearby provinces, with water levels starting to recede and government agencies assessing that travel is close to returning to normal. In the short term, the impact on tourism and consumption is seen as slight, because part of the effect is offset by a boost from food stockpiling. Statistics from 2011 show that the groups that outperformed during the event were Healthcare at -1.4%, ICT at -5.1%, REIT at -7.5% and Commerce at -12.6%, while the underperformers were PETRO at -43%, PACK at -42% and ETRON at -34%. But one month after the situation eased, the outperformers were PETRO at +32%, construction materials at +22% and Pack at +18%. Pi Securities recommends buying CPALL with a target of 61 baht, seeing same-store sales growth and profit in the second half of 2026 as not much affected by the Thai Chuay Thai Plus scheme, based on same-store sales growth in June 2026 that held steady year on year, together with gradually improving consumer purchasing power. It also recommends buying TU with a target of 15.4 baht, as the second half of 2026 has several positives: the peak export period, a weaker baht, and Britain cutting its import tax on Thai tuna to 0% from 24%, which will support continued revenue growth.
CPALL.BK · Capital · Positive Pi Securities recommends buying CPALL with a 61 baht target, citing steady same-store sales growth and limited impact from the Thai Chuay Thai Plus scheme.
TU.BK · Capital · Positive Pi Securities recommends buying TU with a 15.4 baht target on peak export period, weaker baht, and Britain cutting its tuna import tax to 0%.
Pi Securities says this year's floods are milder than 2011, recommends buying CPALL with a 61 baht target and TU with a 15.40 baht target
Pi Securities Public Company Limited, or PI, stated that the current flood situation is far from the crisis of 2011. In 2011, Thailand faced a La Niña phenomenon that pushed rainfall above normal and affected as many as 74 provinces, covering economic zones and industrial estates around Phra Nakhon Si Ayutthaya. This time, however, pressure is limited to only some areas of Bangkok and nearby provinces. Most recently, water levels have begun to recede and government agencies expect travel to return to normal soon. As for short-term impact, the brokerage views it as likely to pressure the tourism and consumption sectors only slightly, since part of the economy is still supported by food stockpiling. Based on statistics from 2011, the sectors that outperformed the market were healthcare, communications or ICT, real estate investment trusts or REITs, and commerce. The sectors that underperformed the market were petrochemicals, packaging, and electronic components. However, one month after the situation eased, the sectors that returned to outperforming the market were petrochemicals, construction materials, and packaging. On investment strategy, the brokerage recommends buying CP All Public Company Limited, or CPALL, with a target price of 61 baht, viewing that same-store sales and profit trends in the second half of 2026 will not be much affected by the Thai Help Thai Plus scheme, based on same-store sales figures in June 2026 that remained steady compared with the same period a year earlier, together with a gradually improving trend in consumer purchasing power. At the same time, it also recommends buying Thai Union Group Public Company Limited, or TU, with a target price of 15.40 baht, expecting several positive factors to support the second half of 2026, whether the peak export season, a weakening baht, or Britain's reduction of its import tax on Thai tuna to 0% from 24%. All of these factors will help drive TU's revenue to rise continuously.
CPALL.BK · Capital · Positive Pi Securities recommends buying CPALL with a 61 baht target price, citing steady same-store sales and improving consumer purchasing power.
TU.BK · Capital · Positive Pi Securities recommends buying TU with a 15.40 baht target price, expecting several positive factors to support the second half of 2026.
Yesway to Open First Allsup's Store in Arizona, Expanding to 10th State
Yesway announced it is bringing the Allsup's brand to Arizona for the first time, expanding the company's operating footprint into its 10th state. With the opening of the Willcox location on October 2, Yesway will operate 453 stores across 10 states, strengthening its presence across the Southwest. The company sees its first investment in Arizona as the beginning of a meaningful and growing presence in the state, calling Arizona an important component of its broader new-store development strategy, which is currently concentrated in Arizona, Oklahoma, New Mexico, and Texas. CEO Tom Trkla called the opening one of the most significant milestones in Yesway's history since the company was founded in 2015, adding that the Allsup's operating model is particularly well suited to the state's rural and suburban communities. Yesway has developed and opened more than 90 new-to-industry stores over approximately the past five years, complementing growth through strategic acquisitions and continued investment in its existing store base. Shares of Yesway were down 0.8% in Thursday morning trading to $19.73; the IPO was priced at $20 per share on April 22 and has traded as high as $29.08.
