B.Grimm Power Public Company Limited

Several brokers expect the Thai stock market to trade in positive territory today. Finansia Syrus Securities sees the SET Index in a range of 1,565-1,583 points, helped by US Nonfarm Payrolls for September 2026, which rose by 29,000, below economists' forecast of 84,000 and below the prior 12-month average of 45,000, while the unemployment rate came in at 4.2%, higher than expected. As a result, the market has cut the probability of an October rate hike to just 22%. CGS International (Thailand) sees a range of 1,560-1,585 points, and DAOL sees a range of 1,545-1,552 up to 1,600 points. All three brokers are also watching Thailand's September inflation figures, with the market expecting headline inflation of 3.1% year-on-year and core inflation of 1.56% year-on-year, as well as the US ISM services index for September, expected to rise to 55.7, and the Fed meeting minutes due Wednesday night. The stock they all recommend is DELTA, with Finansia setting a 2027 target price of 290 baht and expecting third-quarter 2026 profit to accelerate to 8.3 billion baht and fourth-quarter 2026 profit momentum to reach 10 billion baht, lifting full-year 2026 profit to 32 billion baht. DAOL recommends bank stocks KTB, KBANK and KKP, along with data center and power plant theme stocks GPSC, BGRIM and ADVANC. It also noted that foreign investors were net sellers of Thai stocks to the tune of 850.49 million baht on October 2, 2026, and that the baht closed at 33.55 baht per dollar.

Bualuang Securities is warning investors to watch for the risk of a new round of flooding that could prove more severe than expected, potentially repeating the pattern of 2011 and pressuring the Thai stock market into a correction. The brokerage said the seasonal flood risk could inundate low-lying areas and key economic zones such as Bangkok, Rayong, Chonburi and Kanchanaburi, disrupting transport systems and industrial estate areas. Factors to monitor are the volume of rainfall still to come during the monsoon and water management at major dams. Bhumibol Dam is currently at 65.37% of capacity and Sirikit Dam at 80.27%, while high sea tides are also a concern. If water management fails, damage similar to 2011 could occur, and this is the most heavily weighted issue pushing the Thai stock market lower over the next one to two weeks. The research team recommends caution over further share price declines and says it will issue an immediate signal to cut portfolio exposure if panic selling occurs or the flood situation becomes untrustworthy. Today's recommended stock is BGRIM, based on the theme of accelerating the expansion of grid interconnection bottlenecks and the free electricity market, or smart grid, and the unlocking of power sales in basic energy segments such as gas to support direct and cross-area electricity purchases from producers. This is expected to directly support the power plant business and electricity sales to data centers. Support is at 18.3 baht, resistance at 19.0 baht, and stop loss at 18.0 baht.

Daol Securities stated that BGRIM and Siam Piwat have signed a memorandum of understanding, or MOU, to study and develop a project for trading clean electricity through the power grid to third parties, or Third Party Access, targeting a total contracted generation capacity of up to 300MW to serve the clean energy needs of the Siam Piwat group, which covers major shopping centers including Siam Paragon, Siam Center, Siam Discovery, and ICONSIAM. BGRIM will be the electricity supplier and offer energy solutions through the TPA mechanism before moving to future contracts. Meanwhile, the Siam Paragon Solar Rooftop project, with a capacity of 800kW, has already commenced commercial operation under a power purchase agreement with BGRIM, installed on an area of over 4,600 square meters, and is expected to help reduce greenhouse gas emissions by up to about 532 tons per year. Daol has a neutral view on this news, as the 300MW TPA project is still only a study target, but if fully developed it would represent about 4.5% of the current installed capacity of 6.6GW. However, there are still no clear contract details or commercial operation date, so it is not yet included in estimates. The 800kW Solar Rooftop that has already commenced commercial operation accounts for only 0.01% of current capacity and is expected to generate revenue of only a few million baht per year, so its impact on BGRIM's estimates is limited. The buy recommendation is maintained with a target price of 25.00 baht.

Analysts at Daiwa Securities (Thailand) Public Company Limited assess the direction of the stock market for October 2026, setting an index range of 1,500-1,630 points and expecting the market to return to focusing more on fundamentals during the mid-month earnings announcements, led by banking stocks, especially the views from the executives of large banks. External factors to watch include the BOT, Fed, and BOJ meetings, as well as the US midterm elections, with statistics indicating that Thai stocks often respond positively ahead of elections. Meanwhile, risks still stem from the Iran war situation, which has yet to find a resolution, and progress on government policies, including the Thai Helps Thai Plus Phase 2 tourism stimulus measures, the announcement of the 2027 Budget Act, the PDP2026 plan, and the momentum of a no-confidence debate motion. On investment strategy, long-term themes through AI and Data Centers remain favored, with five stocks recommended: ADVICE, BGRIM, CK, PLANB, and SCGP.

B.Grimm Power, or BGRIM, has signed a memorandum of understanding with Siam Piwat Group to advance clean energy, covering two key projects: the study and development of a clean energy electricity trading project through the power grid for third parties, or TPA, targeting total contracted capacity of up to 300 megawatts, and the start of commercial operation, or COD, of a rooftop solar project at Siam Paragon shopping centre with total installed capacity of 800 kilowatts. On 30 September 2026, Harald Link, Chairman of BGRIM, said the partnership aims to meet rising demand for clean energy and the changing electricity market, with BGRIM to source and present power procurement opportunities and energy solutions to Siam Piwat through the TPA mechanism, leading to future power purchase agreements. The Siam Paragon rooftop solar project is carried out by B.Grimm Power Smart Solution, or BGPSS, under BGRIM, together with Siam Paragon Development, covering an area of more than 4,600 square metres and expected to cut greenhouse gas emissions by up to about 532 tonnes per year. Nopadol Karnasuta, Chief Executive Officer for Thailand, Malaysia and Industrial Business Solutions at BGRIM, said the move builds on a strategic partnership whose MOU was signed in late 2025. BGRIM aims to raise the share of renewable energy to more than 50%, with total power generation capacity of 10,000 megawatts by 2030, and is targeting net zero greenhouse gas emissions by 2065.

