Kasikornbank Public Company LimitedNamed in Tisco's favored banking and insurance group as higher rates benefit banks.
米連邦準備制度理事会(FRB)は12対0の全会一致で政策金利を0.25%引き上げ、3.75~4.00%とした。2023年以来の利上げとなり、今年さらに1回の利上げがあり得るとのシグナルを発した。最新の見通しでは2026年末の金利は約4.1%、2027年は横ばい圏で推移し、2028年に利下げの可能性があるとされている。複数の証券会社は今回の会合の結果がタイの株式市場に短期的にマイナスと評価している。米国債利回りとドル相場が上昇傾向にあり、外国人資金の流れや株価水準、特にグロース株や高いPERの銘柄に下押し圧力がかかる可能性があるためだ。インフレ率が依然として目標の2%を上回り、原油価格が1バレル100ドル超で推移する中、市場は高金利の長期化に対応を迫られている。ティスコ証券はSET指数の推移を1570~1660ポイントと予想し、下値支持線を1570~1580ポイント、上値抵抗線を1630ポイントと1660ポイントに置いている。同社はエネルギー・コモディティ関連としてPTTEP、PTT、SPRC、TOP、IVL、PTTGC、CPF、TFG、GFPT、TVO、SCGP、SCCCを、銀行・保険関連としてKBANK、KTB、TTB、BLA、TLIを、AI・インフラ・電力関連としてHANA、AMATA、WHA、GULF、EGCO、ADVANC、TRUE、STECONを推奨している。一方、クルンシー証券は明確な収入とキャッシュフローを持つ内需・ディフェンシブ銘柄、特にBDMSとBCHに比重を置き、DELTAのような株価が高く金利に敏感な銘柄は、FRBが市場予想以上に利上げ継続のシグナルを発した場合に下押し圧力を受ける可能性があると警告している。
Kasikornbank Public Company LimitedNamed in Tisco's favored banking and insurance group as higher rates benefit banks.
Krung Thai Bank Public Company LimitedNamed in Tisco's favored banking and insurance group as higher rates benefit banks.
TMBThanachart Bank Public Company LimitedFed rate hike lifts US yields and dollar; brokers favor the banking and insurance group (KBANK, KTB, TTB, BLA, TLI), supporting Thai bank TTB.
Bangkok Life Assurance Public Company LimitedIncluded in Tisco's banking and insurance group seen as favored amid the Fed's rate hike, but only a passing mention.
Thai Life Insurance PCLIncluded in Tisco's banking and insurance group seen as favored amid the Fed's rate hike; no company-specific development.
PTT Public Company LimitedNamed in Tisco's favored energy and commodities group as the Fed's hike and high oil prices support the sector.
Electricity Generating Public Company LimitedTisco lists EGCO in the AI, infrastructure and power group favored under the Fed's prolonged high-rate environment.
Gulf Energy Development Public Company LimitedTisco lists GULF in the AI, infrastructure and power group favored under the Fed's prolonged high-rate environment.
Thaifoods Group Public Company LimitedNamed by Tisco in the energy and commodities group highlighted as the Fed raises rates; no company-specific news.
Thai Oil Public Company LimitedListed by Tisco in the energy and commodities group highlighted as the Fed hikes rates; no company-specific news.
PTT Global Chemical Public Company LimitedPTTGC is named in Tisco's favored energy and commodities group benefiting from the high-rate, high-oil environment.
Siam City Cement Public Company LimitedSCCC is listed in Tisco's favored energy and commodities group as the Fed's hike pressures growth stocks instead.
SCG Packaging Public Company LimitedSCGP is included in Tisco's favored energy and commodities group amid the Fed's rate hike and elevated oil prices.
Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company LimitedTisco highlights CPF in the energy/commodities group favored as high rates and oil above $100 support commodity plays.
GFPT Public Company LimitedTisco highlights GFPT in the energy/commodities group favored as high rates and oil above $100 support commodity plays.
Thai Vegetable Oil Public Company LimitedTVO is named only within the energy/commodities group that brokers highlight; the rate-driven call is sector-level, not a company-specific development.
PTT Exploration and Production Public Company LimitedTisco highlights PTTEP in the energy/commodities group favored as the Fed's rate hike keeps oil above $100 and high rates pressure growth stocks.
Star Petroleum Refining Co LtdSPRC is named in Tisco's favored energy and commodities group as high rates and $100+ oil support the sector.
Advanced Info Service Public Company LimitedListed in Tisco's AI/infrastructure/power group favored under the Fed's high-rate environment, but no company-specific development.
True Corporation Public Company LimitedNamed by Tisco in the AI/infrastructure/power group favored under the Fed's rate-hike environment; no company-specific development.
STECON Group Public Company LimitedListed by Tisco in the AI/infrastructure/power group favored under the Fed's rate-hike environment, but no company-specific development.
WHA Corporation Public Company LimitedWHA is listed only in the AI/infrastructure/power group favored by Tisco; no company-specific news, just sector context from the Fed hike.
Bangkok Chain Hospital Public Company LimitedKrungsri Securities favors domestic and defensive plays with clear revenue and cash flow, explicitly naming BCH.
Bangkok Dusit Medical Services Public Company LimitedKrungsri Securities favors domestic and defensive plays with clear revenue and cash flow, explicitly naming BDMS.
Delta Electronics (Thailand) Public Company LimitedKrungsri warns expensive, rate-sensitive stocks such as DELTA could come under pressure if the Fed signals more sustained hikes.
Hana Microelectronics Public Company LimitedListed in Tisco's AI/infrastructure/power group favored under the Fed's rate hike, but no company-specific development.
Indorama Ventures PCLNamed in Tisco's favored energy and commodities group as the Fed's hike and high oil prices support the sector.
Amata Corporation Public Company LimitedNamed in Tisco's AI/infrastructure/power group that could benefit from the Fed rate backdrop, but only a passing mention.