Casey's Inside Same-Store Sales Rise 3.2% on Food and Beverage Strength
Casey's General Stores reported inside same-store sales growth of 3.2% year over year in the first quarter of fiscal 2027, with total inside sales up 5.6% to $1.78 billion and inside gross profit climbing 6.3% to $749.8 million. Prepared food and dispensed beverages led the gains with same-store sales up 4.8%, as management said traffic rather than higher prices accounted for most of the growth, and whole-pizza unit sales rose nearly 10% to lift category revenues 7.4% to about $493 million. Grocery and general merchandise same-store sales grew 2.7%, driven chiefly by nonalcoholic beverages, with energy drinks and nicotine alternatives recording double-digit growth while weaker beer sales weighed on the category. Inside margin reached 42.2%, up 30 basis points, as prepared food made up more of the sales mix, and the prepared food and dispensed beverage margin rose to 59.3% from 58% on lower cheese costs and a change in distribution cost allocation. Casey's maintained its fiscal 2027 forecast for inside same-store sales growth of 2-5% and an inside margin above 42%, noting that remodeling of former CEFCO stores created a modest headwind to quarterly comparable sales.
Hongqi Chain's 'Hongqi You Life' Joins Shuguanghui, Over 3,000 Directly-Operated Stores Connected to State-Owned Platform
Hongqi Chain's newly built digital convenience service platform 'Hongqi You Life' has officially joined Shuguanghui, Sichuan's state-owned digital consumption service platform, marking resource interconnection, scenario co-construction, and traffic sharing between the two major local consumption service platforms under Sichuan Commercial Investment Group. Hongqi Chain's more than 3,000 directly-operated store resources in Sichuan Province will be connected to Shuguanghui, and the system can match store products nearby based on user location. After joining, 'Hongqi You Life's' product supply chain, fulfillment and delivery system, and community terminal outlets will be fully integrated into Shuguanghui's public consumption service system. Consumers can place orders for Hongqi You Life products on the Shuguanghui platform, with support for in-store pickup or home delivery. Shuguanghui is an official digital consumption comprehensive service platform built with priority by Sichuan provincial state-owned assets, focusing on promoting consumption, benefiting people's livelihoods, revitalizing commerce, and promoting Sichuan goods. It undertakes employee welfare expense control management, consumption incentive policies, and distribution of consumer subsidies for grassroots trade unions and government, public institution, and enterprise employees. The two sides will regularly carry out joint activities such as consumer promotions, stacking of consumption subsidies, and promotion of specialty Sichuan goods, building a digital livelihood consumption closed loop of 'online platform empowerment, offline physical fulfillment'.
Instacart Shares Fall 2.4% as Meta Muse AI Integration Threatens Ad Revenue
Instacart shares fell 2.4% in the afternoon session after investors digested the long-term implications of the company's new integration with Meta's Muse AI. Management initially touted the integration by noting shoppers could simply prompt Muse for "Taco Tuesday" to instantly build a cart, but investors quickly realized this autonomous functionality could bypass the human browsing required to sustain Instacart's highly lucrative retail media ad business, according to Barron's. Because AI agents do not click on sponsored product placements, the shift threatens to strip away the high-margin ad revenue that underpins the company's profitability and commoditize the platform into a mere fulfillment rail. The dynamic aligns with a recent Goldman Sachs research note highlighting the intense risks AI agents pose to "consumer inertia" stocks. The shares closed the day at $42.96, down 3.3% from the previous close.
CART · Competition · Negative Meta Muse AI integration could bypass human browsing and strip Instacart's high-margin retail media ad revenue, commoditizing it into a fulfillment rail.
META · Technology · Neutral Its Muse AI integration is the catalyst, but the article frames it as a threat to Instacart's ad business rather than a clear win for Meta.
Meta launched Muse, a personal artificial intelligence agent that can perform transactions on a user's behalf, on September 8, 2026, as a standalone app and WhatsApp tool, and Amazon blocked the agent from its store after requesting to be opted out. Instacart shares closed at $44.41 on September 22, 2026, down 10.88% over the past month and 5.13% in the past week alone, even though the company beat revenue expectations in its most recent quarter and grew gross transaction value 14% year over year. Instacart earns money through transaction fees, advertising, and enterprise software; transaction revenue was $746 million in the second quarter, advertising was $297 million, up 16%, and advertising crossed $1 billion for 2025, making it the high-margin engine supporting the multiple. The company's defense rests on its fulfillment network, including contracts with grocery chains, roughly 600,000 shoppers, and Storefront powering more than 380 grocery sites, while it has integrated with Google's Gemini, ChatGPT Instant Checkout, and Anthropic's Claude but has not announced a partnership with Meta. The trigger to watch is whether advertising and other revenue growth decelerates from the 15% to 18% range guided for the third quarter in the next two earnings reports, with the third-quarter report due in early November.
CART · Competition · Negative Meta's Muse agent threatens Instacart's high-margin $1B advertising engine and transaction-fee model, and Instacart has no announced Meta partnership.
META · Technology · Positive Meta launched Muse, a personal AI agent that can transact on a user's behalf, as a standalone app and WhatsApp tool.