Land and Houses Securities issued an analysis recommending a buy on BDMS shares with a target of 25.0 baht, assessing support at 19.3/19.5 baht and resistance at 20.4/21.0 baht. July revenue accelerated 8% year on year, up from only about 1% year on year in the first half of 2026, supported by a 9% year-on-year rise in Thai patients and a 6% year-on-year increase in foreign patients. The research team expects third-quarter 2026 profit to recover both year on year and quarter on quarter, viewing the second quarter of 2026 as this year's profit trough. For BGRIM shares, it recommends a buy with a target of 21.5 baht, assessing support at 18.0/18.4 baht and resistance at 20.0/20.8 baht. It sees the new Power Development Plan, due to take effect soon, as increasingly positive given rising electricity demand from data centers, with expectations of 300 to 500 megawatts of new generating capacity. Meanwhile, the NAKWOL 1 project, a wind project in South Korea, is 92% complete and will be a key turning point in raising the renewable share to reduce reliance on profit from small power producers. The first and second phases of the data center business are already 100% fully contracted with customers, with commercial operation dates expected by the third quarter of 2027, along with plans to expand to 300 megawatts both domestically and overseas.

B.Grimm Power Public Company Limited, or BGRIM, announced the successful signing of two major agreements with GE Vernova Inc., a global energy infrastructure leader from the United States, at Gastech 2026 at the BITEC exhibition and convention centre in Bang Na. U.S. Assistant Secretary of Energy James Danly and Ambassador Sean O'Neill witnessed the signing. Under the first agreement, GE Vernova will supply a 9HA.02 gas turbine along with one generator set for a new 750-megawatt combined-cycle gas turbine independent power producer project in Malaysia, which B.Grimm Power will own and develop. The second agreement covers a 14-year service contract for five of GE Vernova's LM6000 aeroderivative gas turbine sets at the B.Grimm BIP Power 1 and 2 power plants in Thailand. Dr. Harald Link, Chairman of B.Grimm Power, said the partnership reflects the company's strategy of expanding its business in overseas markets and delivering reliable, efficient energy infrastructure in Southeast Asia.

The Constitutional Court has ruled that the Election Commission's use of barcodes and QR codes on constituency MP ballots on 8 February 2026 does not violate the constitution, after the Ombudsman filed a petition arguing that the codes could be traced back to individual voters and would breach the principle of secret voting. The court found that in practice tracing is extremely difficult and that adequate safeguards are in place. That election therefore remains valid and does not need to be rerun, and the court merely recommended considering alternative security measures for future elections. The outcome removes the most severe scenario the capital markets had feared, namely a nationwide annulment of the election leading to a political and policy vacuum. With the ruling of no wrongdoing, it is expected to be positive for overall market sentiment and for foreign investor confidence thanks to reduced political risk, especially for large-cap stocks with high foreign holdings and sectors that depend on continuity of government policy, such as construction contractors, power, industrial estates and banks, since the government can continue administering the country as normal. The investment themes that benefit most include industrial estates AMATA and WHA, power producers GULF, GPSC, BGRIM and GUNKUL, contractors STECON, CK, PYLON and INSET, banks KBANK, KTB and KKP, and component makers DELTA and HANA. Meanwhile, in overall trading yesterday, the Thai stock index closed at 1,594.30 points, down 8.07 points, while Thai Airways, or THAI, closed at 6.05 baht, down 0.10 baht or 1.36%, amid a backlog of more than 5,600 pieces of unclaimed baggage. Thai Airways management explained that the main cause was a shortage of manpower, especially baggage handling teams and staff holding ground operation licences who were affected by flooding and unable to travel to work. In addition, Bangkok is Thai Airways' main aviation hub, so when a large number of employees are affected at the same time, the operating system comes under heavy pressure. The issue arose while Thai Airways is pressing ahead with its rehabilitation plan and its operating results have begun returning to profit. What the market and investors must therefore monitor from here on is not just the numbers in the financial statements, but also the efficiency of the operating system and the ability to cope with a crisis.

Analysts at Kasikorn Securities Public Company Limited have unveiled their Thai equity investment strategy for the fourth quarter of 2026, expecting Thailand's investment upcycle, driven by data centre investment and the PDP26 plan, to support growth momentum from the fourth quarter of 2026 through 2027. They expect power generation capacity serving data centres to rise to 5–7GW by 2030, and have raised their SET index target to 1,680 points, shifting the calculation base to an end-2027 target based on a 2027 SET EPS of 105 points and a long-term average PE of 16 times. For the fourth quarter of 2026, they highlight two themes: stocks benefiting from the new investment cycle, namely BBL, DELTA and BGRIM, and stocks with earnings recovery coupled with cost pass-through ability and room for prices to catch up, namely SCGP and CPALL. Meanwhile, analysts at InnovestX Securities have raised their 2026 SET target from 1,600 points to 1,700 points to reflect a stronger-than-expected second quarter of 2026, robust investment and economic stimulus measures, viewing 1,550 points as an attractive level for gradual accumulation, and selecting AMATA, CENTEL, CRC, KTB and PR9 as their top picks for the fourth quarter of 2026. Analysts at Trinity Securities see global stock markets in the fourth quarter of 2026 entering a tug-of-war between macro factors weighing on sentiment and micro factors still supporting the market. They estimate the SET index trading range at 1,500–1,700 points, with a base case of around 1,630 points calculated from a forward PE of 14.8 times multiplied by this year's EPS of 110 baht, and recommend a sector rotation and stock selection strategy across five favoured groups: livestock, BTG and TFG; tourism, AWC and ERW; retail with company-specific catalysts, CRC and COM7; agricultural products, STA and TVO; and beneficiaries of private-sector investment, AMATA and STECON.