AMZN · Competition · Neutral Amazon blocked Meta's Muse agent from its store after requesting to be opted out, a defensive competitive move against the AI shopping agent.
Casey's Q1 EPS Jumps 27.7% as Analysts Split on Fuel-Driven Beat
Casey's General Stores reported a 27.7% jump in fiscal 2027 first-quarter EPS and kept its full-year guidance intact, yet the stock sold off as Wall Street debated whether the beat was driven by sustainable growth or an unusually strong fuel margin. Fuel margin reached 47.8 cents per gallon, up 6.8 cents year-over-year, pushing fuel gross profit 19.6% higher to $446.9 million, while fuel same-store gallons slipped 0.3%. Inside the stores, Prepared Food & Dispensed Beverages same-store sales rose 4.8% with a 10.7% two-year stack and gross margin expanding 130 basis points to 59.3%, lifting total inside gross profit 6.3% to $749.8 million. Analysts reset targets in both directions: BofA cut to $875 from $975 with Buy, Stephens cut to $750 from $975 with Overweight, Goldman Sachs lowered to $750 from $795 with Neutral, UBS reduced to $720 from $925 with Neutral, and JPMorgan lowered to $687 from $833 with Neutral, while Deutsche Bank raised to $933 from $927 with Buy and RBC lowered to $910 from $913 with Sector Perform. CEFCO remodeling disrupted roughly 1% of the store base in Q1, and management expects the next tranche to create an even larger drag before benefits emerge, potentially not until Q4. Latest 13F filings showed AQR Capital Management increasing its stake 195% to 213,943 shares, GLG Partners raising its position 73% to 138,999 shares, and Arrowstreet Capital initiating 126,911 shares, while Marshall Wace and Quantinno Capital each trimmed holdings by about 1%.
CASY · Capital · Neutral Q1 EPS jumped 27.7% on a fuel-margin-driven beat, but analysts split with mostly lowered price targets, making the net impact unclear.
CASY · Demand · Positive Prepared Food & Dispensed Beverages same-store sales rose 4.8% with gross margin expanding 130bps to 59.3%.
DBS Vickers maintains Buy on CPALL with 63 baht target, expects second-half profit growth to continue
DBS Vickers Securities (Thailand) issued an analysis of CP All Public Company Limited, or CPALL, taking a positive view on this year's second-half profit outlook, which is expected to keep expanding, supported by same-store sales growth, or SSSG, of about 2% in the third quarter of 2026 on hot weather, extended alcohol sales hours, and tourist numbers. The fourth quarter of 2026 is expected to get a boost from the high season and economic stimulus measures. The research team estimates 2026 revenue could grow 2% year on year toward its target, driven by the opening of 700 new branches and SSSG of about 1.5% to 2.0%. It also noted that ALL PharmaSee, an online professional pharmacist consultation service available through the 7App of 7-Eleven, is an upside to margins, given a gross profit margin of about 40% in the pharmaceutical group, higher than the 28% for general products, and this is not yet included in its estimates. The research team maintained its full-year 2026 profit forecast at 33 billion baht, up 18% year on year, and its 2027 forecast at 35 billion baht, up 6% year on year, while keeping a Buy rating on CPALL with a target price of 63.00 baht. The stock traded at 44.50 baht in the morning, down 0.25 baht, or 0.56%, with turnover of 379.27 million baht.
CPALL.BK · Capital · Positive DBS Vickers maintains Buy on CPALL with a 63 baht target, citing expected H2 profit growth and an 18% YoY 2026 profit forecast.
CPALL.BK · Demand · Positive Same-store sales growth of ~2% in Q3 2026 on hot weather, longer alcohol sales hours and tourists, plus 700 new branches and Q4 high-season/stimulus boost.
ALL PharmaSee · Demand · Positive ALL PharmaSee's online pharmacist consultation via 7-Eleven's 7App is cited as a margin upside with ~40% gross margin, not yet in estimates.
DBS Vickers maintains Buy on CPALL with 63 baht target, expects new record profit in 2026E
DBS Vickers holds a positive view on CPALL's profit outlook for the second half of 2026, keeping its 2026E and 2027E profit forecasts at 33 billion baht and 35 billion baht, growing 18% and 6% year on year respectively. The first half performed better than expected and accounted for about 50% of the full-year forecast, supported by third-quarter 2026 same-store sales growth still positive at around 2% on hot weather, extended alcohol sales hours, and tourist numbers. The fourth quarter is expected to get a boost from the high season and the end of the co-pay scheme. On revenue, 2026E has a chance to grow 2% year on year in line with target, driven by 700 new store openings and same-store sales growth of about 1.5% to 2.0%, plus a higher share of high-margin products that continues to support gross profit margin. DBS Vickers noted that ALL PharmaSee is an upside to margin, with the pharmacy group's gross margin of around 40%, higher than 28% for general products, and is not yet included in forecasts, with potential to increase its sales share through the 7-Eleven and 7App networks. The research house maintains its Buy rating with a target price of 63.00 baht, based on a 2026E price-to-earnings ratio of 17.0x, which is 1.1 standard deviations below the five-year average, and views that the share price has not yet reflected the continued improvement in operating results, including 2026E profit that is expected to hit a new high.
Daiwa keeps Buy on CPALL with 63 baht target, sees profit growth continuing in second half of 2026
Daiwa Securities Thailand has maintained its Buy rating on CP All, or CPALL, with a target price of 63.00 baht, based on a 2026 PER of 17 times. It expects the profit trend in the second half of 2026 to continue expanding, driven by same-store sales in the third quarter of 2026 rising about 2%, supported by hot weather, extended alcohol sales hours, and tourist numbers. The fourth quarter of 2026 is expected to get a boost from the high season and the end of the co-pay scheme. Revenue in 2026 has a chance to grow 2% from the previous year, in line with target, driven by the opening of 700 new branches and same-store sales growth of about 1.5% to 2.0%. The ALL PharmaSee pharmacy business is an upside to margin, given gross margins in the drug segment of about 40%, higher than the 28% for general merchandise, and this is not yet included in the estimates. Daiwa keeps its 2026 and 2027 profit forecasts at 33 billion baht and 35 billion baht, up 18% and 6% from the previous year respectively, with the first half of 2026 performing better than expected and accounting for about 50% of the full-year estimate.
Mission Produce Blueberry Sales Rise to $5.4 Million as Seasonal Ramp Looms
Mission Produce's blueberry business is emerging as a potentially meaningful complementary operation beyond its core avocados, with fiscal third-quarter blueberry sales rising to $5.4 million from $4.5 million a year earlier. Segment adjusted EBITDA, however, slipped to a loss of $0.1 million from a profit of $0.5 million, a swing management attributes to pronounced seasonality, noting that most blueberry sales and profitability are concentrated in the fiscal fourth and first quarters. Management expects the seasonal blueberry ramp to support a meaningful improvement in fourth-quarter cash generation and cited it as one of the drivers behind a projected sequential increase in adjusted EBITDA, as newer acreage in Peru matures and yields improve. Separately, Corteva is positioned to benefit from sustained demand for agricultural productivity solutions across its seeds, crop protection and biological offerings, while Dole faces supply- and cost-driven margin pressure in its Fresh Fruit segment from higher fruit sourcing, shipping and fuel costs, adverse weather affecting pineapple availability and unfavorable currency movements, partly cushioned by stronger performance in its Diversified Fresh Produce — Americas & ROW segment on healthy kiwi and avocado volumes. Mission Produce shares have gained 13.3% in the last three months versus the industry's 4.5% growth, and the stock trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 16.66X against the industry's average of 14.89X.
AVO · Demand · Positive Blueberry sales rose to $5.4M from $4.5M as newer Peru acreage matures, with a seasonal Q4 ramp expected to lift cash generation and EBITDA.
DOLE · Supply · Negative Dole faces supply- and cost-driven margin pressure in Fresh Fruit from higher sourcing, shipping and fuel costs and adverse weather hitting pineapple availability.
Kroger Faces Tougher Antitrust Review Over Giant Eagle Grocery Deal
Kroger is facing heightened antitrust scrutiny in Columbus, Ohio over its planned US$1.65b acquisition of regional grocer Giant Eagle. Regulators are focusing on overlapping store footprints in central Ohio, where both chains operate multiple supermarkets in close proximity, and people familiar with the review expect significant store divestitures in the Columbus area as a condition for the deal to proceed. The review does not block the transaction outright, but it increases the odds that regulators push for meaningful divestitures in a region where Kroger already has scale, pulling against a narrative built around store expansion and remodeling in high growth areas. Kroger's recently affirmed US$0.39 quarterly dividend and ongoing buybacks show capital returns continue while the antitrust process adds another operational variable to track. The key marker now is how many Columbus area locations Kroger ultimately agrees to divest and on what timetable, with investors looking for a quantified store count and closing schedule when management next updates on the Giant Eagle transaction.
KR · Regulation · Negative Heightened antitrust scrutiny over the $1.65b Giant Eagle acquisition, with expected significant Columbus-area store divestitures, adds a regulatory hurdle to Kroger's deal.
Giant Eagle · Regulation · Neutral Giant Eagle is the acquisition target in Kroger's deal facing antitrust review, but the article focuses on Kroger's divestitures rather than Giant Eagle's own outcome.