Bualuang Securities stated that the Thai stock market has once again cleared the domestic political hurdle after the court ruled that the lawsuit over barcodes and QR codes on election ballots did not violate the constitution. It views that policies pursued over the past nine months can continue, and that the government's stable footing is a positive for the outlook of Thai equities going forward. It also noted that the market is beginning to see stocks rotate out of the banking group, in line with its recommendation to take profits for a trading round, and is starting to gradually take profits in the commodities group to rotate into the next group such as power producers. As for concerns over US bond yields approaching a peak, it assesses this as consistent with the statistical view, with the implication that a correction tends to follow after hitting a high for the month. It therefore maintains its recommendation to begin accumulating stocks that move inversely to bond yields, and has added power producers BGRIM and GPSC to the portfolio. Meanwhile, the average Dubai price last week fell 11.84 US dollars per barrel week-on-week to 113.06 US dollars per barrel, and Singapore refining margins recovered 3.17 US dollars per barrel week-on-week but remained negative at -1.44 US dollars per barrel. The highlight this week is the sharp recovery in petrochemical spreads across all products, with Ethylene up 34 US dollars per tonne to 278 US dollars per tonne, Propylene up 19 to 283 US dollars per tonne, HDPE up 94 to 423 US dollars per tonne, and PP up 164 to 523 US dollars per tonne, which outperformed the energy group this week. The NEX coal price rose 1% week-on-week to 143.92 US dollars per tonne, while the BDI gained 2% week-on-week to 3,432 points and Supramax rose 2% to 1,779 points. The World Container Index fell 1% week-on-week to 4,468 points. It also recommends switching from refinery stocks into petrochemicals, choosing IVL and PTTGC, while maintaining an equal weight in the energy group versus the market, an overweight in the petrochemical group, and an underweight in the shipping group.

Bualuang Securities, or BLS, remains positive on the Thai stock market, assessing that the index is likely to trend upward from the fourth quarter of 2026 through the first half of 2027 and could reach a best-case target of 1,780 points before shifting into sector rotation. Its base case puts the end-2027 target at 1,710 points, based on earnings per share of 106 baht, down 4% from the same period a year earlier, with the overall profit decline driven mainly by an earnings correction in upstream energy, refining and petrochemicals. The main supporting factors come from three drivers: the global technology wave, an upcycle in global industry, and foreign capital. It estimates that every 10 billion baht in net foreign buying would lift the index by about 15 to 20 points. For its fourth-quarter 2026 strategy, it recommends a barbell approach. The first core focuses on energy and petrochemicals, namely PTT and PTTGC. The other core focuses on power producers with structural growth, namely GULF, GPSC and GUNKUL. It also recommends retailers such as CRC and COM7, tourism names such as AOT, AWC and CENTEL, hospitals such as BH and BDMS, as well as 2027 growth leaders such as CBG, ICHI and BGRIM. In the first half of 2027, it advises rotating into groups that benefit from lower costs, such as CENTEL, before shifting to high-dividend stocks and companies with strong cash flows as the portfolio's core in the second half of 2027.

B.Grimm Power Public Company Limited, or BGRIM, informed the Stock Exchange of Thailand that B.Grimm Power Future Solution Company Limited, or BGPFS, a wholly-owned subsidiary of BGRIM, has acquired 75% of the ordinary shares of PV Unity Solar Company Limited from PowerVault (Thailand) Company Limited, for a total value of 22.50 million baht. The acquisition aims to expand investment in solar power generation projects. After the share purchase, the shareholder structure of PV Unity Solar will consist of BGPFS holding 75% and PowerVault holding 25%.

The analyst at Kasikorn Securities Public Company Limited presented statistics on the impact of floods on the SET Index, noting that since 2006 flooding has occurred in Thailand more than 7 times, and the SET delivered negative returns of about 1% over a one-month period, except in 2011 when major flooding pushed the SET down 14%. The groups that outperformed were led by ICT and banks, while the finance and insurance groups fell about 2%. The electronics group fell the most, down 8%, most of which stemmed from 2011, because that flood round hit the industrial sector hard. On the economy, excluding 2011, the monthly impact was in the range of 10 to 50 billion baht, or an impact on GDP of no more than 0.1-0.3%. And if assessed from the upside of extending the half-half co-payment policy program by 2 months, it could put the GDP forecast in a range of 2.0% plus or minus. For investment strategy, Kasikorn Securities assesses the impact of this flood round on its 2026 EPS forecast as fairly limited, and estimates the SET support range at 1,565-1,580 points. It still views the decline as an opportunity to gradually accumulate bank, power plant and electronics stocks, namely KTB, BBL, DELTA and BGRIM.

The Ministry of Commerce reported Thailand's trade figures for August 2026, with exports expanding 24.3% year-on-year. Although this was below the market expectation of 24.8% year-on-year, it accelerated from 21.6% year-on-year in July 2026. Meanwhile, imports expanded 25.1% year-on-year, below market expectations and below July 2026's 30.0% year-on-year and 36.7% year-on-year respectively. Among export goods that grew well in the agricultural product group were fresh, chilled, frozen and dried fruit, up 24.0%; rubber, up 23.2%; fresh, chilled and frozen shrimp, up 18.8%; and processed chicken, up 10.5%. In the agro-industrial product group, pet food grew 17.5% and canned and processed seafood grew 4.8%. In the industrial product group, video and audio equipment and parts grew 1,155.7%; telephones, equipment and parts grew 151.2%; electrical transformers and parts grew 55.6%; computers, equipment and parts grew 42.1%; electrical appliances and parts grew 40.9%; integrated circuit boards grew 19.2%; and gems and jewelry, excluding gold, grew 3.2%, returning to growth after contracting the previous month. The research team at Phillip Securities sees this as positive sentiment for export stocks in the categories that grew well, as well as stocks related to those export goods, and views it as a boost for industrial estate and utility stocks. It selected 17 standout stocks: in the agricultural product group, CPF, NER, STA and TEGH; in the agro-industrial product group, AAI, ITC and TU; in the industrial product group, CCET, DELTA, HANA, HTECH and KCE; and in the industrial estate and utility group, AMATA, BGRIM, GPSC, ROJNA and WHA.