Kroger Cuts Full-Year Identical Sales Guidance as Walmart Shares Outperform
Kroger cut its full-year identical sales growth guidance to a range of 0.2% to 0.8%, down from an earlier 1% to 2%, after second-quarter identical sales growth slowed to 0.2% from 3.4% a year earlier and missed analyst estimates of 0.9%. The grocery firm's operating margin stayed flat year over year at 2.8%, though its high-margin marketing business KPM grew profit by 24% annually. Walmart, by contrast, grew comparable sales at 2.6% in its second quarter, its slowest pace in nearly five years and below analyst estimates of 3.7%, while management flagged an expected $10 billion cost headwind from higher fuel prices in fiscal year 2027. Walmart's advertising revenue rose 38%, with Walmart Connect up 43%. Walmart trades at a forward P/E of 37 versus Kroger's 11.96, and short interest stands at 1.9% of Walmart's float against 4.69% for Kroger.
KR · Demand · Negative Kroger cut full-year identical sales guidance after Q2 identical sales growth slowed to 0.2% and missed estimates, signaling weak end-customer demand.
WMT · Demand · Neutral Walmart comparable sales grew 2.6% but at the slowest pace in nearly five years and below estimates, while advertising revenue rose 38%.
Krungsri Expects Government to Extend Welfare Card Top-Up, Boosting TNP's Third-Quarter Profit by 15%
Krungsri Securities assesses that the government is likely to extend the measure increasing the credit limit on the state welfare card for another two months, in October through November. Lavaron Sangsnit, Permanent Secretary of the Ministry of Finance, disclosed that after the government is likely to approve the Thai Chai Thai Plus measure, which is expected to be submitted for Cabinet approval on September 22, low-income earners under the state welfare card program must also be assisted, by topping up funds for purchasing consumer goods through Thong Fah shops, maintaining the increased limit at 1,000 baht per person per month, up from the normal level of 300 baht per person per month, continuing the original measure that raised the limit to this level from June through September. This is seen as positive for TNP, which is a shop that directly participates in the program, as well as for KK MOTHER, with revenue from the program accounting for 8-10% of total revenue, and it makes the outlook for the fourth quarter of 2026 more positive. Initially, SSSG for the fourth quarter of 2026 is estimated at around -2% year-on-year, and 2026 profit is estimated at 204 million baht, down 4% year-on-year. There is still upside risk of around 10% from better-than-expected SSSG, with 2026 SSSG estimated at +3% year-on-year against the assumption set at -3% year-on-year, where every 1% increase in SSSG affects 2026 profit by around 1.5%. In the short term, third-quarter 2026 profit is expected to grow the strongest at 15% year-on-year and 1% quarter-on-quarter to 55 million baht, from an expected SSSG of +13% year-on-year after benefiting from the measure for a full quarter, including the opening of eight new branches during the fourth quarter of 2025 through the third quarter of 2026, leading revenue to be expected to rise 23% year-on-year and 5% quarter-on-quarter. Although gross margin is expected to weaken from product mix, with essential goods carrying low margin, the stock is attractive on valuation, trading at a 2026 forecast PER of 11.2 times, below the sector average of 14 times, and it has a strong financial position as net cash. Recommend Buy with a 2027 target price of 3.88 baht, based on a PER of 14 times, close to the sector average.
MOTHER expects Q4 2026 revenue growth on Krabi tourism high season
Mother Marketing Public Company Limited, or MOTHER, a retail and wholesale consumer goods operator under the Mother Supermarket and Mother Marche brands in Krabi, Phang Nga and Surat Thani provinces, expects revenue in the fourth quarter of 2026 to grow steadily in line with its targets, driven by the year-end tourism high season. Managing Director Ekapong Chokchaiwittat said the Krabi Provincial Office of Tourism and Sports forecasts that more than 5.2 million tourists will visit in 2026, generating more than 100 billion baht in revenue, with at least 20 billion baht expected to circulate during the year-end high season in particular. This will significantly boost sales at each branch in tourism areas. Meanwhile, in late November, airlines from the Scandinavian countries are preparing to launch new direct routes to Krabi: Finnair on the Helsinki-Krabi route and Scandinavian Airlines on the Copenhagen-Krabi route, each operating two flights per week. Ekapong said this will provide additional support to stimulate the local economy and help MOTHER's revenue expand in line with its operational plans.
MOTHER.BK · Demand · Positive Expects Q4 2026 revenue growth as Krabi's year-end tourism high season and new direct flights boost sales at its supermarket branches.
High Tide Posts Record C$198.8 Million Revenue as Cash Flow Lags Profit
High Tide Inc. reported record fiscal third-quarter revenue of C$198.8 million on September 14, up 33% year over year, while operating income rose 133% to C$8.7 million for the quarter ended July 31, 2026. Despite that profit growth, net cash provided by operating activities slipped to C$10.1 million from C$10.7 million a year earlier, as working capital absorbed C$1.8 million compared with a C$2.4 million release a year earlier, an approximately C$4.2 million unfavorable swing. Operating cash flow before changes in non-cash working capital rose 44% to C$11.9 million, and for the first nine months operating cash flow reached C$20.4 million versus C$19.6 million a year earlier. The company opened four Canadian stores and acquired four more during the quarter, and its German medical-cannabis subsidiary Remexian generated C$38.2 million in revenue, up from C$31.6 million sequentially, distributing 10.2 tonnes, a 35% sequential increase. High Tide also reported C$7.0 million in company-defined non-IFRS free cash flow, down from C$7.7 million a year earlier, while quarterly same-store sales at Canna Cabana were flat.
MOTHER eyes continued growth in Q4 2026 as Krabi expects 5.2 million tourists
Mother Marketing Public Company Limited, or MOTHER, which operates retail and wholesale consumer goods businesses under the Mother Supermarket and Mother Marche brands in Krabi, Phang Nga, and Surat Thani provinces, expects its fourth-quarter 2026 results to grow on the back of the year-end high season. Managing Director Ekapong Chokchaiwittat said the launch of new direct flight routes by Scandinavian airlines will provide an additional boost to the local economy. The Krabi Provincial Office of Tourism and Sports forecasts that more than 5.2 million tourists will visit Krabi in 2026, generating more than 100 billion baht in revenue, with the year-end high season alone expected to see at least 20 billion baht in circulation as part of that full-year figure. This is expected to significantly increase sales at each branch in tourist areas. Meanwhile, in late November, Finnair will launch a direct Helsinki-Krabi route and Scandinavian Airlines will launch a direct Copenhagen-Krabi route, operating two flights per week.
MOTHER.BK · Demand · Positive Forecast of 5.2 million tourists to Krabi in 2026 and year-end high season expected to significantly increase sales at each MOTHER branch in tourist areas.
0EG8.LSE · Demand · Positive Finnair launching a new direct Helsinki-Krabi route in late November, adding passenger demand for its flights.
Scandinavian Airlines (SAS) · Demand · Positive Scandinavian Airlines launching a new direct Copenhagen-Krabi route with two weekly flights, adding passenger demand.
MOTHER expects Q4 2026 revenue to grow on target, boosted by Krabi high season
Mother Marketing Public Company Limited, or MOTHER, expects revenue in the fourth quarter of 2026 to continue growing in line with its target, driven by the year-end high-season tourism market and foreign visitors arriving in Krabi province. Ekapong Chokchaiwittan, Managing Director of MOTHER, disclosed that the Krabi Provincial Office of Tourism and Sports forecasts that in 2026 there will be more than 5.2 million tourists, generating more than 100 billion baht in revenue, with the year-end high season expected to see at least 20 billion baht in circulation, which will significantly boost sales at each of the company's branches in tourist areas. In addition, at the end of November, airlines from the Scandinavian countries are preparing to launch new direct routes into Krabi province, namely Finnair on the Helsinki-Krabi route and Scandinavian Airlines on the Copenhagen-Krabi route, operating two flights per week, reflecting Krabi Airport's readiness to handle international flights and providing further impetus to stimulate the local economy, supporting MOTHER's revenue growth in line with its operational plan.
MOTHER expects fourth-quarter 2026 sales to keep growing on Krabi's high tourism season
Mother Marketing Public Company Limited, or MOTHER, a retailer and wholesaler of consumer goods under the Mother Supermarket and Mother Marche brands in Krabi, Phang Nga and Surat Thani provinces, expects sales in the fourth quarter of 2026 to continue growing. Managing Director Ekapong Chokchaiwittat said the main driver is the year-end high tourism season, as foreign visitors arrive in Krabi. The Krabi Provincial Office of Tourism and Sports forecasts that 2026 will see more than 5.2 million tourists, generating more than 100 billion baht in revenue, with the year-end high season alone expected to see at least 20 billion baht in circulation, significantly lifting sales at each branch in tourist areas. Meanwhile, in late November, airlines from the Nordic countries are preparing to launch new direct routes into Krabi: Finnair on the Helsinki-Krabi route and Scandinavian Airlines on the Copenhagen-Krabi route, each operating two flights a week, reflecting Krabi airport's readiness to handle international flights. Ekapong said the new direct routes will provide an added boost to the local economy and help MOTHER's revenue expand in line with its operating plan.