The government is preparing to invest in a smart grid system, or intelligent power network, with short-term approval expected for a pilot project budget of approximately 10 billion to 20 billion baht, drawn from the 200 billion baht energy transition allocation under the 400 billion baht emergency loan decree. Concrete progress is expected to begin this year. Naphan Chaisaen, Deputy Managing Director of Research and a fundamental investment analyst covering the capital market at Bualuang Securities, told Than Hoon that the medium-term smart grid roadmap for 2022 to 2031 consists of five pillars. The first is Demand Response, which will replace household electricity meters with millions of smart meters, starting in high-usage areas such as Bangkok, its vicinity, major cities, and industrial estates in Rayong and Chachoengsao. Companies with potential in this area are FORTH, SKY, INSET, ALT, and PCC. Next is RE Forecasting, which involves system integrators such as TKC, SECURE, and SAMART. Then comes Microgrid and Prosumer, with GUNKUL and BGRIM. Next is ESS, or energy storage systems, with EA and GPSC. Finally, EV Integration involves FORTH and EA. Investment in the smart grid can also be accelerated without waiting for full clarity on the new Power Development Plan, and it will serve as key infrastructure to support the massive electricity consumption of data centers in the future without affecting electricity costs or the stability of power supply for the general public.

Bualuang Securities released an analysis stating that the development of Thailand's smart grid is nearing a turning point, moving from a phase focused on long-term roadmaps toward rule-setting, pilot project implementation, and greater private-sector participation. The medium-term smart grid drive plan for 2022-2031 comprises 5 pillars: Demand Response and Energy Management Systems, or DR & EMS, which accounts for roughly 30% of the budget; Renewable Energy Forecasting, or RE Forecasting, about 10%; Microgrid and Prosumer, about 20%; Energy Storage Systems, or ESS, about 25%; and EV Integration, about 15%. The analysis states that stocks that could benefit under the DR & EMS pillar include SKY, PIS, FORTH, PCC and ALT, while the RE Forecasting pillar includes TKC and SAMART. The Microgrid & Prosumer pillar includes BGRIM, the ESS pillar includes EA, GPSC, GULF and EGCO, and the EV Integration pillar includes FORTH and EA. Bualuang Securities takes the view that heavy investment in ESS and Microgrid should not be rushed from the early stage, because committing large amounts of capital to batteries, hardware and EPC work before pricing mechanisms and service markets are clear carries the risk of assets being underutilized. Meanwhile, DR/EMS forecasting and EV Integration require less capital and open up opportunities to generate revenue from platforms, service fees and recurring income.

Krungsri Securities stated that the direction for operating Data Centers in Thailand is progressing continuously, with the draft Digital Infrastructure Services Business Act B.E. ...., the main law establishing the regulatory framework for data center, cloud service, and digital platform businesses. It requires operators to obtain licenses from the Ministry of Digital Economy and Society and to post collateral. Meanwhile, large data centers that use electricity up to the threshold must secure their own electricity and water sources, are prohibited from competing for water from public water sources, must use clean energy according to the proportion set by the state, must be located in urban planning areas permitted for factory operations, must conduct EIA/EHIA, and are required to store personal data of Thai individuals and Thai juristic persons within the country as a primary requirement. On the progress of subordinate legislation, the DC Board approved preliminary criteria requiring data centers using electricity from 0.5 megawatts and above to formally register with the Ministry of Digital Economy and Society, and instructed three subcommittees on infrastructure, urban planning, and environment to expedite the drafting of minimum standards for completion within February 2026. Meanwhile, the Bangkok Metropolitan Administration and the Department of Public Works and Town and Country Planning are reviewing a new urban planning draft designating zoning for large data centers in industrial zones in purple areas on the outskirts of the city, and acknowledged progress on the TH-DC Dashboard system by BDI in collaboration with the Ministry of Digital Economy and Society to serve as a national central database. The research department assesses this progress as overall positive and views it as positive sentiment for Infra Tech theme stocks, namely industrial estate developers AMATA and WHA, contractors STECON, PYLON, and INSET, power companies GPSC, BGRIM, WHAUP, and GUNKUL, as well as banks KBANK, KTB, and BBL.

Dao Securities (Thailand) expects the SET Index to trade sideways today after the investment mood came under pressure once again from bond yields, along with rising oil prices. It estimates support at 1,600-1,605 points and resistance at 1,614-1,618 points, and sees energy stocks potentially attracting buying back. Meanwhile, US stocks closed lower after bond yields surged again, while oil prices rebounded strongly after Trump's speech at the UN, in which he gave Iran a choice between negotiating or letting the US wipe it out completely. Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian responded without backing down, but stressed that Iran is always ready for diplomatic talks if they are equal and do not use threatening language or force. As for the main strategy, Dao sees the market possibly pulling back but views it as an opportunity to gradually accumulate Mega Play Theme stocks such as Data Center and power plants, and still likes GPSC, BGRIM and ADVANC. Banking stocks also remain attractive, and it still likes KTB, KBANK and KKP. For the medium-to-long-term tourism recovery theme, it still likes AOT, CENTEL and ERW. The top pick today is PTTEP, supported by the short-term crude oil price outlook after Iran's president said at the UN that Iran will not allow free navigation through the Strait of Hormuz as long as US sanctions remain in effect. Brent crude closed up 3.9% yesterday at 103.1 US dollars per barrel. Buy, target price 180.00 baht. Also AOT, which will benefit from strong growth in flights and passengers during China's Golden Week. The Tourism Authority of Thailand expects that during China's long holiday from 25 September to 7 October 2026, which covers both the Mid-Autumn Festival and China's National Day holiday, 250,000 Chinese tourists will come to Thailand, up 24% YoY. It also estimates normal profit in 4QFY26E will grow well both YoY and QoQ from the gradual recovery in international passengers and the first full quarter of recognition of the new PSC rate. Buy, target price 72.00 baht. The top picks on technical signals are PTTEP and CCET.

Kasikorn Thai Securities said in a Thai equity strategy analysis for the fourth quarter of 2026 that Thailand is entering a new upward investment cycle, driven by data center investment and the new Power Development Plan, or PDP2026. It raised its target for the Stock Exchange of Thailand index to 1,680 points, shifting the calculation base to an end-2027 index target under the assumption of market earnings per share of 105 points in 2027 and a price-to-earnings ratio of 16 times, which is in line with the long-term average. Kasikorn Thai Securities expects electricity generating capacity serving data center demand in Thailand to rise to roughly 5 to 7 gigawatts by 2030, following the expansion of data center operators and investment in artificial intelligence infrastructure. For its fourth-quarter 2026 investment strategy, Kasikorn Thai Securities divided its approach into two main themes and selected five standout stocks: BBL, DELTA, BGRIM, SCGP and CPALL. The first theme covers stocks that benefit from the new investment cycle, namely BBL, DELTA and BGRIM, while the second focuses on stocks whose earnings are likely to recover and which can pass on costs, namely SCGP and CPALL.

Foreign investors returned to buying Thai stocks, with net purchases of 52.68226 billion baht from the start of the year through September 22, comprising 6.60989403 trillion baht in buys and 6.55721177 trillion baht in sells. In September alone, net buying reached 1.31328 billion baht, from 626.56138 billion baht in buys and 625.24810 billion baht in sells, marking the highest foreign buying in two months and making the Thai stock market the most sought-after in ASEAN. The supporting factor came from Meta's launch of a new AI model with higher processing efficiency, offered free of charge, which the market expects will extend its advertising business and accelerate demand for AI CAPEX, benefiting Thai component stocks, especially DELTA and HANA. Meanwhile, Infra Tech stocks drew support from the NBTC's proposal for a data center board to set new investment criteria, including requiring operators to have power purchase agreements and water supply certificates, to use domestic materials no less than 50%, and to add sustainability requirements. This is expected to boost industrial estate stocks such as AMATA and WHA, power stocks such as GULF, BGRIM and GUNKUL, bank stocks such as KBANK, KTB, KKP and BBL, as well as contractor stocks such as STECON, PYLON and INSET. At the same time, the Cabinet meeting approved extending the Thai Help Thai Plus 40/60 Phase 2 project by another 2 months, from October 1 to November 30, 2026, with a total budget of 42.69 billion baht, and approved an additional 700 baht per person in product purchase credit for state welfare cardholders for October only, bringing the total injection to 1,000 baht per person. This measure is expected to benefit retail stocks such as CPAXT, BJC and CPALL, as well as consumer goods stocks such as CBG and OSP, in a second-round effect.

Asia Plus Securities says power plant stocks have regained investor attention on three main drivers. The first is a fresh wave of data center investment, with Prime Minister Anutin scheduled to meet Google executives on September 23, 2026 to discuss digital, technology and AI issues as well as digital infrastructure development. Google plans to invest 1 billion US dollars to develop data centers and cloud in Thailand, reflecting long-term growth in electricity demand from the digital economy. The second driver is the continued decline in crude oil prices, with Dubai and Brent falling about 3% and 8% over the past five trading days to around 115 and 100 dollars per barrel respectively, which could pass through to power plants' gas costs going forward. The third driver is the baht, recently around 33.45 baht per dollar, stronger than around 34.0 baht per dollar in July, supporting companies with high debt burdens and large overseas investment. The research team has a positive view on the power sector. GULF currently has 25 MW of data centers already commercialized, with another 38 MW under development and a further 100 MW expansion planned. BGRIM is building 48 MW in its first phase, expected to gradually come online from the fourth quarter of 2026. Falling oil prices are expected to be a short-term sentiment positive for BGRIM and GPSC, which sell roughly 20 to 35% of electricity revenue to industrial customers, while baht strength helps reduce USD-denominated debt, especially for EGCO, which has roughly 50 to 60% of its loans in USD, versus around 15% for GULF and BGRIM. On investment strategy, the firm recommends a selective buy, picking GULF with a fair value of 80 billion baht as a large-cap that benefits from fund inflows and the data center theme, while BGRIM, with a fair value of 22 billion baht, benefits from margin recovery amid falling oil prices, and GPSC, with a fair value of 56 billion baht, can still be traded on sector sentiment.

Shares of B.Grimm Power Public Company Limited, or BGRIM, rose 3.14% to 19.70 baht, up 0.60 baht, touching an intraday high of 20.00 baht on turnover of 630.73 million baht. Asia Plus Securities expects margins to recover in the third quarter of 2026 as oil prices decline, and sees the power sector regaining investor interest on three main drivers: a fresh wave of data center investment, crude oil prices that continue to fall and could feed through to power plants' gas costs, and the baht's appreciation to around 33.45 baht per dollar from roughly 34.0 baht per dollar in July. The research team set a target price of 22 baht for BGRIM, 80 baht for GULF and 56 baht for GPSC, noting that GULF currently has 25 megawatts of data center capacity already commercially operational, another 38 megawatts under development and plans to add a further 100 megawatts in the next phase. BGRIM, meanwhile, is building 48 megawatts in its Phase and expects gradual commercial operation starting in the fourth quarter of 2026. The baht's strength also reduces the value of US dollar debt, particularly at EGCO, where dollar-denominated loans make up roughly 50 to 60% of borrowings, while GULF and BGRIM are at around 15%.