MOTHER expects strong Q4 growth on Krabi tourism high season and direct Scandinavia flights
Ekapong Chokchaiwittan, Managing Director of Mother Marketing Public Company Limited, or MOTHER, a retail and wholesale consumer goods business operating under the Mother Supermarket and Mother Marche brands in Krabi, Phang Nga and Surat Thani provinces, said the business outlook for the fourth quarter of 2026 is expected to continue growing, driven by late-year high-season tourism as foreign visitors arrive in Krabi. The Krabi Provincial Office of Tourism and Sports forecasts that in 2026 more than 5.2 million tourists will visit, generating more than 100 billion baht in revenue, with the late-year high season alone expected to see at least 20 billion baht in spending, significantly lifting sales at each branch in tourist areas. Meanwhile, in late November, airlines from the Scandinavian countries are preparing to launch new direct routes into Krabi: Finnair on the Helsinki-Krabi route and Scandinavian Airlines on the Copenhagen-Krabi route, each operating two flights per week, reflecting Krabi airport's readiness to handle international flights. Ekapong said the late-year high season is an important opportunity that helps boost purchasing power from foreign tourists, and the launch of new direct routes by the Scandinavian airlines will be an added force stimulating the local economy and keeping it lively, supporting MOTHER's revenue growth in line with its operating plan.
MOTHER.BK · Demand · Positive Krabi high-season tourism and new Scandinavian direct flights are expected to lift foreign tourist purchasing power and sales at MOTHER's branches.
0EG8.LSE · Demand · Positive Finnair is launching a new Helsinki-Krabi direct route, expanding its route network and passenger demand.
Scandinavian Airlines (SAS) · Demand · Positive Scandinavian Airlines is launching a new Copenhagen-Krabi direct route, expanding its route network and passenger demand.
Brokers flag TNP as standout beneficiary of Thai Chai Thai Plus extension
Analysts expect the retail and wholesale sector to benefit from the government's plan to consider extending the Thai Chai Thai Plus programme by another one to two months. Wilasinee Boonmasoongson, assistant managing director at Global Securities, or GBS, said the stocks expected to gain include Thanapiriya Public Company Limited, or TNP, K&K Superstore Southern Public Company Limited, or KK, and Mother Marketing Public Company Limited, or MOTHER. The research team holds a positive view on TNP, expecting second-half 2026 operating results to grow on from a positive second quarter of 2026, after same-store sales growth, or SSSG, turned back up by 4.9% from still-negative levels in April before starting to recover in May, supported further by the increase in the state welfare card spending limit from June to September. TNP plans to expand to 64 branches, and under its JUMP+ plan aims to open about 30 more branches by the end of 2028, or roughly 10 per year. The research team estimates TNP will post revenue of 3.396 billion baht in 2026, growing about 10% from a year earlier, and net profit of 229 million baht, up about 8% year on year. For the six months of 2026, TNP recorded sales revenue of 1.62397 billion baht, an increase of 158.58 million baht, or 10.82%, from the same period a year earlier, and net profit of 103.59 million baht.
TNP.BK · Demand · Positive Flagged as the standout beneficiary of the Thai Chai Thai Plus extension, with SSSG turning up 4.9% and higher welfare-card spending limits supporting sales.
KK.BK · Demand · Positive Named by GBS as a retail/wholesale stock expected to gain from the Thai Chai Thai Plus extension, boosting end-customer spending.
MOTHER.BK · Demand · Positive Named by GBS as a retail/wholesale stock expected to gain from the Thai Chai Thai Plus extension, boosting end-customer spending.
Kroger leans on private labels as store-brand sales climb 14%
Kroger is betting on private-label brands to lower prices and protect margins, a strategy Costco has long used with its Kirkland Signature label. On the chain's second-quarter earnings call, CEO Gregory Foran said Private Selection sales rose more than 14% during the quarter, driven by strong customer response to new products including more ready-to-heat and ready-to-eat meals, and that brand sales across the portfolio grew faster than national brands with penetration up approximately 50 basis points. Kroger also plans to expand SmartWay, its opening price point brand, with more items, broader coverage across the store, and improved visibility in store and online. Data from Numerator cited by Retail Dive shows Kroger's private-label sales in produce, meat, seafood, deli and prepared foods, and in-store bakery rose by about $420 million over the 12-month period ended July 31. The push comes as an August NielsenIQ study found 58% of consumers don't care whether a product is a national brand or private label, 68% view private-label products as a good alternative to national brands, and 69% believe they offer good value for money, while Circana data puts U.S. private-label sales at $330 billion, a 24% unit share and 23% dollar share of the total market.