DBS Vickers Securities Thailand estimates that the SET index today has a chance to hold above the 1,600-point level, driven by buying in electronics stocks, while falling oil prices may pressure energy stocks into selling. It sees support at 1,584-1,592 points and resistance at 1,604-1,610 points. It also noted that investors are still watching the Trump-Xi meeting. In the U.S. market, stocks rose sharply led by AI names such as Meta, and WTI crude fell below 100 U.S. dollars, pushing bond yields to close below 5%, which is expected to support buying in beneficiary groups such as data centers and power plants. It continues to favor GPSC, BGRIM and ADVANC. Banks remain resilient given lingering uncertainty, so it still favors KTB, KBANK and KKP. Over the medium to long term, it still likes tourism stocks such as AOT, CENTEL and ERW. For today's top pick, it recommends CPALL, estimating 2026E profit at 33 billion baht, up 18% year on year, supported by 700 new branch openings and product mix, with a target price of 63.00 baht. Its technical picks are BGRIM and STECON.

Dao Securities expects the Thai stock market on September 22, 2026, to see the SET Index attempt to hold above 1,600 points, helped by buying in electronics stocks, while falling oil prices could pressure energy shares with selling. The investment mood has improved again, and investors are watching the meeting between Trump and Xi. In the US market, stocks rose sharply, especially AI-related names led by META, and with WTI oil falling below 100 dollars per barrel, the US bond yield closed below 5%, supporting the investment climate. Fitch Ratings announced on September 18 that it had revised Thailand's credit outlook from Negative to Stable while affirming the rating at BBB+, a supportive factor for the market. The SET opened the morning up more than 9 to 13 points, testing 1,600 points, with buying concentrated mainly in banking and financial stocks. Dao Securities' main strategy states that a US bond yield closing below 5% will draw buying into stocks that benefit from lower bond yields under the Mega Play theme, such as data centers and power plants, and it still likes GPSC, BGRIM and ADVANC. Banking stocks should be resilient amid lingering uncertainty, and it still likes KTB, KBANK and KKP. For the medium to long term, it still likes tourism stocks, namely AOT, CENTEL and ERW.

Two brokers hold a positive view on power-plant stocks after the Energy Minister prepares to expand the buyback quota for electricity from public solar rooftops to 10,000 MW from 500 MW previously, under a feed-in tariff of 2.2 baht per unit, along with an extension of the power purchase agreement buyback term to 20 years from 10 years. Krungsri Securities said it sees positive sentiment, especially for GUNKUL, even though the solar rooftop business accounts for only about 6-7% of total revenue, but it still gets a boost from the policy of installing solar rooftops with tax deductions of up to 200,000 baht per household and installation subsidies of 30,000 baht per household from the 400-billion-baht loan emergency decree. It also recommends buying GULF with a 2027 target price of 77 baht and GPSC with a 2027 target price of 61 baht as top picks on the data center investment theme. Asia Plus Securities is bullish on the renewable energy group, seeing the expansion of the framework to 10,000 MW as reflecting a significant upgrade of the public solar market, and the extension of the purchase term from 10 years to 20 years as increasing the attractiveness and incentive for household investment. This is therefore a positive factor for solar EPC operators and related equipment distributors such as GUNKUL, SOLAR, SPCG and SSP. Its research team picks GUNKUL as top pick with a target price of 6.4 baht, and sees the medium- to long-term investment theme extending from the solar group to smart grid and battery energy storage systems, where BGRIM and GPSC have strengths in smart grid and BESS, while GULF has both solar rooftop and solar-plus-BESS businesses.

The National Energy Policy Council, or NEPC, approved expanding the framework for promoting electricity generation from public solar to 10,000 megawatts, up from the previous 5,000 megawatts, covering the period 2026–2028. The total already includes 500 megawatts of existing purchase projects. The council set the buyback rate under the Net Billing scheme at 2.20 baht per unit, capped at no more than 5 kilowatts per meter, and extended the purchase period to 20 years from 10 years, covering rooftop installations, ground-mounted systems, and floating solar. The NEPC also tasked agencies with preparing supporting plans within one month, covering real-time electricity generation forecasting, control of transmission and distribution systems, installation of smart meters and smart grids, and battery energy storage systems, or BESS, to accommodate distributed generation. The research team at Asia Plus Securities views this as positive for the renewable energy group, noting that the expansion from 5,000 megawatts to 10,000 megawatts reflects a significant upgrade of the public solar market, and that extending power purchases from 10 years to 20 years will improve the returns and investment incentives for households. This is therefore a positive factor for contractors installing rooftop solar power systems, or Solar EPC, and for distributors of related equipment such as GUNKUL, SOLAR, SPCG, and SSP. At the same time, the increase in distributed generation will give energy management systems, smart grids, and battery energy storage systems a key role in the next phase, in line with the direction of the PDP2026 plan. BGRIM and GPSC have strengths in smart grids, energy management systems, and BESS, while GULF has related businesses in both Solar Rooftop and Solar plus BESS. In the short term, this is expected to be positive sentiment for stocks in the solar business chain, and the research team has chosen GUNKUL as its Top Pick on the strength of its Solar EPC business and comprehensive equipment distribution.

Kasikorn Securities, or KS, expects the Thai stock index to trade in a range of 1570-1620 points this week, anticipating a market recovery after the US Federal Reserve meeting, at which the Fed raised interest rates as the market had expected. Meanwhile, inflation signals are starting to show signs of slowing, helped by crude oil prices beginning to correct after Saudi Arabia rerouted crude exports through Oman and accelerated the restoration of the East-West pipeline, easing supply concerns. At the same time, the 10-year US Treasury yield has fallen back below 5%, supporting further speculative appetite for risk assets. In addition, the market is watching for domestic economic stimulus measures, with the Thai Chai Thai Plus program expected to be extended by another two months this week, which is positive sentiment for the domestic economy and provides further support for the cost of living. KS therefore continues to view pullbacks as opportunities to gradually accumulate stocks, selecting SCC and BGRIM as its top picks for the week. For SCC, the base price is set at 276.00 baht, supported by positive momentum from the announcement that Rayong Olefins, or ROC, will restart its olefins plant, which is expected to have a positive effect on earnings estimates going forward, along with additional support from the packaging business SCGP, which is showing more positive trends from the return of Fajar and improving selling prices, as well as ongoing M&A. SCC currently trades at a PBV of 0.8 times. For BGRIM, the base price is set at 22.00 baht after it adjusted electricity charges to link with gas prices for industrial user customers by about 50% starting in June, helping to preserve spark spread, and it plans to gradually convert customer contracts to a permanent gas-linked basis. Meanwhile, the data center business will support growth from 2027, with excess capacity of about 100MW that can serve additional demand from industrial user customers and data centers. BGRIM's own data center is expected to see Phase 1 reach commercial operation in the first quarter of 2027 and ramp up to full capacity of 48MW in the second quarter of 2027, though initially it may still record losses from low utilization.

The equity and derivatives market strategist at InnovestX Research, InnovestX Securities, said efforts to push Thailand as a regional data center hub are taking clearer shape after the first meeting of the Data Center Business Policy Committee resolved to accelerate integration of data and legal provisions into a single dashboard, in order to set a clear industrial strategic framework within one month. The criteria define data centers using more than 2 MW of electricity as industrial businesses, set resource utilization fees to reflect true direct and indirect costs, and impose strict energy conditions to support Green Data Centers, including a separate electricity tariff category for the group, a mandatory clean energy share of no less than 60% to meet Net Zero goals, and tighter standards for backup power systems. Four subcommittees will be set up covering the economy, infrastructure, land and buildings, and the environment to draw up technical standards, and decisive measures are being prepared to suspend water and electricity allocation for projects not yet under construction if they fail the criteria. InnovestX assesses that these clearer policies will create significant positive ripple effects for two main industries. The first is clean energy, where the 60% minimum clean energy requirement will turn clean power from an option into a necessity, sharply driving real demand. The second is industrial estates, where classifying data centers as industrial businesses will draw foreign direct investment, or FDI, into leading estates equipped with smart grid networks and environmental management, leaving estates reliant on fossil fuels far behind. The investment strategy therefore recommends Selective Buy, focusing on accumulating leaders in these two main industries. For industrial estates, it favors companies with stable smart grid networks sufficient for Tier 3-4 data centers, joint ventures with multinational technology firms, and their own water recycling management systems, namely AMATA and WHA. For clean energy, it favors companies making progress on direct power purchase agreements, or Direct PPAs, with global hyperscalers, with high ESG scores and green certificates, and investing in battery energy storage systems, or BESS, to maintain the stability of electricity supplied to data centers, namely GULF, GPSC and BGRIM, as well as GUNKUL, a contractor for high-voltage transmission line systems.

Gastech 2026 announced partnerships and investment plans during its first three days worth a combined $40 billion, covering agreements ranging from memoranda of understanding to purchase contracts and investment plans across the energy value chain. China Gas Holdings and Venture Global LNG agreed to buy 0.5 million tonnes per year of LNG from the United States over 20 years, starting in 2030. Samsung Heavy Industries closed a deal to build LNG carriers and crude oil tankers worth $1.2 billion, while the state of Sarawak concluded talks with Indorama Ventures and partners from Japan on downstream natural gas and petrochemical investment worth about $1 billion in Bintulu. In addition, PETRONAS, PTTEP JDA and the Thailand-Malaysia Joint Authority signed a 35-year production sharing contract and a natural gas sales agreement in the Thailand-Malaysia Joint Development Area. GE Vernova and B.Grimm Power signed an agreement to supply gas turbine technology and long-term services in Thailand and Malaysia. Eni signed a memorandum of understanding with the government of Senegal to assess the oil potential of five offshore exploration blocks, and Horacio Marín, chairman and chief executive of YPF, announced plans to sign two to three LNG sales contracts for the Argentina LNG export project. Supawan Teerarat, director of the Thailand Convention and Exhibition Bureau, or TCEB, said the event drew more than 50,000 participants from over 150 countries and is expected to generate about 14.62 billion baht in economic value.

Analysts have released dividend estimates for 2026 covering five power plant stocks. InnovestX Securities expects GULF to pay a dividend of 1.79 baht per share, maintaining an OUTPERFORM rating with a target price of 78 baht. KGI Securities (Thailand) expects RATCH to pay a dividend of 1.50 baht, upgrading its recommendation to Buy with a new target price of 43 baht, up from 29 baht, and expects EGCO to pay a dividend of 6.50 baht, upgrading its recommendation to Buy from Hold with a new target price of 145 baht, up from 125 baht. Yuanta Securities (Thailand) expects GPSC to pay a dividend of 1.31 baht with a target price of 66.50 baht, maintaining a Buy rating and naming it a Top pick in the power plant sector for the fourth quarter of 2026. DAOL Securities (Thailand) expects BGRIM to pay a dividend of 0.58 baht with a Buy recommendation and a new target price of 25 baht, up from 20 baht. The main supporting factor comes from the Power Development Plan 2026, or PDP 2026, which will add new generating capacity including solar, wind, and gas power plants, as well as Direct PPA and the data center business.

B.Grimm Power, or BGRIM, took part in Gastech 2026, a global energy platform covering natural gas, LNG, low-carbon energy and AI for energy, held for the 54th time at the BITEC exhibition and convention centre in Bang Na from 14 to 17 September 2026. The event drew more than 50,000 participants from over 150 countries and more than 800 exhibiting companies, and was opened on 14 September 2026 by Prime Minister Anutin Charnvirakul. Dr. Harald Link, Chairman of BGRIM, said the company's participation reaffirms its GreenLeap – Global and Green strategy, which aims to diversify its renewable energy asset base across both geographies and technologies while driving energy security. The company targets raising the share of renewable energy to more than 50% by 2030 and expanding investment to 10,000 megawatts of generating capacity by 2030 from projects already in operation and under development. Dr. Link also shared his views in a session titled Empowering the World Compassionately: Reimagining LNG's Role and Resilience in Thailand, stressing that energy security is not measured by price alone but also includes availability of supply and the stability of the power system, especially as domestic natural gas volumes decline, which gives LNG a more important role. He added that energy market development should move toward a more transparent and open structure, and that fair access to LNG infrastructure would promote competition and support long-term investment to serve future growth in the industrial and data centre sectors.