High Tide Posts Record Q3 Revenue of CAD 198.8 Million, Up 33%
High Tide reported record third-quarter fiscal 2026 results, with revenue rising 33% year over year and 11% sequentially to CAD 198.8 million for the quarter ended July 31, 2026. Adjusted EBITDA increased 52% from a year earlier and 17% sequentially to CAD 16.2 million, an 8.2% margin that was the company's highest in 12 quarters, while operating income totaled CAD 8.7 million and reported net income reached a record CAD 12.7 million. Chief Executive Officer Raj Grover said the quarter was the strongest financial performance in company history, and Chief Financial Officer Mayank Mahajan noted consolidated gross margin held at 27%, with brick-and-mortar at 27% and medical cannabis distribution at 26%. High Tide generated CAD 7 million in free cash flow, its best in four quarters, and operated 232 Canna Cabana stores in Canada, on track to add 20 during calendar 2026 toward a long-term goal of 350 locations. Its German Remexian medical cannabis distribution business sold 10.2 metric tons, up 35% sequentially, generating CAD 38.2 million in revenue and CAD 4.4 million in adjusted EBITDA, and management said it is evaluating international opportunities including the United Kingdom while prioritizing disciplined deal-making in Canada and Germany.
HITI · Capital · Positive High Tide reported record Q3 revenue of CAD 198.8M, up 33%, with record net income of CAD 12.7M and 52% higher adjusted EBITDA.
HITI · Demand · Positive Canna Cabana store count reached 232 with plans to add 20 in 2026 toward 350 locations, and German distribution volumes rose 35% sequentially.
Remexian Pharma GmbH · Demand · Positive High Tide's German Remexian medical cannabis distribution sold 10.2 metric tons, up 35% sequentially, generating CAD 38.2M revenue.
Bank of America Keeps Buy on Casey's, Cuts Target to $875
Bank of America reiterated a Buy rating on Casey's General Stores while lowering its price objective to $875 from $975, arguing the roughly 14% post-earnings selloff has created an opportunity. Analyst Lisa K. Lewandowski said the reduced target reflects near-term remodeling noise, a cautious U.S. consumer, and a recent re-rating across convenience-store stocks, though the new target still implies about 39% upside from the $629.03 share price listed in the Sept. 9 note. Casey's reported fiscal first-quarter diluted earnings of $7.37 per share, up 27.7% from a year earlier, with net income climbing 27.1% to $273.7 million and EBITDA up 17.1% to $485.1 million; inside same-store sales rose 3.2% on a 42.2% inside margin, while fuel gross profit increased 19.6% to $446.9 million on a fuel margin of 47.8 cents per gallon. The company left its fiscal 2027 outlook unchanged, still expecting inside same-store sales growth of 2% to 5%, an inside margin above 42%, EBITDA growth of 8% to 10%, and at least 120 new stores through acquisitions and new construction. BofA estimates the conversion of acquired CEFCO stores, which require roughly four to six weeks of closures for kitchen and other upgrades, cut first-quarter inside same-store sales by about 25 basis points and fuel sales by about 50 basis points, a drag expected to continue through the fiscal third quarter, though remodeled locations typically see sales rise about 30% once reopened. BofA also raised its earnings estimates, forecasting EPS of $21.77 in fiscal 2027, $24.06 in fiscal 2028, and $26.64 in fiscal 2029, with the $875 target based on 18.9 times projected fiscal 2028 enterprise value to EBITDA.
CASY · Capital · Positive BofA reiterates Buy and argues the ~14% post-earnings selloff created an opportunity, with the $875 target implying ~39% upside.
CASY · Demand · Positive Casey's reported Q1 inside same-store sales up 3.2% and fuel gross profit up 19.6%, with remodeled locations typically seeing sales rise about 30% once reopened.
BAC · Capital · Neutral BofA is the analyst firm issuing the Buy rating and lowered price target on Casey's, not a subject of fundamental news about itself.
Kroger Cuts 2026 Identical-Sales Forecast as Shoppers Turn Price-Sensitive
The Kroger Co. cut its full-year 2026 identical-sales forecast excluding fuel to 0.2%–0.8% from 1%–2%, citing a sharper-than-expected slowdown in consumer demand. Second-quarter identical sales rose just 0.2%, down from 3.4% a year earlier and below the 0.9% analyst estimate, with a Cyclospora outbreak reducing quarterly identical sales by roughly 35 basis points and Medicare prescription-drug pricing changes creating an approximately 140-basis-point headwind for pharmacy revenue. Kroger maintained its full-year adjusted FIFO operating-profit forecast of $5.0 billion–$5.2 billion and reported adjusted EPS of $1.09, ahead of the $1.06 consensus, while adjusted FIFO operating profit was $1.076 billion and the gross margin rate rose 13 basis points even as the gross-margin percentage slipped to 22.4% from 22.5%. Adjusted e-commerce sales grew 20% and Kroger Precision Marketing profit rose 24%, and CEO Greg Foran is pursuing tighter sourcing, simpler operations and lower prices, with Reuters reporting plans to cut prices across thousands of products to regain shoppers from Walmart, Costco and Aldi. Kroger repurchased $1.0 billion of shares in the second quarter and $1.2 billion year to date, raised its dividend 11% for a 20th consecutive year of increases, and carried a net debt-to-adjusted-EBITDA ratio of 1.91x against a stated target range of 2.30x–2.50x.