Stock Focus today rounds up the key points on several stocks. BGRIM is likely to close deals for large IPP gas-fired power plants in Vietnam and Malaysia totalling 3,000 megawatts by late this year to early next year, and is preparing to file for extensions of 22 existing power plant projects with a combined capacity of 3,000 megawatts under the PDP plan, and will open the first phase of its data centre this November. ADVICE said the iPhone 18 is hot, with the iPhone 18 Pro Max fully booked in pre-orders, and handsets will start being delivered this Friday, which will support third-quarter revenue in 2026, while the company maintains its full-year revenue growth target of 15% from a year earlier and aims to reach 29 branches by the end of 2026, up from 22 in the first half. MMM is pressing ahead with new partners to supply the property business, maintaining a stock of 800 units, with a strategy targeting the 4-5 million baht price segment, drawing on its Prukasa subsidiary to help with construction, and is confident fourth-quarter results will peak, targeting full-year growth of 30-40%. KCC has set its sights on 2026, aiming to bring 500 million baht of NPLs into its portfolio and grow at least 30% after raising 450 million baht through debentures, and is studying plans to buy more NPAs. EURO is expanding the luxury market together with SC, opening the luxury villa project The Gentry Cultivar Rama 9 priced at 30-50 million baht. POLY reaffirmed its full-year revenue growth target of 10% after first-half revenue of 628 million baht, with its automotive business rising to a 60% share on continuous orders from Toyota, and has just set up a subsidiary to move into the electrical and electronics business as a new S-curve. MGC is extending its Mobility Ecosystem through its SIXT car rental business, partnering with ROYS HOTEL to provide electric XPENG vehicles to shuttle guests, with ROYS HOTEL spending 300 million baht on a major renovation and aiming to open in 2027. In insurance, the cabinet approved a national catastrophe insurance plan covering 30 million households, with protection against floods, storms, earthquakes and loss of life, starting this October 1. TWPC is set to drive sales growth in its overseas food and sauce business above 10% after acquiring Well-Grow, which began contributing revenue in September, supporting fourth-quarter 2026 results. Brokers recommend buying KLINIQ and MASTER on expectations that second-half profit will accelerate, with KLINIQ having a network of more than 84 branches. SCB EIC reaffirmed that foreign capital remains interested in investing in Thailand and is watching for the government to issue new data centre rules this year. Finansia recommends buying STECON with a target of 22.50 baht, and Globlex recommends WHA with a target of 5.40 baht. SIRI is pushing low-rise sales towards a target of 25 billion baht and will launch Burasiri Well Krungthep Kreetha worth 6 billion baht, priced at 23-40 million baht, during September 19-20. BEM said the Expressway Authority of Thailand is discussing ways to reduce the impact before raising tolls on the Chalong Rat expressway on December 15, with the new rates starting at 80 baht for four-wheel vehicles, 130 baht for six-to-ten-wheel vehicles and 180 baht for vehicles with more than ten wheels. ONEAM will hold a meeting of GROREIT trust unitholders on October 28 to vote on selling the Royal Orchid Sheraton hotel, with three options: having ROH buy it back for 4.873 billion baht, selling it to Orchid Hospitality, which has offered 5.3 billion baht, or holding a general auction. If the sale succeeds, the trust will immediately proceed with liquidation.

B.Grimm Power, or BGRIM, said it expects to close deals for large-scale IPP natural gas-fired power plants in Vietnam and Malaysia with combined capacity of about 3,000 megawatts by the end of this year to early next year, with each country accounting for a 1,500-megawatt project. The projects are under negotiation over power purchase agreement terms and are expected to be concluded by the end of this year. Meanwhile, the company plans to apply to extend the life of 22 existing power plant projects with total capacity of about 3,000 megawatts under the new Power Development Plan, in order to supply electricity and steam to key industrial groups such as data centers, semiconductors and EVs. On its data center business, a 96-megawatt facility in Chonburi province is more than 50% complete and is scheduled to begin operations in its first phase in November 2026. For investment in Vietnam, where returns are around 10-12%, the company has invested together with Amata Corporation for more than 30 years, with 677 megawatts of solar projects already in operation and about 100 megawatts of wind projects. In Malaysia, it has 200 megawatts of solar farms already in commercial operation and about 400 megawatts more under development, which will gradually enter commercial operation over the next one to two years.

B.Grimm Power, or BGRIM, has proposed that the government consider renewing contracts for 22 related power plants with a combined capacity of approximately 3,000 megawatts, covering both IPP and SPP plants, in order to use existing capacity before building new facilities. Nopadej Karnasuta, Chief Executive Officer for Business in Thailand, Malaysia and Industrial Business Solutions, said these plants remain necessary for the continuous supply of electricity and steam to industrial customers, and represent a Quick Win at a time when procuring machinery and constructing new power plants takes several years. The company is also pushing to unlock Third Party Access and Direct PPA so that electricity users can access surplus capacity in the system, such as power from floating solar, solar farms, or surplus output from gas-fired plants, and has proposed broadening Direct PPA to include baseload electricity from natural gas, biomass and biogas. Chairman Harald Link said BGRIM has a data centre project of approximately 250 megawatts and is developing a 96-megawatt project in Chonburi province that is more than 50% complete and due to begin first-phase operations this November. The company aims to expand its data centre business to approximately 300 megawatts by 2030, both in Thailand and overseas. BGRIM currently has solar power plants in Vietnam totalling approximately 677 megawatts, wind projects of approximately 100 megawatts, and is cooperating on the development of a 1,500-megawatt gas-fired power plant with PetroVietnam. In Malaysia, it has roughly 200 megawatts of solar projects already in operation and a pipeline of approximately 400 megawatts expected to reach commercial operation over the next one to two years. It is also studying the feasibility of and in final negotiations for an IPP natural gas-fired power plant of approximately 1,500 megawatts with a local partner, targeting a conclusion by the end of this year.